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Wrestling mailbag: Is Iowa wrestling falling behind in recruiting? Who to watch at Fargo

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Wrestling mailbag: Is Iowa wrestling falling behind in recruiting? Who to watch at Fargo


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Hello again, wrestling fans of Iowa!

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Before we hop into our mailbag questions, I want to take a quick moment to highlight my recent story on the culture of wrestling in Iowa. In this 2,600-word article, I chronicled the history of wrestling in the state of Iowa and how the sport became so beloved. It was a project that took about a month and a half of research, interviews and writing. I had the privilege to speak with some amazing people for this, including Dan Gable, Jim Gibbons, Terry Brands, Mike Chapman and many others. A huge thanks to them and everyone who had a hand in it. If you haven’t had a chance, check it out!

Wrestling season is in a bit of a lull as we await the 2024 Olympics, but a big weekend in Fargo is coming and recruiting continues to heat up, so there’s plenty still to discuss.

Is Iowa wrestling falling behind in recruiting?

Let’s do an exercise here. Here’s where Iowa ranked by year in Flowrestling’s recruiting class rankings dating to 2012, followed by the team’s finish in that year’s NCAA Championships.

  • 2012 – 1st (class rankings) and 3rd (NCAA Championships finish)
  • 2013 – 21st and 4th
  • 2014 – 12th and 4th
  • 2015 – 9th and 2nd
  • 2016 – 3rd and 5th
  • 2017 – 2nd and 4th
  • 2018 – 9th and 3rd
  • 2019 – 21st and 4th
  • 2020 – 2nd and canceled due to COVID-19
  • 2021 – 3rd and 1st
  • 2022 – 4th (counted Cody Chittum before late flip to ISU) and 3rd
  • 2023 – 3rd and 2nd
  • 2024 – 6th (includes Kyle Parco as a transfer) and 5th

As you can see, fairly static finishes in recruiting and NCAA finishes over the last 13 years, give or take a class here or there.

However, take the four recruiting classes into account from before the 2021 NCAA title for Iowa, the bulk of which made up the championship squad, vs. the four classes that made up the majority of the 2024 team from this past season.

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If you average the rankings out, the classes that made up the bulk of the 2021 squad (2nd in 2017, 9th in 2018, 21st in 2019 and 2nd in 2020) averaged between 8 and 9 on a given year. In 2024 (2nd in 2020, 3rd in 2021, 4th in 2022, 3rd in 2023), it averages out to a ranking of 3rd.

The 2021 team won a team title. The 2024 squad took 5th.

Even when taking out the outlier year of 2019 when the class ranked 21st due to a small size, while still including three eventual NCAA qualifiers in Abe Assad, Zach Glazier and Cobe Siebrecht, 2021’s classes average between 4th and 5th. Any way you want to look at it, it was perceived that when those guys left high school, Iowa’s classes weren’t as good in the 2021 season as they were in 2024, even though the final result was a team title in 2021.

The point I’m making here is that finding the right guys for your program and developing them is more important than talent alone. Take for example the 2017 class of Spencer Lee, Max Murin and Jacob Warner. That was rated the same as the 2020 class that is headlined now by Patrick Kennedy and Cullan Schriever, while Jesse Ybarra, Bretli Reyna and other top recruits of that class haven’t panned out how they were expected to as of yet.

Bradley Hill, from the 2022 class, is a guy that Tom Brands has pointed to time and again as an example of someone they identified early in the process and got committed before he became a bigger name after winning a Fargo title. Hill was missing from some recruiting big boards but rose late after his commitment and has won NCAA matches for Iowa.

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“We liked him early on and he proved us right in his last tournament in high school,” Brands said in December. “We’re relying on him heavy now. We need him.”

Understandably, when you compare Iowa’s 2024 haul to Penn State’s with a pair of Olympic Team Trials members in Connor Mirasola and Luke Lilladahl as well as Cole Mirasola and Zack Ryder (beat Gabe Arnold for U20 World Team spot), the Nittany Lions outdid the Hawkeyes as of now. The talent coming in to Happy Valley is an absurdity at this point.

