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ANALYSIS: Yes, New Hampshire, There Really Is A POTUS Race – NH Journal

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ANALYSIS: Yes, New Hampshire, There Really Is A POTUS Race – NH Journal


Donald Trump on stage at campaign event in Atkinson, N.H. on January 16, 2024.

The University of New Hampshire dropped polls from three New England States last week — but New Hampshire may as well have been on its own planet.

In Rhode Island, President Joe Biden holds a 19-point lead over former President Donald Trump at 52-33 percent, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. taking 6 percent.

In Massachusetts, Biden’s pulling Vladimir Putin numbers, beating Trump nearly 30 points (55-26 percent), while RFK Jr.’s at 10 percent.

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But just across the state line in New Hampshire, Biden and Trump are essentially tied at 44-41 percent, with Biden’s lead in the margin of error.

This latest Granite State Poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center bolsters last week’s New Hampshire Journal/Praecones Analytica poll finding the two deadlocked at 37 percent.

Worth noting: The NHJournal poll gave respondents a “none of these” option, which likely helped keep the candidates’ gross numbers lower than the other polls. But it doesn’t change the trend.

Biden is in danger of being just the second Democrat since 1992 to lose New Hampshire’s four Electoral College votes. (Al Gore in 2000 was the other.)

The question NHJournal has been getting since the poll was published has been some version of, “Look, I know it’s your poll, but c’mon. You don’t really believe Biden’s in trouble in New Hampshire?”

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To which NHJournal has been replying, “Don’t ask us. Ask Mark Halperin.”

Halperin is one of the most astute observers of American politics, and on the Memorial Day weekend edition of the NHJournal podcast he doesn’t dismiss the possibility that the president is in trouble in the Granite State.

“It is a state that I think has a bunch of discerning voters who may evaluate the Biden presidency as a failure,” Halperin said of New Hampshire. “And it’s a state that is not afraid to seek dramatic change. And of course, the relatively popular governor has endorsed Trump.”

“Endorsed” is a bit strong, but Sununu is voting for Trump — a fact he discussed on Fox and Friends over the weekend — using his “51=49 percent” formula. (“I’m 51-49 for Trump, and that’s where I’m going to vote.”)

Will his fellow Granite Staters come to the same conclusion?

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If they do, says Halperin, if Trump really does get to November as a competitive candidate in New Hampshire, “he’ll win [the White House] in a landslide.”

Many New Hampshire Democrats — and some Never Trump Granite State Republicans — continue to insist that isn’t possible. Biden’s going to win re election, and he’s going to dominate New Hampshire along the way, they tell NHJournal. Asked about the new polls — or the past year’s worth of national polls showing Trump consistently winning — and Democrats shrug them off.

“There has never been an election like this, ever,” one Granite State Democrat told NHJournal on background. “I have zero faith in pollsters to find out what people really think.”

To which NHJournal has been replying, “Don’t look at us. Ask Joe Biden.”

The same president who refused to set foot in the Granite State during the entire First in the Nation presidential primary season has now been to New Hampshire twice in the past two months. That’s as many visits as swing states like Georgia and Nevada. Why?

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Maybe the campaign thinks he has to, speculates Halperin. He points out that beyond the seven states viewed as potential pick-ups by both sides—AZ/GA/MI/NC/NV/PA/WI—Trump has a list of potential pick-ups: “Trump has New Hampshire, he has Minnesota, maybe Virginia.”

“But the next state for Biden after the top seven? It’s not clear at this point what it is. They can pretend it’s Florida, but they’re down by a lot,” Halperin said.

And so Biden comes to Nashua, speaks to a handful of supporters, says nothing memorable and leaves. Because he has to do something. Because there’s little else he can do as a candidate.

This is where the math gets tricky for Granite State Democrats. While they remain loyal to their president, 71 percent (yes, you read that right) of independent voters disapprove of how Biden is doing his job. Democratic candidates like gubernatorial hopeful Cinde Warmington continue to say Biden’s doing a great job, because they’ve got a primary to win. But will publicly defending Biden’s policies on inflation and illegal immigration pay off in November?

