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How the 2022 Primaries Are Testing Trump’s Role as the G.O.P. ‘Kingpin’

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How the 2022 Primaries Are Testing Trump’s Role as the G.O.P. ‘Kingpin’

Donald J. Trump has sought to determine himself because the Republican Occasion’s undisputed kingmaker within the 2022 midterms, issuing greater than 120 endorsements to raise allies, punish those that have crossed him and switch his baseless declare that the 2020 election was stolen right into a litmus check for the celebration.

However the vary of Trump-backed candidates has grow to be so unwieldy that even a few of his personal advisers have warned that his expansive effort to put in loyalists nationwide has not solely threatened his model however diluted its influence, exposing him unnecessarily to political threat, based on advisers and Republican strategists.

Mr. Trump’s face-saving resolution on Wednesday to retract his endorsement of Consultant Mo Brooks, a longtime ally who has slumped within the polls in Alabama’s Senate race, solely highlighted the perils of an upcoming main season that may check the previous president’s sway over the Republican Occasion.

Already, two of Mr. Trump’s early and most outstanding Senate endorsements have backfired lengthy earlier than voters head to the polls. Along with Alabama, his preliminary selection in Pennsylvania, Sean Parnell, give up the race final fall after abuse allegations emerged in a baby custody dispute. And fears of additional setbacks have helped preserve Mr. Trump on the sidelines thus far in selecting a alternative there or a candidate within the Ohio or Missouri Senate races.

Georgia, the place Mr. Trump is headed this weekend, represents considered one of his riskiest bets. He has been fixated on unseating the Republican governor, Brian Kemp. However Mr. Trump’s handpicked challenger has been struggling to realize traction towards the well-financed governor lower than two months earlier than the first.

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“I don’t know whether or not he’s letting emotion rule his resolution making or if he’s getting dangerous recommendation,” mentioned Glen Bolger, a Republican pollster, “however it looks like he’s selecting candidates who’re fairly weak, and that’s not a spot — if you’re attempting to be kingpin — the place you need to be.” He added that Mr. Trump’s picture remained “very sturdy” amongst Republican main voters.

The early stumbles have come as Mr. Trump’s rivals, and even some erstwhile allies, together with former Vice President Mike Pence, have grow to be extra emboldened to interrupt ranks publicly with Mr. Trump.

The previous president’s personal obsession along with his endorsement success charge as a metric of his energy has solely magnified consideration on upcoming primaries. Mr. Trump crowed after the Texas main this month about how all 33 individuals he had endorsed both gained outright or have been far forward. However practically all of these candidates have been on a glide path to victory with out his backing.

Greater checks loom. Mr. Trump’s advisers and his adversaries alike have circled Could because the month that may both cement his maintain on the Republican base or puncture his aura because the celebration’s untouchable chief.

The one two races for governor during which Mr. Trump is searching for to unseat Republican incumbents, in Georgia and Idaho, are going down that month, as is the Alabama Senate main, during which Mr. Trump mentioned he now deliberate to endorse once more. There’s additionally a North Carolina Senate race the place Mr. Trump’s selection shouldn’t be thought of the favourite. And in West Virginia, one of many nation’s Trumpiest states, his most popular candidate is locked in a bruising race that pits two Home members towards one another.

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Mr. Trump’s backing remains to be probably the most coveted in Republican politics, and his outpost at Mar-a-Lago in Florida sees a relentless circulation of candidates pitching themselves and pledging loyalty.

“The entire and whole failure of the Democrat ‘management’ has created a requirement for the fast return to the America First agenda President Trump championed,” Taylor Budowich, a spokesman for Mr. Trump, mentioned. “The democratic course of has by no means earlier than seen the form of energy that President Trump’s endorsement has heading into the first season.”

Maybe no state embodies the dangerous gambit that Mr. Trump is endeavor to reorient the Republican Occasion round his false 2020 fraud claims than Georgia, the place he’ll rally assist on Saturday for former Senator David Perdue towards Mr. Kemp. Mr. Trump has loudly feuded with the governor over his resolution to certify the 2020 election.

Polls have proven Mr. Kemp’s sustaining a lead regardless of Mr. Trump’s endorsement of Mr. Perdue and look in tv commercials. In current days, Mr. Trump additionally backed challengers to the Kemp-aligned legal professional normal and insurance coverage commissioner after beforehand wading into the contests for Georgia’s secretary of state and lieutenant governor.

“I believe Trump has overextended himself in Georgia,” mentioned Erick Erickson, a conservative radio host in Georgia. “Many of those candidates gained’t have the price range to get that info on the market, and Trump doesn’t appear to be throwing massive cash their method.”

