California
Trump Won This Latino California District; Now Independents Will Decide Who Holds It
Assembly District 36 covers some of California’s most remote and geographically extraordinary terrain, stretching across all of Imperial County and a large portion of Riverside County, with a small slice of San Bernardino County. The district includes the cities of Indio, Coachella, Blythe, and Needles in Riverside County; portions of the City of Hemet; and the Imperial Valley cities of Calexico, Brawley, El Centro, Imperial, Calipatria, Holtville, and Westmorland.
Few districts can claim three borders. AD36 runs along the Mexico border to the south, the Arizona border to the east, and touches Nevada to the northeast.
Near Blythe, the ancient Blythe Intaglios, enormous figures etched into the desert floor by Indigenous peoples, are the best known of hundreds of geoglyphs found across the American West.
The district encompasses tribal lands belonging to the Quechan Tribe near Winterhaven, the Chemehuevi near Needles, and the Twenty-Nine Palms Band of Mission Indians.
El Centro, one of the few American cities located below sea level, is recognized as the birthplace and early home of the iconic singer, actress, and “Goddess of Pop,” Cher. In a twist that only California rock and roll could produce, the Sonny Bono Salton Sea National Wildlife Refuge sits entirely within AD36.
It’s also the home of the Empire Polo Club, host of the famous Coachella festival.
This year, the festival’s being held April 10-12 & 17-19, 2026, and will feature Sabrina Carpenter and Justin Bieber.
At last year’s festival, US Senator Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wrapped up their Fighting Oligarchy Tour on April 16, after a five-day, seven-stop sweep through the West that drew nearly 150,000 people—capping it off with an unexpected appearance at the Coachella music festival.
Sanders and AOC Wrap ‘Fighting Oligarchy’ Tour and Bernie Takes the Mic at Coachella US Senator Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wrapped up their Fighting Oligarchy Tour on April 16, after a five-day, seven-stop sweep through the West that drew nearly 150,000 people—capping it off with an unexpected appearance by Sanders at the Coachella music festival.
The climate in AD36 is definitely not for the faint of heart. Temperatures routinely exceed 110 degrees in summer, yet the district’s mild winters are exactly what make the Imperial Valley one of the most productive winter vegetable growing regions in the United States.
When the rest of the country is eating lettuce, broccoli, and carrots in January, there is a good chance it came from AD36.
The farming operations here hold some of the most senior water rights in the United States, and because the district encompasses both the Colorado River basin communities of Blythe and Needles and the intensively irrigated Imperial Valley, the representative for AD36 is a key player in Western water politics, in constant negotiation with the federal government and neighboring states.
The 2024 Imperial County Agricultural Crop and Livestock Report confirms cattle as a top commodity in the district, with a gross value of $546 million.
The Salton Sea, California’s largest lake by surface area, lies entirely within AD36 and sits atop one of the world’s largest known lithium deposits, found in geothermal brine beneath the valley floor. There has been an enormous push to turn the Imperial Valley into a global hub for electric-vehicle battery production, making this region one of the most closely watched economic stories in California.
The district was drawn to protect the political voice of its majority-Latino population under Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, and its communities share deep concerns about water, the border, and the region’s economic future.
Demographics, Housing, and Cost of Living
According to the 2023 American Community Survey, Assembly District 36 has a total population of 486,764.
The district is 69.7% Latino, making it one of the most heavily Latino districts in California. White residents comprise 20.4%, Black residents 3.5%, and Asian residents 3%.
The citizen voting age population stands at 61.3%, with 26.8% of residents foreign-born and 13.3% classified as non-citizens.
Economic conditions in the district reflect significant hardship. The median household income is $66,802, with a mean household income of $88,932 and a per capita income of $28,343.
Approximately 14.9% of residents live below the poverty line, 7.8% lack health insurance, and 20.9% of households receive food assistance. Educational attainment is relatively low, with 17.7% of residents holding a bachelor’s degree and 5.8% a graduate degree.
