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The Great Financial Crisis kick started the private credit boom, but SVB was its true 'watershed' moment, Sixth Street co-president says

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The Great Financial Crisis kick started the private credit boom, but SVB was its true 'watershed' moment, Sixth Street co-president says

The Global Financial Crisis threw millions of Americans out of their homes and jobs, upending the entire economy. But for the private credit industry, it was actually an awakening of sorts.

Over the past few decades, U.S. banks’ problems have signaled opportunity for the private credit market, and that’s particularly true of the Global Financial Crisis and the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last March. When banks have issues, U.S. businesses’ desire for capital rarely wanes dramatically, and that leaves room for alternate lenders.

At the Fortune Future of Finance conference on Thursday, Joshua Easterly, co-CIO and co-president of the global investment firm Sixth Street, explained how he was working at Goldman Sachs after the Global Financial Crisis in 2009, running a team that did public and private market transactions in distressed debt and special situations, when he came to the realization that the lending industry had changed forever.

“It was the intended consequence, not the unintended consequence of regulations after the Crisis,” he said of the private credit boom. “Policymakers…wanted to figure out how to diffuse risk away from the taxpayer, but you couldn’t crush the economy by reducing credit, and so private credit history grew.”

Easterly argued that the private credit industry has a “better model” than the banking industry when it comes to lending risk, because it holds more capital for loans on balance sheets. And that made him come to a startling realization in 2009. “Huh? I think I need to go find a new job,” he recalled saying to a colleague. “So [the move to private credit] was a little bit about necessity.”

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Carey Lathrop, partner and chief operating officer of credit at Apollo Global Management, echoed Easterly’s comments, noting that when he started in the private credit industry “it was clear how hard it was to get things done that made economic sense” in public markets after the GFC.

The rise of private credit since 2008 has been historic, to say the least. Before the crisis, there was under $400 billion in total assets and committed capital in private credit. In 2023, that number jumped to $2.1 trillion, according to the International Monetary Fund. But it wasn’t just the Crisis that spurred the private credit boom. After the collapse of several regional banks in March 2023, headlined by the tech startup focused Silicon Valley Bank, businesses nationwide once again turned to private credit amid a liquidity crunch.

While SVB struggled after rapidly rising interest rates devalued its long-dated bonds, leading to a run on deposits from its list of influential and well-connected clientele, the manner in which private credit operates can lead to more stability in trying times.

Apollo’s Lathrop explained that banks like SVB “had this mismatch with a lot of long-term assets with assets with short term liabilities” that led to unrealized loan losses on their books as rates soared. But private credit doesn’t have this same issue. “We don’t run the [private credit] business that way,” he noted. “We were much more match funded.”

To his point, unlike banks, which fund a majority of their lending through customer deposits (and often uninsured deposits), private credit funds tend to use money from wealthy investors and institutions to make loans, leaving them less exposed to rising interest rates.

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Sixth Street’s Easterly said the SVB drama essentially showed “the robustness” of the private credit] business model, leading a raft of new clientele. “I think it was a watershed moment for the value of the asset class.”

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White & Case advises on IPO of Aadhar Housing Finance Limited | White & Case LLP

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White & Case advises on IPO of Aadhar Housing Finance Limited | White & Case LLP

Global law firm White & Case LLP has advised the book running lead managers on the initial public offering (IPO) of Aadhar Housing Finance Limited, a housing finance company focused on the low-income housing segment in India.

“White & Case teams in Singapore, Hong Kong, New York and London successfully advised on a notable IPO in the Indian market, which marks a significant milestone for Aadhar Housing Finance,” said Rahul Guptan, a partner at White & Case who co-led the Firm’s deal team. “This transaction was complex and executed within very tight timelines across multiple jurisdictions, demonstrating our global team’s expertise and commitment.

Aadhar Housing Finance Limited is one of India’s largest housing finance companies, dedicated to supporting the low-income sector.  With branches across 20 states and union territories, the company offers tailored credit solutions to its clients and boasts the highest Assets Under Management and net worth among its peers.

BCP Topco VII Pte. Ltd., the promoter of Aadhar Housing Finance Limited, is an affiliate of funds managed and/or advised by affiliates of Blackstone Group Inc.

Citigroup Global Markets India Private Limited, ICICI Securities Limited, Kotak Mahindra Capital Company Limited, Nomura Financial Advisory and Securities (India) Private Limited and SBI Capital Markets Limited acted as the book running lead managers for the transaction.

