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Pennsylvania could decide election — and the economy could be key for Trump

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Pennsylvania could decide election — and the economy could be key for Trump


Pennsylvania could be pivotal in November, if new polling suggesting a swing state split between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is on point.

A fresh seven-state survey from Emerson College Polling and the Hill shows the VP taking Michigan (50% to 47%), Georgia (49% to 48%) and Nevada (49% to 48%). 

Meanwhile, the former president is up in Wisconsin and North Carolina, 49% to 48% in both states. He also leads in Arizona, 50% to 47%.

The economy is always a top issue in an election year, and Trump currently holds the advantage. Bonnie Cash/UPI/Shutterstock

If these results hold, Harris leads in the Electoral College, 263 to 256. That means Pennsylvania’s 19 electoral votes could decide it all — and right now, the Democrat and Republican are neck and neck at 48% each.

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“The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump continues to be tight, within each state’s margin of error,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, before detailing Democratic advantages that the poll’s results divulge.

“Harris leads Trump among independents in each state, with the exception of Nevada, where Trump leads 50% to 44%. There is also a stark gender divide, similar to that of 2020. In six of the seven swing states, Harris leads Trump among women; however, in Arizona, Trump has a two-point edge on Harris among women voters, a group that broke for Biden by about three points in 2020, according to exit polling.”

Though Democrats have their pockets of strength in this polling, there is significant weakness when it comes to the Biden-Harris economy, which voters in all seven states say is the most important issue, to varying degrees.

In Arizona and Nevada, more than 30% of the poll respondents make that claim. In Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin, more than 40% say the same.

And in Pennsylvania, a steep 51% say pocketbook issues are what matter most to them, suggesting that the best closing argument for Team Trump may be in people’s bank statements and credit card balances.

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The polling also shows that Trump’s “No taxes on tips” proposal — which Harris also endorses now — is wildly popular across the battlegrounds, with approval numbers ranging from 65% in Michigan to 74% in Arizona and Georgia. Pivotal Pennsylvania falls in the middle of this range at 68%.

In troubling news for Trump, the controversial Project 2025 proposal is hurting him even as he maintains he doesn’t support it.

In all seven states, between 35% and 39% of poll respondents say the so-called “presidential transition project” makes them less likely to support him.

And among independents, the damage is even worse, with between 39% and 46% of respondents across these battlegrounds saying Project 2025 may make them back away from the GOP ticket in November.

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Josh Shapiro has a full-circle moment at Pennsylvania Society dinner in NYC, and David L. Cohen is honored

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Josh Shapiro has a full-circle moment at Pennsylvania Society dinner in NYC, and David L. Cohen is honored


NEW YORK — The first time Gov. Josh Shapiro attended the glitzy Pennsylvania Society dinner in midtown Manhattan, he was a young lawmaker invited by David L. Cohen.

Fifteen years later, Shapiro again sat front and center with Cohen, on Saturday night in New York City’s Waldorf Astoria hotel. The governor and the former U.S. ambassador to Canada celebrated Cohen’s receipt of a gold medal award, which has typically been given to the likes of former presidents, prominent philanthropists, and influential businesspeople.

“I still remember that feeling of sitting here, in this storied hotel, inspired not just by this grand, historic room, but most especially by the people in it. I just felt honored to be here,” Shapiro recalled in his remarks Saturday night to the 127th annual Pennsylvania Society dinner. “We’ve come full circle.”

The Pennsylvania Society, which began in the Waldorf Astoria in 1899 by wealthy Pennsylvania natives who were living in New York and hoping to effect change in their home state, returned Saturday to the iconic hotel for the first time in eight years to honor Cohen for his lifetime of achievement and contributions to Pennsylvania.

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The $1,000-per-plate dinner closed out the Pennsylvania Society weekend in New York City, where the state’s political elite — local lawmakers, federal officials, university presidents, and top executives — travel to party, fundraise, and schmooze across Midtown Manhattan, with the goal of making Pennsylvania better.

