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OF Justyn-Henry Malloy promoted to Detroit, Spencer Torkelson optioned in huge transaction

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OF Justyn-Henry Malloy promoted to Detroit, Spencer Torkelson optioned in huge transaction


According to a report from Evan Petzold on Sunday evening, the Detroit Tigers are planning to promote outfield prospect Justyn-Henry Malloy to the parent team for his MLB debut on Monday in Texas. To make room for him on the big league roster, the Tigers are demoting former first overall pick Spencer Torkelson to Toledo.

Malloy was not a member of the Tigers’ 40-man roster to open the season, and a corresponding move has not yet been announced to accommodate this move. Prior to the season, we ranked Malloy as the tenth-best prospect in the Tigers’ system.

The Tigers acquired Malloy in a trade with the Atlanta Braves in exchange for reliever Joe Jimenez. He was the first player acquired by the team after Scott Harris was named President of Baseball Operations, which has made him a bit of a touchpoint for fans keeping loose tabs on the Harris era of Tigers baseball. Since joining the organization in December 2022, he has done nothing but crush the ball across two levels of the minor leagues, making this promotion a well-earned one.

This season, he’s hitting .255/.412/.477 in 44 games with the Mud Hens while swatting six home runs. That’s good for a 134 wRC+; in other words, his total offensive contribution has been 34 percent better than the average Triple-A batter. There’s no question that he’s conquered the minor leagues, and for him to keep improving at the plate, he’ll need MLB reps. However, the main issue with Malloy remains his vulnerability to breaking balls in the zone. There are still far too many whiffs and too much weak contact on those pitches, and MLB pitchers will be even better to exploit that weakness if he can’t improve.

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Spencer Torkelson, on the other hand, has struggled to find his footing this season after breaking out in a big way during the second half of 2023. He’s hit just .201/.266/.330 this year, and with first base defense that has always left something to be desired, he’s been worth -0.7 fWAR in 2024. His role on the team has rapidly diminished in recent weeks, and this was always a possibility, but it still hurts to see it happen.

Torkelson has never lived up to his draft billing since being drafted with the first overall pick in 2020. After a much-headed college career at Arizona State, his trek through the minor leagues was supposed to be a coronation, but instead, he took a rocky road to the big leagues and has been below-average batter over the whole of his career. I’ll save you the effort of rewriting history — only other placer the Tigers were realistically considering, Austin Martin, has been underwhelming as well and is now a bench player with the Twins, but that hardly takes the sting out of it.

Right now, it’s a little difficult to see the path forward for Torkelson. In both 2022 and this season, he’s been absolutely unable to hit even average fastballs let alone higher velocity. He solved this issue last year by selling out to the pull side and did a lot of damage on fastballs, but so far this year he’s completely lost the ability to time anything up. In recent weeks his confidence has finally appeared to crumble and the frustration to mount, leading to this day. A.J. Hinch pinch-hitting Jake Rogers against a lefty rather than Torkelson on Sunday afternoon in Boston felt like the final acknowledgement that a move had to be made.

So, what is Detroit getting in Justyn-Henry Malloy? The two pillars of Malloy’s skill set are plate vision and power.

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His 20.1 percent walk rate is third in the International League, trailing only uber-prospect Jackson Holliday and minor league veteran Rylan Bannon. The implementation of an automatic strike zone in Triple-A last season gave him the opportunity to show off his skills with a bit more flair, often challenging and beating the system on incorrect strike calls. There’s no one in the Tigers organization with a stronger feel for the zone from the offensive side of the ball. He will have to get re-used to edge calls not going his way, but the strong plate discipline is undeniable.

Malloy also packs a punch with his swing. He’s thickly built and has plus raw power, leading to 25-homer potential at his peak. There’s no question that he’s strong enough to hit for extra bags in the bigs, but as with most sluggers without a presence among the game’s top-100 prospects, the question will be whether he can access enough of it to make a significant impact.

Although he didn’t need to be placed on the 40-man roster to protect him from the Rule 5 draft this offseason, there was some talk that Malloy could break team with the camp. He was a wrecking ball In Triple-A last season, putting up nearly identical stats to his 2024 statline, and tore up Spring Training to the tune of .265/.324/.471, leading many to believe he was ready for the big time already. The team disagreed, and sent him to Triple-A to work on his outfield defense and get a few more reps in against high-level breaking balls. It was a move widely disliked by fans eager for the youth movement, but a justifiable one considering how many outfielders the team has on roster.

