Crypto
3 Big Changes Coming to Cryptocurrency in 2025 | The Motley Fool
A pro-crypto regulatory overhaul, combined with the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve, could lead to a crypto bull market rally in 2025.
In 2024, new spot crypto ETFs officially launched, Bitcoin (BTC 1.12%) emerged as a political campaign issue for the first time, and meme coin mania returned to the crypto market. All of that has led to stunning gains for nearly every major cryptocurrency. Bitcoin, for example, is now up more than 100% for the year, and is rapidly closing in on the $100,000 price level.
So what can we expect in 2025? The safe answer, of course, is “more of the same.” But let’s dig a little deeper and consider what major changes might be right around the corner.
A new regulatory environment for crypto
Ever since the crypto market crash of 2022 and the spectacular collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX, there has been talk of the U.S. enacting a comprehensive new regulatory framework for crypto. Something has to be done, the thinking goes, to make the crypto market less of a “Wild West” environment. Unfortunately, not much has actually been done over the past two years.
Image source: Getty Images.
So, 2025 could be the year that crypto finally gets a new regulatory framework. That likely starts with a reduction in the role of the SEC, which has been the de facto lead regulator when it comes to crypto. President-elect Donald Trump has already promised that he would replace Gary Gensler, the head of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), on day one of his administration. That’s a move that will certainly resonate with crypto investors, who are tired of the SEC’s perceived heavy-handed approach to regulating crypto.
If new crypto legislation passes in Congress, it would likely lead to the installation of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) — and not the SEC — as the new lead regulator for crypto. This legislation would also lead to much more clarity around what can be done, and what can’t be done, in the world of crypto investments. And it could even lead to a repeal of SAB 121, a much-disliked accounting rule from the SEC that governs how cryptocurrencies must be held on the balance sheets of financial institutions.
A crypto “arms race” by sovereign governments
In the final months of the presidential campaign, there was a surprising amount of talk of how crypto is emerging as a new national strategic priority. In fact, some crypto backers have even suggested that we might see a Bitcoin “arms race,” as sovereign governments around the world go on Bitcoin buying sprees.
In the U.S., this buying spree would likely start with the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve that will be empowered to buy 1 million Bitcoins over the next five years. Conceptually, a strategic Bitcoin reserve would be much like the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, only it would hold Bitcoin instead of petroleum. Owning 1 million Bitcoins, equivalent to 5% of the current circulating supply, would make America a “Bitcoin superpower,” as Trump promised on the campaign trail.
Other nations would likely need to follow suit. And that has raised the interesting possibility that China might be forced to roll back its crypto ban, which has been in place since late 2021. If China goes all-in on Bitcoin, and starts to accumulate Bitcoin the way it has been growing gold reserves, we could see a monster incoming Bitcoin rally.
And don’t forget about the world’s biggest sovereign wealth funds. They are also potential huge Bitcoin buyers, and there have been on-again, off-again, rumors that affluent nations such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Qatar have been very quietly buying Bitcoin for their sovereign wealth funds. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has already suggested that sovereign wealth funds might become some of the biggest buyers of the new spot Bitcoin ETFs (including its own spot Bitcoin ETF).
The arrival of a new cryptocurrency superstar?
If you buy into the idea of an incoming crypto market bull rally, then it makes sense that we could see the emergence of a new crypto superstar in 2025. That’s what happened during the crypto bull market rally of 2020 and 2021, when the emergence of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) created hot new crypto tokens. The previous rally also led to the rise of new Layer 1 blockchain networks such as Solana.
So what can we expect this time around? It’s impossible to predict which new coins or tokens will take off, but there are some interesting clues out there. There are new opportunities in Bitcoin mining, for example, thanks to Trump’s campaign promise to mine all future Bitcoin in America.
Keep your expectations in check
Heading into 2025, it’s easy to see why there’s such bullish sentiment in the crypto market right now. All of a sudden, it seems like anything is possible. Thanks to Elon Musk and the creation of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.), we’re now talking about Dogecoin in the same sentence as government efficiency. It’s fun, but it’s also scary.
So keep your expectations in check. There’s still a lot of heavy lifting to do on the regulatory front. And the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve is an idea so new and so untested that it might not ever get off the ground. But one thing is certain: There will be plenty of opportunity for cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin to skyrocket in value next year, as long as new pro-crypto policies are put into place.
Crypto
What is DAC8 and Its Importance in Cryptocurrency Regulation? – OneSafe Blog
DAC8, or the Directive on Administrative Cooperation, represents a pivotal regulatory framework introduced by the European Union that broadens the current tax reporting system to encompass crypto assets. With an effective date set for January 1, 2026, DAC8 necessitates that crypto-asset service providers (CASPs) gather and disclose comprehensive data regarding user transactions to national tax authorities. The report will then be shared across EU member states, thereby enhancing the level of transparency and compliance in the crypto space.
