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Emmanuel Macron’s victory masks France’s ‘fragility’

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Emmanuel Macron’s victory masks France’s ‘fragility’

A sigh of reduction from France’s European and Nato allies was heard after Emmanuel Macron gained a convincing victory over his far-right challenger Marine Le Pen within the ultimate spherical of the presidential election on Sunday.

France’s standing as a linchpin of the EU and a robust contributor to Nato in its assist for Ukraine towards Russia has been secured for an additional 5 years, as mirrored within the plaudits for Macron on Sunday evening from the likes of Joe Biden, Olaf Scholz and Ursula von der Leyen, leaders of the US, Germany and the European Fee.

At dwelling in France, nevertheless, an electoral victory that may appear a landslide abroad — projections present Macron beating Le Pen by round 58 per cent of the vote to 42 — disguises the truth that the nationalist, Eurosceptic, anti-immigration far proper is stronger than at any time because the second world conflict. French society stays deeply divided.

Macron himself — whose first time period was scarred by typically violent anti-government gilets jaunes protests triggered by a inexperienced gasoline tax and rising costs — admitted as a lot in a muted victory speech in entrance of the Eiffel Tower.

“Our nation is beset by doubts and divisions,” he stated after strolling to the stage to the tune of Beethoven’s Ode to Pleasure, the EU anthem.

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Emmanuel Macron greets supporters in Paris, the place he was conciliatory regardless of the decisive win: ‘Right this moment’s vote requires us to think about all of the hardships of individuals’s lives’ © Lewis Joly/AP

Macron stated he wished to reply to the calls for of Le Pen’s voters in addition to the issues of those that abstained or voted within the first spherical for the far-left candidate, Jean-Luc Mélenchon. “Right this moment’s vote requires us to think about all of the hardships of individuals’s lives and to reply successfully to them and to the anger expressed.”

For her half, Le Pen conceded defeat in Sunday’s vote however remained bitterly crucial of Macron. She vowed to combat on together with her Rassemblement Nationwide occasion for the June elections to the Nationwide Meeting — which Macron wants to manage if he’s to manipulate successfully for the subsequent 5 years.

She even described her rating, the very best in her three makes an attempt on the presidency since 2012, as “a shocking victory” that was proof of a need for change and of “nice defiance” by the French in the direction of nationwide and European leaders.

With abstention estimated at 28 per cent of registered voters — the very best for a second spherical of a presidential election in additional than 50 years — analysts say the French stay disillusioned with politics and distrustful of their leaders.

The 2 candidates for the Socialists and Les Républicains, the political actions that offered most of France’s presidents within the postwar years, did so badly within the first spherical of voting two weeks in the past that they failed even to make the 5 per cent threshold above which the state pays nearly half of a contender’s marketing campaign prices.

As an alternative the election confirmed the relevance of assertions by each Macron and Le Pen that the outdated confrontation between proper and left now not exists, changed now by a civilisational conflict between nationalists and populists on one facet and globalists and liberals on the opposite.

“It’s a state of affairs for the second that bears witness to the fragility of French society,” Dominique Reynié, a political scientist at Sciences Po, stated on Sunday evening. He famous that whereas Macron had gained total, Le Pen was forward in some components of the nation in addition to among the many younger and the working class. “Every time it will get larger,” he stated.

The stage is now set for an intense spherical of negotiations and grandstanding forward of the legislative elections by the three political currents which have emerged strongest from the presidential vote: the group described by Macron as his “excessive centre”, together with Le Pen’s excessive proper and the intense left of Mélenchon, who got here third within the first spherical and practically beat Le Pen to qualify for the run-off towards Macron.

Marine Le Pen responds after information of her defeat broke, insisting on her effort being ‘a shocking victory’ within the march of the far proper © Joel Saget/AFP/Getty Pictures

“Macron’s greatest problem will likely be to create a way of cohesion in an especially fragmented nation,” stated Tara Varma of the European Council on International Relations. “Le Pen will do her greatest to capitalise on her consequence for the June parliamentary elections.”

She is just not the one one. Macron has the benefit as a result of his success on Sunday will permit his La République en Marche occasion to draw potential Nationwide Meeting candidates from the defeated ranks of the centre-right, the centre-left and the greens right into a type of grand alliance to win in June.

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Victory, nevertheless, is just not assured. Le Pen could possibly deliver into her camp a few of those that voted for Eric Zemmour, one other far-right candidate obsessed by immigration who has assist amongst wealthier whites. Nonetheless, bitter rivalry between the 2 could make it arduous to conclude an alliance.

Zemmour referred to as for unity on Sunday, saying victory couldn’t be achieved with out “an alliance of all rightwing teams: between working individuals and the patriotic bourgeoisie, between young and old, between distant corners of France and the massive cities, between all those that wish to dwell in a France that’s French”. 

