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Why People Are Worried About Banks

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Why People Are Worried About Banks

Banks are teetering as prospects yank their deposits. Markets are seesawing as traders scurry towards security. Regulators are scrambling after years of complacency.

Fifteen years in the past, the world careened right into a devastating monetary disaster, precipitated by the collapse of the American housing market. Right now, a special perpetrator is stressing the monetary system: quickly rising rates of interest.

The sudden collapses of Silicon Valley Financial institution and Signature Financial institution — the largest financial institution failures because the Nice Recession — have put the precariousness of lenders in stark reduction. First Republic Financial institution was compelled to hunt a lifeline this week, receiving tens of billions of {dollars} from different banks. And fears in regards to the stability of the banking system hit Credit score Suisse, the battered European big.

However the storm had been quietly constructing for months.

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The shakiness of some banks may be traced to how they basically work.

The only approach to consider a financial institution is that it takes deposits from prospects and lends these funds to individuals who wish to purchase a home or to corporations hoping to construct a manufacturing facility. The fact, although, is extra sophisticated.


A diagram of a hypothetical financial institution that experiences a financial institution run.

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A hypothetical financial institution . . .

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Receives $2 billion in

deposits from its prospects.

It then invests that cash:

$1 billion in loans it provides

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out; $1 billion in bonds.

When curiosity

charges rise,

newer bonds

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pay out extra.

Older bonds are much less engaging

to patrons and grow to be price much less:

The bonds the financial institution has at the moment are

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price $500 million.

The financial institution now has solely $1.5 billion in

property — far lower than what was

initially deposited. If sufficient prospects

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ask for his or her a refund, the financial institution might

not find a way return all of the funds.

The extra individuals discover this, the

extra they demand their cash

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again, making a run on the financial institution.

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That’s what occurred with Silicon Valley Financial institution, which regulators seized on March 10 and which traders instantly seen as a doable harbinger of comparable bother at different banks.

The issue for SVB was that it held many bonds that had been purchased again when rates of interest had been low. Over the previous yr, the Federal Reserve has raised rates of interest eight occasions to fight the best inflation in generations. As charges went up, newer variations of bonds turned extra helpful to traders than these SVB was holding.

With the tech business cooling, a few of SVB’s prospects started withdrawing their cash. To give you the money to repay depositors, SVB offered $21 billion of bonds. The financial institution racked up almost $2 billion in losses.

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These losses set off alarms with traders and a few of the financial institution’s prospects. If the remainder of SVB’s stability sheet was riddled with related money-losing property, would the financial institution be capable of give you sufficient cash to repay its depositors?

Slightly than wait round to seek out out, prospects rushed to withdraw their funds – tens of billions of {dollars}.

A traditional financial institution run was underway.

“With the Fed endeavor probably the most aggressive financial tightening over the previous 40 years, it appeared a matter of time till one thing broke,” analysts at Macquarie Securities wrote on Friday.

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Even earlier than SVB capsized, traders had been racing to determine which different banks is likely to be inclined to related spirals. One vivid crimson flag: massive losses in a financial institution’s bond portfolios. These are often called unrealized losses — they flip into actual losses provided that the banks must promote the property.

Because the Fed started elevating rates of interest, banks have confronted rising unrealized losses.

These unrealized losses are particularly notable as a proportion of a financial institution’s deposits — an important metric, since extra losses imply a better probability of a financial institution struggling to repay its prospects.


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Unrealized positive aspects and losses

on every financial institution’s funding securities as a share of its deposits

A collection of bar charts exhibiting the unrealized positive aspects and losses on funding securities as a share of deposits for six mid-size banks from 2019 to 2022: First Republic, Pacific Western, Signature, Silicon Valley, Western Alliance and Zions. In every quarter of 2022, all banks had unrealized losses.

Source: Federal Monetary Establishments Examination Council

Observe: Contains each “held-to-maturity” and “available-for-sale” securities, that means each long- and short-term investments.

On the finish of final yr U.S. banks had been dealing with greater than $600 billion of unrealized losses due to rising charges, federal regulators estimated.

