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Bet on Penn State as home underdog against Wisconsin in Big Ten matchup Tuesday night

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Bet on Penn State as home underdog against Wisconsin in Big Ten matchup Tuesday night


Wisconsin’s having a dream season.

The Badgers are now 13-3 on the year and 5-0 in Big Ten play. They have no bad losses, four Quad 1 wins, and rank No. 15 in the latest AP Poll.

It should be smooth sailing for the Badgers on Tuesday against a reeling Penn State team. The Nittany Lions can’t get off the mat in Mike Rhoades’ first season, now having lost nine of 13 following a 4-0 non-conference start.

But I think the Badgers are uber-overvalued, and I feel good about catching seven points with a Big Ten home team.

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Wisconsin vs Penn State Odds

(Via FanDuel)

Wisconsin vs Penn State Prediction

(9 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network)

The key to stopping Wisconsin is playing good post defense, as the Badgers funnel their entire offense through Steven Crowl and Tyler Wahl in the post.

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I don’t think the Nittany Lions will stop that.

The Lions allow .93 post-up PPP (22nd percentile) and 37 paint points per game (17th percentile). Qudus Wahab is a generally good rim protector (5.5% block rate) but struggles as a general post-defender (1.09 PPP allowed, 17th percentile).

Still, I think the Lions can score here.

Rhoades’ offense is ball-screen heavy, as the Lions run perimeter pick-and-roll sets as much as any team nationally. Superstar point guard Ace Baldwin Jr. usually spearheads these sets, although sophomore Kanye Clary has taken huge strides.

On paper, Greg Gard’s pack-line defense should be good against these sets. Yet their ball-screen defensive metrics aren’t elite, as they rank below average against ball handlers (.79 PPP allowed, 40th percentile) and way below average against roll men (1.2 PPP allowed, 11th percentile).

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Even better, the Lions use these on-ball screens to generate and exploit isolation mismatches, with, again, Clary and Baldwin leading the pack. While the Badgers are a good team defense, the individual defenders struggle on islands, as the team ranks 236th nationally in isolation PPP allowed (.86).

Finally, the Nittany Lions will shoot, ranking top 90 nationally in 3-point rate.

Conversely, Wisconsin’s defense is pretty compact, so the Badgers rank 318th in Open 3 Rate allowed.

So, while the Badgers should score at their usual clip, I think the Lions can keep pace at home in a solid schematic matchup.

Considering I expect both teams to score, we could target the Over, but I think the number is too high at 147.

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Instead, I’ll take the Lions and the points. They can keep pace. But more importantly, the Badgers are juiced in the market.

They’ve won six straight and 12 of the past 13, so they’re due for a loss. They’re overperforming offensively, especially on the interior – ShotQuality projects Wisconsin should be shooting about 7% worse in the mid-range and 11% worse in the paint based on the “quality” of attempts taken.

Meanwhile, the site projects the Lions should be shooting about 5% better from 3. I’d love to see that positive regression come on Tuesday against a Badger team that allows plenty of open looks.

Based on the looming regression, ShotQuality’s model projects the Badgers as only three-point road favorites over Penn State.

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I agree.

Plus, I like fading ranked teams heading on the road, as those squads in this situation are only 31-49 ATS this year.

Moreover, Big Ten home teams are money ATS, recording a 589-492-22 record since 2015, a 54% clip that has generated a 5% ROI for bettors.

So, I’ll take the Lions, who shouldn’t get many stops but should score enough to keep this game within two possessions.

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Wisconsin vs Penn State Pick

  1. Penn State +6.5 (-114) at FanDuel | Play to +5

The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.



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Wisconsin

Tranfser Portal Predcition: Wisconsin trasnfer John Blackwell likely to land with contender

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Tranfser Portal Predcition: Wisconsin trasnfer John Blackwell likely to land with contender


John Blackwell is one of the more sought-after players still available in the NCAA transfer portal. Big-time programs are coming after the former Wisconsin Badgers guard. And now, On3’s Joe Tipton is calling his shot on where Blackwell will end up.

