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Pole position: Sponsors to take full advantage of active debt markets | White & Case LLP

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Pole position: Sponsors to take full advantage of active debt markets | White & Case LLP

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  • The full array of financing options is finally available again for financial sponsors
  • Financing new deals will take centre stage as M&A markets show signs of recovery
  • Sponsors will curate bespoke loan packages to maximise flexibility and pricing
  • Sponsors will capitalise on opportunities to bring down financing costs across their portfolios

Private equity sponsors enter 2025 with a strong appetite to strike deals and take advantage of fully functioning debt markets.

The pause in buyout deal activity has created a backlog of unexited assets, which are sitting in portfolios as sponsors wait for market conditions to improve.

The post-pandemic cycle of high inflation and rising interest rates caused private equity and broader M&A deal activity to wane. As a result, a valuation gap has emerged—vendors have been reluctant to sell assets during the downturn, while bidders remain cautious about overpaying in an uncertain economic environment.

Europe recorded two years of rapidly declining private buyout dealmaking in 2022 and 2023, according to Mergermarket. Although activity has improved in 2024—the aggregate value of all private equity M&A in EMEA in 2024 (€268 billion) was up by approximately a third year-on-year from 2023’s total (€201.6 billion)—there is still a lot of ground to make up, particularly in terms of deal volume.

The pause in buyout deal activity has created a backlog of unexited assets, which are sitting in portfolios as sponsors wait for market conditions to improve. According to Bain & Co, buyout sponsors are holding approximately US$3.2 trillion of unsold assets in their portfolios, a record high.

Pent-up demand to spur sponsors and lenders

Dealmakers are increasingly optimistic about a rebound in European buyout activity in 2025, propelled by pent-up demand, falling interest rates and, crucially, more stable valuations.

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According to Dealsuite, the average European mid-market EBITDA multiple moved up for the first time in two years during H1 2024, supporting a corresponding uptick in M&A activity, which was especially pronounced in Q2 2024. As momentum builds, sponsors will take advantage of the reopened debt markets to negotiate optimal financing packages for new transactions.

Europe’s cycle of rising interest rates between July 2022 and September 2023 effectively shuttered broadly syndicated loan (BSL) markets, forcing sponsors to rely on private credit and alternative solutions, such as NAV loans, to finance deals and portfolios.

However, confidence returned to the BSL markets and high yield in 2024, offering sponsors a broad array of financing options besides private credit and fund finance. Overall, both European syndicated loan issuance and high yield bond issuance nearly doubled year-on-year in 2024. Combined issuance for buyout deals also improved, reaching €40.5 billion, surpassing the total logged in 2023 (€21.5 billion), though still far below pre-pandemic levels. 

Financing tailored to fit

With all the financing channels reopened, sponsors are focussing on aligning deals with optimal funding sources.

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High-quality borrowers requiring a substantial amount of debt will often find the best fit in the BSL and high yield bond markets, which can efficiently handle large-scale financings. Meanwhile, more complex or higher-risk borrowers—whether due to their higher levels of leverage or operational complexity—might prefer private credit, where lenders undertake more detailed due diligence (and can do so in relatively compressed timeframes) and are prepared to price in additional risk.

Sponsors will also increasingly blend different sources of debt to optimise capital structures. For example, in a BSL, a sponsor-backed borrower/issuer could raise euro-denominated debt in public markets and rely on private lenders to pick up sizeable tickets in any sterling-denominated debt they may require.

As sponsors select ideal structures for deals, competition among lenders will intensify. The BSL markets are sharpening execution and offer more flexibility, while private credit players are tightening their margins and offering increasingly flexible covenants to win over borrowers.

Portfolio priorities

Kickstarting buyout deal activity will be the primary objective of sponsors in 2025, but private equity firms are also keeping a close eye on existing portfolios. As interest rates continue to fall in Europe, refinancing or repricing borrowings at more favourable rates is high on the agenda.

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European loan refinancing and repricing deal flow surged in 2024, driven by lenders’ willingness to put money to work, even at tighter margins compared to the prior year. During the past 12 months, sponsors have increasingly pivoted from more costly private credit facilities towards lower-margin BSL products, and have leveraged falling interest rates to negotiate coupon discounts with incumbent private credit providers. 

One can expect sponsors to continue seizing opportunities to cut borrowing costs as market conditions improve. After more than two years of relatively limited financing options, sponsors are eager to get back to striking deals and maximising their portfolio companies’ value. Debt markets are well equipped to support those ambitions in 2025.

White & Case means the international legal practice comprising White & Case LLP, a New York State registered limited liability partnership, White & Case LLP, a limited liability partnership incorporated under English law and all other affiliated partnerships, companies and entities.

This article is prepared for the general information of interested persons. It is not, and does not attempt to be, comprehensive in nature. Due to the general nature of its content, it should not be regarded as legal advice.

© 2025 White & Case LLP

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Finance

Why this sleepy Swiss town has become a ‘bolt-hole’ for the Gulf elite

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Why this sleepy Swiss town has become a ‘bolt-hole’ for the Gulf elite

As conflict continues to destabilise the Middle East, the Gulf States elite are seeking solace in European alternatives that offer comparable financial benefits with a far lower risk of war on the doorstep. One such destination is the small Swiss town of Zug, which is becoming a “bolt-hole” for Gulf-based wealth, said the Financial Times.

‘Swiss Monaco’

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How much will Social Security go up next year? See latest forecast

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How much will Social Security go up next year? See latest forecast
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Before Social Security payments are posted this week, many retirees are looking ahead at the potential Cost of Living Adjustment for 2027 with an advocacy group predicting a similar increase to 2026.