Housing is predominantly owner-occupied at 66.4%, with 33.6% of homes renter-occupied. The median home value is $347,100, and the median monthly rent is $1,168.
The district’s 19,652 civilian veterans represent 5.5% of the population, a significant share that reflects both the region’s proximity to military installations and its strong tradition of military service.
23%of Voters Do Not Belong to A Major Party
As of December 30, 2025, Assembly District 36 had 258,071 registered voters. Democrats hold 40.9% of registrations, Republicans 29.1%, and No Party Preference voters 22.9%, with American Independent comprising roughly 4%. Democrats maintain a registration advantage of approximately 11.8 points, but that figure understates how dramatically the partisan landscape has shifted.
The Democratic advantage peaked at 17.3 points in 2022 and has contracted sharply since, falling to 13.6 points by the 2024 general election and further to 11.8 points by the close of 2025. Republican registration has climbed from 26.9% in 2022 to 29.1% today, while the Democratic share has slipped from 44.2% to 40.9% over the same period.
The growth of No Party Preference voters is significant. NPP registrations have nearly doubled in raw numbers since 2008, rising from roughly 22,000 to nearly 59,000, and their share of the electorate has grown from 15.2% to 22.9%. Nearly one in four voters in AD36 now belongs to no party. In a district where the Democratic registration advantage has been shrinking and top-of-ticket results have already flipped Republican, independent voters are not a secondary factor at all in this race.
They are central to the outcome.
The district’s partisan profile also varies considerably by county. Riverside County accounts for 62.4% of registered voters and leans Democratic by just 8.1 points. Imperial County, representing 36.4% of the electorate, carries a wider 19.1-point Democratic advantage. The small San Bernardino County portion, just 1.2% of registrations, actually leans Republican.
Trump and Harris Were Neck and Neck in 2024
The rightward movement in AD36 has been among the most pronounced of any majority-Latino district in California.
Donald Trump carried the district by 1.3% in 2024, winning 49.5% to Kamala Harris’s 48.2%, a striking outcome in a district where Democrats still held a registration advantage exceeding 13 points.
In the 2024 U.S. Senate race, Republican Steve Garvey edged Democrat Adam Schiff by 1.9%, 51% to 49%.
Republican Jeff Gonzalez defeated Democrat Joey Acuña by 3.6%.
The 2026 Race for Assembly
Gonzalez enters the 2026 cycle as the incumbent in a district his party captured just two years ago. Three Democrats have qualified to challenge him in the top-two primary.
Oscar Ortiz, an Indio City Councilmember who challenged Representative Raul Ruiz from the left in the 2024 congressional primary and finished fourth with 10% of the vote, came closest to winning the Democratic Party’s formal backing. He received 60% at the party’s pre-endorsement conference, falling short of the required threshold, and then 45% at the primary endorsement vote, also short of the mark. The California Democratic Party ultimately issued no endorsement in the race.
Tomas Oliva, a former El Centro City Councilmember who placed sixth in the 2024 Assembly primary and serves as a senior field representative for Representative Ruiz, and Ida Obeso-Martinez, an Imperial City Councilmember and cardiovascular nurse practitioner, have also filed.
Gonzalez closed 2025 with a commanding financial advantage, having raised $751,378 for the cycle and reporting $402,837 on hand. Among the Democrats, Ortiz led in total fundraising at $147,874 raised with $61,017 on hand, followed by Oliva at $89,587 raised and $63,569 on hand, and Obeso-Martinez at $73,059 raised and $24,659 on hand.
More About The Candidates
Jeff Gonzalez (Republican, Incumbent)
Jeff Gonzalez, born August 5, 1974, is a Marine veteran, former pastor, small business owner, and self-described first-generation American who became the first Republican to win this district in years when he prevailed in 2024.
Born in New Jersey and raised in Southern California, he enlisted in the Marines at 19 and served in counterintelligence and as an operations manager during deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan, earning the rank of chief warrant officer. He holds a bachelor’s degree in domestic security management from National University and a master’s in theology from Gateway University.