Leaders of the fractured left are additionally in search of alliances within the hope of successful seats within the Nationwide Meeting. Mélenchon has even declared an ambition to be prime minister, a publish from the place he may cease Macron pushing via legal guidelines of which the left disapproved, whereas Communist chief Fabien Roussel desires a united left to dominate the meeting to cope with the “grave menace weighing on our democracy”.

At the very least till the legislative elections two months from now, Macron could have as many complications attempting to reconcile the French to one another as he has had attempting to barter a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.

As he informed a tv interviewer after his victory speech on Sunday: “The duty is to reunite.”

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Video: The Fight for Rural America

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Video: The Fight for Rural America

One in five Americans identifies as rural, and since the 1960s, their votes have become increasingly Republican. Astead W. Herndon, a politics reporter and the host of the New York Times podcast “The Run-Up,” examines how Republicans expanded their rural advantage to historic levels and whether Democrats can remain competitive.

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Starmer wields the knife after shaky 100 days in office

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Starmer wields the knife after shaky 100 days in office

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After almost 100 days in office, Sir Keir Starmer on Sunday finally decided to get a grip on his stumbling administration. “Keir will always wield the knife when it needs to be done,” said one Labour MP. “Now he has.”

The departure of Sue Gray from her key role as Starmer’s chief of staff was the catalyst for Sunday’s complete overhaul of the Number 10 operation. Many were left wondering why it had taken the prime minister so long.

Starmer, who hired Gray in 2023 to help him prepare for government, had been loyal to his chief of staff in office, in spite of fierce internal criticism of her management style.

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But those close to the prime minister say that a morose and fractious Labour conference in Liverpool last month convinced him he had to draw a line under the mis-steps that had dogged his first months in office.

“Keir came back from the conference pretty chastened,” said one Labour insider. “He realised he needed to get a grip on things.”

In Liverpool party members expressed their concern at how Starmer had cut winter fuel payments for 10mn pensioners, then appeared unable to contain a row over his receipt of £32,000 in “freebie” suits and glasses.

Gray had become a lightning rod for discontent, with hostile internal briefings about her £170,000 salary and alleged “control freakery”. Labour special advisers, or Spads, claimed she was partly responsible for holding down their salaries.

Gray’s allies said all of this was grotesquely unfair on a hard-working and loyal member of the Starmer team, a view shared by many cabinet members.

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But one senior minister told the Financial Times: “It was only a question of when, not if. Not everything was her fault, but the transition to government, the situation with the Spads and the unending freebies clusterfuck were all on her and made her position untenable.”

A person close to the discussions over the Downing Street shake-up said that after returning from Liverpool — via the UN General Assembly in New York — Starmer began lamenting the fact that Gray had “become the story”. 

Gray acknowledged she had become a “distraction”. She will now take up a role as an adviser to Starmer on relations with the UK’s devolved nations and regions, but her grip on the levers of power in Number 10 is over.

The former civil servant was also blamed for being a bottleneck in appointing people to key jobs, a problem that was rectified by the prime minister on Sunday as he announced a dramatic overhaul of his team. 

Morgan McSweeney, who was on the long march in opposition with Starmer, replaces Gray as chief of staff. It was McSweeney who helped to slay the threat of the Corbynite left and then masterminded Labour’s landslide election victory in 2024.

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But some question whether he is cut out to be a chief of staff, especially given his lack of Whitehall experience. “Morgan is very popular with Labour staffers — this is like a players’ revolt in a football dressing room,” said one Labour veteran. “But he’s not the sort of person who puts things down on paper.”

There was a long-standing narrative at Westminster that McSweeney was part of a “boys club” around Starmer that was treated with suspicion by Gray. 

Starmer appointed two women to work as deputy chiefs of staff alongside McSweeney — Vidhya Alakeson and Jill Cuthbertson — a move seen by some Labour MPs as a riposte to any suggestion that the boys club had won.

Gray did not have any deputy chiefs of staff, an omission seen in Labour circles as contributing to a lack of grip at the centre and a sign of her unwillingness to share responsibility with others. “That was her choice,” said one ally of Starmer.

While Alakeson and Cuthbertson are highly regarded in Number 10 — the former is Starmer’s political director and the latter is a long-term Starmer lieutenant — Gray’s departure leaves the centre decidedly short of Whitehall experience.

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In despatching Gray to the UK’s regions and nations, he has brought into his inner circle people who were already part of his trusted gang. “It’s a circling of the wagons,” said one person close to Starmer.

The exception is James Lyons, a former Sunday Times political journalist, NHS communications chief and TikTok media executive hired by Starmer to beef up his media team, which will continue to be headed by director of communications Matthew Doyle.

Lyons will have a strategic comms role, including oversight of Downing Street’s “grid” of future announcements. It is a common complaint of Labour staffers that the grid, previously under Gray’s control, has been chaotic.