This new regulation is critical because it fills the voids left by past regulations, ensuring that cryptocurrencies are treated in a way similar to conventional financial assets such as bank accounts and stocks. Such a shift is intended to deter tax evasion and augment the accountability of crypto transactions, which have historically functioned in a largely unregulated environment.
What Impact Will DAC8 Have on Small Fintech Startups?
The implications of DAC8 for small fintech startups within the crypto sector are significant and multifaceted. The compliance expenses associated with the new regulation are likely to be disproportionately burdensome for smaller companies, potentially undermining their ability to compete in the marketplace. Given that small startups typically lack the resources to develop or acquire the necessary systems for identity verification, data collection, and secure reporting—each of which is now mandated under DAC8—they may find it more challenging to thrive.
Since larger firms can distribute compliance costs over a broader customer base, smaller startups might face a considerable disadvantage unless they find innovative technological solutions or collaborate with larger providers. This regulatory burden poses the risk of stifling innovation and constraining the capacity of small firms to penetrate the market or effectively expand their operations.
What Compliance Requirements Are Stipulated by DAC8?
DAC8 imposes a range of compliance requirements that CASPs must adhere to, including:
- Data Collection: Firms are required to gather extensive information about their users, covering transaction data as well as customer identities.
- Reporting Obligations: CASPs must report this gathered information to national tax authorities, who will subsequently disseminate it to other EU member states.
- Implementation Timeline: The regulations are set to be implemented on January 1, 2026, with the first reports due by September 30, 2027, capturing data from the 2026 fiscal year.
These compliance demands call for significant investment in the necessary infrastructure, a daunting task for smaller startups. The requirements for technical, legal, and compliance resources can result in both fixed and ongoing variable costs that disproportionately burden smaller firms.
How Does DAC8 Relate to MiCA?
DAC8 operates in conjunction with the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, which gained approval in April 2023. While MiCA centers on the licensing and operational standards for crypto firms, DAC8 ensures tax compliance through precise reporting of user data and transactions.
The merging of DAC8 and MiCA aims to construct a comprehensive regulatory framework that addresses both market conduct and tax obligations. Together, they seek to bolster the overall integrity of the crypto market while ensuring that firms operate under a well-defined legal structure.
What Are the Consequences of Non-Compliance?
The repercussions for non-compliance with DAC8 are severe. Should a CASP fail to comply with reporting requirements, they risk facing hefty fines and legal sanctions as determined by national laws. Furthermore, tax authorities gain the authority to freeze or seize crypto assets linked to unpaid taxes, irrespective of the asset’s location outside the firm’s home country.
These stringent enforcement measures highlight the critical nature of compliance for crypto firms operating within the EU. The potential for asset seizure adds urgency for companies to ensure they meet DAC8’s requirements.
How Can Startups Alleviate Compliance Costs?
To adeptly navigate the compliance challenges posed by DAC8 without stifling innovation, small fintech startups can explore several approaches:
- Compliance-as-a-Service Solutions: Collaborating with third-party compliance providers can help startups manage their reporting commitments without a need for extensive in-house resources.
- Industry-Standard APIs: Utilizing established APIs for data collection and reporting can streamline compliance processes and lesson operational demands.
- Niche Markets: By specializing in services that fall outside the complete scope of DAC8’s reporting requirements, startups can reduce some compliance costs.
- Collaborations with Larger Firms: Forming partnerships with established entities in the crypto sector can grant access to shared compliance infrastructure and resources.
Implementing these strategies could equip startups to better position themselves in the evolving regulatory landscape while retaining their innovative capabilities.
Summary: A New Chapter for Crypto Regulation
DAC8 signifies a substantial transformation in the regulatory landscape for the crypto industry, particularly affecting small fintech startups. While the compliance obligations may present challenges, they also open avenues for innovation and collaboration. By grasping the implications of DAC8 and proactively strategizing, startups can navigate the complexities of compliance and sustain growth in the crypto space. In such a rapidly evolving environment, remaining informed and adaptable is paramount to achieving success.
Crypto
SEC Says No Trading Occurred as 3 Platforms and 4 Clubs Allegedly Locked Retail Withdrawals
Crypto
SEC Says Cryptocurrency Scam Took $14 Million From Retail Investors | PYMNTS.com
An investment scam allegedly took $14 million from retail investors by connecting with them on social media and convincing them to fund accounts on fake crypto asset trading platforms.
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