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Republicans claim betrayal as cryptocurrency PAC backs Democrats

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Republicans claim betrayal as cryptocurrency PAC backs Democrats

JACKSON HOLE, Wyo. — A leading pro-cryptocurrency political group has dumped millions of dollars into high-profile Michigan and Arizona Senate races to back Democrats against Donald Trump-endorsed candidates, angering top Republicans who viewed the industry as an ally, not an opponent.

Fairshake PAC and its affiliated super PACs are reserving millions in advertising spending to influence three U.S. Senate races this cycle, and have announced commitments of about $3 million each to Democrats Rep. Ruben Gallego, who is running in Arizona, and Rep. Elissa Slotkin, a candidate in Michigan, it said on Wednesday.

The spending risks upending GOP efforts to secure seats in two key battleground states in the fight for control of the Senate and comes as top Republicans — amid a hostile regulatory environment — have leveraged their political capital to broker closer ties to the cryptocurrency industry.

When asked for comment, Fairshake referred NBC News to Slotkin and Gallego’s current A-ratings from Stand With Crypto, a nonprofit group advocating for the crypto industry. Both Democrats this year crossed party lines to support a historic crypto bill.

For years, Slotkin had expressed skepticism of cryptocurrency until an apparent change of heart in recent months. The Michigan lawmaker earned an F-rating from Stand With Crypto as recently as March.

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Gallego, who is facing off against Republican Kari Lake, had failed in the past to back legislation that was supported by the crypto industry and, in 2022, praised on social media a candidate who “slayed the Crypto beast.” Last year, Gallego signed onto a letter, spearheaded by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., to address crypto-financed reforms, crediting her as an “outspoken advocate for regulation and oversight of crypto.” He has also criticized business owners like Elon Musk for “pushing Bitcoin” and profiting off cryptocurrency, and signed onto legislation perceived as hostile by the industry in years past.

Lake earned an A rating from the group Stand With Crypto for her strong statements about supporting the industry, and is assessed as “very pro-crypto.”

A spokesperson for Fairshake, Josh Vlasto, said in a statement that the super PAC and its affiliates are working to “support candidates who embrace innovation, want to protect American jobs and are committed to working across the aisle to get things done and oppose those who do not.”

The crypto industry and its aligned super PACs have amassed more than $100 million to spend in House and Senate races, part of an effort to shape a favorable regulatory landscape by bolstering crypto-friendly candidates. In Ohio alone, the group is targeting $12 million in support of a Republican Senate candidate running to unseat Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, chair of the powerful Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, who is viewed by industry advocates as a crypto skeptic.

Fairshake is the leading PAC funded by digital asset firms, with its most significant contributions coming from a handful of donors: blockchain firm Ripple; individual donors affiliated with the venture firm Andreessen Horowitz; and Coinbase, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange.

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Republican operatives making the case for crypto say that it is a growth industry that the party has embraced for good reasons, and that these efforts will continue to pay off over time.

“The world has changed since Trump’s first term in office,” said Matt Mackowiak, a GOP strategist based in Austin, Texas. “The smart Republicans have seen that opportunity and have moved towards it. And it has multiple advantages: One, it is a source of fundraising. Two, it is a way to attract votes from a younger demographic. And three, it is an issue that can set up a contrast with the Democrats, and makes Republicans look like the party of the future.”

Now, simmering tensions are moving into the open as alarmed Republicans eye Fairshake, its affiliated super PACs and top backers with mounting skepticism. They warn that the groups risk losing sway with Republicans after working to cultivate hard-won relationships and are questioning the durability of Gallego and Slotkin’s support.

“It is reminiscent of when the Chamber of Commerce bankrolled a bunch of anti-business House Democrats who turned around and passed massive tax hikes on businesses with the so-called Inflation Reduction Act,” a senior GOP Senate aide said. “Now, the Chamber of Commerce can’t even get a meeting with House Republican Leadership to discuss their priorities.”

Congressional Republicans and the Chamber of Commerce have been on rocky terms in recent years after the business lobbying group became irate with Republicans for not supporting immigration reforms and not stopping Trump’s tariffs, both positions the group felt harmed American business. The chamber announced a willingness to back Democrats, a move that was unimaginable in the Obama era and that enraged many Republicans on the hill.

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The aide continued: “It is surprising that whoever is advising Fairshake has come up with the same flawed strategy.”

One GOP strategist involved in Senate races warned that the spending risks hurting Trump as well since his allies are being attacked.

“Coinbase and Fairshake are attempting to become toxic to Republicans. Spending against two key GOP candidates could jeopardize the Senate and harm Trump,” said the source, who was not authorized to speak publicly so as not to get ahead of the former president. “Gallego and Slotkin have voted against bitcoin interests and would vote to confirm a far-Left SEC Chairman. It makes no sense.”

