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Falling Lithium Prices Are Making Electric Cars More Affordable

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Falling Lithium Prices Are Making Electric Cars More Affordable

Lithium, the widespread ingredient in virtually all electric-car batteries, has turn into so treasured that it’s usually known as white gold. However one thing shocking has occurred lately: The metallic’s value has fallen, serving to to make electrical automobiles extra inexpensive.

Since January, the value of lithium has dropped by almost 20 %, based on Benchmark Minerals, at the same time as gross sales of electrical automobiles have soared. Cobalt, one other vital battery materials, has fallen by greater than half. Copper, important to electrical motors and batteries, has slipped by about 18 %, although U.S. mines and copper-rich international locations like Peru are struggling to extend manufacturing.

The sharp strikes have confounded many analysts who predicted that costs would keep excessive, and even climb greater, slowing the transition to cleaner types of transportation, an integral part of efforts to restrict local weather change.

As a substitute, the drop in commodity costs has made it simpler for carmakers to chop costs for electrical automobiles. This month, Tesla lowered the costs of its two most costly automobiles, the Mannequin S sedan and Mannequin X sport utility car, by hundreds of {dollars}.

That adopted cuts in January by Tesla to its extra inexpensive Mannequin 3 and Mannequin Y, and by Ford Motor to its Mustang Mach-E. The common value of an electrical car in the US fell by $1,000 in February in contrast with January, based on Kelley Blue E-book.

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“For electrical automobiles, the most important roadblock is value,” stated Kang Solar, the chief govt of Amprius Applied sciences, a younger battery maker that this month introduced plans for a manufacturing unit in Colorado. The falling value of lithium, he stated, “goes to advertise E.V. gross sales.”

Dr. Solar thinks costs may fall a lot additional as a result of demand for the metallic has not risen as quick as some within the business anticipated.

As with every commodity, there’s a variety of opinion on what has induced the latest drop in costs and on how a lot lithium will value within the coming months and years.

Some analysts stated the falling value of lithium was attributable to short-term components like slowing gross sales progress in Europe and China after subsidies for electrical automotive purchases expired. However different business specialists stated the drop urged that new mines and processing crops have been fixing the lithium drawback prior to many analysts had thought was attainable.

Even after falling a lot, lithium costs stay so excessive that mining and processing the metallic is an unusually worthwhile enterprise. The metallic, uniquely fitted to batteries due to its capacity to retailer power, prices from about $5,000 to $8,000 per ton to supply. It sells for 10 instances that quantity, based on Mobility Impression Companions, a non-public fairness agency primarily based in New York that invests within the electrical car business, amongst different areas.

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Given these fats revenue margins, buyers and banks are desirous to put money into, or lend to, mining and processing tasks. The federal authorities is awarding grants price tens of thousands and thousands of {dollars} to lithium prospectors and processors.

“You possibly can’t have revenue margins which might be 10 instances what it prices to extract,” stated Shweta Natarajan, a companion at Mobility Impression who has analyzed the lithium market. “You will notice that come down.”

“Financing could be very straightforward to return by,” Ms. Natarajan added. “There isn’t any cause to assume you wouldn’t have new tasks opening as much as meet any shortages.”

However others, together with members of the Biden administration, are much less assured. The availability of lithium has to extend by 42-fold by 2050 to assist a transition to wash power, stated Jose W. Fernandez, the below secretary for financial progress, power and the atmosphere on the State Division.

“We now have to search out further sources of provide as a result of 42 instances is quite a bit,” Mr. Fernandez stated in an interview. “Proper now, we don’t have sufficient.”

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There’s loads of lithium on the earth. But it surely was not thought-about very worthwhile till gross sales of electrical automobiles started to take off in the previous few years. As demand soared, the business rushed to start out new mines, and refineries elevated their capability to course of the ore.

“The mining will not be what’s driving the prices,” stated Daring Baatar, the chief govt of the copper manufacturing unit on the mining large Rio Tinto. “It’s the supply of processing amenities.”

