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Mandel’s Mailbag: Is Northern Illinois’ upset at Notre Dame bigger than App State at Michigan?

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Mandel’s Mailbag: Is Northern Illinois’ upset at Notre Dame bigger than App State at Michigan?


Let’s jump right into your questions this week.

Note: Submitted questions have been lightly edited for length and clarity.

Is Northern Illinois’ win over No. 5 Notre Dame a bigger or lesser upset than Appalachian State over No. 5 Michigan in 2007? — Chris H.

I don’t want to diminish the 28.5-point underdog NIU winning in South Bend, but App State remains the gold standard for shock level.

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That Michigan team nearly reached the national championship game the year before, was ranked No. 3 in the country and boasted the likes of Chad Henne, Mike Hart, Mario Manningham and more. And App State was an FCS team, at a time when there wasn’t as much awareness of the top FCS programs as there is today. The game was so off the radar that it aired on Big Ten Network before most people even knew how to find Big Ten Network.

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I might feel differently if Notre Dame hadn’t lost to Marshall in the same spot two years earlier. Losing to NIU, while surprising, did not seem implausible.

Here’s one team from each Power 4 conference off to a disappointing start: Maryland, NC State, Texas Tech and Auburn. Is it too early to panic for any of these, or is there a good reason for the fans to be restless? — Andrew G., Houston

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I’d be panicking if I’m a Texas Tech fan because we have two games of evidence that the Red Raiders’ defense is next-level horrendous. In Week 1, it allowed 506 passing yards to Abilene Christian’s Maverick McIvor — a former Texas Tech backup — in a 52-51 overtime escape. In Week 2, Washington State quarterback John Mateer ran for 197 yards, and his team ran for 301, in a 37-16 blowout.

If Joey McGuire doesn’t figure out something fast, that team could be headed toward the bottom rung of the 16-team Big 12.


Hugh Freeze is 7-8 in his first 15 games as Auburn’s coach. (John Reed / Imagn Images)

I’d also be panicking if I’m Auburn. It hired Hugh Freeze because of his history of producing high-powered offenses, but two games into Year 2, the Tigers’ offense remains dreadful. The Tigers gained just 286 yards in their 21-14 loss to Cal, with quarterback Payton Thorne throwing four interceptions. Fans are calling for Freeze to bench Thorne, but there is no obvious alternative. Auburn’s best hope is that its defense plays at a lights-out level all season and maybe the Tigers can go full Iowa.

NC State laid an egg against Tennessee, but that’s likely the best opponent the Wolfpack will face all season. So I wouldn’t panic there just yet. As for Maryland, I had no expectations for the Terps to begin with. I fear they’ve already topped out under Mike Locksley.

Bruce Feldman gets access to your bank account and is going to bet all of your available cash on one one-loss team to make the College Football Playoff. Do you hope he puts it all on LSU, Clemson, Notre Dame or Michigan? — Chad from Brooklyn

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First of all, if Bruce gets access to my bank account, I might as well declare bankruptcy now because the man knows less about financial stuff than anyone I’ve ever met. He probably thinks a 401K is a test they do at the combine.

As for my answer … Clemson?

I would not have guessed I’d say that a week ago, but Dabo Swinney’s offense went from scoring three points against Georgia to scoring 56 in the first half against App State. Cade Klubnik was a mere 24-of-26 for 378 yards and five touchdowns. Granted, App State is not a national championship contender, but it’s a respected mid-major program that played in last year’s Sun Belt title game.

The Georgia game still served as a reaffirmation that Clemson can no longer hang with the sport’s elite tier, but it’s entirely plausible the Tigers could turn around and win the ACC — not exactly the world’s most daunting conference. Clemson’s next game is against an NC State team that lost 51-10 to Tennessee. And — here’s a sentence I never thought I’d write — the Tigers don’t have to face surprise teams Boston College, Syracuse or Cal.

For the record, I am not yet writing off Notre Dame as a CFP team. But Clemson can lose another game and still earn an automatic berth. The Irish cannot.