His path to elected office ran through a decade in ministry. Starting in 2007 as a volunteer campus coordinator at Saddleback Church, he moved to Southwest Church in Indian Wells six years later as outreach pastor and public relations director, then returned to Saddleback, serving congregations in San Diego and later Indian Wells. Along the way, he chaired the Marine Corps Counterintelligence Association and served on the board of Habitat for Humanity. He now owns a Spherion Staffing and Recruiting franchise.
Gonzalez first sought the Assembly in 2018, running against Democrat Eduardo Garcia in what was then the 56th district. He advanced out of the primary but lost the general election by a wide margin in a difficult year for Republicans statewide. When Garcia retired in 2024, Gonzalez ran again and won in a race that reflected the district’s dramatic rightward shift.
In the Assembly, he serves on the Aging and Long-Term Care, Agriculture, Arts and Entertainment, Higher Education, and Military and Veterans Affairs Committees, and is vice chair of the Water, Parks, and Wildlife Committee.
His early legislative priorities reflect the economic realities of this sprawling rural district. A bill to suspend the state’s 61-cent-per-gallon gas tax for one year drew on imagery he has used on the campaign trail, contrasting gas prices in Needles with those just across the Arizona border. “In rural and desert communities, a car is not a luxury. It’s a lifeline,” he said. “This is about affordability, this is about fairness, and this is about putting people before politics.”
He recently authored the Rural Farmworker Women’s Health Act, which would require the state health department to partner with local nonprofits to distribute free menstrual products to women in remote agricultural regions. “More than 100,000 women work in California agriculture,” he said. “Many are in rural areas with no easy access to stores or health services. They should not have to go through a full workday without basic hygiene products.”
CA bill aims to provide ‘dignity’ and free menstrual hygiene products to female farmworkers A new state bill looks to fill a crucial healthcare need for female farmworkers in rural agricultural areas across California.
He also authored a bill to expedite environmental review for the Coachella Valley Rail project, a proposed $1.5 billion passenger line between the valley and Los Angeles, potentially cutting its planning timeline by roughly two years if the measure passes.
“AB 1855 removes unnecessary roadblocks to expanding passenger rail on an already existing rail line, especially in communities that depend on driving,” Gonzalez said. The bill attracted bipartisan support, with Democratic Assemblymember Corey Jackson and Republican Assemblymember Greg Wallis among the co-authors.
On public safety, Gonzalez has been outspoken about the lasting harm of violent crime, at times speaking from personal experience. Joining Republican colleagues at a March 2026 press conference urging the parole board to deny release to a convicted child molester, he said, “This issue is not abstract for me. I understand firsthand the lifelong impact the abuse leaves behind. It doesn’t end when the crime ends. It follows you.” When opponents argued that the rising cost of housing aging inmates should factor into the decision, he dismissed the framing: “I don’t give a damn about the rising costs. I give a damn about these victims.”
In February 2025, Gonzalez joined the newly formed California Hispanic Legislative Caucus, which Republican lawmakers created after the Democratic Latino Legislative Caucus declined to admit them over policy differences on immigration.
“Californians want their legislators exchanging ideas across the aisle,” Gonzalez wrote at the time. “No more partisan exclusion!”
His platform also calls for eliminating taxes on groceries, passing what he describes as a major middle-class tax cut, hiring more teachers, and strengthening school safety.
He resides in Indio with his wife, Christine, and their four children.
Oscar Ortiz (Democrat)
Oscar Ortiz, born January 20, 1990, is an Indio City Councilmember, former mayor, and deputy director of Friends of the Desert Mountains, a nonprofit devoted to land conservation and environmental education in the region. Born in Mexicali and raised in Indio after his family immigrated when he was 3, he became a U.S. citizen at 17. He graduated at the top of his class from Indio High School and went on to earn a chemistry degree from Stanford University in 2012, where his coursework included research on bioterrorism defense. He subsequently built a career in the pharmaceutical industry before moving into environmental nonprofit work.
