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Real or Not: Analyzing the Guardians’ Offense’s Strong Start

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Real or Not: Analyzing the Guardians’ Offense’s Strong Start


The Guardians have managed an 8-5 record through their first 13 games, despite a strong slate of opponents. What is real and what is not as we look at this team’s performance so far?

Brayan Rocchio – 112 wRC+, .355 xwOBA, 8.7/13 K/BB%

Verdict – Real: Perhaps the most exciting Guardians’ player to follow so far this season has been Rocchio who has a very reasonable wRC+ about 10% above average and expected numbers that look even better. I’d expect Rocchio’s strikeout rate to probably double and bring his xwOBA back down more in line with his actual output, as his low BABIP of .219 averages out. He’s at 0 DRS and 0 OAA so far, but he looks like a good defender at short which should get him closer to his 2024 numbers of 11 DRS and 5 OAA if the team continues to start him there. A 115 wRC+ with 5 OAA would be a 4-5 win player. WOW.

Austin Hedges – 175 wRC+, .411 xwOBA, 20/0 K/BB%

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Verdict – Not Real: I do not expect Hedges to run a .500 BABIP this season, nor do I expect him to manage a wRC+ approximately 4 times what he has been as a hitter for a while. HOWEVER, he will end up taking some walks and his quality of contact has dramatically improved. I think an 80 wRC+ is actually on the table. Is it likely? No, it’s probably more of a 60-70 wRC+ when it’s all said and done, but Hedges as an 80 wRC+ would be an insanely valuable player given his continued defensive excellence.

Chase DeLauter – 185 wRC+, .393 xwOBA, 22/8.9 K/BB%

Verdict – Real(ish): I don’t think DeLauter is a 185 wRC+ player, but I do think there is potential for 150 wRC+ here. DeLauter will have to adjust to teams trying to get him to chase and relentlessly attacking him with high heat. But, I do think he will fall back on a strong plate discipline ethic and increase his walk rate while losing some slugging. This is a very exciting hitter and he has only a .231 BABIP right now.

Angel Martinex – 168 wRC+, .319 xwOBA, 17.1/8.6 K/BB%

Verdict – Not Real(BUT!): I do not think Angel is going to be a 168 wRC+, but I do think he has potential to outperform his .319 xwOBA which would put him closer to a 120 wRC+, which is insane to think about. The key for Angel is maintaining a lower strikeout rate and a walk-rate of 9-10%, as well as his current 33% pulled fly-ball rate. Additionally, he needs to tighten up his outfield defense. If that’s the case, given his increasing confidence against right-handed pitchers, you could see him as the team’s primary starting left-fielder. Angel will likely need to trim his 34% chase rate slightly because his .364 BABIP will not last when he begins making more weak contact on bad pitches. Pitchers will begin simply throwing him balls to see if he is patient enough to take his walks. That will determine if Angel becomes something more than an early season mirage. I wouldn’t bet against him, myself.

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Rhys Hoskins – 151 wRC+, .262 xwOBA, 36.4/18.2 K/BB%

Verdict – Real(ish): Hoskins has not been hitting the ball hard that often, but he has shown tremendous plate discipline and timely contact. I’d expect him to get closer to his xwOBA of 2025 given what we have seen, which was .314. Given his refusal to chase (15%) and his being surrounded by hitters like Jose and DeLauter, I think he has potential to be a 120 wRC+, with a 130-140 wRC+ on the table against LHP.

Juan Brito – 270 wRC+, .544 xwOBA, 12.5/0 K/BB%

Verdict – Not Real(BUT!): Surprisingly, while I am a Brito-truther, I do not expect him to win AL MVP. The most exciting part of his debut is that he has had no walks yet and he is very capable of taking walks. He looks like a player who will see a lot of pitches, make consistent contact and pull fly balls. The question for him will be if he can avoid untimely errors at second base, because he will make mistakes there. It’s early but he definitely looks like a player who can manage a 120 wRC+, which might give Travis Bazzana some needed leash to try to figure himself out at Columbus.

Jose Ramirez – 62 wRC+, .338 xwOBA, 12.7/10 K/BB%

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Verdict – Not Real: Jose will be Jose, folks. His xwOBA is what it’s been for the past two years. He’s been pressing a bit and gotten robbed a few times (by defenders and umpires). Relax, he’ll be Jose.

