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Federal Reserve should cut US interest rates ‘gradually’, says top official

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Federal Reserve should cut US interest rates ‘gradually’, says top official

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A top Federal Reserve official said the US central bank should revert to cutting interest rates “gradually”, after a larger than usual half-point reduction earlier this month.

St Louis Fed president Alberto Musalem said the US economy could react “very vigorously” to looser financial conditions, stoking demand and prolonging the central bank’s mission to beat inflation back to 2 per cent.

“For me, it’s about easing off the brake at this stage. It’s about making policy gradually less restrictive,” Musalem told the Financial Times on Friday. He was among officials to pencil in more than one quarter-point cut for the remainder of the year, according to projections released at this month’s meeting.

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The comments from Musalem, who became the St Louis Fed’s president in April and will be a voting member on the Federal Open Market Committee next year, came less than two weeks after the Fed lopped half a percentage point from rates, forgoing a more traditional quarter-point cut to kick off its first easing cycle since the onset of Covid-19 in early 2020.

The jumbo cut left benchmark rates at 4.75 per cent to 5 per cent — a move that Fed chair Jay Powell said was aimed at maintaining the strength of the world’s largest economy and staving off labour market weakness now that inflation was retreating.

On Friday, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge fell more than expected to an annual rate of 2.2 per cent in August.

Musalem, who supported the cut in September, acknowledged that the labour market had cooled in recent months, but remained positive about the outlook given the low rate of lay-offs and underlying strength of the economy.

The business sector was in a “good place” with activity overall “solid”, he said, adding that mass lay-offs did not appear “imminent”. Still, he conceded the Fed faced risks that could require it to cut rates more quickly.

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“I’m attuned to the fact that the economy could weaken more than I currently expect [and] the labour market could weaken more than I currently expect,” he said. “If that were the case, then a faster pace of rate reductions might be appropriate.”

That echoed comments from governor Christopher Waller last week, who said he would be “much more willing to be aggressive on rate cuts” if the data weakened more quickly.

Musalem said the risks of the economy weakening or heating up too quickly were now balanced, and the next rate decision would depend on data at the time.

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The Fed’s latest “dot plot” showed most officials expected rates to fall by another half a percentage point over the course of the two remaining meetings of the year. The next meeting is on November 6, a day after the US presidential election.

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Officials had a wide range of views, however, with two of them signalling the Fed should hold off on more cuts, while another seven forecast only one more quarter-point cut this year.

Policymakers also expected the funds rate to fall another percentage point in 2025, ending the year between 3.25 per cent and 3.5 per cent. By the end of 2026, it was estimated to fall just below 3 per cent.

Musalem pushed back on the idea that September’s half-point move was a “catch-up cut” because the Fed had been too slow to ease monetary policy, saying inflation had fallen far faster than he had expected.

“It was appropriate to begin with a strong and clear message to the economy that we’re starting from a position of strength,” he said.

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How a Beer Hall Keeps Up With a World Cup Crowd

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The fans see the games, the crowds, the food and the beer. But behind every World Cup watch party is a team working long before kickoff and well after the final whistle. We go behind the scenes at a beer hall in Brooklyn to see what it takes to serve a room full of soccer fans on game day.

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With the white nationalist group Patriot Front, what you see is not what you get

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With the white nationalist group Patriot Front, what you see is not what you get

Members of the group Patriot Front ride the subway as a commuter looks on, in Washington, D.C., on July 4.

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The sight of hundreds of masked men roaming the streets of Washington, D.C., on July Fourth weekend, wearing khakis, blue shirts and uniform patches, was chilling to some of the city’s residents.

For many Americans, it was the first they heard about Patriot Front, a white nationalist organization that was born out of the deadly 2017 Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, Va. A now-viral Reuters photo prompted reflections on the experience of a lone African American woman who was photographed in a Metro subway car, surrounded by white supremacists.

The planned demonstration of force was timed to bring a fringe group of extremists into public view as the nation marked 250 years of its independence. Indeed, the stunt succeeded in earning the group media coverage across mainstream outlets, amplifying its brand and potential to reach new recruits. On this occasion, the members refrained from engaging in violence and property damage, projecting an image of law-abiding, orderly activism.

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But those who are closely familiar with Patriot Front’s history and operations warn: Don’t believe what you see.

“That is not who they are in private,” said Len Kamdang, director of the Criminal Justice Project at the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law. “Although they were on their best behavior [last] weekend, this is a dangerous group that commits acts of violence all over the country.”

Patriot Front’s history of violence and property damage

Kamdang’s organization sued members of Patriot Front for vandalizing a public mural dedicated to the tennis legend and Black activist Arthur Ashe in Richmond, Va., in 2021. Ashe, who was inducted into the International Tennis Hall of Fame in 1985, was born in Richmond and his legacy is a continuing source of pride to members of that community.

“A couple of Patriot Front members showed up under cover of night and vandalized the mural,” Kamdang said. “They painted white stencils all over. … They literally tried to whitewash him and they put their symbols of hate all over — their stencils, their slogans. And all the while they were caught on video. And that video leaked using some of the most horrible language that you can imagine.”

In many jurisdictions, law enforcement can seek additional hate crime charges or sentencing enhancements in cases where illegal acts appear to have been motivated by racial bias. But in this case, Kamdang said, Patriot Front members faced no criminal charges and their identities were only revealed when online activists later infiltrated the group and leaked internal records.

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Graham Platner makes it official in Maine, submitting paperwork to leave Senate race

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Graham Platner makes it official in Maine, submitting paperwork to leave Senate race

Now-former Democratic Senate candidate Graham Platner speaks at his primary election night event on June 9 in Blue Hill, Maine. Platner officially dropped out of the race July 10 following rape allegations from a former romantic partner that he denies.

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Graham Platner, Maine’s Democratic nominee for Senate, is officially out of the race.

The Maine Secretary of State said Platner filed the necessary paperwork to withdraw his candidacy two days after he announced he planned to do so following an accusation of rape by a former romantic partner. Platner denies the allegation.

The Maine Democratic Party has until July 27 to pick Platner’s replacement.

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In his withdrawal notice, Platner said “people are desperate for change” and that’s why they voted “for a new kind of politics” by making him the Democratic nominee. He expressed gratitude for those who supported his campaign and said that he will continue to fight for “the movement we have built together and the future we believe in.”

He ended his notice with a strong statement aligned with the progressive platform.

“F*ck ICE. Free Palestine. Up the Hearts.”

Platner announced his plan to withdraw from the race in an 11-minute video he posted to social media on July 8. He said he had no choice but to suspend his campaign, citing it was no longer viable financially.

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“We are going to lose our ability to fundraise. We are going to lose our ability to access voter data. We are going to lose all of the things that any campaign needs on the basic level simply to function,” he said.

Platner added that dropping out was not an admission of guilt. Rather, the decision, he said, is to keep the progressive movement in Maine alive to defeat Republican Sen. Susan Collins in November. Platner blamed the “political establishment” for his downfall and argued the goal was to force him out of the race.

“We built a campaign. We engaged in electoral politics. We motivated people. We banded together. We did it the way that we were told we are supposed to make change and we won. And now they are not going to let us have it. Not if it’s me,” he said.

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