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Where would you rank the current Group of 5 teams contending for the final Playoff spot? Is it more likely that the committee chooses a team with a strong schedule with a close loss to a Power 4 team (Boise State, Tulane) or a team with a weak schedule that goes undefeated (Liberty)? — Charlie B.

Last year, the committee let a Liberty team that went undefeated against air have a free trip to Arizona because why not? Oregon was going to stomp whoever got that New Year’s Six spot. With a Playoff berth on the line, however, I suspect it will give more scrutiny to these teams’ resumes, in which case those Power 4 games will carry more weight.

As of today, I still have Memphis as my projected Group of 5 team, but we’ve admittedly learned next to nothing about the Tigers so far with their 40-0 win over North Alabama and 38-17 win over Troy. But they get their crack at a Power 4 win Saturday against a beatable Florida State team before commencing AAC play.

My current rankings:

    1. Memphis. Seth Henigan for Heisman!
    2. USF. It has a huge Sept. 21 home game against Miami, then back-to-back tests against Tulane and Memphis.
    3. Tulane. I could not have been more impressed with redshirt freshman quarterback Darian Mensah in Tulane’s heartbreaker against Kansas State. The Green Wave could win the AAC.
    4. Boise State. I’d have the Broncos No. 1 if they had defeated Oregon. They need to knock off Washington State in two weeks because the Mountain West will not provide opportunities for quality wins.
    5. NIU. Like 2021 Cincinnati, the Huskies now boast a huge win at Notre Dame. They probably need to go undefeated, however, because the MAC will drag down their schedule strength.

After a dismal Week 1 performance against Old Dominion, I’m not sure if I’m more surprised that South Carolina clobbered Kentucky or that ESPN’s “College GameDay” is coming to town. Based on what we know after two weeks, do you think the Gamecocks have a chance against LSU? — Rob W., Columbia, S.C.

South Carolina 31, Kentucky 6 was arguably the strangest non-Florida State game so far this season. Seriously, where did that come from? While I didn’t expect Kentucky to win the SEC, I at least thought it would be able to move the ball past the line of scrimmage. Incorrect! And you’re telling me South Carolina has a top-20 defense now? … Since when?

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The Gamecocks entered the season with a few established defenders like All-SEC linebacker Debo Williams and safeties Nick Emmanwori (who had a pick six on Saturday) and DQ Smith. But credit to Shane Beamer for bringing in high-impact players like Georgia Tech edge-rusher Kyle Kennard, Pitt linebacker Bangally Kamara and five-star freshman edge Dylan Stewart. South Carolina’s pass rush was so dominant Saturday that Kentucky stopped trying to throw the ball, at one point rushing 18 straight times. Wildcats starting quarterback Brock Vandagriff finished with three completions and was sacked four times.

As for Saturday, LSU is gettable, but it’s going to be a different challenge. The Tigers’ offensive line is very good, and Garrett Nussmeier and his receivers pose a much bigger passing threat. Realistically, South Carolina is going to have to score some points, and its offense appears limited. It gained just 288 yards in that 23-19 win over Old Dominion. Quarterback LaNorris Sellers looked better against Kentucky, but he was also sacked four times, and the Gamecocks managed 79 rushing yards.

All in all, I do not like their chances. But I underestimated them coming into the season and may be doing so again now.

Is it safe to say that the Deion Sanders experiment is a failure and we can stop fawning over him? — Daryl C Cornish, N.H.

I’d advise against calling anything “safe” two games into the season. For one thing, the Nebraska team that blew out Colorado last weekend may have the best defense the Buffs will face this season, outside of perhaps Utah.

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But it’s more likely at this point that this story is not going to have a happy ending.

If you’re a CU fan, you just want to see progress from Year 1 to Year 2, but the offense looks exactly the same at this point. The Buffs barely attempt to run the ball, which puts the onus of the offense entirely on Shedeur Sanders, whom CU still can’t protect. Color me shocked that career 19-46 NFL coach Pat Shurmur has not proven to be the Buffs’ magic bullet. They still have elite playmakers in Sanders and receivers Travis Hunter and Jimmy Horn Jr., but it feels like a waste that they play with such a woeful offensive line and rushing attack.