I think with David Taylor heading to Oklahoma State to coach, we’re going to see some top-end talent start to head back to Stillwater. This generation of young wrestlers grew up watching Taylor, and they might be drawn to the idea of wrestling for him. With Lee’s stardom growing, future recruits might be enticed by the idea of working out with him at the Hawkeye Wrestling Club.

The talent pool in each recruiting class could start to spread out more, particularly in an age where NIL and the transfer portal create more fluidity in rosters than ever.

Even before we could see some of that residual effect, the Hawkeyes’ early returns on their most recent classes have been solid, like 2023’s class. Arnold was a thrill last season. Ben Kueter is about to compete for another World title. Ryder Block should be back from injury. Kale Peterson competed strongly as a true freshman against veterans Schriever and Brody Teske.

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The Hawkeyes have a really nice base of talent, but guys like Angelo Ferrari, Block, Kueter, Miguel Estrada, etc., need to start to pop as the Warners, Murins and Cassioppis did to uplift Iowa in the following years. If they do and Iowa wins an NCAA title, nobody will remember the Hawkeyes finishing behind Penn State in recruiting.

Glazier was nearly outside the top 100 of his recruiting class, and he’s a Big Ten finalist now and will be expected to become an All-American next season. Hill was 87th on Matscouts’ big board but won some matches at NCAAs as a redshirt freshman. On the flip side, Kolby Franklin was a top-30 guy, and injuries derailed his career through no fault of his own. Reyna was a massive recruit as a Super 32 champion, he’s now at Chattanooga looking to capitalize on a fresh start.

College recruiting in any sport can be a total shot in the dark. Rankings and accomplishments serve as a baseline and show potential, but it doesn’t mean a guy will live up to those expectations.

That’s why you’re seeing schools like Iowa be more reliant on the transfer portal, too. Most coaches, in any sport, will tell you that you either use the portal to fill holes or you fall behind. Brands added two All-Americans in Jared Franek and Michael Caliendo when the gambling probe wrecked havoc on the roster, and it’s fair to say Caliendo is now one of their core pieces for the next two seasons. When you use the portal for guys who have wrestled at the college level, you know what you’re getting.

Sure, the Hawkeyes might have liked grabbing some more blue-chip guys for the 2024 class. But I think they really like what they have coming down the pipeline and will continue to invest more time and energy into the transfer portal to land “sure things” such as Real Woods, Parco, Caliendo, etc.

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Iowa fans just have to hope Kueter, Ferrari, Arnold, etc., continue to live up to their billing to fill out future lineups, along with some surprise risers from the Otto Blacks, Brody Sampsons and Kael Voinoviches of their classes.

What’s your projection for Drake Ayala? 125 or 133 pounds?

For those unfamiliar, Ayala wrestled at 61 kilograms (around 134 pounds) at U23 Nationals, up from his 125 pounds from the college season. That suggests Ayala could be trying to make a move up to 133 pounds for the upcoming collegiate year.

There’s been a lot of chatter about Iowa’s lineup and where guys should slot in. 174 pounds seems to be a logjam. Gabe Arnold has said 174 is his preferred spot, but has also said he will do whatever the staff asks of him. Patrick Kennedy secured a World Team spot around 174 pounds, and Nelson Brands told Flowrestling he wants to wrestle at 174. 141 pounds also has a lot of options.

As Nelson Brands said in his interview with Flowrestling, these things have a tendency to work themselves out. Heck, even Kennedy was still vying for the 165 spot in late December. Iowa will find a way to get its best guys in the lineup by the postseason. I don’t think there should be any cause for concern for Hawkeye fans.

With who is on the roster currently, I think Ayala’s best spot for the team is at 125. That allows a veteran in Cullan Schriever to slot in at 133. He was the preferred option at one time and submitted into the Big Tens over Brody Teske before Teske won a late wrestle-off and made the bloodround at NCAAs. That allows Kale Petersen and Ryder Block to fight it out for 141. If healthy, either would be a solid starter in my opinion.

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If Ayala were to bulk to 133, that would leave Joey Cruz as the probable guy at 125. He took seventh at U23 Nationals with losses to Iowa State’s Ethan Perryman and UNI’s Trever Anderson. Both are good wrestlers, but neither was an NCAA qualifier. Ayala at 133 would also leave only 141 for Schriever, Block and Petersen.

