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U.S. banks get ready for shrinking profits and recession

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U.S. banks get ready for shrinking profits and recession

NEW YORK, Jan 10 (Reuters) – U.S. banking giants are forecast to report decrease fourth quarter earnings this week as lenders stockpile rainy-day funds to organize for an financial slowdown that’s battering funding banking.

4 American banking giants — JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N), Financial institution of America Corp (BAC.N), Citigroup Inc (C.N) and Wells Fargo & Co (WFC.N) — will report earnings on Friday.

Together with Morgan Stanley (MS.N) and Goldman Sachs (GS.N), they’re the six largest lenders anticipated to amass a mixed $5.7 billion in reserves to organize for soured loans, in response to common projections by Refinitiv. That’s greater than double the $2.37 billion put aside a 12 months earlier.

“With most U.S. economists forecasting both a recession or vital slowdown this 12 months, banks will possible incorporate a extra extreme financial outlook,” stated Morgan Stanley analysts led by Betsy Graseck in a observe.

The Federal Reserve is elevating rates of interest aggressively in an effort to tame inflation close to its highest in a long time. Rising costs and better borrowing prices have prompted shoppers and companies to curb their spending, and since banks function financial middlemen, their earnings decline when exercise slows.

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The six banks are additionally anticipated to report a median 17% drop in web revenue within the fourth quarter from a 12 months earlier, in response to preliminary analysts’ estimates from Refintiv.

Reuters Graphics

Nonetheless, lenders stand to realize from rising charges that enable them to earn extra from the curiosity they cost debtors.

Buyers and analysts will give attention to financial institution bosses’ commentary as an necessary gauge of the financial outlook. A parade of executives has warned in current weeks of the more durable enterprise atmosphere, which has prompted companies to slash compensation or remove jobs.

Goldman Sachs will begin shedding 1000’s of staff from Wednesday, two sources aware of the transfer stated Sunday. Morgan Stanley and Citigroup, amongst others, have additionally minimize jobs after a plunge in investment-banking exercise.

The strikes come after Wall Avenue dealmakers dealing with mergers, acquisitions and preliminary public choices confronted a pointy drop of their companies in 2022 as rising rates of interest roiled markets.

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International funding banking income sank to $15.3 billion within the fourth quarter, down greater than 50% from a year-earlier quarter, in response to knowledge from Dealogic.

Client companies may even be a key focus in banks’ outcomes. Family accounts have been propped up for a lot of the pandemic by a robust job market and authorities stimulus, and whereas shoppers are typically in good monetary form, extra are beginning to fall behind on funds.

“We’re exiting a interval of terribly sturdy credit score high quality,” stated David Fanger, senior vice chairman, monetary establishments group, at Moody’s Buyers Service.

At Wells Fargo, the fallout from a pretend accounts scandal and regulatory penalties will proceed to weigh on outcomes. The lender anticipated to ebook an expense of about $3.5 billion after it agreed to settle costs over widespread mismanagement of automotive loans, mortgages and financial institution accounts with the U.S. Client Monetary Safety Bureau, the watchdog’s largest-ever civil penalty.

Analysts may even watch if banks equivalent to Morgan Stanley and Financial institution of America ebook any writedowns on the $13-billion mortgage to fund Elon Musk’s buy of Twitter.

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Extra broadly, the KBW index (.BKX) of financial institution shares is up about 4% this month after sinking nearly 28% within the final 12 months.

Whereas market sentiment took a pointy flip from hopeful to fearful in 2022, some giant banks might overcome essentially the most dire predictions as a result of they’ve shed dangerous actions, wrote Susan Roth Katzke, an analyst at Credit score Suisse.

“We see extra resilient incomes energy by the cycle after a decade of de-risking,” she wrote in a observe. “We can’t dismiss the basic energy.”

Reporting by Saeed Azhar, Niket Nishant and Lananh Nguyen
Modifying by Nick Zieminski

Our Requirements: The Thomson Reuters Belief Rules.

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Finance

Treasury details response to illicit finance threats of money laundering, terrorism

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Treasury details response to illicit finance threats of money laundering, terrorism
  • US Treasury releases report on illicit finance.
  • Prosecution of Binance held up as example of success.
  • Investment needed to train enforcement professionals.

