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'It was too big a cut': Trump and his allies slam Fed after inflation report

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'It was too big a cut': Trump and his allies slam Fed after inflation report

Donald Trump and his top allies quickly jumped on a hotter-than-expected inflation report Thursday to slam the Biden/Harris administration, the Federal Reserve and central bank chairman Jerome Powell.

“The fact is that the Federal Reserve brought the interest rates down a little too quickly,” former President Donald Trump said Thursday afternoon during an appearance at the Detroit Economic Club.

“It was too big a cut and everyone knows that was a political maneuver that they tried to do before the election,” he added.

It was the most direct critique from Trump of Powell in months and came after an initial reaction from the GOP nominee to the September interest rate cut of 50-basis-points where Trump often focused on charges of a bad economy over critiquing the central bank directly.

“It was totally a political decision and inflation has started to rise,” Trump said Thursday while also charging that high interest rates “really kills the American dream for young people.”

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DETROIT, MICHIGAN - OCTOBER 10: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump, speaks at the Detroit Economic Club on October 10, 2024 in Detroit, Michigan. Trump is campaigning in Michigan, a key battleground state, ahead of the upcoming presidential election. (Photo by Bill Pugliano/Getty Images)

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump, speaks at the Detroit Economic Club on October 10. (Bill Pugliano/Getty Images) (Bill Pugliano via Getty Images)

Make America Great Again Inc. — a Trump supporting Super-PAC — also jumped in with a release Thursday saying Thursday’s inflation reading could be part of “the Fed’s worst nightmare.”

Overall, prices as measured by the Consumer Price Index increased 2.4% over the last year, which marked a slight deceleration following August’s 2.5% annual gain in prices.

But the lower annual readings were largely overshadowed by a monthly increase in September of 0.2% over August, hotter than economist estimates of a 0.1% uptick.

Democrats, including the Biden/Harris administration, chose to focus on that annual number in their reactions with National Economic Advisor Lael Brainard offering in a statement that “inflation has fallen back down to 2.4%, the same rate as right before the pandemic.”

“We keep making progress,” she added.

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The Federal Reserve’s Open Market committee won’t gather again until after election day. Thursday’s inflation reading appeared to offer new momentum for central bank hawks counseling a more gradual pace of interest rate cuts in the months ahead.

And some initial reaction suggested a change in strategy is not likely no matter what Trump says.

Likely 25-basis-point cuts at last two meetings of the year are “pretty much baked into the cake,” offered Max Kettner, HSBC chief multi-asset strategist, in a Yahoo Finance Live Appearance Thursday.

But Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic did tell The Wall Street Journal Thursday following the CPI release that he was “totally comfortable” with holding steady next month and that he had already penciled in an estimate of just one more rate cut this year.

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What Thursday’s campaign trail commentary could do is mark a return to political headaches for Powell that have ebbed and flowed over the course of 2024.

WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 2: President Donald Trump walks out with Federal Reserve board member Jerome Powell to announce him as his nominee for the next chair of the Federal Reserve in the Rose Garden at the White House in Washington, DC on Thursday, Nov. 02, 2017. (Photo by Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images)WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 2: President Donald Trump walks out with Federal Reserve board member Jerome Powell to announce him as his nominee for the next chair of the Federal Reserve in the Rose Garden at the White House in Washington, DC on Thursday, Nov. 02, 2017. (Photo by Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images)

Then-President Donald Trump walks out with Federal Reserve board member Jerome Powell to announce him as his nominee for the next chair of the Federal Reserve at the White House in 2017. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images) (The Washington Post via Getty Images)

In August, Trump said he would like a “say” in setting interest rates, raising the prospect that the Republican nominee could seek to reduce the independence of the Federal Reserve if he wins in November.

He was even blunter earlier in the year, when he told Bloomberg in June that cuts are something “they know they shouldn’t be doing.” That came after a February Fox Business interview when Trump said of cuts: “I think [Powell’s] going to do something to probably help the Democrats.”

But when a cut finally came, Trump’s initial reaction was to focus on the economy.

“I guess it shows the economy is very bad to cut it by that much assuming that they are not just playing politics,” Trump said in September a few hours after the cut.

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“It was a political move,” he offered a few days later in a Newsmax interview but only at the urging of the interview and after Trump had first mentioned the economy.

