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Ukraine war threatens Iran’s last economic lifeline

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Ukraine war threatens Iran’s last economic lifeline
The European Union is aiming to affix america and the UK in sanctioning Russian oil. European diplomats are attempting to achieve consensus on a deal to halt Russian oil imports to the bloc that might be signed off by leaders assembly in Brussels on Might 30.
For Iran, whose exports are already sanctioned, this implies the marketplace for unsavory oil goes to get crowded. Patrons could have extra choices, probably beginning a value conflict between producers whose crude few need to contact. Russia is the world’s second greatest oil exporter, after Saudi Arabia.
However the transfer may additionally give extra urgency for Tehran to achieve an settlement with world powers to revive the 2015 nuclear pact that was deserted by the Trump administration in 2018. The settlement would raise sanctions and open Iran’s oil as much as the world market.
China has been Iran’s primary oil purchaser for the previous two years, however Russia could have already began biting into that share.

Consultants say there was a droop in Iranian crude oil exports to China since Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine in February, together with a rise in Russian exports to China.

For the reason that starting of the Ukraine conflict, China has purchased greater than 7 billion euros ($7.5 billion) value of Russian fossil fuels, in response to the Middle for Analysis on Power and Clear Air. Most of that was crude oil.

In the meantime, Iran’s gross sales to China have fallen by greater than 1 / 4, analysts say.

“I feel proper now it’s a few fourth, on its strategy to changing into a 3rd,” stated Amir Handjani, a non-resident fellow on the US suppose tank, the Quincy Institute for Accountable Statecraft. As Chinese language consumers buy much less and ask for greater reductions, Iran may lose very important international foreign money revenues, he added.

Russia presents China cheaper barrels, the next grade of oil and not one of the secondary US sanctions that put non-US entities that cope with Iran susceptible to being lower off from the US market, consultants say. That has some in Iran anxious amid issues a few value conflict.

“The one lifeline Iran actually has proper now for its crude is thru China,” stated Handjani. “It has actually been China holding Iran afloat.”

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This month, Iranian oil minister Javad Owji stated Iran is promoting its oil at “a great value” and that “new markets have been recognized.”
Hamid Hosseini, board member of Iran’s Oil, Fuel and Petrochemical Merchandise Exporters’ Union stated the federal government needs to be conscious that Iran’s oil exports to China could endure as Russia enters that market, the semi-state ILNA information company reported.

“We are able to say that lastly, Russia has taken our share,” he stated, including that the state of affairs presents “the most effective alternative” to revive the 2015 nuclear settlement.

Talks between Iran and world powers aimed toward reviving the settlement have stalled since March. The final remaining main sticking level is Iran’s excellent demand that the US removes Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guard Corps from its listing of international terrorist organizations.

Russia and Iran, usually aligned on worldwide issues, now discover themselves in a rivalry.

Moscow in March emerged as an unlikely hurdle to the nuclear deal, when it requested for written ensures from the US that its dealings with Iran wouldn’t be hindered by Western sanctions on Moscow. It later backed down on its calls for.
4 ways Russia is trying to prove it can live with sanctions

“They [Iran] have choices,” stated Handjani. “The best choice for them is to affix the [nuclear agreement].”

Abhi Rajendran, director of analysis at info firm, Power Intelligence, stated the rise in Russian oil exports to China doesn’t but change the equation meaningfully, noting that Asia is a big oil market.

However “there are limits to how a lot these consumers can take,” he stated, including that the present lockdown in China after a spike in Covid-19 instances could have an effect on demand.

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Palestinian investigation says Abu Akleh killed by Israeli forces

A Palestinian Authority investigation into the killing of Al Jazeera journalist Shireen Abu Akleh stated she was shot lifeless by Israeli forces utilizing an armor-piercing bullet, Palestinian Lawyer Common Akram Al-Khatib stated Thursday. He stated Abu Akleh was working away from the path of the gunfire when the bullet struck her within the head, inflicting a laceration of the mind tissue and killing her. Israel’s prime navy officer, Lt. Gen. Aviv Kochavi instantly rejected the Palestinian allegations, saying “there’s one factor that may be decided with certainty – no IDF soldier intentionally shot the journalist. We investigated that. That’s the conclusion and there’s no different.”