For the team’s sake, Ayala at 125 makes more sense to me at this time. If the weight cut is too tough, it may force Iowa’s hand.

Is David Carr one of Iowa State’s most impactful wrestlers ever?

I think so.

Carr winning the Big 12’s Bob Bowlsby Award for his leadership and excellence on and off the mat this past year got me thinking about this and a portion of a story I wrote back in March after NCAAs:

(Carr) joined this program shortly after Dresser took over. Then, the Cyclones weren’t even finishing in the top 40. Saturday, the Cyclones ended the season with four All-Americans (Carr, Evan Frost, Anthony Echemendia and Casey Swiderski), the most the program has had since 2009. With team trophies handed only to the top three programs instead of the long-standing four, the Cyclones fell short of their ultimate goal of getting that piece of hardware. However, this was the first time since 2007 that the Cyclones finished ahead of rival Iowa in the final standings at the NCAAs.

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That right there is what Nate Carr Sr. wanted to instill in his son, referring to a quote he once heard that has stuck with him though the years.

“Legacy is not what you leave for someone, it’s what you leave in someone,” Nate Carr Sr. said.

Carr, a two-time NCAA champion, isn’t the most accomplished wrestler at Iowa State. That goes to Cael Sanderson and his four NCAA titles. Even his father, Nate Carr Sr., has more with three NCAA titles of his own. And of course we all know Dan Gable wrestled for the cardinal and gold.

However, when you look at how Iowa State wrestling got back to what it is now, Carr is perhaps the biggest piece of that.

If you ask Yonger Bastida why he came here from Cuba, most of the reason was Carr’s recruitment of him. Suddenly, the Cyclones have an influx of high-end Cuban talent with Bastida, Anthony Echemendia and now Osmany Diversent. Carr played a major factor in a lot of the guys who are on the roster now coming to Iowa State, a team that was finishing outside the top 40 before he got here and placing as high as fourth by the time he stepped off the mat for the final time. The roster coming back for Iowa State next season and the foreseeable future is going to be one to reckon with in the NCAAs as a result of that.

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There’s an argument out there for Carr to be thought of as one of the most impactful wrestlers at Iowa State for the work he did to help Kevin Dresser bring this program back to relevancy.

Reese Larramendy is training with Kennedy Blades?

NCWWC champion Reese Larramendy of Iowa is Kennedy Blades’ training partner for the 2024 Olympics. Blades is just 20 years old and will represent Team USA at 76 kilograms after defeating six-time world champion Adeline Gray for the spot. Kennedy’s younger sister, Korina, is also a U15 world champion and junior world medalist. The Bladeses are among the most talented wrestlers the U.S. has right now.

Both sisters considered Iowa for college, along with North Central College and Arizona State. The Sun Devils do not have a women’s wrestling program, but the Bladeses decided to attend ASU for college and train with the Sunkist Kids RTC in 2022.

However, their connection with many of Iowa’s wrestlers runs deep. They attended Wyoming Seminary in high school along with Ava Bayless and Larramendy. Incoming freshman Rianne Murphy also attended Wyoming Seminary. The school is known for producing some of the country’s best wrestlers. Larramendy and Kennedy Blades became close friends and are now training partners ahead of the Olympics.

Not only a cool opportunity for Larramendy to go through the Olympic process with one of her best friends, but she also will get the best training she could possibly find ahead of the 2024-25 college season for Iowa.

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Larramendy wrestled as well as anyone on Iowa’s roster last season, pinning or winning by technical fall in each of her matches at nationals. Train with the country’s best athlete in the weight class is only going to continue her rapid development.

Wrestlers to watch at Fargo

Starting Saturday, 16U and Junior Nationals will get underway for the nation’s best youth wrestlers. The state of Iowa is sending more than 200 wrestlers to Fargo, according to USAWrestling. Here are some I’m really interested in watching.