To Sanders’ credit, it appears the defense has improved. I was skeptical when he hired Cincinnati Bengals secondary coach Robert Livingston as his defensive coordinator, but he has had an impact early on. Per TruMedia, CU increased its blitz rate from 28.5 percent last season to 46.8 percent this season and has seen its pressure rate rise from 28.9 percent (107th nationally) to 35.5 percent (40th). It’s a small sample size to be sure, but at least encouraging.

My biggest concern with Sanders is that the endless soap opera around that program is only going to grow if the Buffs continue to stumble. There will be more mini-controversies. He probably will demote someone midseason again. And at what point do some of the NFL-bound players check out?

But let’s say worst-case scenario, Colorado misses a bowl game again, and Deion moves on to his next thing. On the field, it would be deemed a failure. But would the whole thing still be worth it to the university?

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CU has received more exposure during the last two years than it did in the previous 30. The Nebraska game, despite being over by halftime, was the sport’s second-most watched Week 2 broadcast with 6.3 million viewers, behind only Texas-Michigan (9.4 million). This week’s Colorado State game on CBS won’t do as big a number, but it should easily surpass the 2.3 million who watched Iowa State-Iowa on CBS last weekend.

And that’s all because of a coach, who is thus far 5-9, makes weird staff hires, refuses to go after high school recruits and bullies local reporters, but if nothing else, he knows how to build a brand.

(Top photo: Michael Clubb / USA Today)



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Illinois

Darren Bailey proposes ‘Illinois DOGE’ as Republican governor’s race focuses on spending

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Darren Bailey proposes ‘Illinois DOGE’ as Republican governor’s race focuses on spending


SPRINGFIELD, Ill. — President Donald Trump’s and Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency disbanded less than a year into Trump’s second term and appeared to have caused more chaos than actual savings to the federal government.

But Illinois Republican candidate for governor Darren Bailey says a DOGE-like system can achieve savings and efficiencies in Illinois’ budget.

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“It needs to be broken down,” Bailey told reporters at a news conference at the Statehouse Thursday in Springfield. “It needs to be audited. It needs to be opened up so that people know where the money’s coming from. I am very confident there are going to be a lot of waste discovery in that.”

Bailey also announced a plan to address cost-of-living issues and other areas that relies on DOGE-style governing to achieve results. The commission under a Bailey governorship would be led by his running mate, Aaron Del Mar.

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Bailey and Del Mar did not specify any cuts they’ve already identified but stressed it would not be a tool to lay off large numbers of state employees or make cuts based on partisan politics – a difference from Trump’s and Musk’s approach.

“We’re not going in here with a chainsaw,” Del Mar said. “We’re going in here with an X-Acto knife. We are doing this as a purely public policy effort. This is not politically driven.”

Musk waived a chainsaw on stage at a conservative event last year, symbolizing his wide-ranging approach to government cuts. He later had a falling out with Trump and left government service.

Bailey and Del Mar suggested numerous state boards and commissions deserve more scrutiny, and any jobs or services that are duplicative could be consolidated.

A spokesperson for Gov. JB Pritzker said he doesn’t trust the Bailey campaign’s approach.

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“He echoes Trump’s lies, copies Trump’s dangerous ideas, and wants to bring Trump’s chaos to Illinois,” Alex Gough said in an email. “Make no mistake: Bailey is running with Trump, embracing the same dysfunction and broken promises that have repeatedly failed working families.”

Bailey said he is not concerned about naming something “DOGE” after the scrutiny the program received in the Trump administration.

“People understand what it means,” Bailey said. “They’re going to have to get over the federal situation and we’re going to understand we have our own problems in Illinois. I am my own person, and I have proven that, regardless of who I like, who I support.”

Bailey received Trump’s endorsement during his unsuccessful 2022 campaign and said on Thursday he is willing to accept it again.

Bailey’s priorities

Beyond the DOGE plan, the former state legislator from Clay County is proposing a series of initiatives he hopes will address affordability.