As always, we’re preaching caution when it comes to expectations for his first taste of MLB competition. Malloy may have android-like plate discipline, but he still tends to struggle to put good contact on breaking balls down in the zone. MLB pitchers will have no reason to throw him a hittable fastball. Likely, they’ll plan to bully him inside with velocity and pull him out of his shoes with a big curve or gyro slider late in the count.

There’s also the question of his defense, which has always been a sore spot for Malloy. He played third base in college, but mediocre lower half movement skills and an inaccurate arm made it questionable whether he’d play there in the long term. The Braves tinkered with him in left field and the Tigers have shifted him to the corner outfield full time, despite their tendency to keep players fresh and cross-trained up and down the organization. Malloy has played about a third of his reps in right field, where his arm plays in a way it didn’t at third base, with the rest coming in left field.

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With the eternally restless AJ Hinch at the helm in Detroit, Malloy will almost certainly take reps in the field and play as the DH if he stays with the team for any more than a week or two. With Kerry Carpenter and Mark Canha battling injuries and Spencer Torkelson underwhelming at the plate, there will be more than enough at-bats available to feed Malloy substantial reps in either role. To keep Canha healthy, moving him to first base more, with some appearances from Gio Urshela in the mix as well, would seem to be the recipe, with Malloy starting in the outfield against left-handed hitters and doing a lot of pinch-hitting. The Tigers didn’t start him a couple of times this week specifically to get him used to coming into the game for a key pinch-hit appearance.

Now that Malloy has gotten the call, the next hitting prospects in line to make their Tigers debuts will likely be Jace Jung and Dillon Dingler, with Justice Bigbie as a late-season possibility if he can get back on track. In a different organization, Hao-Yu Lee may have an outside shot at a September call up after raking in Double-A for the first couple months, but this Tigers leadership has tended to slowplay their prospects’ progression. He’s still just 21 years old and will probably get his shot in 2025.





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Lions no longer control own destiny to postseason after loss to Rams

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Lions no longer control own destiny to postseason after loss to Rams


Inglewood, Calif. — Despite all the errors and issues facing them this season, the Detroit Lions entered Sunday relying on one reassuring truth: They controlled their own destiny for a spot in the postseason.

Following a 41-34 loss to the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium, that is no longer the case.

The Lions will now not only have to win their remaining games in the regular season, but also get some help from other teams as they hope to jump the San Francisco 49ers (10-4), Chicago Bears (10-4) or Green Bay Packers (9-4-1) for one of the NFC’s top seven seeds.

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Detroit’s best path to the playoffs remains finishing better than the Bears, who host the Lions in Week 18. The Lions, with a win in the finale, could secure a tiebreaker over Chicago. Put simply: If the Bears lose one of their next two contests (vs. the Packers and at the 49ers) and Detroit wins out, the Lions would bounce them from the playoffs.

“We’ve got to take it one week at time, that’s the biggest thing. … Don’t look too far ahead, don’t start counting games (or) looking at teams,” said receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, who had 164 yards and two touchdowns against the Rams. “Just focus on the task at hand, the team we’ve got up. Put all your energy into that and take it one week at a time.”

Next up for the Lions is a home tilt with the Pittsburgh Steelers, who play the Miami Dolphins on Monday. Following that will be road tests at the Minnesota Vikings and Bears. The Lions were upset by Minnesota in Week 9 but smoked Chicago in Week 2, though the Bears have won all but two of their games since.

Sunday’s result in Los Angeles doesn’t change the already heightened level of urgency the team had heading into the game, linebacker Jack Campbell said: “Every game in the NFL, you’ve got to be urgent. You’ve got win every single game. That’s what it comes down to, and we haven’t been doing that. We put ourselves in this position. … I feel like every guy in this locker room’s been urgent since we showed up (for training camp).”

Dan Campbell’s Lions have been praised for their resolve over the last handful of years. They showed it last season, when they marched to 15 wins in spite of being the NFL’s most injured team. They’ll need that quality over the next three weeks — they haven’t won consecutive games since Week 5 — in addition to some luck.