  • Background: Abu Akleh was killed within the West Financial institution metropolis of Jenin on Might 11 whereas masking an Israeli raid there. Israeli Protection Minister Benny Gantz rejected the Palestinian allegations, reiterating Israel’s willingness to work with the Palestinian Authority on a world investigation into her killing. The Palestinians have refused, saying they don’t belief Israel.
  • Why it issues: Each the Palestinian Authority and Al Jazeera have been accusing the Israeli navy of the intentional killing of Abu Akleh since she was shot. A CNN investigation discovered proof suggesting that Israeli forces killed Abu Akleh with a focused shot. Israel has stated she was both killed by indiscriminate Palestinian gunfire or by Israeli troops returning fireplace in a gun battle.

US officers visited Saudi Arabia to debate Iran, vitality

Two senior US officers visited Saudi Arabia this week for talks that included international vitality provides, Iran and different regional points, White Home press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre stated on Thursday. US officers did not ask for a rise in Saudi oil exports, she stated.

  • Background: The assembly comes amid strains in Saudi-US ties. Saudi Arabia has rebuffed US calls to extend oil manufacturing that would decrease oil costs and tame international inflation. A decrease oil value might additionally impression Russia’s conflict efforts in Ukraine as Moscow depends on vitality exports for a lot of its income. “Asking for oil is solely flawed,” Jean-Pierre stated.
  • Why it issues: President Joe Biden and Saudi Arabia’s de facto ruler, crown prince Mohammed bin Salman, might meet for the primary time as quickly as subsequent month, sources instructed CNN final week. A gathering would come after months of diplomatic exercise and symbolize a turnabout for a US president who as soon as declared Saudi Arabia a “pariah” with “no redeeming social worth.”

Iraq makes it unlawful to aim normalizing ties with Israel

Iraq’s parliament accredited a regulation on Thursday that can ban normalizing relations with Israel, at a time when a number of Arab international locations have established formal ties.

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  • Background: The Iraqi parliament has been unable to convene on some other challenge together with electing a brand new president and forming its personal authorities. The regulation was proposed by influential Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, whose get together opposes shut ties with the US and Israel, received extra seats in parliament in elections final October.
  • Why it issues: Iraq has by no means acknowledged Israel since its institution in 1948 and Iraqi residents and firms can’t go to Israel, however the brand new regulation goes additional, particularly criminalizing any makes an attempt to normalize relations with Israel.

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#HunterXHunter

The return of a preferred comedian in faraway Japan has Arabs from Algeria to the United Arab Emirates elated.

After a four-year hiatus because of sickness, Yoshihiro Togashi, the creator of the “Hunter x Hunter” manga posted a teaser on Twitter, saying “4 extra episodes in the interim.” The tweet obtained 1.3 million likes in lower than 12 hours.

Within the manga-crazy Arab world, the hashtag was trending in a number of international locations. Many Arabs grew up watching animated manga dubbed in Arabic.

Arabs know “Hunter x Hunter” by its Arabic-dubbed cartoon adaptation known as “Al Qannas” (the Sniper). The present was a staple in lots of Arab households, and for a lot of Arabs, its introduction tune elicits reminiscences of the early 2000s, when cartoons have been watched over satellite tv for pc receivers and on box-like CRT televisions.

Syrian singer Rasha Rizq was the voice of that tune. In a 2017 live performance in Jordan’s Roman amphitheater, she shocked audiences by singing the long-lasting tune from Hunter x Hunter, inflicting a rapturous response.

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Manga, or Japanese comics, and anime, or cartoons, are massively common within the Center East. Saudi Arabia has festivals devoted to anime, whereas a minimum of one writer makes a speciality of creating localized manga.

By Mohammed Abdelbary

Picture of the day

An Iranian carries a portrait of the slain chief of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps's Quds Force, Qasem Soleimani, during a gathering at the Azadi stadium in the capital Tehran on May 26 to attend a performance of the song "Salam Farmandeh" ("Salute Commander"). The song addresses the younger generation, and serves as a "salute" to the Mahdi, the 12th imam of Shiite Islam, whom they believe disappeared centuries ago and will return one day to usher in a new era of peace and justice.

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Kick-start for carbon credit market after loose rules agreed at COP29

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Kick-start for carbon credit market after loose rules agreed at COP29

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Countries at the United Nations climate summit in Baku struck a final deal on the broad rules to launch carbon trading markets, almost a decade after being first proposed.