One early indicator: No New Hampshire Democrat seeking reelection in November — including U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas — appeared with Biden during his Granite State stop. Check their social media, too. Other than passing references to veterans’ issues, you’d never know the president was here.

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Biden backers keep saying that there’s plenty of time, that it’s still early, that the Biden campaign has yet to carpet bomb the swing states with ads about abortion and January 6. And that’s all true.

But it’s also true that Memorial Day has come and gone… and Trump is still winning. He’s winning the RealClearPolitics average in national polls. He’s winning in at least six of the seven swing states. And perhaps  most astonishing, he may be winning in New Hampshire.

America has a long, hot summer ahead. A lot of things will happen, perhaps even a presidential debate (though that’s by no means certain.) If polling on Labor Day looks like it did on Memorial Day, we are in for one hell of a ride in New Hampshire.



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New Hampshire

Former NH legislator sentenced to decades behind bars for exploitation of toddlers

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Former NH legislator sentenced to decades behind bars for exploitation of toddlers


A former New Hampshire state representative was sentenced to more than 33 years in prison for involvement in a child exploitation case — almost double the mandatory minimum.

Stacie Marie Laughton, 42, pleaded guilty to three counts of sexual exploitation of children after soliciting and receiving nude photos of three toddlers from an ex-girlfriend who worked at a daycare.

Lindsay Groves, 41, of Hudson, N.H., was sentenced to almost 22 years in prison earlier this month after pleading guilty to the same charges as well as an additional count of distribution of child pornography.

According to court documents, Groves took the photos of the victims in 2023 at Creative Minds daycare in Tyngsboro, where she was a teacher, during designated bathroom breaks and nap times.

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She then sent the photos to Laughton, who requested the images and asked that Grove touch one of the minor’s genitals. In the conversation included in the records, the pair sexualizes the victims.

“Did the girl give you an issue,” Laughton texted after receiving the photos.

“No… the boy didn’t either,” Groves texted back.

In a sentencing memorandum, Laughton’s counsel had argued that she should receive a shorter sentence than Groves and asked for the minimum mandatory sentence, which would have 15 years for each count to be served concurrently.

“Stacie Laughton is a complex 42-year-old woman,” the memo said, noting that she was the first openly transgender woman to be elected to the New Hampshire legislature.

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The filing described Laughton’s history of mental health, substance abuse, sexual abuse, and trauma as mitigating factors the judge should consider.

“One of the few consistencies in Ms. Laughton’s life is her challenges with mental health illnesses,” the memo said. “She began receiving mental health treatment at the age of four and has been in and out of extensive treatment programs ever since.”

The death of Laughton’s wife in 2020 and a tumultuous relationship with Groves also added to her mental health struggles, the memo said, stating that the defendant drank every day and had tried heroin for the first time leading up to her arrest.

A doctor quoted in the filing said that Laughton likely had a low IQ, tied in part to her premature birth, as well as “normal sexual interests.”

“This finding shows both how caught up Ms. Laughton was in her relationship with Groves that she participated in activity counter to this and is … an important factor in considering whether Ms. Laughton would be a future threat upon release,” the memo said.

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The filing described Laughton’s actions as “horrendous, reprehensible, and shocking,” but said that even though the crimes were “utterly inexcusable,” she should still receive a shorter sentence than her codefendant out of a sense of justice.

However, in their own sentencing memo, federal prosecutors requested Laughton receive 40 years in prison.

“These crimes only came to light when Laughton reported them in an apparent attempt to punish Groves for ending their relationship,” prosecutors wrote. “The defendant, of course, did not disclose her own role in the creation of the imagery.”

“She ultimately admitted that she told Groves to touch one child’s penis, and claimed that she was feeding Groves’s attraction to children,” their memo said.

The prosecutors said that Laughton’s voice was the “more prominent one” in the conversation about exploiting children.

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Three seriously injured in head-on crash on I-293 in Hooksett, N.H. – The Boston Globe

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Three seriously injured in head-on crash on I-293 in Hooksett, N.H. – The Boston Globe


Three people suffered injuries in a two-vehicle collision early Tuesday morning in Hooksett, New Hampshire.Courtesy of New Hampshore State

Three people suffered serious injuries Tuesday in a two-vehicle crash in Hooksett, N.H., police said.