Ben Werschkul is Washington correspondent for Yahoo Finance.

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Finance

September CPI in focus, Delta slides on earnings: Yahoo Finance

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September CPI in focus, Delta slides on earnings: Yahoo Finance

Investors are closely watching the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for clues as to what may come next from the Federal Reserve. Delta Air Lines (DAL) shares are falling after its third quarter results fell short of Wall Street’s expectations. The results did take a hit from the massive CrowdStrike outage in July. Chinese stocks rebounded slightly as its central bank began its efforts to support the markets. Tesla stock (TSLA) is in focus ahead of the electric vehicle maker’s highly anticipated robotaxi event slated for Thursday night. Snowflake (SNOW), Costco (COST), and Pfizer (PFE) were among the stocks on Yahoo Finance’s trending tickers page.

Key guests include:
8:30 a.m. ET – Yelena Maleyev, KPMG Senior Economist, and Eric Wallerstein, Yardeni Research Chief Markets Strategist
9:20 a.m. ET – George Ferguson, Bloomberg Intelligence Analyst
9:30 a.m. ET – Marvin Loh, State Street Senior Global Macro Strategist
10:00 a.m. ET – Anthony Wang, T. Rowe Price Science & Technology Equity Strategy portfolio manager
10:50 a.m. ET – Stephanie Guild, Robinhood Head of Investment Strategy
11:15 a.m. ET – Mark Hamrick, Bankrate Senior Economic Analyst

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Former Pfizer CEO, finance chief step back from Starboard's activist campaign

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Former Pfizer CEO, finance chief step back from Starboard's activist campaign

Ian Read, chairman and chief executive officer of Pfizer, speaks as President Donald Trump, left, listens during an announcement on a new pharmaceutical glass packaging initiative in the Roosevelt Room of the White House in Washington, D.C., July 20, 2017. 

Andrew Harrer | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Former Pfizer CEO Ian Read and ex-CFO Frank D’Amelio said Wednesday evening that they would step away from Starboard Value’s campaign at the struggling pharmaceutical giant, just days after news of the activist’s stake broke.

Read and D’Amelio said they were “fully supportive” of Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla in a joint statement made via an investment bank and confirmed to be authentic. The duo had been in contact with a number of directors shortly before news of Starboard’s stake broke Sunday evening, according to people familiar with the matter.

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“We are confident that over time they will deliver shareholder value,” the two former executives said of Pfizer’s current board and management. The company’s shares are essentially flat for the year and are off by roughly 50% from their 2021 highs.

The statement was made through Guggenheim Securities, which has long advised Pfizer on dealmaking. A representative for the bank declined to comment beyond the release.

The about face comes as Pfizer’s board grapples with the activist’s efforts, and just days before Starboard’s Jeff Smith was slated to meet with CEO Bourla, said people familiar with the matter. For executives to join, and then walk away from an activist’s campaign is highly unusual.

It was also not immediately clear what impact, if any, the breakaway would have on Starboard’s campaign. A representative for the activist fund did not immediately return a request for comment. Starboard, one of the largest and most tenacious activist funds, has amassed a roughly $1 billion position in the pharmaceutical firm, CNBC previously reported.

Jeff Smith, the managing member at Starboard, has previously mounted campaigns at Autodesk and Salesforce in recent months. While it typically focuses on the technology sector, it also built stakes in Starbucks and Wall Street Journal parent News Corp this year.

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Representatives for Pfizer did not return requests for comment.

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Fed minutes reveal lively September debate about whether first rate cut should be big or small

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Fed minutes reveal lively September debate about whether first rate cut should be big or small

There was a divide within the Federal Reserve about whether its first interest rate cut in more than four years should be big or small, according to minutes from the central bank’s September meeting released Wednesday.

A “substantial majority” of Fed officials supported lowering rates by 50 basis points at the last meeting, but “some” would have preferred to have lowered by 25 basis points and “a few others indicated that they could have supported such a decision,” the minutes read.

Those who argued for a 25 basis point reduction noted that inflation was still somewhat elevated, while economic growth was strong and unemployment low.

Several said a smaller cut would line up more with a gradual reduction in the policy rate that would be more predictable and allow more time to assess any impacts on the economy.

Those who argued for a jumbo-sized cut said a 50 basis point move would help sustain strength in the economy and the job market while continuing to bring down inflation.