These losses had the potential to chew by greater than one-third of banks’ so-called capital buffers, which are supposed to shield depositors from losses, in response to Fitch Scores. The thinner a financial institution’s capital buffers, the better its prospects’ danger of shedding cash and the extra seemingly traders and prospects are to flee.

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However the $600 billion determine, which accounted for a restricted set of a financial institution’s property, may understate the severity of the business’s potential losses. This week alone, two separate teams of lecturers launched papers estimating that banks had been dealing with at the very least $1.7 trillion in potential losses.

Essentially the most skittish financial institution prospects are typically these whose deposits are uninsured.

This was an enormous drawback at SVB, the place greater than 90 p.c of the deposits exceeded the quantities coated below federal insurance coverage. The Federal Deposit Insurance coverage Company insures deposits for particular person accounts as much as $250,000, and lots of different banks even have elevated ranges.


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Prime 50 banks by share of deposits that aren’t insured by the F.D.I.C.

Excludes banking giants thought of systemically essential

A bar chart exhibiting the share of deposits that weren’t federally insured at 50 U.S. banks as of the tip of final yr. At each Silicon Valley Financial institution and Signature Financial institution, greater than 90 p.c of deposits had been uninsured.





Larger share of deposits uninsured

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94% of $161 billion whole deposits

Bar heights are proportional to every financial institution’s whole home deposits

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Larger share of deposits uninsured

94% of $161 billion whole deposits

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Bar heights are proportional to every financial institution’s whole home deposits

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Sources: Federal Monetary Establishments Examination Council; Monetary Stability Board

Notes: Knowledge is as of Dec. 31, 2022. Contains home deposits solely. Excludes world systemically essential banks, that are topic to extra stringent rules, together with harder capital necessities.

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To make issues worse, many banks — particularly these with $50 billion to $250 billion in property — saved lower than 4 p.c of their property within the type of money, in response to Fitch.

Banks with much less money available could also be extra prone to bear losses if there’s a rush of withdrawals.


Six bar charts exhibiting the overall amount of money and noncash property held by midsize banks from 2019 to 2022: First Republic, Pacific Western, Signature, Silicon Valley, Western Alliance and Zions. At the same time as their property have climbed, these banks have held solely a small share in money.

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Banks’ money and noncash property

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Banks’ money and noncash property

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Source: Federal Monetary Establishments Examination Council

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Midsize banks like SVB do not need the identical regulatory oversight because the nation’s largest banks, who, amongst different provisions, are topic to harder necessities to have a specific amount of reserves in moments of disaster.

However no financial institution is totally resistant to a run.

“I don’t suppose anyone’s constructed to face up to 25 p.c of their deposits leaving in a day, which is what occurred” within the case of SVB, stated Nathan Stovall, a banking analyst at S&P World Market Intelligence.

The Federal Reserve and different regulators are speeding to reassure everybody. Final weekend, the Fed introduced a program that provides loans of as much as one yr to banks utilizing the banks’ authorities bonds and sure different property as collateral.

Crucially, the Fed stated it could worth the bonds at their authentic worth — not on the decrease ranges that banks stood to obtain in the event that they tried to shortly promote them within the markets. The Fed’s purpose was to ship a reassuring sign that banks wouldn’t have to remodel unrealized, potential losses into crippling precise ones.

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At the least up to now, that program hasn’t been a lot of a sport changer. Banks borrowed solely about $12 billion — a small fraction of the deposits that had been pulled out of SVB alone earlier than its implosion.

However banks devoured up a whopping $153 billion in loans by the Fed’s conventional lending program. That was up from lower than $5 billion per week earlier and was the most important quantity borrowed in per week because the 2008 monetary disaster.

The fright that started with SVB has continued to unfold to different banks.

On Wednesday, the Swiss authorities vowed to guard the large financial institution Credit score Suisse as considerations about its stability swirled. The subsequent day, the U.S. authorities helped arrange an business bailout of First Republic — one of many massive banks that had attracted explicit consideration from nervous traders.

The troubles lurking within the stability sheets of small banks might have a big impact on the financial system. The banks might change their lending requirements so as to shore up their funds, making it tougher for an individual to take out a mortgage or a enterprise to get a mortgage to develop.