The spending was a hot topic of conversation as Republicans descended on Jackson Hole this week, alongside Marc Andreessen and representatives from Coinbase and other crypto groups, to attend consecutive retreats hosted by the Congressional Leadership Fund super PAC and House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La. Andreessen and his business partner, Ben Horowitz, have endorsed Trump in the presidential race and criticized the Biden-Harris administration’s regulatory agenda and its promise to tax unrealized capital gains. Together, Andreessen and Horowitz are among Fairshake’s most significant donors.

“Republicans are WTF about what’s going on with Fairshake, and I think that’s a pretty bad omen for the industry, that people are wondering why our main trade association is pointing its arsenal at our friends,” said one industry leader who was granted anonymity to speak freely. “A lot of people are walking around the CLF conference astonished that this is the strategic chess move that the industry has made.”

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A prominent member of Trumpworld likened the support “to a pro-Israel group giving money to the Squad.” A source familiar with the comments who was not authorized to speak publicly said the comparison suggests that Fairshake is supporting a cohort hostile to its interest.

Trump has promised to implement crypto-friendly policies if elected, culminating in a reversal of his stance from his time in the White House, when he criticized Bitcoin as “highly volatile and based on thin air.” Trump’s campaign now accepts Bitcoin donations, and his selection of running mate JD Vance was viewed as a win for the industry. Vance has called for looser regulation of crypto and disclosed that he has $250,000 to $500,000 worth of bitcoin among his assets.

Mackowiak said the shift is in part generational, with Vance credited with convincing a group of Silicon Valley investors to host Trump on their popular podcast and hold a San Francisco fundraiser that raked in millions.

A former Trump regulator said that a future Trump administration would invite “a more nuanced approach to regulation” around crypto but that a regulatory shift should be expected regardless of who wins the presidential race. “It’ll just be faster if you have a Trump presidency.”

Since taking over the Democratic Party’s nomination, Vice President Kamala Harris has begun seeking a “reset” with the crypto industry, with executives from Coinbase, Ripple and Kraken voicing their concerns to the White House during a Zoom call, according to Bloomberg. Democrats have launched a Crypto4Harris group that is seeking to formalize the industry’s ties to the presidential candidate. Top Harris surrogates are also signaling a more open environment should she win in November, with Maryland Gov. Wes Moore promising during a recent interview on CNBC that Harris would offer a regulatory framework that would be more business-friendly than under Biden.

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The former regulator said many are still skeptical, however.

“The big political question here is, can Harris convince proponents of industry that she has done a 180, or is it just talk?” he said. “Because they will not believe that she will cross Elizabeth Warren.”

This article was originally published on NBCNews.com

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Bitcoin Supply Overhang: 6.6 Million BTC Bought Above Current Price

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Bitcoin Supply Overhang: 6.6 Million BTC Bought Above Current Price

On-chain data shows a chunk of the Bitcoin supply has its cost basis above the current spot price, which could potentially shape volatility if BTC rebounds.

Bitcoin Supply Overhang Could Dictate Volatility & Selling Pressure

As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, over 6.6 million BTC is being held above the latest spot price of the cryptocurrency. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Supply In Loss,” which measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of Bitcoin that’s currently carrying some net unrealized loss.

The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token in circulation to determine the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain. If this previous transfer price was more than the current spot price for any coin, then that particular token is considered to be in a state of loss.

The Supply In Loss adds up all coins fulfilling this condition to find the total situation on the network. A counterpart indicator called the Supply In Profit accounts for the supply of the opposite type.

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Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Supply In Loss over the last few years:

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Supply In Loss shrunk to a value of zero as the asset’s price set its all-time high (ATH) above $126,000 back in October, but with the market downturn that has followed since then, the indicator’s value has shot up.

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Today, around 6.6 million tokens of the cryptocurrency sit below cost basis, equivalent to a third of the BTC supply in circulation. The recent highs in the Supply In Loss represent the highest degree of pain in the market since 2023.

In another X post, the analyst has shared the chart for another Bitcoin indicator, this one called the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD). The URPD contains information about how much BTC was bought last at each of the levels that the asset has visited in its history.

From the chart of the URPD, it’s visible how the Bitcoin supply that’s in loss is distributed across the various levels right now. A few levels are particularly prominent in the degree of supply that they carry, while some others are notably thin with coins.

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Generally, investors who are in loss look forward to a retest of their cost basis so that they can get their money “back.” Once this happens, some of these hands decide to exit, fearing that BTC will go down again in the near future. This selling can make large supply clusters above the spot price, potential points of volatility.

Considering that a large portion of the supply is underwater right now, a venture back to higher levels could be met with selling pressure for Bitcoin.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has made some recovery during the past day as its price has returned to $88,600.