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Whereas Mr. Trump seeks to place his imprint on the celebration throughout the nation, the footprint of his political operation — regardless of a struggle chest of greater than $122 million coming into 2022 — is way smaller. Most of his endorsements include solely a small examine and a public assertion of assist, with some candidates paying him to make use of his Mar-a-Lago resort for fund-raisers. The candidates should then increase adequate cash on their very own to benefit from his backing — and never all have.

One in all Mr. Trump’s political successes has been within the Georgia Senate main, the place Herschel Walker, the previous soccer participant, has basically cleared the sector with Mr. Trump’s backing and has emerged as a powerful fund-raiser. However Mr. Walker additionally has a prolonged set of political vulnerabilities that Mr. Trump appeared previous and Democrats are anticipated to grab upon. He has confronted accusations that he threatened his ex-wife in addition to questions on his enterprise dealings and up to date residency in Texas.

Different Trump-backed Georgia Republicans are dealing with difficult primaries, together with John Gordon, who entered the legal professional normal’s race solely days in the past and is being suggested by Corey Lewandowski, Mr. Trump’s first 2016 marketing campaign supervisor.

In state after state, Mr. Trump’s endorsements have put him at odds with a number of the strongest native Republicans, together with a number of governors.

In Nebraska, Mr. Trump is crosswise with Gov. Pete Ricketts by supporting the rival of Mr. Ricketts’s most popular candidate within the open governor’s race. In Maryland, Mr. Trump is supporting Dan Cox for governor towards the previous state commerce secretary, Kelly Schulz, who has the assist of her outdated boss, Gov. Larry Hogan. In Arizona, Mr. Trump’s feud with Gov. Doug Ducey is predicted to spill into the open governor’s race there, too. Mr. Trump is backing a former newscaster, Kari Lake, and Mr. Ducey has not but endorsed anybody.

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Mr. Trump is holding occasions in lots of states to rally his base, pledging to fly as distant as Alaska to attempt to unseat Senator Lisa Murkowski, the one Republican within the Senate who voted to convict him in his impeachment trial and who’s on the poll this yr.

In Home races, Mr. Trump is most decided to oust the ten Republicans who voted for his impeachment, notably Consultant Liz Cheney of Wyoming. Mr. Trump has scored some early successes, serving to to drive three Republicans who voted for his impeachment into retirement. However the remaining races have far fewer positive bets for him.

In Michigan, the place Mr. Trump will maintain a rally in early April, he’s attempting to defeat two Home Republicans who backed his impeachment in addition to set up quite a few loyalists in a state the place he has falsely claimed the 2020 election was rigged.

In Missouri, Mr. Trump stayed on the sidelines regardless of intense lobbying, together with from former Gov. Eric Greitens, who resigned in scandal in 2018 however now as a Senate candidate has wooed Mr. Trump partially by pledging to oppose Senator Mitch McConnell as Republican chief.

However this week, Mr. Greitens’s ex-wife accused him of bodily abuse in a courtroom submitting, and Republicans who’ve spoken to Mr. Trump are skeptical now that he’ll again Mr. Greitens. Mr. Trump put out a glowing assertion about Consultant Billy Lengthy, one other Republican candidate for the Senate seat, calling him a “warrior,” although he labeled it a nonendorsement.

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Senator Josh Hawley of Missouri, in the meantime, has made the case to Mr. Trump for one more candidate: Consultant Vicky Hartzler. Mr. Hawley mentioned that Mr. Trump’s “having one thing to say within the race would imply lots” within the effort to cease Mr. Greitens.

Mr. McConnell has been deeply involved concerning the Missouri race and stayed publicly silent, although at a Senate Republican luncheon this week he advised colleagues that “we caught a break,” in reference to the brand new Greitens accusations, based on one Republican official.

Missouri Republicans are not sure if the brand new allegations towards Mr. Greitens will show politically deadly, however many stay alarmed by the chance that Mr. Trump may nonetheless assist him.

“I don’t need to see Mr. Trump embarrassed by a hasty endorsement,” mentioned Peter Kinder, a former lieutenant governor who was a co-chair of the 2016 Missouri Trump marketing campaign. Mr. Kinder referred to as Mr. Greitens a “badly flawed, badly broken candidate.”

Alyssa Farah Griffin, a former Trump aide who has since grow to be a critic, mentioned the success of Mr. Trump’s endorsements in 2022 would instantly influence the subsequent presidential marketing campaign.

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“It does bear on 2024,” she mentioned, “as a result of Republicans are going to see who the most important energy dealer is.”

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Map: 5.2-Magnitude Earthquake Strikes Southern California

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Map: 5.2-Magnitude Earthquake Strikes Southern California

Note: Map shows the area with a shake intensity of 4 or greater, which U.S.G.S. defines as “light,” though the earthquake may be felt outside the areas shown. The New York Times

A moderately strong, 5.2-magnitude earthquake struck in Southern California on Tuesday, according to the United States Geological Survey.