Analysts at Goldman consider that this can have the identical influence as a Fed rate of interest improve of as much as half some extent. Economists have been debating whether or not the Fed ought to cease elevating charges due to the monetary turmoil, and futures markets counsel that many merchants consider it might start reducing charges earlier than the tip of the yr.

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On Friday, traders continued to pummel the shares of regional financial institution shares. First Republic’s inventory is down greater than 80 p.c for the yr, and different regional banks like Pacific Western and Western Alliance have misplaced greater than half their values.

Traders, in different phrases, are removed from satisfied that the disaster is over.

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Paramount's board approves bid by David Ellison's Skydance Media in sweeping Hollywood deal

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Paramount's board approves bid by David Ellison's Skydance Media in sweeping Hollywood deal

Tech scion David Ellison’s months-long quest to win control of Paramount Global moved closer to the finish line Sunday, in a deal that marks a new chapter for the long-struggling media company and parent of one of Hollywood’s oldest movie studios.

Paramount Global board members on Sunday approved the bid by Ellison’s Skydance Media and its backers to buy the Redstone family’s Massachusetts holding firm, National Amusements Inc., said two sources close to the deal who were not authorized to comment.

A spokesperson for Paramount declined to comment.

The Redstones’ voting stock in Paramount would be transferred to Skydance, giving Ellison, son of billionaire Oracle Corp. co-founder Larry Ellison — a key backer of the deal — control of a media operation that includes Paramount Pictures, broadcast network CBS and cable channels MTV, Comedy Central and Nickelodeon.

The proposed $8.4 billion multipronged transaction also includes merging Ellison’s production company into the storied media company, giving it more heft to compete in today’s media environment.

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The agreement, which mints Ellison as a Hollywood mogul, came together during the last two weeks as Ellison and his financing partners renewed their efforts to win over the Redstone family and Paramount’s independent board members.

Shari Redstone has long preferred Ellison’s bid over other those of potential suitors, believing the 41-year-old entrepreneur possesses the ambition, experience and financial heft to lift Paramount from its doldrums.

But, in early June, Redstone got cold feet and abruptly walked away from the Ellison deal — a move that stunned industry observers and Paramount insiders because it was Redstone who had orchestrated the auction.

Within about a week, Ellison renewed his outreach to Redstone. Ellison ultimately persuaded her to let go of the entertainment company her family has controlled for nearly four decades. The sweetened deal also paid the Redstone family about $50 million more than what had been proposed in early June. On Sunday Paramount’s full board, including special committee of independent directors, had signed off on the deal, the sources said.

Under terms of the deal, Skydance and its financial partners RedBird Capital Partners and private equity firm KKR have agreed to provide a $1.5-billion cash infusion to help Paramount pay down debt. The deal sets aside $4.5 billion to buy shares of Paramount’s Class B shareholders who are eager to exit.

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The Redstone family would receive $1.75-billion for National Amusements, a company that holds the family’s Paramount shares and a regional movie theater chain founded during the Great Depression, after the firm’s considerable debts are paid off.

The proposed handoff signals the end of the Redstone family’s nearly 40-year reign as one of America’s most famous and fractious media dynasties. The late Sumner Redstone’s National Amusements was once valued at nearly $10 billion, but pandemic-related theater closures, last year’s Hollywood labor strikes and a heavy debt burden sent its fortunes spiraling.

In the last five years, the New York-based company has lost two-thirds of its value. Its shares are now worth $8.2 billion based on Friday’s closing price of $11.81 a share.

The struggles in many ways prompted Shari Redstone to part with her beloved family heirloom. Additionally, National Amusements was struggling to cover its debts, and the high interest rates worsened the outlook for the Redstone family.

Paramount boasts some of the most historic brands in entertainment, including the 112-year-old Paramount Pictures movie studio, known for landmark films such as “The Godfather” and “Chinatown.” The company owns television stations including KCAL-TV (Channel 9) and KCBS-TV (Channel 2). Its once-vibrant cable channels such as Nickelodeon, TV Land, BET, MTV and Comedy Central have been losing viewers.

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The handover requires the approval of federal regulators, a process that could take months.