First elected to the Indio City Council in 2018 at 28, Ortiz became the youngest person ever to hold that office, unseating an incumbent in the process. His tenure included serving as mayor in 2023 and steering the city through the COVID-19 pandemic and the damage caused by Tropical Storm Hilary, while advancing affordable housing, bilingual community outreach, and support for small businesses. He was appointed to a second council term in 2022 without opposition and currently chairs the Coachella Valley Association of Governments Energy and Sustainability Commission. In the 2024 congressional primary, he challenged Representative Raul Ruiz from the left, finishing fourth with 10% of the vote.
“I’m running for State Assembly to raise the concerns of workers in our state,” he said when announcing his candidacy. “Our families are struggling to keep up with the rising costs of rent and the ever-increasing costs of health care and insurance rates.” He has also called for new approaches to persistent regional challenges. “We need representatives who are willing to bring bold, innovative solutions to solve the increasingly complex challenges facing our region,” he said.
His platform centers on housing affordability, expanded healthcare access in a district with too few specialists and mental health providers, and building regional economic strength through clean energy and union labor. He has also emphasized the contributions of domestic and care workers.
Upon receiving the endorsement of United Domestic Workers of America, he said:
“Home and child care workers are the backbone of our communities. They show up every single day to care for our children, our seniors, and our neighbors with disabilities, often without the recognition or compensation they deserve. As your Assemblymember, I will fight to ensure these essential workers have the wages, benefits, and respect they have earned.”
His endorsers include the California Federation of Labor Unions, the Inland Empire Labor Council, United Domestic Workers of America, the California Teachers Association, the California Federation of Teachers, SEIU California, the California Legislative Progressive Caucus, IBEW locals 440 and 569, Painters and Allied Trades District Council 36, and California Environmental Voters.
Ortiz is the leading Democratic fundraiser in the field, having raised $147,874 with $61,017 on hand at year-end 2025. He resides in Indio.
Tomas Oliva (Democrat)
Tomas Oliva, born September 11, 1984, is a former El Centro City Councilmember, adjunct professor at Imperial Valley College, and senior field representative for Representative Raul Ruiz.
His family moved to El Centro when he was young to be near relatives in Mexicali, after his father became too ill to work. His mother transitioned from homemaker to breadwinner, earning a graduate degree and spending more than two decades as an elementary school educator in the Imperial Valley.
Growing up on food stamps and public assistance, Oliva has drawn directly on that experience in his campaign.
“I’m not another out-of-touch politician,” he has said. “I’m a kid from El Centro who grew up on food stamps and government assistance. I know firsthand policy is personal.”
Oliva earned a bachelor’s degree in political science from UC San Diego and a master’s in public administration from San Diego State University.
His public service career began as a Polanco Fellow placed in the California Attorney General’s Office and the State Assembly. He subsequently managed Assemblymember Manuel Perez’s 2008 campaign, worked for the Superior Court of California in Imperial County, and served as a regional affairs officer for the Southern California Association of Governments from 2011 to 2015. He has since worked as a field representative in the offices of Representatives Juan Vargas and Raul Ruiz, taught adjunct courses at Imperial Valley College since 2016, including classes for incarcerated students at Centinela State Prison and Calipatria State Prison, and serves as a board trustee at El Centro Regional Medical Center. He chaired the Imperial County Democratic Central Committee in 2021.
Oliva served on the El Centro City Council from 2018 through March 2025, including a term as mayor. He considers his most consequential act in office to be overseeing the merger of the El Centro Regional Medical Center into the Imperial Valley Healthcare District, preserving hospital services for tens of thousands of residents.
His resignation in March 2025 came after he concluded that other council members were taking steps that jeopardized that merger’s future.
“My resignation is the loudest alarm I could ring to make residents aware of the concerning direction this new council is taking, particularly when it comes to the future of our healthcare system,” he said. His departure also came ahead of a likely censure vote.