The temblor happened at 9:09 p.m. Pacific time about 14 miles southwest of Lamont, Calif., data from the agency shows.

As seismologists review available data, they may revise the earthquake’s reported magnitude. Additional information collected about the earthquake may also prompt U.S.G.S. scientists to update the shake-severity map.

Aftershocks in the region

An aftershock is usually a smaller earthquake that follows a larger one in the same general area. Aftershocks are typically minor adjustments along the portion of a fault that slipped at the time of the initial earthquake.

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Quakes and aftershocks within 100 miles

Aftershocks can occur days, weeks or even years after the first earthquake. These events can be of equal or larger magnitude to the initial earthquake, and they can continue to affect already damaged locations.

Source: United States Geological Survey | Notes: Shaking categories are based on the Modified Mercalli Intensity scale. When aftershock data is available, the corresponding maps and charts include earthquakes within 100 miles and seven days of the initial quake. All times above are Pacific time. Shake data is as of Wednesday, Aug. 7 at 12:36 a.m. Eastern. Aftershocks data is as of Wednesday, Aug. 7 at 11:40 a.m. Eastern.

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Ukraine presses on with surprise military incursion into Russia

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Ukraine presses on with surprise military incursion into Russia

Ukraine launched rocket and drone attacks as its forces expanded their operation inside Russia’s Kursk region, on the second day of a bold incursion that has forced Moscow to redeploy troops from the Ukrainian front.

Vladimir Putin said the attack, one of the largest since the Russian president launched his full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, was a “major provocation”. On Wednesday he accused Kyiv’s forces of “firing indiscriminately” at civilian targets with missiles.

Russian authorities reported 28 residents had been wounded and at least five killed, according to the Tass news agency. Kyiv has not commented on the operation.

The attack comes at a critical moment for Ukraine, which is steadily losing territory to Russia’s larger army, still struggling to replenish and motivate its battered forces and faces a potential collapse in US support if Donald Trump secures a second term as president in November.

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Ukrainian units launched the surprise operation on Tuesday morning. Heavy battles continued through the night and on Wednesday.

Kyiv’s forces have since taken control of a handful of villages, shot down aircraft and destroyed military vehicles, according to Russia’s defence ministry. Pro-Kremlin military bloggers, eyewitnesses and videos and photos reviewed by the Financial Times corroborated the reports.

Ukraine has launched cross-border raids into Russia before, using Russian citizens fighting for Kyiv in units operating under the command of Kyiv’s military intelligence directorate, the GUR. But this incursion appears to be more significant in terms of the forces deployed.

“Compared to previous cross-border operations, this one is notable in that it appears to involve Ukrainian conventional forces and not just from GUR,” said Rob Lee, a senior fellow in the Foreign Policy Research Institute’s Eurasia programme.

Alexei Smirnov, the region’s acting governor, claimed the situation was “under control” and authorities were evacuating residents from border areas coming under artillery fire.

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Smirnov said an unspecified number of civilians had died during the fighting, as well as others who were injured.

Putin said he had ordered officials to organise further aid to local residents and promised to give further orders after meeting with his security cabinet on Wednesday.

Russia’s defence ministry said it had prevented Ukrainian forces from advancing deeper through a series of air strikes and troop deployments at the border.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, chairing a meeting
Russian President Vladimir Putin, chairing a meeting on Wednesday, says the attack is a ‘major provocation’ © Valery Sharifulin/Pool/AFP/Getty Images
A still from an eyewitness video shows a fighter jet
A still from an eyewitness video shows a fighter jet flying over the border region © Reuters

According to authorities in Ukraine’s Sumy region bordering Kursk, Russian forces had retaliated with aerial attacks on Wednesday. Air defences had downed “a ballistic missile, two UAVs, and one helicopter” over the Sumy region, they said.

Moscow claimed to have destroyed 50 armoured vehicles and killed 260 Ukrainian troops. Kyiv did not comment on its alleged casualties.

Ukrainian troops also took hold of a gas transit station at Sudzha on one of the few remaining pipelines supplying Russian gas to Europe, according to Rybar, a news outlet close to the Russian defence ministry.

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Pro-Kremlin accounts on Telegram posted video and drone footage of Sudzha that showed the town had all but been destroyed in the fighting. Sudzha’s mayor told state newswire RIA Novosti that the situation there was “very tense” as locals tried to evacuate.

A Ukrainian official involved in the Kursk operation told the FT that special forces from the security service of Ukraine, the SBU, had “shot down a Russian helicopter using a [first-person view] drone” in what it called a “unique special operation in the history of war”.