The agreement passed at the UN COP29 climate summit late on Saturday night will allow countries and companies to trade credits for cuts in carbon emissions to offset their carbon footprints.

The carbon trading mechanism had first been formally sketched out in the 2015 Paris agreement on limiting climate change, as a way for polluters to pay for other countries to cut emissions on their behalf. 

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But it has proved controversial over fears it will not result in the promised removal of carbon from the atmosphere.

The head of delegation for a group of heavily forested countries, including Bolivia and the Democratic Republic of Congo, Kevin Conrad, said “properly regulated, markets can become a force for good, and start to reverse the market failures causing environmental and atmospheric destruction”.

The birth of the market prompted cheers and standing ovations by UN negotiators in the first session of the final plenary, in a rare breakthrough at the summit that was otherwise on the verge of collapse.

States and companies will be able to trade credits meant to represent one tonne of carbon dioxide saved or removed from the atmosphere, under mechanisms subject to loose oversight by the UN and designed to avoid double-counting of emissions cuts.

The final agreement overcame a quarrel about a proposed UN registry for tracking the flow in emission claims, with the US forced to compromise on how much power this registry should have.

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Host country Azerbaijan made the issue of carbon emissions trading a priority, pushing successfully on the first day of the two-week summit for countries to adopt an initial element of the global market.

In subsequent negotiations to settle the rules, it drove the participants to overcome their disagreements. This included on a series of trade-offs between requiring more rigorous accounting and easing the pathway to get the market off the ground, with a rule book on principles for how credits should be traded, counted and checked.

Countries and companies took advantage of the prospective launch of the market by signing preliminary deals in recent weeks. Commodity trader Trafigura announced a “pilot” carbon project to help Mozambique develop carbon restoration projects.

Some experts warned however that the new market could face many of the same greenwashing allegations that have plagued the existing unregulated trade in credits between companies.

These have caused the voluntary credit markets to shrink from $1.4bn in 2022 to $1.1bn last year, based on MSCI Carbon Markets estimates.

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“The deal leaves a lot of trust in the hands of [countries] which is a problem because the rules themselves are not yet net zero [emissions] aligned,” said Injy Johnstone, a research fellow at the University of Oxford.

The concerns were echoed by Isa Mulder of Carbon Market Watch, who said the “dangerously loose and opaque” deal enshrined a “free-for-all” approach.

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UN carbon market experts will continue to discuss which types of credits countries can buy. For example, some countries would like to sell credits linked to hypothetical CO₂ that is not emitted, for example from protecting a forest, closing a coal mine or cooking on a stove using gas rather than wood as fuel, to cancel out real greenhouse gas emissions.

These types of credits could ultimately lead to more CO₂ entering the atmosphere, some experts say, in part because it could lessen the incentive for polluters to make plans to cut their underlying emissions.

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One negotiator described discussions as “very, very tough” before ultimately settling on a “buyer beware” approach which will rely mainly on transparency to shame countries which fall into bad practice.

The money raised by carbon deals could help contribute to the climate finance needs of poorer countries, which economists estimated at $1.3tn a year.

But others expressed caution about the solutions provided by carbon emissions trading. Brazil’s environment minister Marina Silva said it was not a “panacea” for boosting finance to developing countries.

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Where climate change meets business, markets and politics. Explore the FT’s coverage here.

Are you curious about the FT’s environmental sustainability commitments? Find out more about our science-based targets here

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Fred Harris, former Democratic U.S. senator and presidential candidate, dies at 94

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Fred Harris, former Democratic U.S. senator and presidential candidate, dies at 94

Fred Harris, a former U.S. senator from Oklahoma, presidential hopeful and populist who championed Democratic Party reforms in the turbulent 1960s, died Saturday. He was 94.

Harris’ wife, Margaret Elliston, confirmed his death to The Associated Press. He had lived in New Mexico since 1976.

“Fred Harris passed peacefully early this morning of natural causes. He was 94. He was a wonderful and beloved man. His memory is a blessing,” Elliston said in a text message.

Fred Harris
Sen. Fred Harris of Oklahoma announces his intention to seek the 1972 Democratic nomination for president, in Washington, D.C., on Sept. 24, 1971. 

Bettmann Archive/Getty Images

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Harris served eight years in the Senate, first winning in 1964 to fill a vacancy, and made unsuccessful bid for the presidency in 1976.