Kyle Manzardo – 6 wRC+ .315 xwOBA, 34/9.8 K/BB%

Verdict – Not Real(BUT!): Manzardo has been widely publicized as the most unlucky hitter in baseball so far. True. However, he is swinging and missing way too much and chasing at a career-high rate (32%). He needs to take a cue from his teammates who have been very disciplined as a whole group or the team is going to be looking longingly at Ralphy Velazquez by July with Manzardo hanging around league average as a hitter.

David Fry – 101 wRC+, .280 xwOBA, 35.3/17.3 K/BB%

Verdict – Not Real: Folks, I don’t know if I believe in David Fry. His current value is reliant on his ability to continue to walk at a healthy rate, and I think pitchers are going to be daring him not to chase more and more. I think he might be a 90 wRC+ hitter overall, and 110 wRC+ vs. LHP. His spot on the roster won’t be secure if Hedges can somehow sustain competency at the plate, or if the team refuses to play him as a catcher (as they have so far).

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Bo Naylor – 23 wRC+, .303 xwOBA, 24.2/12.1 K/BB%

Verdict – Not Real(BUT!): Bo will eventually be something more like his xwOBA… but that’s still a slightly below league average hitter. Bo isn’t going anywhere for 2026, but if Cooper Ingle continues to advance as a defender, I’d expect Ingle to be on the team in September with a chance to show himself as a contender for starting catcher in 2027 and putting Bo on the trade block. Bo needs to find a way to get to his power and continue to take walks, and I think he will, but there are some reasons to doubt.

C.J. Kayfus – 92 wRC+, .305 xwOBA, 32/8 K/BB%

Verdict – Real: Kayfus looks like a slightly below average hitter. I think he’s probably roughly 100 wRC+, which will make him an easy replacement when George Valera is ready. Hope he surprises me and proves me wrong.

What do you think? Whom do you believe in? Whom do you doubt? Let us know in the comments below

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Cleveland, OH

Robert L. Brown Obituary – Mentor, OH

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Robert L. Brown Obituary – Mentor, OH



Robert L. Brown


OBITUARY

A gathering to celebrate the life of Robert L. Brown, 65, of Mentor, will be held from 4-7 PM on Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at Davis-Babcock Funeral Home, 4154 Clark Avenue, Willoughby.Mr. Brown passed away peacefully on Tuesday, April 7, 2026 at his home, surrounded by his family.Born July 12, 1960 in Euclid, he was a lifelong Lake County resident, having been raised in Willowick and moving to Mentor 33 years ago.He was a graduate of Eastlake North High School, class of 1978, where he played the sousaphone in the marching band, and where he also met Susan, who would become his wife of 46 years.He enjoyed target shooting, fishing, and playing the guitar. He had a curious mind and enjoyed learning for the sake of learning. He could fix anything that could be fixed (never mind the result may have ended up looking Frankenstein-y).Mr. Brown was employed as engineer with Röchling Glastic in Cleveland, for 25 years.Survivors are his wife, Susan M. (Hanzlik) Brown; he is also the proud father of three sons, Dr. Nicholas, Cameron (Alicia Buchan), and Dr. Mitchell Brown; dear brother of Kimberlee Brown and Michelle (Adam) Wallace; brother-in-law, Richard (Leigh Ann) Hanzlik; sisters-in-law, Sharon Hanzlik, and Sandra Hanzlik (David Regueiro) and their families.He was preceded in death by his parents, Delmont and Gwendolyn (Long) Brown.In lieu of flowers, the family encourages contributions to the American Cancer Society, 10501 Euclid Avenue, Cleveland, OH 44106.



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City of Cleveland isn’t at fault for drowning death, says Ohio Supreme Court

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City of Cleveland isn’t at fault for drowning death, says Ohio Supreme Court


CLEVELAND, Ohio (WOIO) – The Ohio Supreme Court ruled Wednesday the city of Cleveland isn’t responsible for the drowning death of swimmer because of a ‘physical defect’ with the lifeguard chair.

According to a press release from the Ohio Supreme Court, the case of Hoskins v. Cleveland will be tried again as the court ruled in favor of the city.

During a routine visit, swimmer William Johnson died from drowning at Thurgood Marshall Recreation Center in December of 2019.

In 2023, the executor of Johnson’s will sued lifeguard Nieemah Hameed and the city of Cleveland in a wrongful death lawsuit alleging her negligence caused his death.

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The suit claimed Hameed not sitting on the elevated lifeguard chair and instead using a folding chair prevented her from monitoring Johnson closely.