A video provided to the FT shows the SBU drone striking the rear propeller of the Russian Mi-28 helicopter as the screen turns black. It is unclear whether the helicopter crashes after the strike.

Separately, Deep State, a Ukrainian analytical group with ties to the defence ministry, said a Russian Ka-52 helicopter involved in the fight had been shot down in Kursk region and shared a photo of it in flames.

One video published by Ukrainian Telegram channels close to the military claimed to show Russian prisoners taken during the operation being marched through a field. Another purported to show interrogations with the captured men.

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Some analysts believe Kyiv’s main objective may be to try to force Russia to redeploy forces from eastern Ukraine, where it has made significant gains in recent weeks.

Mick Ryan, a retired Australian army major general who is now a senior fellow for Military Studies at the Lowy Institute in Sydney, said another potential motive is political.

“The government of Ukraine want to shift momentum and the strategic narrative, and have directed such an operation,” he said.

The Ukrainian territory captured by Russian troops since early May is nearly double that which Ukraine’s military liberated a year ago, according to research by Pasi Paroinen of the Black Bird Group, an open-source military research group based in Finland.

Mykhailo Zhirokhov, a Ukrainian military analyst, told Kyiv’s Radio NV on Wednesday that the operation in Kursk appears to have forced some Russian units positioned near the Donetsk region city of Siversk to reinforce units to the north.

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But other analysts questioned the effectiveness of the Kursk operation at a time when Ukraine’s army is already struggling to defend a frontline that stretches more than 1,000km with limited human and materiel resources.

“Given defensive pressures elsewhere . . . the strategic rationale for this operation at this time is difficult to fathom,” said Ryan, the retired Australian army major general.

Lee of the Foreign Policy Research Institute said it was unlikely that Ukraine’s brazen incursion would have a significant impact on the course of the war.

“A limited operation might be able to achieve limited goals, but a more ambitious operation carries greater risks.”

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Trump 'thrilled' with Harris tapping 'very liberal' Tim Walz as running mate: 'Shocking pick'

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Trump 'thrilled' with Harris tapping 'very liberal' Tim Walz as running mate: 'Shocking pick'

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Former President Trump reacted Wednesday morning to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz being tapped as Kamala Harris’ running mate, saying he “could not be more thrilled” that the vice president made the “shocking pick.”

“He’s a very, very liberal man, and he’s a shocking pick. I could not be more thrilled,” Trump told the “Fox & Friends” co-hosts during an exclusive interview. 

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2024 AD WARS: TRUMP, HARRIS RACE TO DEFINE VICE PRESIDENT

Trump then recalled one of the “only” times he had interacted with him, explaining how Walz reached out to him for help during the pandemic because his house was surrounded by anti-lockdown protesters. 

“They only had one guard, I guess it was at the mansion or his house in some form,” he said. “And he called me and I said, ‘What do you want me to do about it?’ I was in the White House. He said, ‘If you would put out the word that I’m a good person, and I did, I put out the word I said, ‘He’s a good person. I hope everything’s good.’ And everybody put down their flags and took their flags with them.”

“But they took the American flags and their MAGA flags and they left it. It was thousands of people,” he continued. 

The former president warned Walz is more radical than Harris on key issues like immigration and crime, as critics worry the Harris-Walz ticket could be the most far-left in the nation’s history. 

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If you look at his record with no walls, no security, let everybody in. He’s worse than they are,” he said. “Nobody knew how radical left she was, but he’s a smarter version of her, if you want to know the truth.”

“There’s never been a ticket like this,” he continued. “This is a ticket that would want this country to go communist immediately, if not sooner. We want no security. We want no anything. He’s very heavy into transgender. Anything transgender he thinks is great, and he’s not where the country is on anything.”

MEET KAMALA HARRIS’ RUNNING MATE WHO CALLED REPUBLICANS ‘WEIRD PEOPLE’

Harris announced on Tuesday she chose Walz to be her vice presidential running mate, just hours before the pair made their first public appearance together at a campaign rally in Philadelphia. 

“I am proud to announce that I’ve asked @Tim_Walz to be my running mate,” Harris officially announced on X. “As a governor, a coach, a teacher, and a veteran, he’s delivered for working families like his.” 

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The naming of the 60-year-old Walz was not a shocker, as his name was instantly thought to be in contention in the two weeks since Harris succeeded President Biden as the party’s standard-bearer.

“This is a shocking pick, and I think it’s very insulting to Jewish people,” Trump said. “And I think it’s very insulting to people that want security. I think it was very insulting to anything having to do with making America great again.”

Walz, a former congressman, is in his second term as governor of Minnesota, a state that Democrats have reliably won in presidential elections for decades but that the Trump campaign has aimed at flipping this cycle.

Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser, Brooke Singman and Chris Pandolfo contributed to this report. 

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