Oliva placed sixth in the 2024 AD36 primary with 7.5% of the vote.
His priorities include protecting rural hospitals through better Medi-Cal reimbursement rates and expanded physician residency programs, sustaining the Salton Sea mitigation plan, creating an equitable economic framework for the Lithium Valley that channels revenues back to affected communities, and building out transit infrastructure connecting the Coachella Valley and Imperial Valley.
Oliva opposes data centers.
“As an Assemblymember I will call for a statewide moratorium of data center developments across the state…The safety of our people and our neighbors cannot be an afterthought this is unacceptable.”
He has also pushed back against what he considers distorted narratives about border communities and President Trump’s effort to end automatic birthright citizenship. “Our hospitals are not being inundated by Mexican nationals,” he said in May 2025. “If you’re pregnant, you’re probably not going to get a visa. It’s a false narrative.”
Oliva had raised $89,587 with $63,569 cash on hand as of December 31, 2025. He resides in El Centro.
Ida Obeso-Martinez (Democrat)
Ida Obeso-Martinez, born May 6, 1979, is an Imperial City Councilmember, former Mayor Pro-Tem, and cardiovascular nurse practitioner at Imperial Cardiac Center.
A lifelong resident of Imperial County, she completed her nursing education at Imperial Valley College, the University of Phoenix, and ultimately the University of Arizona, where she earned a doctorate in nursing practice.
She spent more than two decades in emergency and intensive care nursing in Imperial Valley hospitals before specializing in cardiovascular care, has contributed to peer-reviewed medical journals, and sees more than 35 patients on a typical day, the majority of whom rely on Medicaid.
Elected to the Imperial City Council in 2022, she has also served as Mayor Pro-Tem and mayor. In September 2024, she was chosen as board director and division representative for the League of California Cities, Imperial County Division.
Her council record reflects a consistent focus on public health and community quality of life. In December 2023, she helped shepherd a smoke-free ordinance through the council that bans tobacco use at city-owned outdoor venues, including parks, playgrounds, and public events.
In February 2026, she announced $1.5 million in federal funding for a new regional park, secured with the assistance of Representative Ruiz and Senator Schiff. “Their dedication to improving quality of life for our residents will leave a lasting legacy,” she said.
She has also led the city’s legal battle against Imperial County’s approval of a data center without environmental review under CEQA, arguing that residents deserve full transparency and enforceable protections. “The City of Imperial remains committed to the pursuit of a concise and public process,” she said. “Residents of this region deserve nothing less.”
In March 2025, Representative Ruiz brought Obeso-Martinez to Washington, D.C. as his guest for President Trump’s Joint Address to Congress, where she advocated against Medicaid cuts.
“As a lifelong advocate for expanding health care access in the Imperial Valley, I am here to stand against Medicaid cuts that would limit the care our health facilities can provide to patients,” she said.
Her endorsements include Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas, Representative Ruiz, and Assemblymember Sharon Quirk-Silva. Obeso-Martinez had $73,059 raised and $24,659 on hand at year-end 2025 and resides in Imperial with her husband, Omar.
Independent Voters and an Unsettled Primary
No Party Preference registrations in AD36 have grown from 15.2% of the electorate in 2008 to 22.9% today, a gain of more than 36,000 voters in raw numbers. These 59,000 unaffiliated voters will play a pivotal role in shaping the outcome of both the June primary and the November general election.
In 2024, NPP voters in the district were part of a broader rightward wave that carried President Trump to a narrow victory here and helped Gonzalez flip the seat from blue to red. The question hanging over 2026 is whether that alignment will hold. Trump’s immigration enforcement policies have had direct and visible consequences in a district that runs along the United States-Mexico border, where many residents have family ties on both sides and where immigrant labor is the backbone of the agricultural economy. Whether the independent voters who supported Gonzalez in 2024 were casting a vote for him specifically, for Trump’s agenda broadly, or simply against the status quo is a question that 2026 may answer.