Each of the approximately 800 attendees at Saturday night’s dinner was served filet mignon as their entree and a cherry French pastry for dessert. The candlelit tables in the grand ballroom had an elaborate calla lily centerpiece — a flower often symbolizing resurrection or rebirth, as the society had its homecoming after years away while the hotel was closed for renovations.

Shapiro, who has delivered remarks to the Pennsylvania Society dinner each year of his first term as governor, focused on the polarization of the moment. He said the antidote that Pennsylvanians want is for top officials to work together and show the good that government can achieve to make people’s lives better.

“Let us be inspired by that spirit and take the bonds we form tonight back home to our cities, towns, and farmlands, and continue to find ways to come together, make progress, and create hope,” Shapiro said.

Shapiro also thanked the members of the society for their support after an attempt on his life by a man who later pleaded guilty to setting fires in the governor’s residence on Passover while he and his family slept inside.

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» READ MORE: Cody Balmer, who set fire to Gov. Josh Shapiro’s mansion, pleads guilty to attempted murder

Cohen was honored as a Philadelphia stalwart whose long career includes stints as an executive at Comcast, chair of the University of Pennsylvania’s board of trustees, and five years as Ed Rendell’s chief of staff during his mayorship.

He was recognized in a prerecorded video featuring praise from former U.S. Sens. Pat Toomey and Bob Casey, former U.S. Ambassador to Germany and former University of Pennsylvania president Amy Gutmann, Rendell, and others the 70-year-old Cohen has worked with throughout his career.

Rendell attended the dinner with his ex-wife and federal appellate court Judge Marjorie “Midge” Rendell. In his prerecorded remarks, Ed Rendell credited Cohen as the true governor and mayor of Philadelphia for all of his work behind the scenes.

Cohen, who continues his work to promote the relationship between the United States and Canada since his return to Philadelphia this year, began his remarks following his introduction with a joke: “It’s sort of nice to hear a preview of your obituary,” he said with a laugh.

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Cohen gave an impassioned speech defending democracy and recognizing America’s position in the world, even as polarization reaches a fever pitch in the country. He credited the society as a place where America’s founding tenets are achieved.

“These Pennsylvania Society principles represent what the United States is supposed to stand for as a country, a promoter and defender of democratic values, values that have special residence in Philadelphia and Pennsylvania, where our country was born almost 250 years ago,” Cohen said.

And Cohen had a dispatch from his years as an ambassador, followed by a call to action: “From our comfortable perch in Pennsylvania, I don’t think we always appreciate what we have here in the United States and the critical role that America plays on the global stage in promoting democracy.”



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Powerball winners sold in Pennsylvania as jackpot reaches 6th highest

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Powerball winners sold in Pennsylvania as jackpot reaches 6th highest


(WTAJ) — A $2 million Powerball ticket was sold in Pennsylvania as the jackpot broke $1 billion, making it the 6th largest to date. A Pennsylvania player matched all five white balls drawn Saturday, Dec. 13, but missed the Powerball. They also had Power Play active, making their million-dollar ticket worth $2 million. Another three […]



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Large fire damages apartment building in Lehigh County, Pennsylvania

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Large fire damages apartment building in Lehigh County, Pennsylvania



A large fire ripped through an apartment building in Lehigh County, Pennsylvania Saturday night.

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The fire broke out just after 8:15 p.m. at One Maryland Circle apartments in Whitehall Township, Lehigh County.

Video obtained by CBS News Philadelphia shows firefighters battling heavy flames in an apartment unit, with thick smoke pouring from the building. The footage also shows noticeable damage to the building from the fire.

Firefighters battle flames in an apartment building in Whitehall Township, Pa.

CBS News Philadelphia

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The cause of the fire is unknown, and it is unclear if anyone was displaced or injured.

This is a developing story. Check back for updates.



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