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Topping that list is utility prices, which have increased substantially throughout the state. Bailey said he would repeal the 2021 Climate and Equitable Jobs Act that many Republicans blame for rising prices and dwindling supply. He also wants to require independent audits of major utility contracts.

Bailey said he would cap annual property tax rates to not exceed a person’s mortgage rate. In response, he said the state would do more to fund education but did not elaborate on how much he would increase spending for public schools to help them rely less on property taxes.

“Classrooms should focus on education, not political agendas,” Del Mar said. “The blueprint prioritizes strong instruction in reading, writing, math, science and civics. It supports parental involvement.”

Child care spending

The Trump administration has already tried slashing some spending in Illinois. Most recently on Tuesday, the federal government cut off what Pritzker’s office estimates is $1 billion in federal aid for child care and other family assistance programs to Illinois. The Trump administration claimed without evidence that the freeze was in response to “widespread fraud and misuse of taxpayer dollars” in Illinois and four other Democrat-led states.

“I think it’s fair for any administration to demand accountability,” Bailey said when asked whether he agrees with the administration’s decision.

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One of Bailey’s opponents, conservative researcher Ted Dabrowski, is also trying to score political points on the Trump administration’s claims and a fraud scandal in Minnesota’s human services programs.

Dabrowski held a news conference in Chicago on Tuesday warning massive spending on child care programs in Illinois could be a sign of fraud like Minnesota. But he acknowledged he had no evidence there had been any wrongdoing in Illinois. He suggested there should be audits to see why child care spending has grown in Illinois in recent years.

Funding child care and preschool programs throughout Illinois has been one of Pritzker’s top priorities during his second term and he has included several spending increases for the programs in recent budgets. He took office in the wake of a historic two-year budget impasse between Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner and Democrats in the General Assembly that was accompanied by massive spending cuts to social services.

First poll of the race

The first poll of the Republican primary for governor by Emerson College was released Thursday by WGN and showed Bailey has a strong lead in the primary.

Bailey received support from 34.4% of voters in the poll of 432 likely GOP primary voters conducted Jan. 3-5. No other candidate cracked 10%, with Dabrowski coming in second at 8.2%.

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DuPage County Sheriff James Mendrick was at 5.4% and businessman Rick Heidner was at 1.1%. While Bailey holds a strong lead less than a month before early voting begins on Feb. 5 for the March 17 primary, 46.4% of voters were still undecided.

The GOP field was whittled down to four candidates on Thursday after the State Board of Elections ruled Gregg Moore and Joseph Severino did not submit enough valid signatures to remain on the ballot.

The economy was the top issue in the larger poll of 1,000 likely primary voters for 40.4% of respondents followed by health care and threats to democracy, each around 12%.

Pritzker’s approval rate is 50.6%, according to the poll.

Capitol News Illinois is a nonprofit, nonpartisan news service that distributes state government coverage to hundreds of news outlets statewide. It is funded primarily by the Illinois Press Foundation and the Robert R. McCormick Foundation.

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Illinois

Johnson scores 14, UIC takes down Southern Illinois 70-57

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Johnson scores 14, UIC takes down Southern Illinois 70-57


Thursday, January 8, 2026 4:14AM

CHICAGO — – Andy Johnson’s 14 points helped UIC defeat Southern Illinois 70-57 on Wednesday night.

Johnson had five rebounds for the Flames (6-10, 1-4 Missouri Valley Conference). Ahmad Henderson II added 13 points and Elijah Crawford scored 11.

Damien Mayo Jr. led the way for the Salukis (8-9, 2-4) with 17 points, five assists, two steals and two blocks. Jalen Haynes added seven points for Southern Illinois. Rolyns Aligbe had six points and two blocks.

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UIC took the lead with 14:56 left in the first half and did not trail again. Henderson scored nine points in the first half to help put the Flames up 31-21 at the break.

——

The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.br/]

Copyright © 2026 ESPN Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.