For Gonzalez, who has tried to cultivate a bipartisan identity and distanced himself from purely partisan messaging, the challenge will be holding NPP voters who may be uneasy with the administration’s direction. For the three Democrats in the field, the opportunity lies in making the case that those same voters have reason to reconsider. With no party endorsement unifying the Democratic side and a crowded primary ballot, how NPP voters distribute their support across the field will be among the defining questions of the race.
About the 2026 California Top Two Primary
The last day to register to vote for the June 2, 2026, Primary Election is May 18, 2026. All active registered voters will receive a vote-by-mail ballot. Ballots will begin mailing on May 4, and drop-off locations will open on May 5. Early in-person voting begins May 23 in Voter’s Choice Act counties. Vote-by-mail ballots must be postmarked by Election Day and received by June 9.
This article draws on publicly available information from the California Secretary of State, the California Target Book, California FPPC campaign finance filings, the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, Ballotpedia, the Imperial Valley Press, The Desert Sun, CalMatters, and other local and regional reporting.
California
California Republicans face off for party’s endorsement ahead of spring primary
The California Republican Party will make endorsements of the candidates running for office — including for the state’s next governor — on Sunday during the final day of the California Republican Convention in San Diego.
Candidates made their plea for endorsement to the party’s delegates at the convention, held at the Sheraton San Diego Resort on Harbor Island, on Saturday — with promises to root out alleged misuse of spending, push forward voter identification initiatives and boost affordability in the state.
The party faces what could be an uphill battle to win in the majority Democratic state, and is also coming off the loss of Proposition 50 last year, in which voters overwhelmingly voted to redistrict the state to benefit Democrats.
Despite the challenges, Republican candidates and convention attendees showed up hopeful for their odds — with especially strong enthusiasm behind the two candidates for governor, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco and former Fox News commentator Steven Hilton.
“This election has always been ours for the taking,” said Bianco. “It is up to us — conservative, common-sense Republicans — to show proven leadership, compassion and integrity matters.”
Hilton has been endorsed by President Donald Trump — a development some expect could hurt his chances of winning in the largely blue state.
But many of the candidates expressed support and alignment with the Trump administration and its policies, including efforts to ban transgender athletes in women’s and girls’ sports and abolish sanctuary cities, which limit cooperation with federal immigration enforcement.
“It’s going to be a whole new story in California,” Hilton said. “We are going to play our part in (Trump’s) golden age for America.”
That support for Trump was on full display at the convention, with loud cheers from the audience when the candidates mentioned the president’s policies and signs saying “Make California Golden Again,” co-opting his signature slogan.
Associate delegate from Ventura County Jennifer McCarthy says she wants a candidate with Trump’s ideals, which is why she’s supporting Hilton.
“I think he has the political and the business experience, plus the media experience, that he will be able to make the difference in California,” she added.
The party’s delegates will announce its endorsements during the final day of the convention on Sunday.
Along with the candidate forum, the convention on Saturday offered a series of events, including a book signing with former Trump administration press secretary Sean Spicer and a panel on voter identification and the future of elections.
Booths with volunteers promoting candidates and vendors selling merchandise lined the main hall of the convention, and bedazzled clothing for sale — along with rows of “Make America Great Again” hats and other Trump-related merchandise — further decorated the space.
San Diego resident Blake Marnell says he’s been often seen at Trump rallies wearing a signature suit with a brick pattern on it — to symbolize his support for the Trump administration’s border fence — but he left the outfit at home on Saturday, since the convention was more focused on California issues.
Marnell is supportive of Hilton for governor and says he thinks he will be able to reach independent voters as well as Republicans.
“I don’t see Steve Hilton as being a party politician,” he said. “He’s got a lot of crossover.”
But Louisa Millington, from Riverside, says Trump’s endorsement of Hilton is detrimental in a state like California.
“I would vote for (Trump) again today, but in California, we need a governor for California, not for Washington, D.C.,” she said. “We can’t have our president picking and crowning who’s going to be our governor in California.”