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“I believe in the guys on this team (and) the character of the players on this team, our captains, the core of it. … I know we can do it. These players know we can do it,” Campbell said. “You go back to work, man. I don’t believe for one second anybody’s lost confidence. … We’ve got three to go here. We don’t control our own destiny, but we need to win these three, and it starts with Pittsburgh at home.”

rsilva@detroitnews.com

@rich_silva18



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What are Detroit Lions’ NFL playoffs odds? Latest playoff picture

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What are Detroit Lions’ NFL playoffs odds? Latest playoff picture


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The Detroit Lions needed some help from an AFC rival to improve their playoff odds before their Week 15 matchup, but they didn’t get the outcome they desired.

The Lions (8-5, 3rd in NFC North) are facing off against the NFC’s top-seeded Los Angeles Rams (10-3, 1st in NFC West) on Sunday, Dec. 14, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. As the NFC’s No. 8 seed, the Lions entered the day with a 54% chance to make the playoffs per NFL Next Gen Stats, but those odds fell with the result in Chicago.

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With the No. 7-seeded Chicago Bears hosting the 3-10 Cleveland Browns, Lions fans were hoping for a Browns upset to drop the Bears to 9-5 and allow the Lions to move into a playoff position with a win, since a 9-5 Lions team would own a tiebreaker over Chicago (thanks to their Week 2 victory). However, the Bears took care of business on a frigid day at Soldier Field, beating the Browns, 31-3, to improve to 10-4.

With the Bears beating the Browns, the Lions playoff odds have now lowered to 52% ahead of their game against the Rams (4:25 p.m., Fox). Here’s a look at what the rest of the NFC playoff picture looks like, including how a Lions win can help improve their position.

Lions playoff scenarios

Here’s the latest info on how the Lions can make it into the NFL playoffs, how they could miss out and what their playoff odds are.

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What are Lions’ odds to make NFL playoffs?

According to NFL Next Gen Stats, the Lions have a 52% chance of making the playoffs. If they beat the Rams, they will have a 73% chance to make the postseason, but those odds drop to 40% with a loss.

NFC playoff standings

Only the top seven teams make the playoffs in each conference. Here are the NFC standings entering the Lions Week 15 game against the Rams, with playoff odds from NFL Next Gen Stats:

  1. Rams: 10-3, 97%
  2. Packers: 9-3-1, 92%
  3. Eagles: 9-5, 95%
  4. Panthers: 7-6, 47%
  5. Seahawks: 10-3, 97%
  6. Bears, 10-4, 68%
  7. 49ers: 9-4, 93%
  8. *Lions: 8-5, 52%
  9. *Buccaneers: 7-7, 54%
  10. *Cowboys: 6-6-1, 8%

*Currently out of the playoffs

How Lions can make NFL playoffs

The Lions still control their own playoff destiny despite currently being out of the playoff picture as the No. 8 seed. However, if the Lions lose any of their four remaining regular-season games, they will need additional outcomes to break their way in order to make it to the postseason.

  • If the Lions go 4-0 in their remaining regular-season games and finish 12-5, they will make the playoffs no matter the outcome of any other game (and have an outside shot of grabbing the No. 1 seed in the NFC).
  • If the Lions go 3-1 in their final four games and finish 11-6, they will still make the playoffs if the Bears go 1-2 in their final three games and one of those two losses is to Detroit. An 11-6 Lions team could also theoretically overtake the San Francisco 49ers for a wild-card spot, but that would require the 49ers to lose three of their last four games.
  • If the Lions go 2-2 in their final four games and finish 10-7, they will have a very difficult time of making the playoffs, especially if one of those losses is to Chicago. In that scenario, either the Rams or 49ers would need to lose all four of their remaining regular-season games for the Lions to make the playoffs.
  • If the Lions go 1-3 in their final four games and finish 9-8, they will have virtually no shot at making the playoffs unless that one win is against the Bears – and Detroit’s playoff odds would still be minute even with a win in Chicago.
  • The Lions will be eliminated from playoff contention if they go 0-4 in their final four games and finish 8-9 on the season.

Lions schedule: Next game, final stretch

  • Week 16, Sunday, Dec. 21: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 4:25 p.m., CBS.
  • Week 17, Thursday, Dec. 25: at Minnesota Vikings, 4:30 p.m., Netflix.
  • Week 18, Saturday/Sunday, Jan. 3-4: at Chicago Bears, TBD.

Bears schedule: Next game, final stretch

  • Week 16, Saturday, Dec. 20: vs Green Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox.
  • Week 17, Sunday, Dec. 28: at San Francisco 49ers, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
  • Week 18, Saturday/Sunday, Jan. 3-4: vs Detroit Lions, TBD.