In May, Paramount’s independent board committee said it would entertain a competing $26-billion offer from Sony Pictures Entertainment and Apollo Global Management. The bid would have retired all shareholders and paid off Paramount’s debt, but Sony executives grew increasingly wary of taking over a company that relies on traditional TV channels.

Earlier this year, Warner Bros. Discovery expressed interest in a merger or buying CBS. However, that company has struggled with nearly $40 billion in debt from previous deals and is in similar straits as Paramount. Media mogul Byron Allen has also shown interest.

Skydance Media founder and Chief Executive David Ellison prevailed in his bid for Paramount.

(Evan Agostini/Invision/Associated Press)

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Many in Hollywood — film producers, writers and agents — have been rooting for the Skydance takeover, believing it represents the best chance to preserve Paramount as an independent company. Apollo and Sony were expected to break up the enterprise, with Sony absorbing the movie studio into its Culver City operation.

The second phase of the transaction will be for Paramount to absorb Ellison’s Santa Monica-based Skydance Media, which has sports, animation and gaming as well as television and film production.

Ellison is expected to run Paramount as its chief executive. Former NBCUniversal CEO Jeff Shell, who’s now a RedBird executive, could help manage the operation. It’s unclear whether the Skydance team will keep on the three division heads who are now running Paramount: Paramount Pictures CEO Brian Robbins, CBS head George Cheeks and Showtime/MTV Entertainment Studios chief Chris McCarthy.

Skydance has an existing relationship with Paramount. It co-produced each film in the “Mission: Impossible” franchise since 2011’s “Mission: Impossible — Ghost Protocol,” starring Tom Cruise. It also backed the 2022 Cruise mega-hit “Top Gun: Maverick.”

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Ellison first approached Redstone about making a deal last summer, and talks became known in December.

Redstone long viewed Ellison as a preferred buyer because the deal paid a premium to her family for their exit. She also was impressed by the media mogul , believing he could become a next-generation leader who could take the company her father built to a higher level, according to people knowledgeable of her thinking.

Larry Ellison is said to be contributing funding to the deal.

David Ellison was attracted to the deal because of his past collaborations with Paramount Pictures and the allure of combining their intellectual properties as well as the cachet of owning a historic studio, analysts said. Paramount’s rich history contains popular franchises including “Transformers,” “Star Trek,” “South Park” and “Paw Patrol.”

“Paramount is one of the major historic Hollywood studios with a massive base of [intellectual property], and so it seems to us that it’s more about using the capital that Ellison has and what he’s built at Skydance and leveraging that into owning a major Hollywood studio,” Brent Penter, senior research associate at Raymond James, said prior to the deal. “Not to mention the networks and everything else that Paramount has.”

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The agreement prepares to close the books on the Redstone family’s 37-year tenure at the company formerly known as Viacom, beginning with Sumner Redstone’s hostile takeover in 1987.

Seven years later, Redstone clinched control of Paramount, after merging Viacom with eventually doomed video rental chain Blockbuster to secure enough cash for the $10-billion deal. Redstone long viewed Paramount as the crown jewel, a belief that took root a half-century ago when he wheeled-and-dealed over theatrical exhibition terms for Paramount’s prestigious films to screen at his regional theater chain.

Under Redstone’s control, Paramount won Academy Awards in the ’90s for “Forrest Gump” and “Saving Private Ryan.”

He pioneered the idea of treating films as an investment portfolio and hedging bets on some productions by taking on financial partners — a strategy now widely used throughout the industry.

Sumner Redstone and Shari Redstone in 2012.

The late Sumner Redstone and his daughter Shari Redstone have owned a controlling interest in Viacom, which was rebranded as Paramount, through their family holding company, National Amusements Inc., since 1987.

(Katy Winn/Invision/Associated Press)

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In 2000, Redstone expanded his media empire again by acquiring CBS, a move that made Viacom one of the most muscular media companies of the time, rivaling Walt Disney Co. and Time Warner Inc. Just six years later, Redstone broke it up into separate, sibling companies, convinced that Viacom was more precious to advertisers because of its younger audience. Redstone also wanted to reap dividends from two companies.

After years of mismanagement at Viacom, which coincided with the elder Redstone’s declining health, and boardroom turmoil, his daughter stepped in to oust Viacom top management and members of the board. Three years later, following an executive misconduct scandal at CBS, Shari Redstone achieved her goal by reuniting CBS and Viacom in a nearly $12-billion deal.

