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Cryptoverse: Will bitcoin behave better on Wall Street?

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Cryptoverse: Will bitcoin behave better on Wall Street?

BITCOIN celebrated its 15th birthday this month by bursting onto Wall Street with an ebullient bang. Now the adolescent asset may have to grow up fast.

Investors have embraced 11 U.S. exchange traded funds (ETFs), tracking bitcoin’s spot price, that began trading on Jan. 11 after receiving regulatory approval; after two trading days, they held a total of 644,860 bitcoin worth more than $27 billion, according to data from analytics company Glassnode.

Much of that – more than 500,000 bitcoin – was already held in a Grayscale Bitcoin Trust that had previously been a closed-end fund before it was allowed to relaunch as one of the new ETFs.

The 11 ETFs have seen total inflows of $4.1 billion since Jan. 11, according to CoinShares data.

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The entrance of the world’s largest cryptocurrency into the world’s largest stock market “marks the end of the beginning of bitcoin’s maturation and growing-up phase”, said Glassnode.

It echoed the views of many market players who said the increase in liquidity would tame bitcoin’s volatility over time.

“This is a logical, nearly-inevitable evolution as a newborn security with a wildly uncertain value and price matures into a mainstream asset with a million punters punting,” said Brent Donnelly, a currency trader and president of Spectra Markets.

The total value of bitcoin traded on cryptocurrency exchanges is about $500 million a day on average, Donnelly said. By comparison, the U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs recorded $4.6 billion in volume on their first day of trading.

“I would assume even as things normalize, NYSE dollar value traded of bitcoin will be larger than what goes through on the blockchain,” Donnelly said.

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Yet it’s far too soon to gauge whether the new bitcoin investment products will be able to retain investor interest over the long run, market participants cautioned.

Nonetheless, the 644,860 bitcoin held by the 11 U.S. ETFs after two trading days represented about 30% of all global spot bitcoin ETF holdings, Glassnode data showed.

Even if trading volumes subside as excitement ebbs, the increased market liquidity could see the launch of derivative products that bet on bitcoin’s volatility, according to some market watchers.

“Due to the current importance of U.S. ETF flows, we expect the U.S. trading session to be the most materially important session in terms of price action in bitcoin,” said Anders Helseth, head of research at K33 Research, referring to the near term.

BITCOIN WHALES MAKE MOVE

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Bitcoin, birthed by the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto who mined the first block on Jan. 3 2009, has seen its fair share of spills and thrills over the past 15 years.

In its latest drama, it has leapt 50% since mid-October on bets that the long-awaited approval for ETFs, allowing access to the cryptocurrency via regular stock exchange, would attract fresh capital from retail and institutional investors alike.

The sharp rally in the months leading to the ETF decision encouraged investors to cash in, pressuring prices.

After hitting a two-year peak of $49,033 following the ETF approval, the notoriously volatile cryptocurrency slid 16% to $40,267. It remains about 40% below its all-time peak of $69,000.

There are signs that whales, the investor cohort that owns more than 1,000 bitcoin each and control a major chunk of bitcoin supply, are booking some gains.

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The total supply of bitcoin held by long-term holders – those who have held for at least six months – has declined by about 75,000 from an all-time high in November as older coins are spent to take profits, according Glassnode data.

On average, a long-term bitcoin holder is sitting on 55% unrealized profit, the data showed.

“If you’re are sitting on very large unrealized profits as a whale, it really makes sense that you start monetizing some of your portfolio,” said Aurelie Barthere, analyst at blockchain data firm Nansen. – Reuters

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BlackRock COO: Cryptocurrency Demand Surpasses Firm’s Expectations, Signaling a Shift in Value

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BlackRock COO: Cryptocurrency Demand Surpasses Firm’s Expectations, Signaling a Shift in Value

BlackRock Chief Operating Officer Rob Goldstein revealed that demand for cryptocurrency has significantly exceeded the firm’s initial projections, marking a notable shift in institutional sentiment toward digital assets. Speaking during a Binance online stream, Goldstein addressed the market’s reception of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), IBIT, and outlined the asset manager’s broader strategic outlook on blockchain-based finance.