Most lithium refineries are in China, and few managers and engineers outdoors that nation know the right way to construct processing crops. Beijing’s near-monopoly on an important useful resource alarmed the Biden administration, which has allotted billions of {dollars} to encourage firms to develop lithium mines and refineries in the US or in international locations with which it shares shut political and financial ties.

Provides of lithium and different crucial supplies are a nationwide safety challenge, Mr. Fernandez stated. Final yr, the administration established the Minerals Safety Partnership, he stated, a gaggle that features the European Union and 12 industrialized nations, together with Australia, Japan and Britain, to find mining alternatives and financing, and to advertise recycling.

The Division of Vitality is doling out $3 billion in grants to create a home battery provide chain. As well as, the Inflation Discount Act, which Mr. Biden signed into legislation final yr, gives tax credit for battery manufacturing.

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American Battery Know-how was awarded a grant by the Vitality Division to assist it construct a lithium refinery and a battery-recycling facility in Nevada. The corporate can also be creating a lithium mine within the state.

Ryan Melsert, the chief govt of American Battery Know-how, attributed the latest decline in lithium costs to non permanent components like a seasonal slowdown in electrical car gross sales in China. “We count on to see very excessive costs for the foreseeable future,” Mr. Melsert stated.

Vivek Chidambaram, the senior managing director for technique at Accenture, the consulting agency, additionally expects the decline to be ephemeral. Lithium costs have fallen as a result of gross sales of electrical automobiles, whereas nonetheless brisk, should not rising as quick as automakers anticipated, he stated. That has led suppliers to supply greater than is required.

“There was a time when folks believed electrical automobiles would develop very quickly,” Mr. Chidambaram stated. “Then the fact of how briskly they have been truly rising caught up.” He expects lithium costs to fluctuate for the subsequent a number of years.

Automakers, scared of lithium shortages and rising costs, have taken steps to make sure a gradual provide. They’ve signed contracts with lithium suppliers that require them to purchase sure portions of the metallic. In some instances, carmakers are entering into the lithium enterprise extra instantly. Tesla stated this month that it could construct a lithium processing plant close to Corpus Christi, Texas.

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Common Motors stated in January that it could make investments $650 million in Lithium Americas, which is creating a mine in Nevada generally known as Thacker Go. The deal makes G.M. the biggest buyer and shareholder of Lithium Americas.

These investments may transform cash losers if the value of lithium continued to fall, analysts have warned.

There’s additionally a danger that enhancements in battery know-how may have an effect on demand for lithium in surprising methods.

Strong-state batteries being developed by a number of firms would require much more lithium than batteries in use immediately, growing demand. However these batteries most likely received’t seem in mass-produced automobiles for a number of years. Different advances in manufacturing strategies and chemistry would permit batteries to be smaller and lighter with out sacrificing efficiency, decreasing the necessity for lithium.

Shifting know-how has already hit cobalt. The worth of that metallic plunged partly due to the growing recognition of batteries made with out cobalt from lithium, iron and phosphate, a mix generally known as L.F.P. Stockpiling by a significant cobalt provider might also have hit costs, analysts say.

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L.F.P. batteries are heavier than batteries made with cobalt, however they’re considerably cheaper and last more. And L.F.P. batteries don’t include the taint related to cobalt, most of which comes from the Democratic Republic of Congo, the place mining operations are identified for little one labor and abysmal working situations.

Ford Motor stated in February that it could spend $3.5 billion to construct a plant in Michigan to supply L.F.P. batteries utilizing know-how from Up to date Amperex Know-how, or CATL, a Chinese language firm that’s the world’s largest battery producer.

No know-how on the horizon would get rid of lithium from mass-produced automotive batteries. For that cause, few analysts are predicting that the value of lithium will fall as little as it did in 2020, when it dropped under $10 per kilogram.

“Even when the value comes down from its elevated ranges,” Ms. Natarajan, of Mobility Impression Companions, stated, “there nonetheless is a really wholesome revenue margin.”