Pat McFadden, cabinet office minister and part of Starmer’s inner circle, is said by party insiders to have played a key role in the shake-up, being close to both McSweeney and Lyons. 

The result of Sunday’s upheaval is that Starmer ends his first 100 days in office with what looks more like a functioning Number 10 operation. Many Labour MPs, privately, believe it is not before time.

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‘Ridiculous and just plain false’: FEMA administrator knocks Trump’s Hurricane Helene recovery claims

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‘Ridiculous and just plain false’: FEMA administrator knocks Trump’s Hurricane Helene recovery claims
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With the federal response to Hurricane Helene becoming a major focus of the presidential campaign in the home stretch, President Joe Biden’s administration continued to push back Sunday against former President Donald Trump’s unfounded claims about storm recovery.

Appearing on ABC’s “This Week” Sunday, Federal Emergency Management Agency Administrator Deanne Criswell said her agency has all the resources it needs to respond to Helene, which ravaged parts of Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and other states.

North Carolina and Georgia are key swing states, which has heightened the political stakes for the recovery effort and the jockeying around it.

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Criswell defended FEMA’s response and shot down Trump’s claims that the agency is short on disaster relief funds because money has been diverted to help undocumented immigrants, and that help is being withheld from Republican areas, calling such assertions “frankly ridiculous and just plain false.”

“This kind of rhetoric is not helpful to people,” she added. “It’s really a shame that we’re putting politics ahead of helping people.”

Criswell noted that state and local officials have rebutted “this dangerous, truly dangerous narrative that is creating this fear.”

Trump has made a series of unfounded claims about Helene recovery at multiple events in recent days. He said at a rally in Saginaw, Michigan, Thursday that “Kamala spent all her FEMA money, billions of dollars, on housing for illegal immigrants.”

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“They have almost no money, because they spent it all on illegal immigrants,” Trump said, adding that “They stole the FEMA money, just like they stole it from a bank, so they could give it to their illegal immigrants.”

FEMA does have a housing program, the Shelter and Services Program, that provides “financial support to non-federal entities to provide humanitarian services to noncitizen migrants following their release” from detention facilities, according to its website. It has $650 million in funding this year, but that money is separate from disaster relief funds.

“No money is being diverted from disaster response needs. None,” the White House said in a news release.

Department of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas told reporters during a White House press briefing last week that FEMA has enough disaster relief money to meet current needs, but not for additional storms.

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“We are meeting the immediate needs with the money that we have,” Mayorkas said. “We are expecting another hurricane hitting.  We do not have the funds.  FEMA does not have the funds to make it through the season and… what is imminent.”

Congress recently appropriated $20 billion in disaster funds, but Biden said in a letter this week that more is needed.

“Without additional funding, FEMA would be required to forego longer-term recovery activities in favor of meeting urgent needs,” Biden wrote, saying the Small Business Administration is particularly in need of funds.

Fact Check Image of Donald Trump wading through flood water is AI-generated

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House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., was asked on “Fox News Sunday” about Biden’s letter and said “Congress will provide, we will help the people in these disaster prone areas.”

Johnson was pressed about Trump conflating FEMA funds for the Shelter and Services Program with disaster relief money and conceded that “the streams of funding are different, that is not an untrue statement of course.” But he argued FEMA shouldn’t be spending any money “for resettling illegal aliens who have come across the border.”

Trump continued to criticize the Helene recovery effort at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, Saturday. He zeroed in on the $750 payment FEMA offers disaster victims to help them with immediate needs.

“Remember, $750 to people whose homes have been washed away, and yet we send tens of millions of dollars to foreign countries that most people have never heard of,” Trump said. “They’re offering them $750 as they’ve been destroyed. “

The $750 Serious Needs Assistance helps “cover essential items like food, water, baby formula, breastfeeding supplies, medication and other emergency supplies,” according to the White House press release.

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“There are other forms of assistance that you may qualify for to receive, and Serious Needs Assistance is an initial payment you may receive while FEMA assesses your eligibility for additional funds,” the release continues.

Republican National Committee co-chair Lara Trump, the daughter-in-law of the former president, also answered questions about Trump’s Helene claims during an appearance on CNN’s “State of the Union” Sunday. Host Dana Bash played a clip of Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., praising the response to Helene.

“I’m actually impressed with how much attention was paid to region that wasn’t likely to have experienced the impact that they did,” Tillis said, adding “I’m out here to say that we’re doing a good job.”

‘Life-threatening’: Milton forecast to become hurricane, target battered Florida

Lara Trump defended the criticism of Helene recovery as “coming directly from people there.”

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“You can go online, you can look at videos of people recording themselves and posting online saying: ‘We need help, no one has come here, we have nothing,” Trump said.

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