“I am deeply saddened to learn of the passing of my longtime friend Fred Harris today,” Democratic New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham wrote in a post to social media. “Harris was a towering presence in politics and in academia, and his work over many decades improved New Mexico and the nation.  He will be greatly missed.”

Democratic Sen. Martin Heinrich of New Mexico said in a statement that “New Mexico and our nation have lost a giant,” describing him as a “tireless champion of civil rights, tribal sovereignty and working families.”

It fell to Harris, as chairman of the Democratic National Committee in 1969 and 1970, to help heal the party’s wounds from the tumultuous national convention in 1968 when protesters and police clashed in Chicago.

He ushered in rule changes that led to more women and minorities as convention delegates and in leadership positions.

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“I think it’s worked wonderfully,” Harris recalled in 2004, when he was a delegate to the Democratic National Convention in Boston. “It’s made the selection much more legitimate and democratic.”

“The Democratic Party was not democratic, and many of the delegations were pretty much boss-controlled or -dominated. And in the South, there was terrible discrimination against African Americans,” he said.

Harris ran unsuccessfully for the Democratic presidential nomination in 1976, quitting after poor showings in early contests, including a fourth-place win in New Hampshire. The more moderate Jimmy Carter went on to win the presidency.

Harris moved to New Mexico that year and became a political science professor at the University of New Mexico. He wrote and edited more than a dozen books, mostly on politics and Congress. In 1999 he broadened his writings with a mystery set in Depression-era Oklahoma.

Throughout his political career, Harris was a leading liberal voice for civil rights and anti-poverty programs to help minorities and the disadvantaged. Along with his first wife, LaDonna, a Comanche, he also was active in Native American issues.

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“I’ve always called myself a populist or progressive,” Harris said in a 1998 interview. “I’m against concentrated power. I don’t like the power of money in politics. I think we ought to have programs for the middle class and working class.”

“Today ‘populism’ is often a dirty word because of how certain leaders wield power,” Heinrich said in his statement Saturday. “But Fred represented a different brand of populism — one that was never mean or exclusionary. Instead, Fred focused his work and attention on regular people who are often overlooked by the political class.”

Harris was a member of the National Advisory Commission on Civil Disorders, the so-called Kerner Commission, appointed by then-President Lyndon Johnson to investigate the urban riots of the late 1960s.

The commission’s groundbreaking report in 1968 declared, “our nation is moving toward two societies, one black, one white — separate and unequal.”

Thirty years later, Harris co-wrote a report that concluded the commission’s “prophecy has come to pass.”

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“The rich are getting richer, the poor are getting poorer and minorities are suffering disproportionately,” said the report by Harris and Lynn A. Curtis, president of the Milton S. Eisenhower Foundation, which continued the work of the commission.

Norman Ornstein of the American Enterprise Institute said Harris rose to prominence in Congress as a “fiery populist.”

“That resonates with people…the notion of the average person against the elite,” Ornstein said. “Fred Harris had a real ability to articulate those concerns, particularly of the downtrodden.”

In 1968, Harris served as co-chairman of the presidential campaign of then-Vice President Hubert Humphrey. He and others pressed Humphrey to use the convention to break with Johnson on the Vietnam War. But Humphrey waited to do so until late in the campaign, and narrowly lost to Republican Richard Nixon.

“That was the worst year of my life, ’68. We had Dr. Martin Luther King killed. We had my Senate seatmate Robert Kennedy killed and then we had this terrible convention,” Harris said in 1996.

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“I left the convention — because of the terrible disorders and the way they had been handled and the failure to adopt a new peace platform — really downhearted.”

After assuming the Democratic Party leadership post, Harris appointed commissions that recommended reforms in the procedures for selecting delegates and presidential nominees. While lauding the greater openness and diversity, he said there had been a side effect: “It’s much to the good. But the one result of it is that conventions today are ratifying conventions. So it’s hard to make them interesting.”

“My own thought is they ought to be shortened to a couple of days. But they are still worth having, I think, as a way to adopt a platform, as a kind of pep rally, as a way to get people together in a kind of coalition-building,” he said.

Harris was born Nov. 13, 1930, in a two-room farmhouse near Walters, in southwestern Oklahoma, about 15 miles from the Texas line. The home had no electricity, indoor toilet or running water.