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Paramount's board approves bid by David Ellison's Skydance Media in sweeping Hollywood deal

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Paramount's board approves bid by David Ellison's Skydance Media in sweeping Hollywood deal

Tech scion David Ellison’s months-long quest to win control of Paramount Global moved closer to the finish line Sunday, in a deal that marks a new chapter for the long-struggling media company and parent of one of Hollywood’s oldest movie studios.

Paramount Global board members on Sunday approved the bid by Ellison’s Skydance Media and its backers to buy the Redstone family’s Massachusetts holding firm, National Amusements Inc., said two sources close to the deal who were not authorized to comment.

A spokesperson for Paramount declined to comment.

The Redstones’ voting stock in Paramount would be transferred to Skydance, giving Ellison, son of billionaire Oracle Corp. co-founder Larry Ellison — a key backer of the deal — control of a media operation that includes Paramount Pictures, broadcast network CBS and cable channels MTV, Comedy Central and Nickelodeon.

The proposed $8.4 billion multipronged transaction also includes merging Ellison’s production company into the storied media company, giving it more heft to compete in today’s media environment.

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The agreement, which mints Ellison as a Hollywood mogul, came together during the last two weeks as Ellison and his financing partners renewed their efforts to win over the Redstone family and Paramount’s independent board members.

Shari Redstone has long preferred Ellison’s bid over other those of potential suitors, believing the 41-year-old entrepreneur possesses the ambition, experience and financial heft to lift Paramount from its doldrums.

But, in early June, Redstone got cold feet and abruptly walked away from the Ellison deal — a move that stunned industry observers and Paramount insiders because it was Redstone who had orchestrated the auction.

Within about a week, Ellison renewed his outreach to Redstone. Ellison ultimately persuaded her to let go of the entertainment company her family has controlled for nearly four decades. The sweetened deal also paid the Redstone family about $50 million more than what had been proposed in early June. On Sunday Paramount’s full board, including special committee of independent directors, had signed off on the deal, the sources said.

Under terms of the deal, Skydance and its financial partners RedBird Capital Partners and private equity firm KKR have agreed to provide a $1.5-billion cash infusion to help Paramount pay down debt. The deal sets aside $4.5 billion to buy shares of Paramount’s Class B shareholders who are eager to exit.

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The Redstone family would receive $1.75-billion for National Amusements, a company that holds the family’s Paramount shares and a regional movie theater chain founded during the Great Depression, after the firm’s considerable debts are paid off.

The proposed handoff signals the end of the Redstone family’s nearly 40-year reign as one of America’s most famous and fractious media dynasties. The late Sumner Redstone’s National Amusements was once valued at nearly $10 billion, but pandemic-related theater closures, last year’s Hollywood labor strikes and a heavy debt burden sent its fortunes spiraling.

In the last five years, the New York-based company has lost two-thirds of its value. Its shares are now worth $8.2 billion based on Friday’s closing price of $11.81 a share.

The struggles in many ways prompted Shari Redstone to part with her beloved family heirloom. Additionally, National Amusements was struggling to cover its debts, and the high interest rates worsened the outlook for the Redstone family.

Paramount boasts some of the most historic brands in entertainment, including the 112-year-old Paramount Pictures movie studio, known for landmark films such as “The Godfather” and “Chinatown.” The company owns television stations including KCAL-TV (Channel 9) and KCBS-TV (Channel 2). Its once-vibrant cable channels such as Nickelodeon, TV Land, BET, MTV and Comedy Central have been losing viewers.

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The handover requires the approval of federal regulators, a process that could take months.

In May, Paramount’s independent board committee said it would entertain a competing $26-billion offer from Sony Pictures Entertainment and Apollo Global Management. The bid would have retired all shareholders and paid off Paramount’s debt, but Sony executives grew increasingly wary of taking over a company that relies on traditional TV channels.

Earlier this year, Warner Bros. Discovery expressed interest in a merger or buying CBS. However, that company has struggled with nearly $40 billion in debt from previous deals and is in similar straits as Paramount. Media mogul Byron Allen has also shown interest.

Skydance Media founder and Chief Executive David Ellison prevailed in his bid for Paramount.

