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New regulator pledges transparency as China works to prevent investor exodus

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New regulator pledges transparency as China works to prevent investor exodus

China’s new financial regulator has made fresh pledges to increase regulatory transparency, stability and predictability, the latest of several attempts to restore investor confidence following a stock meltdown and high-profile personnel changes.

The country will benchmark its financial policies against international rules and reduce restrictive measures to make itself more open and integrated with the global market, the Communist Party’s newly created Central Financial Commission (CFC) said in an article published by People’s Daily, the party’s press organ, on Tuesday.

“[We’ll] strengthen the interconnection of domestic and overseas financial markets and better facilitate cross-border investment and financing,” the commission said in its article, which detailed how to make China a “financial superpower”.

These signals are being sent at a time when foreign investors, including greenfield capital and portfolio holders, are hesitant to decide their next move and worried over the future of China’s policy choices.

The world’s second-biggest economy achieved 5.2 per cent gross domestic product growth in 2023, but market sentiment has remained low thanks to a protracted property industry slump, beleaguered employment figures and ballooning debts held by local governments.

Foreign investors have turned to other markets in the past year amid these factors and heightened geopolitical tensions, pushing the country’s annual net receipt of foreign direct investment (FDI) to a 30-year low in 2023.

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‘We play with our money, so are careful’: is China uninvestable or invaluable?

According to data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Sunday, direct investment liabilities – a measure of both FDI inflows and outflows – rose by US$33 billion last year over 2022. This was a drop of 82 per cent year on year, and the lowest annual level for the investment metric since 1993.

However, Wang Chunying, a spokesperson for the forex regulator, said the foreign inflow of securities investment in China improved in the fourth quarter of 2023, with net inflow reaching a two-year high.

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Hong Kong stock market falls below 15,000 level, its lowest in 15 months

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Hong Kong stock market falls below 15,000 level, its lowest in 15 months

“This shows more foreign capital comes to China to invest in business and allocate renminbi assets”, she said in a statement, adding that China’s balance of payments will stabilise in 2024 as “both the internal and external environments will generally improve”.

China’s CSI 300 stock index, the benchmark index covering leading stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen, lost about 11 per cent in 2023 as investor confidence waned.

The gauge rose more than 1 per cent on Monday and 0.2 per cent on Tuesday, following a long Lunar New Year holiday that saw stronger-than-expected consumer spending led by tourism and cinema sales.

China’s middle class seek safe haven for wealth amid economic slowdown

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While committing to more openness and transparency, the CFC vowed to make Shanghai more competitive and influential as an international financial centre and consolidate the status of Hong Kong.

It also emphasised the importance of “high-level security”, pledging to keep all financial activities under control.

Officials should “identify, warn against, expose and handle risks as early as possible, and prevent small things from becoming magnified and big things from blowing up”, said the commission in the article.

Beijing sees managing financial risks as critical for China’s future development, as stability is being tested by government debt loads, widespread corruption and financial services that are lagging behind the country’s rapid advances in technology and manufacturing.

Preventing and resolving financial risks was termed an “eternal theme” for the Chinese government by President Xi Jinping at the twice-a-decade central financial work conference in October.
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Digitized Assets & Tokenized Finance Impact Report 2026 FII Institute Site

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Digitized Assets & Tokenized Finance Impact Report 2026 FII Institute Site

What if the global financial system could move at the speed of the internet unlocking trillions in value while expanding access to capital worldwide?

Developed in collaboration with Dante Disparte, Chief Strategy Officer and Head of Global Policy & Operations at Circle; Fred Thiel, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of MARA, Inc.; and Ryan Hayward, Head of Digital Assets and Strategic Investments at Barclays, this report on digital assets and tokenized finance reveals how a rapidly emerging $16–30 trillion market is transforming traditional finance into a real-time, programmable, and borderless ecosystem.

It explores how the tokenization of real-world assets, the explosive growth of stablecoins processing over $30 trillion annually, and instant (T+0) settlement are redefining liquidity, reducing cross-border costs, and reshaping global investment flows. The report also highlights the critical role of financial inclusion, addressing a $330 billion SME financing gap alongside the rise of AI-driven transactions, energy-powered infrastructure, and evolving regulation that will ultimately determine who leads and who benefits in the next era of finance.

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Oil rollercoaster pushes prices higher as US-Iran talks raise questions

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Oil rollercoaster pushes prices higher as US-Iran talks raise questions

Brent crude (BZ=F) and West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) futures contracts marched higher on Tuesday morning, having plummeted more than 10% at one point in Monday’s trading session. Questions continue to swirl around the potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and an end to the conflict between Iran and the US and Israel.