The combined company, then called ViacomCBS and valued at more than $25 billion, was supposed to be a TV juggernaut, commanding a major percentage of TV advertising revenue through the dominance of CBS and more than two dozen cable channels.

But changes in the TV landscape took a toll.

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As consumer cord-cutting became more widespread and TV advertising revenue declined, ViacomCBS’ biggest asset became a serious liability.

The company was late to enter the streaming wars and then spent heavily on its Paramount+ streaming service to try to catch up with Netflix and even Disney. (In early 2022, the company was renamed Paramount Global in a nod to its moviemaking past and to tie in with its streaming platform of the same name.)

The company’s eroding linear TV business and the decline of TV ad revenue, as well as its struggles trying to make streaming profitable, will be major challenges for Ellison as he takes over Paramount. Though traditional TV is declining, it still brings in cash for Paramount.

And streaming is a whole different economic proposition from television, one that offers slimmer profits. Meanwhile, the company also faces larger industry questions about when — if ever — box office revenue will return to pre-pandemic levels.

“This is a company that is floating on hope,” said Stephen Galloway, dean of Chapman University’s Dodge College of Film and Media Arts. “And hope isn’t a great business strategy.”

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Missing the paperwork on your IRAs? All is not lost

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Missing the paperwork on your IRAs? All is not lost

Dear Liz: I have four daughters, now in their late 30s and early 40s. When they were very young, I started investing for them. As they began to earn their own money, I started Roth IRAs for them as well.

A decade ago, due to an unexpected divorce, a 30-day escrow and a move, I lost the paperwork for their accounts. After the investment company was acquired by another in 2015, I forwarded the new company’s contact information to my daughters. One transferred her account to another investment company, while her sisters left theirs in place.

Recently I found the old investment paperwork. The company has changed hands again, but the new company says it has no information about my three other daughters’ accounts. Can anything be done?

Answer: Since the latest company can’t find the accounts, your daughters should contact the escheat office of the state where you lived before your move.

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Perhaps you didn’t update your address with the original company when you moved and the account statements or other mail were returned as undeliverable. If the company and its successor couldn’t find you — and some companies don’t look very hard — the accounts would be considered unclaimed and would have to be turned over to the state.

Links to state escheat offices can be found online at unclaimed.org, the website for the National Assn.
of Unclaimed Property Administrators.

The good news is that there’s no time limit for claiming previously unclaimed property.

The bad news is that some states will liquidate stocks and other investments after escheatment. If that’s the case, then the three daughters who didn’t move their accounts will have missed out on nearly a decade of investment returns.

Dear Liz: Is it common for a brokerage agreement to say the firm can close my account for any reason and without any notice? The agreement goes on to say that the brokerage can liquidate the investments in my account if it’s closed and that the brokerage is not responsible for any investment losses that result.

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Answer: The short answer is yes — brokerage accounts can be closed at any time by the firm or by the client.

Such agreements often specify certain actions that can trigger a closure, such as failing to maintain a minimum required balance. But the agreements also typically have language that allows the brokerage to close your account at any time and for any reason.

Brokerages don’t commonly close customer accounts. If yours does, however, move quickly to transfer your investments to another firm.

Failure to act could result in your investments being liquidated, and you would owe capital gains taxes on any appreciation in their value.

Dear Liz: You have written that non-spouse beneficiaries are now required to drain their inherited IRAs within 10 years. Is this requirement retroactive?

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I inherited an IRA from my mother in 2015. I have been taking out the minimum required each year. If I must drain the account within 10 years, will the increase in yearly income affect my Social Security benefits?

Answer: The 10-year requirement applies only to accounts inherited from people who died after Dec. 31, 2019.

IRA distributions don’t affect Social Security benefits, but could affect Medicare premiums if the withdrawal is large enough. Taxable income above certain limits triggers a Medicare surcharge known as an income-related monthly adjustment amount, or IRMAA.

Dear Liz: My husband passed away 10 months ago. I applied for widow benefits.