(Evan Agostini/Invision/Associated Press)

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Many in Hollywood — film producers, writers and agents — have been rooting for the Skydance takeover, believing it represents the best chance to preserve Paramount as an independent company. Apollo and Sony were expected to break up the enterprise, with Sony absorbing the movie studio into its Culver City operation.

The second phase of the transaction will be for Paramount to absorb Ellison’s Santa Monica-based Skydance Media, which has sports, animation and gaming as well as television and film production.

Ellison is expected to run Paramount as its chief executive. Former NBCUniversal CEO Jeff Shell, who’s now a RedBird executive, could help manage the operation. It’s unclear whether the Skydance team will keep on the three division heads who are now running Paramount: Paramount Pictures CEO Brian Robbins, CBS head George Cheeks and Showtime/MTV Entertainment Studios chief Chris McCarthy.

Skydance has an existing relationship with Paramount. It co-produced each film in the “Mission: Impossible” franchise since 2011’s “Mission: Impossible — Ghost Protocol,” starring Tom Cruise. It also backed the 2022 Cruise mega-hit “Top Gun: Maverick.”

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Ellison first approached Redstone about making a deal last summer, and talks became known in December.

Redstone long viewed Ellison as a preferred buyer because the deal paid a premium to her family for their exit. She also was impressed by the media mogul , believing he could become a next-generation leader who could take the company her father built to a higher level, according to people knowledgeable of her thinking.

Larry Ellison is said to be contributing funding to the deal.

David Ellison was attracted to the deal because of his past collaborations with Paramount Pictures and the allure of combining their intellectual properties as well as the cachet of owning a historic studio, analysts said. Paramount’s rich history contains popular franchises including “Transformers,” “Star Trek,” “South Park” and “Paw Patrol.”

“Paramount is one of the major historic Hollywood studios with a massive base of [intellectual property], and so it seems to us that it’s more about using the capital that Ellison has and what he’s built at Skydance and leveraging that into owning a major Hollywood studio,” Brent Penter, senior research associate at Raymond James, said prior to the deal. “Not to mention the networks and everything else that Paramount has.”

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The agreement prepares to close the books on the Redstone family’s 37-year tenure at the company formerly known as Viacom, beginning with Sumner Redstone’s hostile takeover in 1987.

Seven years later, Redstone clinched control of Paramount, after merging Viacom with eventually doomed video rental chain Blockbuster to secure enough cash for the $10-billion deal. Redstone long viewed Paramount as the crown jewel, a belief that took root a half-century ago when he wheeled-and-dealed over theatrical exhibition terms for Paramount’s prestigious films to screen at his regional theater chain.

Under Redstone’s control, Paramount won Academy Awards in the ’90s for “Forrest Gump” and “Saving Private Ryan.”

He pioneered the idea of treating films as an investment portfolio and hedging bets on some productions by taking on financial partners — a strategy now widely used throughout the industry.

Sumner Redstone and Shari Redstone in 2012.

The late Sumner Redstone and his daughter Shari Redstone have owned a controlling interest in Viacom, which was rebranded as Paramount, through their family holding company, National Amusements Inc., since 1987.

(Katy Winn/Invision/Associated Press)

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In 2000, Redstone expanded his media empire again by acquiring CBS, a move that made Viacom one of the most muscular media companies of the time, rivaling Walt Disney Co. and Time Warner Inc. Just six years later, Redstone broke it up into separate, sibling companies, convinced that Viacom was more precious to advertisers because of its younger audience. Redstone also wanted to reap dividends from two companies.

After years of mismanagement at Viacom, which coincided with the elder Redstone’s declining health, and boardroom turmoil, his daughter stepped in to oust Viacom top management and members of the board. Three years later, following an executive misconduct scandal at CBS, Shari Redstone achieved her goal by reuniting CBS and Viacom in a nearly $12-billion deal.

The combined company, then called ViacomCBS and valued at more than $25 billion, was supposed to be a TV juggernaut, commanding a major percentage of TV advertising revenue through the dominance of CBS and more than two dozen cable channels.

