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What a Trump Presidency Could Mean for the Cryptocurrency Industry

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What a Trump Presidency Could Mean for the Cryptocurrency Industry

Hey there! My name is Logical Thesis and I’m a writer for WOLF Financial. If you are looking for more investing related content, I guarantee you’ll enjoy my content on 𝕏, @LogicalThesis. Thanks for reading!


In a notable shift from his previous criticism, former President Donald Trump has recently adopted a more favorable view of cryptocurrencies. This change could significantly impact the cryptocurrency industry if he were to return to office. Previously labeling digital currencies as a threat to the U.S. dollar and denouncing their volatility, Trump has now recognized their potential benefits. His new stance was highlighted in recent public speeches, where he discussed the innovation and opportunities digital currencies could bring to the financial system. This change of heart is significant as Trump spoke at the Bitcoin Conference last week in Nashville, TN.

Should Trump re-enter the White House, the cryptocurrency industry might enjoy a more supportive regulatory environment. This could include policies aimed at fostering innovation while implementing safeguards against fraud and misuse. Such a shift would likely encourage greater investment in blockchain technology and digital assets, potentially strengthening the United States’ position in the global cryptocurrency market. Many billionaires are donating to Trump’s campaign, to which Mark Cuban refers to as ‘the Bitcoin play.’

Trump’s embrace of cryptocurrency might also lead to the development of clearer regulatory frameworks that provide stability and predictability for businesses and investors. This could help legitimize cryptocurrencies further, integrating them more deeply into the mainstream financial system.

Additionally, Trump has acknowledged the sector’s potential for job creation and economic growth. His administration might pursue policies that promote the expansion of the crypto industry, including initiatives to attract crypto-related businesses and talent to the United States, thus enhancing the nation’s competitive edge in this rapidly evolving field.

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Further bolstering this positive outlook is Trump’s newly selected vice president, JD Vance, who is known for his pro-Bitcoin and pro-cryptocurrency stance. Vance, a vocal proponent of Bitcoin and blockchain technology, has highlighted their potential to democratize finance and challenge traditional banking systems. His views align with the growing belief that cryptocurrencies can enhance financial inclusion and spur innovation. With Vance’s support, a Trump administration could deepen its commitment to creating a favorable environment for the growth and development of the cryptocurrency industry.

In summary, a Trump presidency with a more positive stance on cryptocurrencies, bolstered by JD Vance’s pro-crypto views, could herald a new era of growth and innovation for the industry. By fostering a balanced regulatory environment and supporting the integration of digital assets into the financial system, their administration could help solidify the United States as a global leader in the cryptocurrency space.

Disclaimer: This service is for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting or investment advice. These are my opinions and observations only. I am not a financial advisor.

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Crypto

Bitcoin rally loses steam in final days of record-breaking year

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Bitcoin rally loses steam in final days of record-breaking year
A bitcoin rally is fizzling in the final days of a record-breaking year for the digital asset, as investors assess the remaining impetus from US president-elect Donald Trump’s embrace of the cryptocurrency sector.

The largest token changed hands at US$96,200 as of 2pm Friday in Hong Kong, partly paring a retreat of almost 3 per cent from a day earlier. Smaller rivals including ether and dogecoin, a favourite of the meme crowd, oscillated in tight ranges.

The crypto market is also braced for the expiry of a substantial quantity of bitcoin and ether options contracts on Friday – one of the biggest such events in the history of digital assets, according to prime broker FalconX.

The notional value of the bitcoin contracts on the Deribit exchange – one of the largest for digital-asset derivatives – exceeds US$14 billion, while the equivalent figure for ether is about US$3.8 billion.

Sean McNulty, director of trading at liquidity provider Arbelos Markets, flagged the risk of a “choppy market” amid the expiry of the derivatives positions.

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Russian Companies Reportedly Using Crypto for International Payments | PYMNTS.com

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Russian Companies Reportedly Using Crypto for International Payments | PYMNTS.com

Russian businesses are reportedly using bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to make international payments.

It’s a trend that comes in the wake of legislative changes that permitted these types of payments to get around western sanctions, Reuters reported Tuesday (Dec. 26), citing comments from Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov.