The Hawkeye men have Kael Voinovich, Brody Sampson and Dru Ayala competing in Fargo. Watching Voinovich this past high school season, I felt he was getting overlooked a bit nationally in recruiting as he rolled against Iowa competition. This will be a good chance to see if I’m right. Sampson, a late-depth addition for the Hawkeyes at 197 pounds, has a chance here to show improvement. At Junior Duals, Sampson was 7-2, so we’ll see how it carries over.

The other Hawkeye-to-be I am watching is Kiara Djoumessi. She has said previously that she felt her freestyle was always much stronger than her folkstyle capabilities, so this is a good measuring stick of that ahead of her freshman season. Her sister, Amalia, is competing in the 16U division. Kiara Djoumessi said her sister takes her down in practice often, so this could be a great opportunity for Amalia Djoumessi on the national stage.

Daniel Herrera will represent for the Cyclones and should be a threat at Fargo. “Peanut” rolled everyone he faced in his lone high school season in Iowa and has some really high potential as he looks to be Bastida’s heir at heavyweight.

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As for some high schoolers I’ll be interested in watching, the Schwab brothers Hayden and Hendrix of Don Bosco will be competing in the same weight class (106 pounds) in the 16U division. Hayden made the U16 World Team this spring and will be a threat. They are both entertaining wrestlers to watch, emulating a bit of what their father did in his time.

Another young guy from Don Bosco to watch is Dawson Youngblut. He’s a nationally relevant recruit after winning a state title in his freshman season.

Another name that will be familiar to Iowans is Calvin Rathjen, brother of Hawkeye Caleb Rathjen. Like his brother did in high school, Calvin Rathjen competes with the Sebolt Wrestling Academy.

Southeast Polk’s Nico DeSalvo and Humboldt’s Broedy Hendricks are a pair of youngsters who really impressed me this past season for their high school teams. This will be the first time I can evaluate them better on a national stage, so I’m interested to see how they wrestle.

On the girls side, Violet Diaz and Katie Biscoglia are in the 16U freestyle division. Each time they wrestle, it is a barnburner, going down to the wire twice during the high school season. Biscoglia is ranked 10th nationally in her weight class, but Diaz is just behind her in 20th nationally. Look for both of them to be in contention for making the podium.

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Wahlert Catholic’s Isabella Miller is described by many Iowa coaches as a phenom. I’m excited to see that potential on a national stage as well after she pledged that she would be a four-time state champion in Iowa after winning her first last winter.

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Dubuque Wahlert freshman Bella Miller confident in her skills

Dubuque Wahlert freshman Bella Miller: “I’m going to be a four-timer, I promise you that.”

There are many more names I could list here such as Jake Knight, Chloe Sanders, Kyler Knaack, etc., but those are a few I will be keeping a close eye on. Full rosters can be seen here.

Eli McKown covers high school sports and wrestling for the Des Moines Register. Contact him at Emckown@gannett.com. Follow him on Twitter at @EMcKown23

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Iowa

Iowa 95, Utah 88: A Balanced Comeback

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Iowa 95, Utah 88: A Balanced Comeback


Iowa 95, Utah 88: A Balanced Comeback

Nine months ago, Utah ended Iowa’s 2023-24 season in the second round of the NIT. Saturday night, Iowa faced off with Utah again at the Sanford Pentagon in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, and came away with a very solid 95-88 win over the Utes. The Hawkeyes used a dominant second half and a balanced scoring effort from the starting lineup to earn the victory.

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Here are three takeaways from the game.

1. The Big Finish

Finishing strong hasn’t always been a strength for this particular Iowa team. The Hawkeyes couldn’t make enough shots (or get enough stops) in their neutral-site loss to Utah State last month and ran out of steam after playing very well against Iowa State for 35 minutes a few weeks ago.

Saturday, Iowa trailed 40-36 at halftime and was down 11 early in the second half after conceding a 9-2 run to the Utes out of the break. The Hawkeyes caught fire after that, rattling off 25 points in the next seven minutes of game action to tie the score at 63-all.

Down the stretch, it was the Hawkeyes who were making shots and getting stops. Iowa outscored Utah 20-13 after the game was tied at 75 with 6:59 to play. Iowa scored 59 points in the second half (to 48 from Utah), led by 16 points from Payton Sandfort, who shot 5-of-8 from the floor and was perfect at the free throw line (6-of-6).