But changes in the TV landscape took a toll.

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As consumer cord-cutting became more widespread and TV advertising revenue declined, ViacomCBS’ biggest asset became a serious liability.

The company was late to enter the streaming wars and then spent heavily on its Paramount+ streaming service to try to catch up with Netflix and even Disney. (In early 2022, the company was renamed Paramount Global in a nod to its moviemaking past and to tie in with its streaming platform of the same name.)

The company’s eroding linear TV business and the decline of TV ad revenue, as well as its struggles trying to make streaming profitable, will be major challenges for Ellison as he takes over Paramount. Though traditional TV is declining, it still brings in cash for Paramount.

And streaming is a whole different economic proposition from television, one that offers slimmer profits. Meanwhile, the company also faces larger industry questions about when — if ever — box office revenue will return to pre-pandemic levels.

“This is a company that is floating on hope,” said Stephen Galloway, dean of Chapman University’s Dodge College of Film and Media Arts. “And hope isn’t a great business strategy.”

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Missing the paperwork on your IRAs? All is not lost

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Missing the paperwork on your IRAs? All is not lost

Dear Liz: I have four daughters, now in their late 30s and early 40s. When they were very young, I started investing for them. As they began to earn their own money, I started Roth IRAs for them as well.

A decade ago, due to an unexpected divorce, a 30-day escrow and a move, I lost the paperwork for their accounts. After the investment company was acquired by another in 2015, I forwarded the new company’s contact information to my daughters. One transferred her account to another investment company, while her sisters left theirs in place.

Recently I found the old investment paperwork. The company has changed hands again, but the new company says it has no information about my three other daughters’ accounts. Can anything be done?

Answer: Since the latest company can’t find the accounts, your daughters should contact the escheat office of the state where you lived before your move.

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Perhaps you didn’t update your address with the original company when you moved and the account statements or other mail were returned as undeliverable. If the company and its successor couldn’t find you — and some companies don’t look very hard — the accounts would be considered unclaimed and would have to be turned over to the state.

Links to state escheat offices can be found online at unclaimed.org, the website for the National Assn.
of Unclaimed Property Administrators.

The good news is that there’s no time limit for claiming previously unclaimed property.

The bad news is that some states will liquidate stocks and other investments after escheatment. If that’s the case, then the three daughters who didn’t move their accounts will have missed out on nearly a decade of investment returns.

Dear Liz: Is it common for a brokerage agreement to say the firm can close my account for any reason and without any notice? The agreement goes on to say that the brokerage can liquidate the investments in my account if it’s closed and that the brokerage is not responsible for any investment losses that result.

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Answer: The short answer is yes — brokerage accounts can be closed at any time by the firm or by the client.

Such agreements often specify certain actions that can trigger a closure, such as failing to maintain a minimum required balance. But the agreements also typically have language that allows the brokerage to close your account at any time and for any reason.

Brokerages don’t commonly close customer accounts. If yours does, however, move quickly to transfer your investments to another firm.

Failure to act could result in your investments being liquidated, and you would owe capital gains taxes on any appreciation in their value.

Dear Liz: You have written that non-spouse beneficiaries are now required to drain their inherited IRAs within 10 years. Is this requirement retroactive?

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I inherited an IRA from my mother in 2015. I have been taking out the minimum required each year. If I must drain the account within 10 years, will the increase in yearly income affect my Social Security benefits?

Answer: The 10-year requirement applies only to accounts inherited from people who died after Dec. 31, 2019.

IRA distributions don’t affect Social Security benefits, but could affect Medicare premiums if the withdrawal is large enough. Taxable income above certain limits triggers a Medicare surcharge known as an income-related monthly adjustment amount, or IRMAA.

Dear Liz: My husband passed away 10 months ago. I applied for widow benefits.

The Social Security Administration sent me a letter that said they cannot pay because my Social Security benefit would equal two-thirds of the amount of my pension. Please help me with this.

