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This ETF uses ChatGPT to invest like Warren Buffett

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This ETF uses ChatGPT to invest like Warren Buffett

A new fund is using AI to replicate some of the greatest investing minds in history in the hopes of supercharging client portfolios.

The Intelligent Livermore exchange-traded fund (LIVR), created by fintech startup Intelligent Alpha, uses OpenAI’s ChatGPT, Anthropic’s Claude, and Google’s Gemini to create a collection of securities, with a little help from humans. To put the portfolio together, human beings will feed the “committee” of LLMs a barrage of publicly available financial information combined with specific investment philosophies for the AI to follow. A strategy might focus on value over growth, for instance.

The ETF, which was named after famed 20th century stock trader Jesse Livermore, created its unique investing strategy by combining financial information with the public letters, interviews, and statements from other finance legends like Berkshire Hathaway’s Warren Buffett, as well as billionaire hedge fund managers Stanley Druckenmiller and David Tepper, among others, Intelligent Alpha CEO Doug Clinton told Fortune. And although humans actually execute the trades to avoid any hallucinations or errors, Clinton said it’s really the AI investors calling the shots. 

“They can sort of replicate or pretend to be any investor. That’s one of the superpowers of AI,” Clinton said. “You could have it be a super aggressive growth investor, or you could have it be a super value conscious Buffett acolyte.”

The ETF, which started trading Wednesday, counts Meta, Nvidia, and TSMC among its top holdings and has an expense ratio of 0.69%. 

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Before launching Intelligent Alpha, Clinton experimented first with ChatGPT, and later with other AI chatbots, to try to build a portfolio that could outperform the S&P 500. Although the LIVR ETF is the company’s first, Clinton said it intends to create a suite of AI-centered investment products aimed at both institutional and retail investors, with the goal of reaching $1 trillion in assets under management.

“We want to build the AI-powered BlackRock,” he said.

Still, for now, Clinton is the startup’s only employee, and at the same time he’s still working as an investor at Deepwater Asset Management, the Minneapolis-based investment firm he helped launch in 2017. Deepwater has an equity stake in Intelligent Alpha and supports the company. Although his company is a one-person show, Clinton said he’s not worried.

“The power of AI is its ability to augment human productivity, and Intelligent Alpha is a testament to that,” he said in an email.

Intelligent Alpha has already filed four other ETF applications with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and Clinton estimated that the company would launch more funds by the end of the year or early 2025. 

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Although hedge funds have already started to incorporate AI into their work, Clinton said Intelligent Alpha is among the first to use AI as “a true stock picker.” To stay ahead of the competition, he said he is working at a breakneck pace to innovate.

Ultimately, Clinton believes the next shift in the financial world will be to AI-centered funds like LIVR, especially because this type of investing has advantages over both active and passive investing.

“It’s a little bit more intelligent than just static indexes, and it’s less emotional than the humans on the active side. So I think it’s kind of the best of all worlds,” he said.

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30-year mortgage rate hits 2-year low

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30-year mortgage rate hits 2-year low

The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was nearly unchanged this week but reached its lowest level in two years.

Thirty-year mortgage rates averaged 6.08% as of Thursday, down from 6.09% a week earlier, according to Freddie Mac data.

Average 15-year mortgage rates rose one basis point to 5.16%.

As mortgage rates hover around 6%, potential buyers are tiptoeing back into the market, and some homeowners who bought when interest rates topped 7% are weighing refinancing. Mortgage applications jumped to the highest level in more than two years last week, driven largely by refinancing volumes.

“Given the downward trajectory of rates, refinance activity continues to pick up, creating opportunities for many homeowners to trim their monthly mortgage payment,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement. “Meanwhile, many looking to purchase a home are playing the waiting game to see if rates decrease further as additional economic data is released over the next several weeks.”

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Thirty-year mortgage rates have dropped more than a percentage point since May.

Read more: Mortgage and refinance rates today, September 26, 2024: Rates finally decrease

The Pending Home Sales Index, a measure of housing contract activity, rose 0.6% to 70.6 in August, improving slightly from July’s record-low reading, according to the National Association of Realtors. A level of 100 is equal to the amount of contract activity seen in 2001.

“Buyers are finally getting more comfortable with the rate,” said Selma Hepp, chief economist at real estate data provider CoreLogic. “I don’t think that’s going to mean a big boost for home sales this year given how low they’ve been so far, but still, it’s a little bit of improvement.”

Claire Boston is a senior reporter for Yahoo Finance covering housing, mortgages, and home insurance.

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AI, new generations and consumer finance

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AI, new generations and consumer finance

Öztopçu explains that while consumers are rapidly diversifying within the financing ecosystem, there is a genuine need for new generation financing products capable of responding to this diversity: “Seizing and developing technological opportunities, especially AI, enables companies to develop new production methods and tools, do a much better job at sizing up their competitors, and build creative competitive strategies.”

As Generation Z enters its peak earning years, it has become the target of all sectors of the economy, Öztopçu notes. Generation Z prioritizes convenience over everything else, and appreciates special, innovative financial benefits, such as promotions and discounts. Öztopçu reports that Gen Z’ers also do a lot of their shopping on social media, but always after doing proper research, and rarely on impulse. To help them, they browse online channels and watch videos if necessary.

According to Öztopçu, this generation looks for the same perks and promotions when they are looking for financial products, such as loans, interest rates, and payment flexibility.  In fact, when offered by brands, it builds greater customer loyalty among Gen Z’ers – even more so when the brands develop financial products that are customized to meet their needs.

Öztopçu explained that if a consumer uses a product developed in collaboration by brands and financial institutions, they visit the brand’s mobile app or website three times a month on average, and these visits convert into sales. During this transition period, the use of these hybrid structures is bound to become more widespread, as they are especially good at engaging with the customer, helping brands understand their needs and guiding them.

Therefore, according to Öztopçu, if consumer finance companies or banks insist on using traditional databases, they must be ready to work harder to offer new products that can keep up with changing consumer financing trends and lending habits.

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Dow retreats from record high, Micron earnings on tap: Yahoo Finance

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Dow retreats from record high, Micron earnings on tap: Yahoo Finance

The Dow Industrial Jones Average (^DJI) is pulling back Wednesday, after reaching an all-time high in the previous session. Investors are now turning their attention to Friday’s PCE report to help assess whether the Federal Reserve will continue its aggressive rate-cutting cycle. Meanwhile, Micron Technology (MU) is in focus on Wall Street as the chip giant gears up to report it’s fourth-quarter results after the market closes.

Yahoo Finance trending tickers include Rocket Lab (RKLB), Ford Motor Company (F), and Rivian Automotive (RIVN).

Key guests include:
3:05 p.m. ET Kate Moore, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Head of Thematic Strategy
3:30 p.m. ET Alonso Munoz, Hamilton Capital Chief Investment Officer
3:45 p.m. ET Michael Lasser, UBS U.S. Hardline & Broadline and Food Retail Analyst
4:15 p.m. ET Daniel Morgan, Synovus Trust VP and Senior Portfolio Manager
4:40 p.m. ET Daniel Lubetzky, Kind Snacks Founder and Builders Movement Founder

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