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Illinois Democrats express outrage, seek full investigation into ICE fatal shooting of Minnesota woman

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Illinois Democrats express outrage, seek full investigation into ICE fatal shooting of Minnesota woman


Illinois Democrats are demanding a full investigation into the death of a woman at the hands of an Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent in Minneapolis, with some calling it a “murder” and an “execution.”

The woman was fatally shot Wednesday during a traffic stop in a residential neighborhood just south of downtown Minneapolis. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem called it “an act of domestic terrorism” by a woman who “attempted to run them over and rammed them with her vehicle.”

Noem said an officer “acted quickly and defensively, shot, to protect himself and the people around him.”

Videos taken by witnesses show an officer approaching an SUV stopped across the middle of the road, demanding the driver open the door and grabbing the handle. The Honda Pilot begins to pull forward and a different ICE officer standing in front of the vehicle pulls his weapon and immediately fires at least two shots into the vehicle at close range, jumping back as the vehicle moves toward him, according to the Associated Press. It’s unclear whether the vehicle made contact with the officer.

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The woman, whose name wasn’t immediately released, is at least the fifth death linked to the Trump administration’s immigration enforcement operations. Silverio Villegas González died on Sept. 12 after being shot as he allegedly tried to flee from ICE agents in suburban Franklin Park. Body camera footage first obtained by the Chicago Sun-Times shows the federal agent telling local police he was “dragged a little bit.” Speaking over the radio, his partner relays the agent suffered “a left knee injury and some lacerations to his hands.”

Villegas González had no criminal history, but DHS has said he had “a history of reckless driving” and was in the country without legal status.

U.S. Rep. Jesus “Chuy” Garcia said he is “heartbroken and outraged” by what he called a “murder.” U.S. Rep. Jonathan Jackson called it “an execution in our streets.”

“This tragedy occurred less than a mile from the hallowed ground where George Floyd was murdered during Donald Trump’s first term,” Jackson said in a statement. “It is a chilling and devastating reminder that the cycle of state-sanctioned violence against our communities has not only continued but has been weaponized under this administration’s ‘Operation Metro Surge.’”

Sen. Tammy Duckworth is calling for an immediate investigation into the ICE officer who fired the shot. She wrote on X, “ICE is clearly not making us safer. This needs to stop.” And Sen. Dick Durbin called the death “tragic, heartbreaking and enraging” but urged protesters to “remain peaceful.”

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“A full investigation must be completed so the truth can be revealed,” Durbin said in a statement. “Video of the incident starkly contradicts DHS’s narrative, and the fact that DHS has jumped to characterize this shooting in ‘self-defense’ is rushed, at best, and a lie, at worst.”

Three top Democrats vying to replace Durbin in the March 17 primary all said they would push for answers about the death.

U.S. Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi said he will be “demanding full answers and accountability from the Trump administration” over a “horrific loss of life.”

“This is Donald Trump’s America: a woman is dead because ICE is operating with impunity in our neighborhoods,” Krishnamoorthi said in a statement. “…When federal agents are unleashed without restraint or oversight, the consequences are deadly — and the responsibility for this killing is on their hands.”

U.S. Rep. Robin Kelly evoked Villegas’ death in commenting on the Minnesota shooting.

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“The city of Chicago knows all too well that DHS Secretary Kristi Noem only lies. After the deadly shooting of Silverio Villegas González during a traffic stop, Secretary Noem tried to hide the truth, but bodycam footage disproved injuries sustained by the ICE officer,” Kelly said. “The Minneapolis Mayor has already said that video disputes Secretary Noem’s claims. It’s clear that to achieve public safety, ICE must leave our cities immediately.”

Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton called the shooting “horrific.”

“Rejecting authoritarianism should not be a death sentence in the United States of America,” Stratton said. “We need answers and we need ICE out of our communities.”

Rep. Brad Schneider called the fatal shooting “a stain on our entire nation.”

“Sending strength to the Minneapolis community. Chicagoland knows all too well the trauma and terror Trump’s chaotic immigration operations bring to otherwise peaceful communities,” Schneider said. “Our President should be making America and Americans safer. He is failing.”

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