At age 5 he was working on the farm and received 10 cents a day to drive a horse in circles to supply power for a hay bailer.

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He worked part-time as a janitor and printer’s assistant to help for his education at University of Oklahoma. He earned a bachelor’s degree in 1952, majoring in political science and history. He received a law degree from the University of Oklahoma in 1954, and then moved to Lawton to practice.

In 1956, he won election to the Oklahoma state Senate and served for eight years. In 1964, he launched his career in national politics in the race to replace Sen. Robert S. Kerr, who died in January 1963.

Harris won the Democratic nomination in a runoff election against J. Howard Edmondson, who left the governorship to fill Kerr’s vacancy until the next election. In the general election, Harris defeated an Oklahoma sports legend — Charles “Bud” Wilkinson, who had coached OU football for 17 years.

Harris won a six-year term in 1966 but left the Senate in 1972 when there were doubts that he, as a left-leaning Democrat, could win reelection.

Harris married his high school sweetheart, LaDonna Vita Crawford, in 1949, and had three children, Kathryn, Byron and Laura. After the couple divorced, Harris married Margaret Elliston in 1983. A complete list of survivors was not immediately available Saturday.

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Covid lockdown sceptic is frontrunner to lead Trump health agency

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Covid lockdown sceptic is frontrunner to lead Trump health agency

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Stanford University professor and Covid-19 lockdown sceptic Jay Bhattacharya has emerged as the frontrunner to run the National Institutes of Health, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The nomination of Bhattacharya, who rose to prominence during the pandemic for opposing lockdown restrictions, would put another ally of Robert Kennedy Jr, the vaccine sceptic who is Trump’s pick to run the US health department, in charge of one of the country’s most powerful public health agencies.

With an annual budget of $48bn, NIH is the biggest government-funded biomedical research agency in the world, providing more than 60,000 grants a year to support medical and scientific research.

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Senior officials within Trump’s transition team have spoken with Bhattacharya, who runs Stanford’s Center on the Demography and Economics of Health and Aging, in recent days, the people said.

The pick for NIH director is likely to be announced in the coming days but plans may change and another candidate may emerge, the people added.

Representatives for Trump’s transition team and Kennedy did not immediately respond to requests for comment. Bhattacharya could also not be reached for comment.

Late on Friday, Trump’s transition team announced a flurry of high profile nominations, including Treasury secretary, Labor secretary and three key health official picks.

Marty Makary, a Johns Hopkins surgeon who opposed the Covid-19 vaccine mandate, was nominated to run the Food and Drug Administration. Physician and former GOP congressman Dave Weldon, who has cast doubts on vaccine safety, was tapped to run the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

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Bhattacharya appeared alongside Kennedy at a campaign event during his independent campaign for President, during which he unveiled his running mate Nicole Shanahan.

Since backing Trump’s bid for presidency in August, Kennedy has been given significant influence over the president’s healthcare policy agenda as part of his “Make American Healthy Again” campaign. Trump’s choice of Fox News medical contributor Janette Nesheiwat was the only one of the health appointees so far not close to Kennedy, the people added.

Alongside two other professors, Bhattacharya became the face of the “Great Barrington Declaration” during the pandemic, an open letter published in October 2020 opposing widescale lockdowns and instead calling for restrictions focused on at-risk groups, such as elderly individuals. The letter provoked criticism from then-NIH director Francis Collins, who dismissed the authors as “fringe experts”.

Much of Bhattacharya’s public criticism of the NIH has focused on how Collins and Anthony Fauci — former director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, a division of NIH — responded to the pandemic.

Bhattacharya told the Financial Times this month that he supported term limits for NIH directors. “I think there’s too much concentration of power in the hands of too few people: there should not be another Tony Fauci,” he said.

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Kennedy’s nomination as Health and Human Services secretary has worried the pharmaceutical industry and public health bodies because of his sceptical views on vaccines, his stated aim to eliminate “entire departments” within the FDA and his plans to remove fluoride from drinking water. However, Kennedy has promised not to limit vaccine access.

In an article on digital media site UnHerd published last week, Bhattacharya brushed away concerns about some of Kennedy’s debunked claims, saying: “Kennedy is not a scientist, but his good-faith calls for better research and more debate are echoed by many Americans.”

He added that “the American public voted for disrupters like RFK Jr in 2024, and academic medicine now has an opportunity to atone for its Covid-era blunders.”

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