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The White & Case team which advised on the transaction was led by partners Rahul Guptan (London) and Kaya Proudian (Singapore), with support from partners Jim Fogarty, Elodie Gal, Steven Gee and Edward So (all New York) and associates Ji Yang Lim, Rachna Talati, Stephanie Zhao (all Singapore), Hilda Leung (Hong Kong) and Daniel Park (New York).

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Power Finance's (NSE:PFC) three-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

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Power Finance's (NSE:PFC) three-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth

Investing can be hard but the potential fo an individual stock to pay off big time inspires us. You won’t get it right every time, but when you do, the returns can be truly splendid. One such superstar is Power Finance Corporation Limited (NSE:PFC), which saw its share price soar 388% in three years. On top of that, the share price is up 23% in about a quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 13% in 90 days).

While the stock has fallen 5.4% this week, it’s worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Power Finance

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it’s a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Power Finance was able to grow its EPS at 19% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is lower than the 70% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.

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The company’s earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

NSEI:PFC Earnings Per Share Growth June 24th 2024

We’re pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Power Finance the TSR over the last 3 years was 520%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there’s no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It’s nice to see that Power Finance shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 210% over the last year. That’s including the dividend. That’s better than the annualised return of 46% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We’ve spotted 4 warning signs for Power Finance you should be aware of, and 3 of them make us uncomfortable.

Of course Power Finance may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Power Finance is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Power Finance is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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Better late than never: teach your kids good financial lessons

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Better late than never: teach your kids good financial lessons
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Parents spend many years reviewing their children’s report cards. A recent study essentially turned the tables on that, with young adults reviewing their parents’ performances, particularly in regard to financial matters. The findings weren’t good: Gen Z (people between ages 12 and 27) is the least financially confident generation, and a third of them say their parents didn’t set a good example for them.

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There’s a reason for the parents’ poor performance and a reason why young people should feel more confident about their financial futures.

Why many parents set poor examples

Before you blame your parents for not helping you get savvier, financially, put yourselves in their shoes. You might be lamenting that your school never taught you much about money, but your parents likely got even less financial schooling.

According to a 2023 Edward Jones survey, 80% of respondents said they never learned money skills in school. So, like most folks their age, your parents were just doing the best they could.

Many ended up deep in debt or facing other financial troubles, often without realizing how dangerous it is to overuse a credit card and how debt at high-interest rates can balloon over time.

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How parents today can set good examples

Here’s what your parents might have done had they known more about financial matters, and what you might do with your own kids now or whenever you have them:

  • Talk about money frequently – your financial goals, your financial challenges, how you’re overcoming those challenges, your smartest and dumbest financial moves, etc.
  • Show them your household budget and help them learn how much things cost.
  • Have them watch you shop in stores, online, wherever; talk about how you’re choosing to spend your money and point out when you decide to postpone or cancel a planned purchase.
  • Show them how to have fun without spending a lot of money, such as by hiking, playing board games, reading, playing sports with friends, and so on.
  • At the right time, start discussing the power of long-term investing in stocks. Show them how they might become millionaires one day if they save and invest.
  • If you’re an investor (and most of us should be since Social Security will not be enough to provide a comfortable retirement), let them see you investing. Talk about the investments you choose and why you choose them. Perhaps talk about companies of interest together. Eventually, help them start investing, too.

Basically, you want them to grow up fully aware of financial matters and of how to manage money sensibly.

Meet the millionaires next door. These Americans made millions out of nothing.

Why young people have a lot to be confident about

Finally, no matter how much they’ve learned or not learned from their parents, young people don’t necessarily have to despair over their financial futures, because those futures can be quite bright. Why? Simply because young people have a lot of something that’s vital to wealth building, something that most of us have much less of – and that’s time.

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Check out the table below, which shows how money can grow over time. It assumes 8% average-annual growth, though no one knows exactly how quickly the market will grow over any particular period. In the past, it has averaged close to 10% over many decades.

Source: Calculations by author.

Young people should see that once they’re earning money, if they can regularly invest meaningful amounts, they can amass significant sums, which can help them reach all kinds of goals, such as a reliable car, fully-paid home, supporting a family, enjoying a comfortable retirement, and so on.

You – and young people you know – would do well to take some time to learn more about investing. And then teach others.

The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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The Motley Fool is a USA TODAY content partner offering financial news, analysis and commentary designed to help people take control of their financial lives. Its content is produced independently of USA TODAY.

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