The head-on collision happened around 5:40 a.m. on Interstate 293 northbound, State Police said.

Police said that Timothy Hubbard, 43, of Rome, Maine, was traveling south when he lost control of his car and crossed the median into oncoming traffic, police said.

Hubbard, his passenger, and the other driver were taken to hospitals to be treated for serious injuries, police said. The injures were not believed to be life-threatening.

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Police said speed was believed to be a factor in the crash, which is under investigation.


Hannah Goeke can be reached at hannah.goeke@globe.com.





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Sara Doherty – Concord Monitor

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Sara Doherty – Concord Monitor


Sara Doherty

Franklin, NH – Sara Jane (Sanford) Doherty, 79, of Franklin, New Hampshire, passed away peacefully at her home on June 11, 2026. A beloved wife, mother, grandmother, and friend, Sara was born on June 5, 1947, in Hanover, New Hampshire, to Harold and Sadie (Pettengill) Sanford.

As the daughter of a U.S. Army Corps of Engineers employee, Sara spent her childhood moving throughout New England, living in New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and Connecticut. She graduated from high school in Hudson, Massachusetts, and later returned to New Hampshire, eventually settling in Franklin, where she made her home for more than forty years.

Sara built a successful career in the textile industry. She worked as a seamstress at Howland Originals before joining Star Specialty Knitting, where she began as a stitcher and, through hard work and determination, advanced to Plant Manager. She retired in 2003, and one of the greatest joys of her retirement was caring for several of her grandchildren, whom she adored.

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Sara was a remarkably talented and creative artisan. She sewed clothing for her children when they were young and later created outfits for her grandchildren and their dolls. She was a gifted painter and artist whose extraordinary drawings and paintings brought joy to those around her. An accomplished seamstress, knitter, crocheter, cake decorator, and musician, Sara had an exceptional ability to create beauty in many forms. Her handmade gifts and treasured creations will be cherished by her family for generations to come.

Her talent for cake decorating blossomed into a successful side business that spanned more than thirty years. Sara created hundreds of stunning and imaginative cakes, including wedding and birthday cakes for her own children and grandchildren. Her passion for baking was so well known that for many years her license plate proudly read “CAKES+.”

Sara also had a remarkable gift for bringing people together. She hosted countless family reunions, each one more creative than the last. With elaborate themes, games, prizes, delicious food, and endless laughter, she created memories that her family will treasure forever. She was also known for her generous holiday gatherings, often welcoming more than thirty family members and friends into her home for Thanksgiving and Christmas celebrations. Summers brought cherished Fourth of July cookouts by Webster Lake, where Sara delighted in decorating the waterfront and gathering loved ones to enjoy the annual boat parade.

Sara’s love of giraffes was known by all who knew her. She spent years collecting hundreds of them, giving each a special “G” name. Before her passing, she shared one of her favorites, “Geebri,” with her granddaughter Sydni, who is expecting Sara’s first great-grandchild.

Her warmth, creativity, generosity, and love of family touched everyone who knew her. To say she will be missed is a vast understatement. She was truly the heart of her family.

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Sara leaves behind her devoted husband of 43 years, Joel Doherty; her sons, Todd (Michelle) Chapman of Sanbornton, New Hampshire, and Paul (Cheryl) Chapman of Northfield, New Hampshire; her stepdaughters, Ali (Oliver) Frates of Amherst, New Hampshire, and Kate Hodge of Durham, New Hampshire; and her beloved grandchildren, Shelby, Sydni, Morgan, Owen, Duncan, Calum, Macy, and Elyse, and Step-grandchildren, Matthew, Jennifer, Eric, & Kevin.

Sara was predeceased by her parents.

Sara’s family would like to express their heartfelt thanks to Franklin VNA for their rapid and seamless response in setting up hospice, and to The Payson Center for their dedication and care, which gave us more precious time with her.

A graveside service will be held on Tuesday, June 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM in Franklin Cemetery, Thompson Park in Franklin.

For more information or to leave the family an online condolence, please visit www.smartmemorialhome.com.

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Click here to sign the guest book or honor their memory with flowers, donations, or other heartfelt tributes



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