When do NFL playoffs start?

The wild-card round is Jan. 10-12.

NFL playoffs schedule

  • Wild-card round: Jan. 10-12.
  • Divisional round: Jan. 17-18.
  • Conference championships: Jan. 25.
  • Super Bowl 60: Feb. 8.

Need to catch up on the news during your lunch break? Sign up for our Sports Briefing newsletter to get daily summaries of Detroit sports! 

You can reach Christian at cromo@freepress.com.

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EPA wrongly found Detroit area safe for smog, judge rules in split decision

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EPA wrongly found Detroit area safe for smog, judge rules in split decision


The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency was wrong to determine Michigan met federal health and environmental standards for ozone pollution or smog in the Detroit area in 2023, a federal appeals court judge has ruled.

U.S. 6th Circuit Court of Appeals Judge Helene White on Dec. 5 issued a split decision in a case about how environmental regulators measured Detroit air quality in 2022, when wildfire smoke drifted over Detroit and affected the air quality monitor readings for a few days in June.

Michigan considered those days “exceptional events” because of the wildfire smoke and didn’t include the high ozone pollution readings in its calculation to the EPA.

With those days tossed, the state was able to argue in 2023 that Michigan met federal air quality standards for ground-level ozone pollution. The seven-county Metro Detroit region had previously been out of compliance with the ozone standards.

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The Sierra Club sued, arguing the wildfire smoke did not meaningfully change ozone readings and that the Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes and Energy failed to analyze how local pollution sources contributed to the ozone levels on those days. The environmental advocacy group also challenged the EPA’s finding that the region met federal standards for ozone pollution.

White determined the exceptional events designation was appropriate, siding against the Sierra Club in deciding the EPA and EGLE correctly analyzed the smoke’s impact on ozone readings in June 2022.

She sided against EPA in deciding the EPA was wrong to put Michigan back into attainment for ground-level ozone without Michigan adopting control measures that would cut volatile organic compounds, which contribute to ozone pollution.

EPA determined the Detroit area was out of attainment for ground-level ozone on April 13, 2022. Michigan regulators did not impose control technologies for ozone-causing pollutants by the deadline in early 2023. Instead, they asked EPA to redesignate the area as in attainment with the air quality rules.

Michigan was obligated to implement control technologies even though it had submitted a redesignation request, White said in her order. Control technologies include efforts to reduce volatile organic compounds from being released from manufacturing plants and industrial sources, according to EPA documents.

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Sierra Club member and Detroit environmental justice activist Dolores Leonard cheered the outcome of the case.

“Without this victory, EPA’s decisions would have let Michigan avoid the rules needed to reduce pollution and keep the air we breathe safe,” Leonard said. “At a time when asthma rates are rising in Detroit, especially in Black communities, that’s unacceptable. With the backing of this federal court decision, our community will continue to push the state of Michigan to take much-needed action to relieve ozone pollution in this area.”

The Clean Air Act requires those pollution control measures to be implemented even after the EPA puts an area back into attainment to ensure the air quality remains healthy, said Nick Leonard, executive director of Great Lakes Environmental Law Center, which argued the Sierra Club’s case.

White’s order means the EGLE will have to reapply for the attainment of the ozone standard, Leonard said.

“At the very least, I would say they have to correct the legal deficiency, which was that they didn’t enact the pollution control rules that are typically required for areas that are in non-attainment for this long,” he said.

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The EPA is reviewing the decision, its press office said. The office did not respond to a question about whether it would ask Michigan to adopt volatile organic compound control measures as a result of White’s decision.

The EGLE also is reviewing the ruling, spokesman Dale George said.

“While EGLE was not a party to the case and is not able to speak in detail about the legal outcome, we were encouraged that the court supported the use of exceptional events demonstrations and acknowledged the sound science behind EGLE’s determination that the Detroit area met the health-based ozone standard,” George said.

Leonard said he was disappointed but not surprised that White ruled against the Sierra Club’s arguments that EGLE and the EPA did not correctly account for wildfire smoke’s impact on ozone readings in 2022.

That issue is going to plague communities as climate change causes northern wildfires to become more common and kick smoke into Michigan, he predicted.

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“If we start to essentially cut out bad air quality days because of the claim they were partially influenced by wildfire smoke … , you create this disconnect between the regulatory systems that are meant to protect people and the actual air pollution that people are breathing,” Leonard said.

ckthompson@detroitnews.com



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