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Some even said there had been a case for a 25 basis point rate cut at the previous meeting in July, and that recent data offered even more evidence that inflation continues to drop while the labor market cools.

Some of this internal division at the Fed was made public on Sept. 18 as the decision to cut by 50 basis points was announced, with Fed governor Michelle Bowman dissenting and saying she preferred 25 basis points.

No Fed official has voted against a policy decision in two years, matching one of the longest such streaks in the past half-century. Moreover, no Fed governor has dissented on a rate decision since 2005.

The Fed’s rate-setting committee was also almost evenly split on the number of additional rate cuts expected this year, with seven policymakers favoring one additional 25 basis point rate cut before year-end and nine members favoring 50 basis points of additional easing. Two policymakers expected no more rate cuts.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in a press conference with reporters last month, acknowledged the dissent but also said there was “broad support” for the cut and a “lot of common ground” among his fellow policymakers.

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Il presidente della Federal Reserve Jerome Powell tiene una conferenza stampa dopo una riunione di due giorni del Federal Open Market Committee a Washington, Stati Uniti, 18 settembre 2024. REUTERS/Tom Brenner

Fed Chair Jerome Powell, at last month’s press conference. (REUTERS/Tom Brenner) (Reuters / Reuters)

In the week since the decision, several policymakers have offered public support for a jumbo rate cut of 50 basis points, citing progress on inflation and a cooling job market.

Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic has said that residual concerns might have led him to trim by a smaller 25 basis points at the September policy meeting, but that would have ignored a recent cooling in the job market.

Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari said he voted in favor of cutting by 50 basis points because “the balance of risks has shifted away from higher inflation and toward the risk of a further weakening of the labor market, warranting a lower federal funds rate.”

Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee also said he was “comfortable” with a 50 basis point cut, viewing it “as a demarcation” that the central bank is now back to thinking as much about achieving maximum employment as it is price stability.

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But a stronger-than-expected jobs report released last week now has analysts wondering whether the central bank will curtail rate cuts or if it moved too quickly with a 50 basis point reduction. There are also worries that inflation could be re-elevated as a concern.

Fed officials will get a fresh reading on inflation Thursday when the Consumer Price Index is due out. That measure is expected to keep in line with what officials want to see.

Economists expect core inflation — which eliminates volatile food and energy prices the Fed can’t control — held steady on an annual basis in September at 3.2% from the same level in August. Month over month, CPI is expected to have grown by 0.2%, compared with 0.3% in August.

Some Fed officials are urging a gradual path to cuts as they look to balance downside risks to unemployment with continuing to bring down inflation.

Dallas Fed president Lorie Logan became the latest official to voice that view on Wednesday, saying in a speech that “a more gradual path back to a normal policy stance will likely be appropriate from here to best balance the risks to our dual-mandate goals.”

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Powell made it clear in remarks on Sept. 30 that the central bank isn’t in a “hurry” to bring interest rates down and would prefer smaller cuts.

He also reiterated that the consensus of Fed officials outlined at the September meeting was for two more 25 basis point rate cuts this year, saying, “it wouldn’t mean more fifties.”

Other officials, including New York Fed President John Williams, St. Louis Fed president Alberto Musalem, and Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee, all have said recently they favor bringing interest rates lower “over time.”

At the September meeting, according to the minutes, officials said it’s important to communicate that lowering rates should not be interpreted to mean the Fed believes the economic outlook has soured or that the Fed will lower rates more rapidly than the path laid out.

“Some participants emphasized that reducing policy restraint too late or too little could risk unduly weakening economic activity and employment. A few participants highlighted in particular the costs and challenges of addressing such a weakening once it is fully under way,” the minutes read.

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Almost all participants saw upside risks to the inflation outlook as having diminished, while downside risks to employment were seen as having increased.

While Fed officials generally viewed the job market as solid, some said that the recent pace of job increases had fallen short of what was required to keep the unemployment rate stable on a sustained basis, assuming a constant labor force participation rate.

Many said that evaluating the job market had been challenging, with increased immigration, revisions to reported payroll data, and possible changes in the underlying growth rate of productivity.

Several participants emphasized the importance of continuing to use disaggregated data or information provided by business contacts as a check on readings on labor market conditions obtained from aggregate data.

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