On April 10, The Senior Citizens League — a nongovernmental advocacy group for seniors — released its monthly COLA forecast for 2027, saying data showed a 2.8% increase is likely.

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“Over the last seven weeks, crude oil prices have soared, and fuel prices have followed suit. Consumers are getting pinched at the pump as gas prices soar, while businesses are paying more for transportation and/or production costs. This energy price shock is beginning to show up in the monthly U.S. inflation report, and it’s having a tangible impact on 2027 COLA forecasts,” The Motley Fool, a financial and investing advice company, and USA TODAY content partner, reported on April 18.

The official announcement will come in October, as it’s based on third-quarter inflation data.

According to Consumer Price Index data published last week, the annual inflation rate reached a two-year high of 3.3%, up 0.9% over the last month. This is largely due to soaring oil prices caused by the war in Iran.

Social Security payments are always scheduled on Wednesdays, with the final wave of this month scheduled for April 22, according to the Social Security Administration. The schedule is based on the birth dates of the recipients — retired, disabled workers or survivors.

Here’s who will get a Social Security check this week and more on the 2027 COLA forecast:

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When is the final Social Security in April 2026?

Social Security benefits are sent out based on the recipients’ birth dates. Wednesday, April 22, is the final wave of payments for those with birth dates between the 21st and the 31st of April.

What is the 2027 COLA forecast?

The 2027 COLA increase is forecast to be 2.8% due to continuing inflation prices, according to The Senior Citizens League’s April 10 press release. If the SSA approves that rate of increase, average payment for retired workers would go up by $56 per month in January 2027.

The SCL releases a COLA prediction each month based on the Consumer Price Index, Federal Reserve interest rate and the National Unemployment rate from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Beneficiaries who want to stay updated with the monthly predictions may visit the SCL’s “COLA Watch” webpage that includes the forecast, calculations, historical trends and more.

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The official COLA increase for 2027 will be announced in October 2026.

What were the big Social Security changes in 2026?

At the beginning of 2026 recipients received a 2.8% COLA for Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) payments, according to the SSA’s COLA Fact Sheet and American Association of Retired Persons, increasing payments about $56 per month.

Here are more details on the 2026 COLA increase, per the SSA:

  • The maximum amount of earnings subject to the Social Security tax increased to $184,500.
  • The earnings limit for workers who are younger than full retirement age (67 years old) increased to $24,480. (There will be a $1 deduction for each $2 earned over $24,480.)
  • The earnings limit for people reaching their full retirement age in 2026 increased to $65,160. (There will be a $1 deduction for each $3 earned over $65,160, until the month the worker turns full retirement age.)
  • There is no limit on earnings for workers who are at full retirement age or older for the entire year.

What should I do if I don’t get my Social Security payment?

According to the SSA, if you don’t receive your payment on the scheduled date, wait three days additional days, then call their office.

Where are the Social Security offices in Michigan?

There are 48 offices in Michigan, and to find an office near you, recipients may use the office locator via the Social Security’s website by entering your zip code for office hours, numbers, available services and more.

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How can I replace my Social Security card?

The personal account, “my Social Security” allows recipients to manage their personal records, including a request for a replacement Social Security card and benefit statements for taxes and more. New accounts are created using ID.me or Login.gov as a multifactor authentication.

When will I get my checks in May? Full 2026 schedule

USA TODAY Contributed

Contact Sarah Moore @ smoore@lsj.com

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Hong Kong reasserts role as safe haven in global finance amid Iran conflict

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Hong Kong reasserts role as safe haven in global finance amid Iran conflict
The US-Israeli war on Iran has unleashed sharp swings across global energy and financial markets, fuelling demand for safe-haven assets, with Hong Kong emerging as a potential beneficiary across gold, property and capital markets. In the third of a three-part series, we look at Hong Kong’s position as a stable base where demand for property has held firm despite the global turmoil.

The seven-week military conflict in the Middle East will redefine Hong Kong’s role as a global financial centre, positioning the city as a safe harbour for capital and investments.

Anecdotal evidence suggested that more banks had turned to Hong Kong to protect their businesses and committed themselves to expanding their presence in the city. At the same time, inquiries about adding allocations of mainland Chinese assets among global investors had recently increased, potentially enlarging the customer base for the city’s asset-management industry and family offices and driving demand for offshore yuan-linked financial products.

For years, Hong Kong’s status as a financial centre in the Asia-Pacific region has been challenged by Dubai, which has risen to prominence as a gateway linking Asia and Europe in capital flows, transport and logistics. With the war destabilising the Middle East – at one point forcing the closure of the Dubai International Airport and sending stocks in the Gulf region plunging – Hong Kong has re-emerged due to its geographical location, a pegged exchange rate, free capital flows and support from China’s economic strength.

“In that context, China and Hong Kong are attracting renewed attention,” said Gary Dugan, CEO of The Global CIO Office in Dubai, which advises family offices and ultra-high-net-worth individuals globally. “There is growing interest among some clients in increasing exposure to China and Hong Kong. It is less a simple flight to safety and more a reassessment of where investors see relative value, policy consistency and long-term strategic opportunity.”

Dubai now relies on trade, tourism and finance as the pillars of its economy, reflecting the success of its four-decade diversification away from oil for sustained growth. The United Arab Emirates city is home to Jebel Ali Free Zone, the biggest free-trade zone in the Middle East, and the second-largest stock market in the region, with combined market values of US$1.01 trillion. The city, also a global hub for gold trading, has a population of 4 million, about 80 per cent of which are foreign expatriates. Dubai’s economy grew by 4.7 per cent in the January-to-September period last year.

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