Brent crude (BZ=F) gained 1.7% after the opening bell in London, to around the $97.50 per barrel mark. West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) also rose 1.7% to $89.55 per barrel.

The moves come amid conflicting reports about talks between Iran and the US to end fighting. On Monday, president Donald Trump delayed strikes on Iranian power plants, having given Iran a deadline to restore trade through the Strait of Hormuz, saying Washington had productive conversations with Tehran.

But Tehran has since denied that it has been in touch with US negotiators, accusing Washington of price manipulation.

On Sunday night, Trump and prime minister Keir Starmer held a 20-minute phone call about the situation.

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“They agreed that reopening the Strait of Hormuz was essential to ensure stability in the global energy market,” a Downing Street spokesperson said.

On Saturday, Trump gave Iran a 48-hour deadline to reopen the Strait — a measure set to expire shortly before midnight UK time on Monday.

In a Truth Social post, Trump wrote: “If Iran doesn’t FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 hours from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST!”

Yesterday, Iran’s defence council said in a statement that the “only way for non-hostile countries” to pass through Strait of Hormuz is “coordination with Iran”.

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Iran issues its largest-ever currency denomination as accelerating inflation ravages a financial sector deemed a ‘Ponzi scheme’ even before the war | Fortune

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Iran issues its largest-ever currency denomination as accelerating inflation ravages a financial sector deemed a ‘Ponzi scheme’ even before the war | Fortune

Iran’s economy was already crashing before the U.S. and Israel launched a war against the Islamic republic three weeks ago, and the relentless bombing since then has wreaked even more havoc.

In fact, high inflation triggered mass protests in December and January, prompting the regime to massacre tens of thousands of its own citizens. President Donald Trump warned Tehran against further violence and began a military build-up that led to the current conflict.

Inflation has worsened and apparently is so bad now the government issued its largest-ever currency denomination: the 10 million rial note (equivalent to about $7).

The new currency went into circulation last week, according to the Financial Times, and comes just a month after the prior record holder, the 5 million rial, came out.

As prices continue to spiral higher while the war boosts demand for cash, long lines formed to withdraw the fresh banknotes, and supplies quickly ran out.

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Iran’s central bank said electronic payments are still the main methods for transactions, though the 10 million rial bill will “ensure public access to cash,” the FT reported.

But doubts about the viability of electronic payments have grown during the war as the U.S. and Israel target the regime’s levers of control.

In addition to bombing Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Basij paramilitary forces, a data center for Bank Sepah was also hit on March 11. Sepah is the country’s largest bank and is responsible for paying salaries to the military and IRGC.

“Iran is already in the middle of a severe cash liquidity crisis,” Miad Maleki, a senior advisor at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and a former Treasury Department official, said on X earlier this month. “As of Jan 2026, banks were running out of physical banknotes daily, with informal withdrawal caps of just $18–$30/day. Cash in circulation surged 49% YoY due to panic hoarding. The regime simply cannot pivot to cash payments, there isn’t enough physical currency in the system.”

Meanwhile, a currency collapse that began after last year’s U.S.-Israeli bombardment has fueled crippling inflation. The rial lost 60% of its value in the months after the 12-day war, and food inflation soared to 64% by October. It accelerated further to 105% by February, vaulting overall inflation to 47.5%.

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The exchange rate fell as low as 1.66 million rials per $1 last month, though it strengthened to about 1.5 million rials as the U.S. temporarily lifted sanctions on Iranian oil.

Heightened demand for cash further stresses a financial system that was considered dubious even before the current war started three weeks ago.

The failure of Ayandeh Bank late last year forced the regime to fold it into a state-run lender, underscoring how fragile the sector was as bad loans piled up to politically connected cronies.

“This was largely theater. In reality, Iran’s entire banking system is insolvent, its balance sheets sustained by fiction rather than assets,” Siamak Namazi, who was a U.S. hostage in Iran from 2015 to 2023, wrote in a report for the Middle East Institute in January.

During his captivity, he learned from imprisoned former officials and business elites that politically connected borrowers bribed assessors to inflate the value of properties, which were used to obtain massive loans.

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Instead of repaying the loans, borrowers just gave their properties to the bank, which sold them to other banks at a paper profit, according to Namazi. Those banks knew the properties were overvalued “garbage,” but played along in the scheme by dumping their own toxic assets in exchange and booking fictitious gains.

“The result is a closed-loop Ponzi scheme, sustained by mutual deception and regulatory complicity,” he added. “This practice has metastasized over the past 15 years and is far more extensive than this simplified description suggests. And this is only the banking system. Much of the rest of Iran’s economy is afflicted by similarly entrenched corruption and mismanagement.”

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