Demand Driven by Value Proposition, Not Speculation

Goldstein emphasized that the global demand for IBIT was stronger than anticipated, describing the interest not as fleeting speculative enthusiasm but as a recognition of a new value proposition rooted in emerging technology. He noted that investors are increasingly viewing cryptocurrency as a distinct asset class with potential for long-term portfolio diversification, rather than a short-term trading vehicle. This perspective aligns with BlackRock’s broader push to integrate digital assets into traditional investment frameworks.

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Tokenization and the Future of Capital Markets

Goldstein predicted that the tokenization of capital market instruments remains in its early stages, with future growth expected to be measured in multiples rather than incremental percentages. He argued that blockchain infrastructure could fundamentally reshape how assets are issued, traded, and settled, reducing friction and increasing transparency. This view is consistent with growing industry interest in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, a trend that major financial institutions are beginning to explore.

AI Agents and Digital Rail Transactions

In a forward-looking comment, Goldstein suggested that artificial intelligence agents will eventually conduct transactions directly via digital rails, or blockchain infrastructure, rather than logging into traditional bank accounts. This vision points to a future where automated systems interact with decentralized finance protocols, potentially streamlining operations across supply chains, payments, and asset management. While still conceptual, the statement underscores BlackRock’s attention to the convergence of AI and blockchain technologies.

The Education Gap Remains a Key Obstacle

Goldstein identified the primary barrier to broader adoption as a lack of investor education regarding the technical aspects of virtual assets and efficient portfolio allocation. Many institutional and retail investors remain uncertain about how to evaluate cryptocurrencies, assess risks, and integrate them into existing investment strategies. BlackRock’s emphasis on education suggests that the firm sees informed participation as critical to sustainable market growth.

Conclusion

BlackRock’s acknowledgment that cryptocurrency demand has exceeded expectations carries significant weight, given the firm’s status as the world’s largest asset manager with over $10 trillion in assets under management. Goldstein’s comments reflect a maturing institutional perspective that views digital assets not as a passing trend but as a structural evolution in finance. For investors, the key takeaway is that major financial players are moving beyond skepticism and actively building infrastructure for a tokenized future, even as educational gaps persist.

FAQs

Q1: What did BlackRock’s COO say about cryptocurrency demand?
Rob Goldstein stated that demand for cryptocurrency, particularly through BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF, has exceeded the firm’s expectations, driven by a recognition of its value as an emerging technology rather than mere speculation.

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Q2: What is BlackRock’s view on tokenization?
Goldstein described tokenization of capital market tools as still in its infancy, with future growth expected to be exponential. He believes blockchain infrastructure will play a key role in transforming how assets are managed and traded.

Q3: What is the biggest obstacle to cryptocurrency adoption according to BlackRock?
The main challenge is a lack of investor education on the technical aspects of virtual assets and how to allocate them effectively within a portfolio, according to Goldstein.

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MEXC Commits to 1,000 BTC Purchase as Guardian Fund Targets $500M Expansion

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MEXC Commits to 1,000 BTC Purchase as Guardian Fund Targets 0M Expansion

Key Takeaways

BTC and USDT to Serve as Dual Reserve System for Market Stability

Crypto exchange MEXC is deepening its focus on reserve strength and user protection, announcing plans to expand its Guardian Fund fivefold to $500 million and acquire 1,000 bitcoin as part of a broader risk management strategy.

The exchange said the initiative will be rolled out over the next two years and is designed to create a dual-reserve structure combining liquid stablecoin holdings with long-term BTC reserves. The framework is intended to bolster platform stability and improve resilience during periods of market stress.

The announcement comes as MEXC continues to attract new capital and users. According to data from Defillama, the exchange recorded $271.6 million in net inflows over the past month through May 11, reflecting increased trading activity and participation across global markets.