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Grayscale Predicts 10 Crypto Investing Themes Fueling Upside Across 6 Crypto Sectors

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Grayscale Predicts 10 Crypto Investing Themes Fueling Upside Across 6 Crypto Sectors
Grayscale signals a sustained crypto bull market heading into 2026, forecasting rising valuations across sectors, a new bitcoin high, and accelerating institutional adoption driven by macro risk, regulatory clarity, and deeper ties to traditional finance.
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Cryptocurrency’s Next Chapter: ETF Outflows and Fintech Solutions – OneSafe Blog

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Cryptocurrency’s Next Chapter: ETF Outflows and Fintech Solutions – OneSafe Blog

The cryptocurrency market is in a state of flux, particularly as Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs face a wave of significant outflows that raise eyebrows regarding investor confidence. Meanwhile, fintech startups are stepping up to the plate, especially in areas like crypto payroll and solutions powered by stablecoins. Let’s delve into how these trends are redefining the landscape of digital assets and what they may signify going forward.

ETF Outflows: A Sign of Caution?

Recent reports indicate that there have been substantial outflows from spot Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) ETFs, amounting to around $188.6 million. This suggests that investors are treading carefully amidst ongoing regulatory uncertainties, which could lead to a reassessment of positions in these major cryptocurrencies. BlackRock’s IBIT, for example, experienced a record single-day outflow of $91.37 million, which has undoubtedly sent ripples through the market.

The implications of these outflows are immediate and significant. Investor confidence is shaken, and the market dynamics are in flux. While BTC and ETH ETFs are seeing withdrawals, the Solana ETFs are drawing inflows, hinting at a dichotomy in investment behavior. This outflow trend may set the stage for increased volatility in key market assets.

Stablecoins: The New Frontier for Institutions

Despite the aforementioned outflows, institutional interest in stablecoins is on the rise. More and more, investors are seeking safer, low-volatility options. Stablecoins like USDC and USDT are increasingly seen as attractive alternatives. This isn’t just a retreat from cryptocurrencies; it’s a strategic pivot toward more stable financial instruments.

The growing acceptance of stablecoins is evident in various sectors. Businesses are utilizing them to facilitate international payments, benefiting from low fees and quick settlements. This trend underscores the evolving nature of cryptocurrency, positioning stablecoins as a viable alternative to traditional fiat currencies.

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Crypto Payroll: A Fintech Revolution

Fintech startups are leading the charge in innovation, especially in the sphere of crypto payroll solutions. By opting for stablecoins to compensate employees, these companies are streamlining their payment processes while hedging against the risks of cryptocurrency volatility. It’s a way to attract tech-savvy talent while navigating regulatory complexities.

This move toward crypto payroll is particularly advantageous for startups operating in a global marketplace. With stablecoins, these companies can handle cross-border payments efficiently, thereby cutting costs and improving operational efficiency. This trend points to a larger movement towards adopting digital currencies in daily business operations.

The Case for Blockchain in Cross-Border Payments

The rise of stablecoins carries significant implications for cross-border payments. Traditional methods, such as SWIFT, are often burdened with high fees and protracted processing times. Blockchain technology, on the other hand, allows for almost instantaneous transactions at a fraction of the cost. This is particularly beneficial for businesses involved in international trade, enabling them to conduct financial operations smoothly.

Moreover, the adoption of crypto payroll solutions is gaining traction in various sectors, including gaming and streaming. Companies are increasingly offering salaries in cryptocurrencies, tapping into a trend that appeals to younger, tech-oriented employees. This innovative approach not only boosts employee satisfaction but also positions businesses as forward-thinking competitors.

Regulatory Challenges Ahead

As the cryptocurrency landscape shifts, so too does the regulatory environment. Fintech startups are adapting by developing user-friendly platforms that emphasize compliance and risk management. By utilizing stablecoins and regulated platforms, businesses can navigate the complexities of the changing regulatory landscape while enhancing their operational capabilities.

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The integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions is also becoming more prominent, providing SMEs with alternative financing avenues as regulations tighten. This approach allows businesses to access capital while remaining compliant with new regulatory frameworks, setting the stage for success in a fast-evolving market.

Summary: A New Era for Cryptocurrency

The recent outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs mark a crucial juncture in the cryptocurrency market. However, the rise of fintech innovations, particularly in stablecoin adoption and crypto payroll solutions, offers a glimmer of hope for the future. As businesses maneuver through regulatory challenges and shifts in investor sentiment, the integration of digital currencies into everyday operations is likely to gain momentum.

In summary, while the current landscape may be filled with uncertainty, fintech startups are showcasing adaptability and resilience, paving the way for a new chapter in cryptocurrency. By embracing innovation and focusing on compliance, these companies are not only weathering the storm but also shaping the future of digital assets.

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