Tipton has put in an RPM for Blackwell to commit and sign with the Duke Blue Devils. His level of confidence sits at 60%. If Duke head coach Jon Scheyer can get this one over the finish line, it could prove to be a massive addition.

“Wisconsin transfer John Blackwell is one of the most coveted players in the transfer portal,” Tipton said. “The 6-foot-4 shooting guard took an official visit to Duke on Monday and the Blue Devils are carrying the momentum in this recruitment. I’ve officially placed an RPM prediction in favor of Duke to ultimately land the star transfer.”

The On3 Industry Transfer Portal Rankings have Blackwell slotted as the No. 5 overall player to enter this cycle. Just looking at shooting guards, only one guy is ahead of him — Wake Forest‘s Juke Harris.

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Blackwell spent three seasons in Madison before entering the transfer portal. He was in double figures over the last two years, averaging 19.1 points during the 2025-2026 campaign. Duke will enjoy his efficiency as well, shooting 43% from the field and 38.9% behind the three-point line.

There is more to what Blackwell can do than just shoot, though. He snagged just over five rebounds and dished out 2.3 assists per game.

To keep up with the latest players on the move, check out On3’s Transfer Portal wire. The On3 Transfer Portal Instagram account and Twitter account are excellent resources to stay up to date with the latest moves.

Before the RPM pick from Tipton, the latest update on where things stood with Blackwell came on Saturday. Tipton laid out who else is still considered to be in the running, including a visit schedule for the Wisconsin transfer. You can check out the full piece of intel here.

Duke has turned into one of the more consistent programs in college basketball, playing at a high level under Scheyer. The last three seasons have resulted in at least an Elite Eight appearance, even making the Final Four in 2025. Still, the expectations in Durham are to win a national championship. Maybe Blackwell is the guy who can help them take the next step forward.

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Rubber bullet carnage as 1,000 animal welfare activists storm beagle breeding lab in Wisconsin | Fortune

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Rubber bullet carnage as 1,000 animal welfare activists storm beagle breeding lab in Wisconsin | Fortune


About 1,000 animal welfare activists who tried to gain entry Saturday to a beagle breeding and research facility in Wisconsin were turned back by police who fired rubber bullets and pepper spray into the crowd and arrested the group’s leader.

It was the second attempt in as many months by protesters to take beagles from the Ridglan Farms facility in Blue Mounds, a small town about 25 miles (about 40 kilometers) southwest of the capital, Madison.

Dane County Sheriff Kalvin Barrett, said in a video statement that 300 to 400 protesters were “violently trying to break into the property” and assault officers. He said protesters have ignored designated areas for peaceful protest and blocked roads to prevent emergency vehicles from entering.

“This is not a peaceful protest,” Barrett said.

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The sheriff’s department said a “significant” number of people were arrested out of about 1,000 protesters at the site but did not give an exact total as they were still being processed as of the afternoon.

Protesters tried to overcome barricades that included a manure-filled trench, hay bales and a barbed-wire fence. Some protesters did get through the fence but were unable to enter the facility, where an estimated 2,000 beagles are kept, the Wisconsin State Journal reported.

“I just feel defeated,” activist Julie Vrzeski told the newspaper about three hours into the operation after no dogs had been successfully seized.

Activists later moved from the Ridglan facility to protest outside the jail in downtown Madison.

The group Coalition to Save the Ridglan Dogs had publicized plans to seize the dogs Sunday but launched its operation a day earlier. The X account of the group’s leader, Wayne Hsiung, posted a picture of him being arrested.

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The sheriff’s department said a person who “recklessly” drove a pickup through the front gate of the property was arrested, “preventing a potentially deadly outcome.”

Protesters broke into the facility in March and took 30 dogs. Twenty-seven people were arrested on trespassing and other charges.

Ridglan has denied mistreating animals but agreed in October to give up its state breeding license as of July 1 as part of a deal to avoid prosecution on animal mistreatment charges.