The US Department of the Treasury this week released its 2024 report on illicit finance, examining threats of money laundering and terrorist financing and its strategies to combat them.

The Treasury cited professional money launderers, financial fraudsters, cybercriminals and those seeking to finance terrorism as ongoing threats to the US financial system.

The 44-page report said anti-money laundering/countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) efforts must continue to adapt in order to be effective.

Among the vulnerabilities cited were obfuscation tools and methods such as mixers and anonymity-enhancing coins, AML/CFT compliance deficiencies at banks and complicit professionals who help facilitate illicit financial activity.

The Treasury cited the prosecution of Binance as an example of its success in supervising virtual asset activities.

Binance failed to prevent criminals, sanctioned entities, and other bad actors from laundering billions of dollars in dirty money, according to court papers. The company pleaded guilty and agreed to pay $4.3 billion in fines and restitution, DL News reported.

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Additionally, Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao was sentenced to four months in federal prison for violating US banking laws and fined $50 million.

The US must continue “to invest in technology and training for analysts, investigators, and regulators to develop further expertise related to new technologies, including analysis of public blockchain data,” the report said.

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Such expertise is crucial to the government’s ability to develop responses to new ways in which criminals misuse “virtual assets and other new technologies to profit from their illicit activity,” it said.

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San Bernardino finance director claims she was fired after raising concerns about costly project

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San Bernardino finance director claims she was fired after raising concerns about costly project

SAN BERNARDINO, Calif. (KABC) — The former finance director of the city of San Bernardino is alleging she was threatened and fired by the current city manager, after raising concerns about the potential cost of a project to renovate the old city hall building.

Barbara Whitehorn made the allegations during the public comment portion of the city council meeting on May 15.

“I came back from vacation today, and I was fired today,” said Whitehorn, at times tearing up while making her statement. “I am no longer in the employ of the city of San Bernardino after being threatened today (by the city manager) of having information damaging to my career released into the public domain.

“Then after saying, ‘Please do so, Mr. city manager, because you’ll have to fire me before doing that, he said, ‘Oh, then I’ll just fire you without cause.’”

Whitehorn alleges that the costs to retrofit the old city hall building are spiraling out of control. The building has sat empty since late 2016 after being vacated over concerns that it could collapse during a big earthquake.

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“It’s a project that has expanded from $80 million to about $120 million and that number is nowhere to be seen on this (public) agenda. This city does not have that money,” she said.

A presentation was made to the city council in January 2024 outlining the process by which city hall would be retrofitted. City manager Charles Montoya said the city is currently incurring increasing costs for leasing space in separate buildings to maintain city services.

“If we don’t do this now, sooner or later that building is just going to become a gigantic door stop,” said Montoya during the meeting.

He acknowledged when asked by city council members that there is no projected final cost for the project yet.

“The reason we’re doing it this way is speed, to get this thing done. Our lease in the city building is up in two years; we don’t want to sign another lease where we’re just throwing money out the window.”

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Two days after her appearance before the council, the city released a statement in response to Whitehorn’s remarks.

The statement claimed Whitehorn was fired for reasons unrelated to the city hall project and disputed some of her other claims.

“However, contrary to Whitehorn’s claims, the renovation project has yet to be designed, and construction costs have yet to be determined,” read the statement, attributed to Public Information Officer Jeff Kraus. “Construction cost estimates and project financing options will be presented to the Council during future meetings.”

“The City of San Bernardino has confirmed that Whitehorn was an at-will employee and was terminated for cause involving financial issues that were unrelated to the City Hall project.”

The statement also said discussion of the city hall project was postponed from that night’s council agenda because there was not enough time to consider the matter and hear from the public.

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Photos from The Best Crystals for Love, Finance, Career and Health – E! Online

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Photos from The Best Crystals for Love, Finance, Career and Health – E! Online

Clear Quartz: “Often referred to as the ‘master healer,'” astrologer Aliza Kelly told E! News. “Clear quartz is a versatile crystal that amplifies energy and intentions. It can be programmed to focus on career goals, enhance clarity of thought and promote focus and productivity.

Tiger’s Eye: “Tiger’s eye is known for its protective and grounding properties,” she noted. “It helps to boost confidence, courage and willpower, making it an excellent crystal for achieving career goals, overcoming challenges and making important decisions.”

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