Under the revised structure, the Guardian Fund will continue to hold significant USDT reserves to ensure immediate liquidity and operational flexibility. The addition of bitcoin is intended to provide a longer-term store of value capable of preserving purchasing power across market cycles.

Transparency Remains Key for MEXC

MEXC said the strategy is part of a disciplined reserve management approach rather than a reaction to short-term volatility. The company framed the expansion as an effort to build infrastructure comparable to institutional-grade financial safeguards increasingly expected in the digital asset industry.

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“Trust has to be capitalized, not just claimed. The expansion of the Guardian Fund and the addition of bitcoin reserves reflect our commitment to building protection infrastructure that helps users access infinite opportunities with greater confidence,” CEO Vugar Usi said in a statement.

The exchange also emphasized transparency. Wallet addresses tied to the Guardian Fund’s USDT and bitcoin holdings have been disclosed publicly, allowing users to verify reserve balances on-chain in real time. The move highlights a broader trend among large trading platforms seeking to differentiate themselves through stronger balance sheets and more visible proof-of-reserves mechanisms.

For MEXC, the Guardian Fund expansion forms part of a wider push to position itself as a global platform capable of supporting long-term growth. The company said the initiative aligns with its broader strategy of improving transparency, strengthening risk management, and protecting users during periods of heightened market uncertainty.

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Bitcoin’s Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator Turns Green for First Time Since March 2023

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Bitcoin’s Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator Turns Green for First Time Since March 2023

Key Takeaways

Bullish Signal Flashes Near $80,000

Cryptoquant’s Bitcoin Bull- Bear Market Cycle Indicator entered bullish territory on Tuesday for the first time since March 2023, per data shared by the analytics firm. The shift marks what analysts describe as a potential transition from a bear-market environment to one where conditions historically favor a sustained uptrend.

Image source: Cryptoquant

The indicator is built on Cryptoquant’s Profit and Loss (P&L) Index, which aggregates three key onchain metrics, namely the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, the Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL), and a comparison of Long-Term Holder and Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratios (LTH/STH SOPR). When the P&L Index climbs above its 365-day moving average, the indicator flips green. When it falls below, it turns red.

Bitcoin Bull-Bear indicator flips green, echoing previous cycle recovery signals.

The last confirmed green signal came in March 2023, and it held continuously until August 2024, a period that covered one of bitcoin’s most significant bull cycles, during which the price climbed from roughly $20,000 to an all-time high above $73,000. By that measure, Tuesday’s flip carries meaningful weight for traders watching for cycle turning points.

Historical Context and 2026 Forecasts

Despite the positive signal, Cryptoquant was careful to flag a caveat. In March 2022, the same indicator flashed green before price quickly rejected the move and continued lower, eventually bottoming out with the FTX collapse in November of that year. That false signal is why analysts say Tuesday’s read should be treated as a data point to watch, not a guaranteed green light.

The timing of the flip aligns with several other bullish onchain developments accumulating simultaneously. April spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows reached $2.44 billion, the strongest institutional accumulation month since October 2025. Whale wallets holding 1,000 BTC or more have grown by 142 addresses over the past six months.

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Moreover, Glassnode’s RHODL ratio currently sits at 4.5, the third-highest reading in bitcoin’s history; the only comparable prior readings occurred at the 2015 and 2022 cycle bottoms, both of which were followed by sustained bull markets.

The Bull-Bear indicator had been deep in negative territory as recently as February 2026, when Cryptoquant noted it had dropped to its lowest level since the FTX bottom. That stretch corresponded with bitcoin pulling back from its October 2025 peak near $126,000. The recovery since has been gradual, with price stabilizing in the $80,000 range and ETF flows turning consistently positive heading into May.

Price forecasts for the rest of 2026 remain divided, with Standard Chartered and Bernstein both targeting $150,000 by year-end, while Fidelity’s director of global macro, Jurrien Timmer, has argued that the October 2025 high may have been the cycle top, with 2026 acting as a consolidation year rather than a continuation.

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