On its website it says “no credible evidence of animal abuse, cruelty, mistreatment or neglect at Ridglan Farms has ever been presented or substantiated.”



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Wisconsin authorities put total arrests from clashes at beagle breeding facility at about 25

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Wisconsin authorities put total arrests from clashes at beagle breeding facility at about 25


MADISON (AP) — Around 25 protesters were arrested as around 1,000 animal welfare activists tried to gain entry to a beagle breeding and research facility in Wisconsin and were met by officers firing pepper spray and rubber bullets, authorities said Sunday.

Saturday’s protest was the second attempt in as many months by demonstrators to take beagles from Ridglan Farms in Blue Mounds, about 25 miles (about 40 kilometers) southwest of the capital, Madison. They were turned back by officers who arrested the group’s leader.

Owen Ziliak/Wisconsin State Journal via AP

Activists attempt to gain entry into Ridglan Farms beagle breeding and research facility on Saturday, April 18, 2026, in Blue Mounds, Wis.

The Dane County Sheriff’s Office said the situation was “significantly calmer and more peaceful” on Sunday, when around 200 people assembled outside the farm. They dispersed after around two hours, it said.

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“We’re pleased with the group’s cooperation today, and their willingness to remain peaceful, while still sending their message of concern for the dogs at Ridglan Farms,” Sheriff Kalvin Barrett said in a statement. “We are happy to support anyone who wants to exercise the right to protest, as long as they do so lawfully.”

A Wisconsin State Patrol officer points a can of mace at activists as officers make way for a van to leave the grounds of Ridglan Farms beagle breeding and research facility on Saturday, April 18, 2026, in Blue Mounds, Wis.

Owen Ziliak/The Wisconsin State Journal via AP

A Wisconsin State Patrol officer points a can of mace at activists as officers make way for a van to leave the grounds of Ridglan Farms beagle breeding and research facility on Saturday, April 18, 2026, in Blue Mounds, Wis.

The sheriff had said in a video statement Saturday that 300 to 400 protesters were “violently trying to break into the property.” They tried to overcome barricades that included a manure-filled trench, hay bales and a barbed-wire fence.

Activists help an elderly woman after she had been tear gassed during an attempt to gain entry into Ridglan Farms beagle breeding and research facility on Saturday, April 18, 2026, in Blue Mounds, Wis.

Owen Ziliak/Wisconsin State Journal via AP

Activists help an elderly woman after she had been tear gassed during an attempt to gain entry into Ridglan Farms beagle breeding and research facility on Saturday, April 18, 2026, in Blue Mounds, Wis.

Some got through the fence but were unable to enter the facility, where an estimated 2,000 beagles are kept, the Wisconsin State Journal reported.

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Animal rights activists react to tear gas while attempting to gain entry into Ridglan Farms beagle breeding and research facility on Saturday, April 18, 2026, in Blue Mounds, Wis.

Amber Arnold/Wisconsin State Journal via AP

Animal rights activists react to tear gas while attempting to gain entry into Ridglan Farms beagle breeding and research facility on Saturday, April 18, 2026, in Blue Mounds, Wis.

Those arrested included the leader of the Coalition to Save the Ridglan Dogs, Wayne Hsiung, 44, of New York, who was being held on a tentative felony charge of conspiracy to commit burglary. But most arrestees were just booked and released, the sheriff’s office said Sunday.

“No one should be assaulted for giving aid to a dog, even if damage to property is part of that rescue effort,” Hsuing said in a statement from jail Sunday that also accused authorities of using excessive force. “The animals of this Earth are not “things.” They’re sentient beings. And we have the right to rescue them from abuse,” he concluded.

Protesters took 30 dogs when they broke into the facility in March, when authorities arrested 27 people.

Ridglan denies mistreating animals but agreed in October to give up its state breeding license as of July 1 in a deal to avoid prosecution on animal mistreatment charges.

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On its website, the company says “no credible evidence of animal abuse, cruelty, mistreatment or neglect at Ridglan Farms has ever been presented or substantiated.”


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