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Notably, Iowa scored 59 points in the second half despite shooting just 4-of-6 from 3-point range. After attempting 14 three-pointers in the opening 20 minutes (and making five of them), Iowa adjusted on offense in the second half, attacking the rim more and getting higher-percentage shots — and more trips to the free throw line, where the Hawkeyes went 17-of-24 after the break.

“We were moving the ball and driving the ball [in the second half],” Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery said after the win. “We settled too much in the first half. Payton said it [and] he was right, we hit a couple early and started settling.”

“[Then] they don’t have to play defense, they don’t get tired, they come down and they carve you up, they run good stuff. So we kept the ball moving the ball side to side, driving the ball, intelligent screening, back-cuts, that was the difference in the game.”

The sellout crowd at the Pentagon had a noticeable (and unsurprising) Hawkeye flavor, which helped fuel Iowa’s second half comeback. That, as well as the veteran core of this Iowa roster that’s had plenty of experience in these situations — both good and bad — at this point.

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“Veteran guys,” said McCaffery on how Iowa was able to turn the game around in the second half. “We’ve got good players, we’ve got good ball-handlers, guys who’ve been through it, [the] crowd was great. I think [it was] a combination of all those things.”

2. Drew Thelwell’s Spark

One player who provided a notable spark in Iowa’s comeback effort was senior guard Drew Thelwell, making his third consecutive start. Thelwell didn’t make a basket in the second half — didn’t even attempt one, in fact — but he scored seven points on 7-of-8 shooting at the free throw line.

Thelwell drew five fouls (more than anyone else on the Iowa roster in the second half), although a few of those came late when the Utes were attempting to extend the game. Still, Thelwell’s ability to attack the defense and the energy he brought were key factors in Iowa’s comeback win.

“[His energy] is infectious,” McCaffery said after the game. “Everyone else goes with him, Brock [Harding]’s kind of that way as well. The energy in the building was phenomenal. Drew was right in the middle of that. His defense, drawing six fouls, those are stats that are critical to a team’s ability to win. You do that by driving the ball and drawing fouls and that’s what he did.”

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McCaffery also expanded on what he was looking for when he was pursuing Thelwell out of the transfer portal earlier this year and what he’s brought to this Iowa team. “I was looking for a veteran point guard, who could run a team, who could play off the ball and score, guard his man,” he explained.

“I noticed immediately that this kid could play defense, and wants to play defense and wants to play at both ends, that he understands how to engineer a victory,” McCaffery said. “Drew Thelwell is a winner, that’s what I was looking for and that’s what we got.”

The man that Thelwell displaced in the starting lineup — Ladji Dembele — also had some key plays to spark Iowa’s comeback bid. After scoring zero points and grabbing just one rebound in the first half, Dembele had five points, three rebounds, and a steal after intermission. His two baskets came during Iowa’s surge after falling behind by 11 and helped cut a 7-point deficit to just two.

More importantly, he helped keep Iowa afloat in the second half, with Owen Freeman bolted to the bench with foul trouble (Freeman picked up three fouls in the second half and played under five minutes total after halftime). Dembele played 14:10 in the second half and he finished with a +13 plus-minus rating in those minutes, the highest of any Iowa player in the second half.

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McCaffery praised the effort from Dembele and fellow sub Pryce Sandfort. “They’re just rock solid, both of them. All they care about is winning. Pryce, defensively, was tremendous. Ladji, boy was he great. [He] had his two big hoops. But then defensively, on the glass, [he had a] big time offensive rebound late, [a] couple in-traffic rebounds, just his awareness defensively was great.”

3. Balance Carries The Day

Recent years have seen multiple standout individual players that served as the focal points for their respective Iowa teams — Luka Garza, followed by Keegan Murray, and then Kris Murray. Those players were superstars at the college level, racking up All-Big Ten honors, winning Big Ten Player of the Year awards, and vying (or winning, in Garza’s case) for national honors as well.

There isn’t a player quite like that on this Iowa roster — but at its best, this is a team that has a lot of depth and scoring balance, with multiple players that can score and pass and put pressure on a defense. Saturday night saw them at something pretty close to their best, especially in the furious second half comeback effort.