As the report noted, the sanctions — issued following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 — have made it tougher for Russia to trade with partners like China and Turkey. But this year, Russia began allowing crypto for foreign trades, and is working on legalizing the mining of crypto such as bitcoin.

“As part of the experimental regime, it is possible to use bitcoins, which we had mined here in Russia (in foreign trade transactions),” Siluanov told Russia 24 television channel.

“Such transactions are already occurring. We believe they should be expanded and developed further. I am confident this will happen next year,” he said, adding that using digital currencies to make international payments represent the future.

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PYMNTS explored this idea earlier this week in a report on events in the cryptocurrency/blockchain world in the past year.

“Cross-border payments, historically plagued by high fees and slow transaction times, underwent a significant transformation in 2024,” that report said. “Blockchain technology emerged as a key enabler, offering transparency, speed and cost efficiency.”

Stablecoins play a key role, PYMNTS added, letting businesses bypass traditional correspondent banking networks and settle transactions almost instantly.

“Blockchain technology and public blockchains in particular, are opening up a number of new use cases, one of which is to transfer value — such as remittances — from one country to another,” Raj Dhamodharan, executive vice president, blockchain and digital assets at Mastercard, told PYMNTS.

Research by PYMNTS Intelligence has found that cryptocurrency use in making cross-border payments could be the winning use case that the sector has been searching for. The research shows that blockchain-based cross-border solutions, especially stablecoins, are being increasingly used by firms looking for better ways to transact and expand internationally.

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“Blockchain solutions and stablecoins — I don’t like to use the term crypto because this is more about FinTech — they’ve found product-market fit in cross-border payments,” Sheraz Shere, general manager of payments and commerce at Solana Foundation, said in an interview here earlier this year. “You get the disintermediation, you get the speed, you get the transparency, you get extremely low cost.”

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Markets Show Resilience Ahead of End-of-Year Options Expirations: Bybit x Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Report

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Markets Show Resilience Ahead of End-of-Year Options Expirations: Bybit x Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Report

DUBAI, UAE, Dec. 26, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, released the latest Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report in collaboration with Block Scholes, highlighting the muted market volatility despite major options expirations on Friday. BTC and ETH’s realized volatility has increased, but short-term options haven’t adjusted to this change. This indicates that while spot prices are fluctuating, the options market is not fully reacting to these shifts, although BTC and ETH volumes have displayed slightly different patterns.

With more than $525 million in BTC and ETH options contracts expiring on Dec 27, 2024’s end-of-year options expiration looks set to be one of the biggest yet, yet expectations for volatility have remained subdued. The report highlights an unusual inversion in ETH’s volatility structure, but BTC has not mirrored the reaction. Additionally, a change in funding rates—sometimes turning negative as spot prices drop—signals a new market phase. Notably, BTC’s volatility structure has been less responsive to changes in spot prices, whereas ETH’s short-term options are exhibiting more noticeable fluctuations.

Key Findings:

BTC Options Expirations:

In the past month, BTC’s realized volatility has been higher than implied volatility on three occasions, each time reaching a relatively calm equilibrium. Open interest in BTC options remains high, contributing to potential increased volatility as we near the end of the year. Around $360 million worth of BTC options (both puts and calls) are set to expire soon, which can affect price movement.

ETH Options: Calls Dominate

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Despite a mid-week inversion, ETH’s volatility term structure has flattened, maintaining levels similar to those seen over the past month. In the final week of 2024, calls overwhelmed puts in open interest in ETH options, although market movements and trading activities are more on the put side. 

Access the Full Report:

Gain deeper insights and explore the potential impacts on your crypto trading strategies by downloading the full report here: Bybit X Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report (Dec 24, 2024)

#Bybit / #BybitResearch

About Bybit

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Bybit is the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, serving a global community of over 60 million users. Founded in 2018, Bybit is redefining openness in the decentralized world by creating a simpler, open and equal ecosystem for everyone. With a strong focus on Web3, Bybit partners strategically with leading blockchain protocols to provide robust infrastructure and drive on-chain innovation. Renowned for its secure custody, diverse marketplaces, intuitive user experience, and advanced blockchain tools, Bybit bridges the gap between TradFi and DeFi, empowering builders, creators, and enthusiasts to unlock the full potential of Web3. Discover the future of decentralized finance at Bybit.com.

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For more information, please visit: https://www.bybit.com

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