The Social Security Administration sent me a letter that said they cannot pay because my Social Security benefit would equal two-thirds of the amount of my pension. Please help me with this.

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Answer: This is known as the government pension offset, and it applies to people who receive a pension from a job that didn’t pay into Social Security. Any survivor or spousal benefits you might receive are reduced by two-thirds of the pension amount. In your case, your entire benefit was offset.

People are understandably upset to learn they don’t qualify for survivor or spousal benefits through Social Security. But since your pension is large enough to offset any benefit, you’re financially better off with the pension than without it.

For more information, see the government pension offset pamphlet, available online at SSA.gov/pubs or by calling the Social Security Administration toll-free at (800) 772-1213.

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California’s workplace violence prevention law is now in effect. Here's how it changes things

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California’s workplace violence prevention law is now in effect. Here's how it changes things

Beginning this month, California businesses will be required to have plans in place to prevent violence in the workplace.

Senate Bill 553, signed by Gov. Gavin Newsom last fall, requires that employers develop plans to protect workplaces from foreseeable threats of violence, which can range from bullying and harassment to active shooter and hostage situations. Under the law, employers were to have these comprehensive plans in place by July 1.

Here’s what you should know about the new law:

Who pushed for the workplace violence prevention law, and why?

State Sen. Dave Cortese (D-San Jose), who wrote the legislation, said he began looking into regulating workplace violence after a major shooting in 2021 at a light-rail yard roiled his district. In the incident, an employee killed nine colleagues at the Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority before taking his own life.

Surveying the scene soon after the shooting, Cortese said he felt there could have been a clear plan for how workers might respond in such a situation. “It would have saved lives,” he said.

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Cortese said the requirements outlined by the law took cues from a regulation the California Division of Occupational Safety and Health had been in the process of developing. Their safety standard, however, given their lengthy rule-making process and bureaucratic delays, probably would have taken several more years to get final approval.

More than half of such shootings in 2021 occurred in places of commerce, including grocery stores and manufacturing sites, according to the FBI.

SB 553 was backed by several unions, among them the United Food and Commercial Workers Western States Council. The union sought a law that would help address what it described as a rash of violent attacks at grocery stores and pharmacies, as workers were being pressured by their employers to crack down on shoplifting.

Grocery and other retail workers who interact with the public have long worried about violence in the workplace. Notably, they faced harassment and at times assault from customers who refused to comply with mask mandates in the early years of the COVID-19 pandemic. Fast-food workers also have complained of violent and dangerous customers.

Did anyone oppose the legislation? If so, why?

Industry groups such as the National Retail Assn. had vehemently opposed SB 553, arguing the paperwork would be overly burdensome for businesses.

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They also took issue with a provision the bill had in its early stages that prohibited businesses from requiring nonsecurity employees to confront shoplifters and active shooters. That language was later removed. Eventually, the trade groups dropped their opposition.

What exactly is required under the law?

Legal experts said many companies had already started loosely addressing workplace violence concerns as mass shootings and other violent incidents dominated headlines over the years. The law helps to clarify employers’ obligations in this arena, experts said.

The law defines four types of workplace violence employers should try to prevent: violent action by a third-party person with no real reason to be at the worksite — essentially, a stranger showing up and harming an employee; violence by parties that are entitled to be there, such as customers, clients, patients or other authorized visitors; violence committed against employees by another employee; and violence by a third party who has a romantic or other personal relationship with an employee.

Under the law, most California businesses with at least 10 employees are required to have a policy document identifying potential violence and plans to deal with it — either as a standalone document, or as part of an existing injury and illness prevention policy.

They must also make workers aware of the violence prevention plan through annual training, and maintain a log of incidents of violence over a minimum of five years.

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What else should I know about the law?

The law makes it easier for employees — or the unions that represent them — to get temporary restraining orders if they are threatened by a coworker or someone else in the workplace.

“That’s a big thing — most employees don’t get to choose who they work with or what happens at work,” said Ian A. Wright, a labor and employment attorney at Alston & Bird. “It gives employees an additional form of protection that they can go and seek themselves.”

Noncompliance could be met with civil penalties, and businesses that haven’t yet implemented the law are already several days past the deadline.

“My advice would be to get it done as soon as possible,” Wright said.

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