All five Iowa starters finished in double figures in scoring, led by Payton Sandfort with 24 points and a game-high 8 rebounds. Freeman finished second on the team with 16 points, despite missing 75% of the second half with foul trouble. “Owen was really on his way to a big-time game, I felt bad when he got in foul trouble like that,” McCaffery said after the game. Freeman finished with 16 points and 6 rebounds.

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Josh Dix and Drew Thelwell each added 15 points, with 10 of Dix’s points coming in the second half. Dix did his damage inside the arc in this game, going 7-of-9 on two-point shots and attempting just one three.

Finally, Brock Harding finished with 12 points, all in the second half. After going 0-for-5 in the first half, Harding went 4-of-8 in the second half, including 2-of-2 from deep. His first three gave Iowa its first lead of the second half at 68-67 and his second triple pushed Iowa’s lead to 88-80 with three minutes to play.

When Iowa is moving the ball well, setting screens, and attacking the rim like the offense was in the second half, this becomes a very difficult team to defend because there’s no one player that defenses can key on and try to slow down. Maintaining that focus and that aggressive mindset on the offensive end was key to Iowa’s win on Saturday — maintaining those same things over the next two-and-a-half months will be key to Iowa’s success in the Big Ten.

NEXT: Iowa finishes off non-conference play with a home game against New Hampshire on December 30 (6 PM CT, BTN).

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Utah tries to make it three straight against Iowa: MBB Game Preview

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Utah tries to make it three straight against Iowa: MBB Game Preview


Utah and Iowa will face off in a compelling rematch just nine months after their battle in the National Invitational Tournament (NIT), where the Utes secured a 91-82 victory. This non-conference clash marks an important point in the season for both programs, as Utah (8-2) hits the road following a six-game homestand, while Iowa (8-3) looks to build on their recent momentum. The game will take place at the Sanford Pentagon in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, a neutral site far from Iowa’s usual home at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.

Both teams enter this matchup in solid form. Utah has won two straight, including a dominant 89-59 win over Florida A&M, where they saw significant contributions from their bench. Mason Madsen and Mike Sharavjamts each posted 15 points in that contest, demonstrating the Utes’ depth. Meanwhile, Iowa comes off their most commanding performance of the season, a 104-57 rout of New Orleans. Five Hawkeyes scored in double figures, with Owen Freeman tying his career high of 22 points. This sets the stage for what promises to be a competitive showdown between two high-scoring teams, both eager to build their résumés before entering conference play.

Battle of the Floor Generals

One of the most intriguing storylines heading into the game is the point guard duel between Utah’s Miro Little and Iowa’s Brock Harding. Both sophomores have been instrumental in orchestrating their respective offenses. Harding, averaging 9.8 points and 6.2 assists per game, ranks 16th nationally in assists. His ability to control the tempo and facilitate scoring opportunities has been vital to Iowa’s success, as they rank third in the nation with 20 assists per game.

On the other side, Utah leads the country in assists, with 21 per contest, thanks in large part to Little’s contributions (5.4 assists per game). His size advantage over Harding—nearly 30 pounds—could be a key factor. Little’s physicality and ability to drive the lane will test Harding’s defensive abilities. For Iowa, limiting Little’s impact will be essential, as Utah’s offense flows through him. Conversely, Utah’s defense will need to focus on containing Harding’s playmaking to disrupt Iowa’s offensive rhythm. With both teams ranking in the top 10 nationally in assist-to-turnover ratio, the game may ultimately hinge on which point guard takes better care of the ball.

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Slowing Down Iowa’s Twin Towers

Iowa’s offense is powered by forwards Owen Freeman and Payton Sandfort, who form a formidable frontcourt duo. Freeman, a dominant presence in the paint at 6’10, leads the team with 17.2 points per game and shoots an impressive 66% from the field. Sandfort, standing at 6’8, complements Freeman’s inside game with perimeter shooting, having already knocked down 29 three-pointers this season. Their contrasting styles make them difficult to defend, contributing to Iowa’s status as the 11th-highest scoring team in the country, averaging 87.2 points per game.