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Answer: This is known as the government pension offset, and it applies to people who receive a pension from a job that didn’t pay into Social Security. Any survivor or spousal benefits you might receive are reduced by two-thirds of the pension amount. In your case, your entire benefit was offset.

People are understandably upset to learn they don’t qualify for survivor or spousal benefits through Social Security. But since your pension is large enough to offset any benefit, you’re financially better off with the pension than without it.

For more information, see the government pension offset pamphlet, available online at SSA.gov/pubs or by calling the Social Security Administration toll-free at (800) 772-1213.

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California’s workplace violence prevention law is now in effect. Here's how it changes things

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California’s workplace violence prevention law is now in effect. Here's how it changes things

Beginning this month, California businesses will be required to have plans in place to prevent violence in the workplace.

Senate Bill 553, signed by Gov. Gavin Newsom last fall, requires that employers develop plans to protect workplaces from foreseeable threats of violence, which can range from bullying and harassment to active shooter and hostage situations. Under the law, employers were to have these comprehensive plans in place by July 1.

Here’s what you should know about the new law:

Who pushed for the workplace violence prevention law, and why?

State Sen. Dave Cortese (D-San Jose), who wrote the legislation, said he began looking into regulating workplace violence after a major shooting in 2021 at a light-rail yard roiled his district. In the incident, an employee killed nine colleagues at the Santa Clara Valley Transportation Authority before taking his own life.

Surveying the scene soon after the shooting, Cortese said he felt there could have been a clear plan for how workers might respond in such a situation. “It would have saved lives,” he said.

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Cortese said the requirements outlined by the law took cues from a regulation the California Division of Occupational Safety and Health had been in the process of developing. Their safety standard, however, given their lengthy rule-making process and bureaucratic delays, probably would have taken several more years to get final approval.

More than half of such shootings in 2021 occurred in places of commerce, including grocery stores and manufacturing sites, according to the FBI.

SB 553 was backed by several unions, among them the United Food and Commercial Workers Western States Council. The union sought a law that would help address what it described as a rash of violent attacks at grocery stores and pharmacies, as workers were being pressured by their employers to crack down on shoplifting.

Grocery and other retail workers who interact with the public have long worried about violence in the workplace. Notably, they faced harassment and at times assault from customers who refused to comply with mask mandates in the early years of the COVID-19 pandemic. Fast-food workers also have complained of violent and dangerous customers.

Did anyone oppose the legislation? If so, why?

Industry groups such as the National Retail Assn. had vehemently opposed SB 553, arguing the paperwork would be overly burdensome for businesses.

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They also took issue with a provision the bill had in its early stages that prohibited businesses from requiring nonsecurity employees to confront shoplifters and active shooters. That language was later removed. Eventually, the trade groups dropped their opposition.

What exactly is required under the law?

Legal experts said many companies had already started loosely addressing workplace violence concerns as mass shootings and other violent incidents dominated headlines over the years. The law helps to clarify employers’ obligations in this arena, experts said.

The law defines four types of workplace violence employers should try to prevent: violent action by a third-party person with no real reason to be at the worksite — essentially, a stranger showing up and harming an employee; violence by parties that are entitled to be there, such as customers, clients, patients or other authorized visitors; violence committed against employees by another employee; and violence by a third party who has a romantic or other personal relationship with an employee.

Under the law, most California businesses with at least 10 employees are required to have a policy document identifying potential violence and plans to deal with it — either as a standalone document, or as part of an existing injury and illness prevention policy.

They must also make workers aware of the violence prevention plan through annual training, and maintain a log of incidents of violence over a minimum of five years.

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What else should I know about the law?

The law makes it easier for employees — or the unions that represent them — to get temporary restraining orders if they are threatened by a coworker or someone else in the workplace.

“That’s a big thing — most employees don’t get to choose who they work with or what happens at work,” said Ian A. Wright, a labor and employment attorney at Alston & Bird. “It gives employees an additional form of protection that they can go and seek themselves.”

Noncompliance could be met with civil penalties, and businesses that haven’t yet implemented the law are already several days past the deadline.

“My advice would be to get it done as soon as possible,” Wright said.

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