The city and Hameed appealed the suit saying they were not at fault because of an Ohio code saying state business are responsible for wrongful death case if there is a physical defect.

Both a trial court and Cuyahoga County’s Eighth District Court of Appeals sided with Hoskins saying the code didn’t excuse the defense.

The released state the Supreme Court found a physical defect to not be presence because Hameed’s view was not impaired because of the lifeguard chair.

The court ordered for the case to be sent back to the trial order.

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From the release, the Supreme Court’s dissenting agreement made noted that lack of lifeguard chairs could be found as a physical defect.



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Cleveland, OH

EPA proposes Cleveland area redesignation to attainment status

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EPA proposes Cleveland area redesignation to attainment status


CLEVELAND — The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing Cleveland be redesignated to attainment status for ground-level ozone, saying in press release Wednesday that the area meets national standards after years of air monitoring.


What You Need To Know

  • The U.S. EPA is proposing Cleveland be redesignated to attainment status on ground-level ozone
  • They said air quality has improved in recent years and meets national standards
  • The EPA said the proposal will be published in the “Federal Register” and subject to a 30-day public comment period
  • This could have implications for E-Check requirements in the area

“Today’s proposal reflects our commitment to clean air for every community while making it easier for responsible projects to move forward,” EPA Regional Administrator Anne Vogel said in the release. “Working with Ohio EPA, local leaders, and employers, we cut ozone emissions. That means healthier summers for families across Northeast Ohio and greater certainty for businesses investing and creating jobs.” 

According to the EPA, NOx (nitrogen oxides) emissions declined by 42% and VOC (volatile organic compounds) emissions by around 25% since the area was classified as nonattainment status back in 2018.

“If EPA finalizes the redesignation after considering public comments, air permitting would be faster and more predictable while strong health protections remain in place,” the release reads. “Importantly, existing pollution controls will continue, and regional transportation plans and major road projects will still be reviewed to ensure they do not worsen air quality.”

There will also need to be a maintenance plan keeping the region in attainment status for at least 10 years, per federal law, according to the release.

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“This is a big win for public health, our environment, and for Ohio’s future,” Gov. Mike DeWine said in the release. “The progress to reduce ground-level ozone in this region sends a clear signal that Ohio is a place where businesses can grow and create jobs while also meeting important environmental standards.”

When saying the “Cleveland area,” this proposal is including the following counties:

  • Cuyahoga
  • Geauga
  • Lake
  • Lorain
  • Medina
  • Portage
  • Summit

These are the seven counties currently under E-Check requirements in the state of Ohio, which could change as a result of this proposal should it come to fruition.

The Ohio EPA’s website states that the E-Check program improves air quality by identifying high-emission vehicles that could require repairs. It requires those who have cars between 4 and 25 years old, and that weigh 10,000 pounds or fewer, to have them inspected every two years. 

State Rep. Bill Roemer, R-Richfield, recently introduced legislation that would see the Ohio EPA request an end to the requirement within 90 days “if the U.S. EPA determines the region has moved from non-attainment to attainment status.”

Earlier this year, President Donald Trump announced the termination of a 2009 scientific finding that formed the foundation for the federal government to pursue actions aimed at addressing climate change concerns, saying the repeal would mean emissions standards imposed on vehicles as a result would be lifted.

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“This is a momentous day in Northeast Ohio for hardworking families and individuals across the seven impacted counties,” Roemer said in the release. “Having worked diligently on this issue over the past eight years, I’d like to express my gratitude to the U.S. and Ohio EPA for their hard work recognizing air quality improvements in Northeast Ohio.”

The EPA said the proposal will be published in the “Federal Register” and subject to a 30-day public comment period. A final decision will be issued by the EPA after public input is considered.

In May of last year, Cleveland public health officials proposed the first updates to the city’s air pollution ordinances since 1977. City residents also recently expressed concerns about the area’s air quality while taking part in ride-along interviews with the Department of Health, and the American Lung Association’s 2025 State of the Air Report ranked Cleveland as the ninth worst metro area in the country by “year-round particle pollution.” 

In December last year, the U.S. EPA rejected an effort that would have ended E-checks in the seven counties. 

“Ohio has done the work to improve air quality, and this redesignation is a recognition of that progress,” Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, said in the release. “It’s a win for Northeast Ohio—making it easier for industry to build, produce energy and do business—while maintaining our commitment to clean air.”

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Spectrum News reporters Nora McKeown and Maddie Gannon and senior digital producer Lydia Taylor contributed to this report.



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