Utah’s defense will have to rise to the occasion, with Lawson Lovering tasked with handling Freeman inside. Sharavjamts’ size and versatility should allow him to match up with Sandfort, but Utah will likely need to employ frequent defensive switches to counter Iowa’s efforts to create mismatches. Rotational defense and contesting shots at the perimeter will be crucial for the Utes.

Building Momentum

Utah’s leading scorer, Gabe Madsen, continues to be a focal point for the Utes, averaging 19.8 points per game, good for 19th in the nation. His scoring versatility mirrors Sandfort’s, making him a potential game-changer in this matchup. Utah’s ability to score from both inside and beyond the arc has propelled them to 14th in the nation in scoring at 86.6 points per game.

A victory over Iowa would give Utah their first marquee win of the season, providing a significant confidence boost as they head into Big 12 play. With a tough matchup against Baylor looming on New Year’s Eve, this game represents a pivotal opportunity for the Utes to establish momentum and strengthen their standing in the national landscape.



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PREVIEW: Iowa MBB vs Utah

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PREVIEW: Iowa MBB vs Utah


PREVIEW: Iowa MBB vs Utah

WHO: Utah Utes (8-2)

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WHEN: 5:00 PM CT (Saturday, December 21, 2024)

WHERE: Sanford Pentagon (Sioux Falls, SD)

TV: BTN (Chris Vosters and Shon Morris)

RADIO: Hawkeye Radio Network (Gary Dolphin, Bobby Hansen)

MOBILE: foxsports.com/mobile

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ONLINE: foxsports.com/live

FOLLOW: @HawkeyeBeacon | @IowaHoops | @CBBonFOX | @IowaonBTN

LINE: Iowa -1.5 (total of 163.5 points)

KENPOM: Iowa -3 (Iowa 58% chance of winning)

On Saturday, Iowa will face its final non-conference test of the season (though there’s still one more cupcake on the menu — a visit from New Hampshire on December 30), and play the third of its three neutral-site games in the non-conference portion of the schedule. The Hawkeyes prevailed over Washington State in Moline, but fell to Utah State in Kansas City; now they’ll try to take down Utah in the Sanford Pentagon in Sioux Falls.

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PROJECTED IOWA STARTING LINEUP    

G Brock Harding (6’0″, 165 lbs; 9.4 ppg, 1.6 rpg, 6.0 apg; 49.3 FG%; 45.5 3FG%)

G Josh Dix (6’6″, 210 lbs; 13.4 ppg; 3.9 rpg; 2.9 apg; 51.3 FG%; 38.5 3FG%)

G Drew Thelwell (6’3″, 195 lbs; 8.4 ppg; 2.5 rpg; 3.3 apg; 52.2 FG%; 35.5%)

F Payton Sandfort (6’8″, 215 lbs; 16.4 ppg; 5.8 rpg; 4.0 apg; 38.6 FG%; 31.5 3FG%)

C Owen Freeman (6’10”, 245 lbs; 16.8 ppg; 7.0 rpg; 1.3 apg; 64.4 FG%; 37.5 3FG%)

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Thelwell has started the last two games for Iowa and could be in line for a third-straight start, given the generally strong returns that have resulted from adding Thelwell to the starting lineup. It also wouldn’t be a shock to see Ladji Dembele return to the starting lineup, though, as the Utes boast some significant size in the front court (three likely starters 6’8″ or taller).

Otherwise, Iowa should have the full roster available for this game, aside from possibly Seydou Traore. Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery indicated during his Thursday media availability that he was “not too optimistic” about Traore being available for this game

PROJECTED UTAH STARTING LINEUP    

G Miro Little (6’3″, 194 lbs; 8.4 ppg; 5.6 rpg; 5.4 apg; 37.5 FG%; 29.4 3FG%)

G Gabe Madsen (6’6″, 200 lbs; 19.8 ppg; 2.4 rpg; 2.4 apg; 45.8 FG%; 40.2 3FG%)

F Ezra Ausar (6’8″, 238 lbs; 11.1 ppg; 4.5 rpg; 0.8 apg; 57.4 FG%; 0.0 3FG%)

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F Mike Sharavjamts (6’9″, 195 lbs; 8.1 ppg; 4.1 rpg; 3.3 apg; 49.3 FG%; 35.5 3FG%)

C Lawson Lovering (7’1″, 245 lbs; 11.4 ppg; 6.4 rpg; 2.2 apg; 65.8 FG%; 0.0 3FG%)

PREVIEW

It’s rare that Iowa sees the same non-conference opponent in consecutive seasons (outside of the annual date with Iowa State), but the Hawkeyes have some recent history with the Utes — Utah knocked Iowa out of the NIT in the second round last year, 91-82. Both teams have turned over the roster a bit since that game — Iowa returns three starters from that game, while the Utes have two returning starters from last year — but some of the most important faces should be familiar.

For the Utes, that starts with wing Gabe Madsen, who absolutely torched Iowa with 31 points in that NIT win last March, thanks to some blistering shooting from beyond the arc in that game (7-of-15). Madsen has been Utah’s top long-range shooter this season as well, as he leads the team in makes (39) and attempts (97) from three-point range and ranks second (40.2%) in percentage. He’s made at least two triples in every game this season, except for Utah’s 89-59 win over Florida A&M last week.

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This year, Madsen has been joined at Utah by his twin brother, Mason, a transfer from Boston College. Mason Madsen has yet to start this season, but he’s still played heavy minutes (20.7 mpg) and been one of Utah’s top scorers (11.1 ppg). Like his brother, he’s also a crack shot from long range, making 31-of-68 (45.6%) attempts from outside the 3-point arc.

Three-point shooting is, unsurprisingly, a pretty big part of Utah’s offense. The Utes are shooting 38.2% from deep (38th nationally) and they get a lot of points from the three-point shot (39.1%, 30th) and take a lot of three-point attempts (47.4% of their field goals, 35th in three-point rate nationally). One interesting thing to watch: how Utah adjusts to the rims and the sight-lines at the Sanford Pentagon — we’ve seen teams struggle to shoot well from outside in past games in that arena.

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Shooting is a strength of Utah’s offense overall. The Utes have an effective FG% of 57.7%, which ranks 16th nationally. In addition to shooting 38.2% from 3-point range, Utah is also converting 58.1% of 2-point attempts (32nd). They only place on the floor where the Utes aren’t shooting well this year is the free throw line; the Utes are making just 64.2% of their attempts at the free throw line.

Otherwise, Utah doesn’t turn the ball over often (15.2%, 52nd) and they hit the offensive glass well (34.7%, 52nd). The biggest weakness of the Utah offense (outside of the poor free throw shooting) is their propensity to have shots blocked; the Utes have had 11.9% of their shots blocked by opponents this season.

Big men Lawson Lovering (7’1″, 245 lbs) and Ezra Aurar (6’8″, 238 lbs) are the other two Utes scoring in double figures this season. Lovering is averaging 11.4 ppg this season and does his damage near the rim (65.8% on shots inside the 3-point arc). He had six points and 10 rebounds against Iowa last year. Aurar, an East Carolina transfer, also does his damage in the painted area: he’s 35-of-50 (58.3%) on 2-point tries and 0-for-1 (0.0%) on three-point attempts

Utah has been generally sold on the defensive end this year as well, rating 58th in defensive efficiency this season. The Utes have been solid but not great at forcing turnovers (19.3% of opponent possessions, 108th nationally) or keeping teams off the free throw line (130th in opponent free throw rate). Their strengths on defense have been defending the glass and contesting shots.

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The Utes rank 49th in keeping opponents away from the offensive glass (opponents have gotten offensive boards on just 25.9% of their possessions), but they’ve been especially good at contesting shots. Opponents have an effective field goal percentage of just 43.4% from the floor, which is the 10th best defensive effort nationally. Utah has been particularly good at contesting two-point attempts; opponents are converting those shots at 41.2% of 2-point shots this week.

Last year’s Iowa-Utah game was a high-tempo affair — 76 possessions — and this year’s game could be more of the same. Both Iowa and Utah like to push the pace and try to get out and run — the Hawkeyes rank 39th in tempo this season, while the Utes rank 46th.



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