California
California salmon fishing finally poised to reopen. Can the industry recover?
After three years of unprecedented closures that devastated California’s fishing industry, commercial salmon fishing is poised to reopen this spring.
The return comes with a catch: Regulators at the interstate Pacific Fishery Management Council will strictly constrain fishing dates and impose harvest limits for both commercial and recreational fishing to protect the threatened California Coastal Chinook. The council is set to finalize the details this weekend.
It’s not the season the fleet had hoped for after years of closures. But those who survived the shutdowns fear a graver threat: state and federal decisions could reshape California’s water systems and rivers.
“Water policy in California is about to change drastically and irreversibly, and nobody has the energy to pay attention to that,” said Sarah Bates, who fishes commercially from San Francisco. “I am concerned that salmon is going to be (commercially) extinct in our lifetimes.”
For the first time since 2022, Bates was preparing her century-old boat, the Bounty, docked at Fisherman’s Wharf. She ticked off the boat’s needs: an oil change, a hydraulics check, a run-through of the steering system, the anchor. Her fading fishing permit, now four years out of date, still clings to the outside of the cabin.
“Pay no attention to my paint job,” Bates said. “Try not to make my boat look bad.”
Looking at its cracking paint and tangled ropes, Bates — who wrestles waves and weather for a living and uses a fishing float dented by a massive shark bite — seemed a little daunted by the tasks ahead.
Without income from salmon, Bates allowed critical upkeep to lag. “There’s been a lot of deferred maintenance,” she said. “I’m actually a little worried about everybody charging out into the ocean in May to go fishing.”
‘A tremendous, avoidable hit’
Salmon is king in California. It’s what keeps the markets and restaurants buying, the industrial-scale ice machines running, the tourists booking charter boats and visiting the coast.
“It’s iconic,” said retired charter boat captain John Atkinson. “We have people who will fish every week for salmon. And for the other species, they come out once.”
But dams, water diversions, low flows and poor ocean conditions have driven decades of decline.
California experienced its driest three year stretch in history from 2020 through 2022 — worsening that burden and causing populations to plummet. Interstate fisheries managers cancelled commercial salmon fishing for an unprecedented three years in a row, and barred recreational fishing for all but a handful of days last year.
The financial damage was severe. California estimated the closures cost nearly $100 million in lost coastal community and state personal income during the first two years alone.
The fishing industry says these numbers vastly underestimate the economic and human costs: Boats went to the crusher, tourists took their money to other states, suppliers went out of business and fishers fled California or the industry altogether.
“This was a tremendous, avoidable hit. We have survived droughts throughout recent history, but none had impacts this drastic,” Vance Staplin, executive director of the Golden State Salmon Association, said in an email.
First: Fisherman’s Wharf in San Francisco on March 20, 2026. Last: Sunlight pours through a window of the Bounty, a commercial fishing vessel, on March 20, 2026. Photos by Jungho Kim for CalMatters Sarah Bates, a commercial salmon fisher, stands at the wheel of her boat, Bounty, at Fisherman’s Wharf in San Francisco on March 20, 2026. Photo by Jungho Kim for CalMatters California has requested disaster assistance from the U.S. Secretary of Commerce. But federal aid has come slowly, and fallen short. The U.S. government has released only $20.6 million, and only for the 2023 closure.
“The entire framework for fishery disasters has to be totally redone,” said U.S. Rep. Jared Huffman, a California Democrat and ranking member of the House Natural Resources Committee. “We need something that is much faster, that is less political, that doesn’t depend on all the vagaries of multiple federal agencies and congressional appropriations.”
Rain, but little respite
The rains returned in 2023 — bringing the flows and cool water young salmon need to survive and complete their ocean migration.
Now, the Pacific Fishery Management Council projects that roughly 392,000 Sacramento River fall-run Chinook salmon are swimming off the coast. These are the mainstay of California’s salmon fishery — and the forecasts are better than last year’s, though still a fraction of the millions that returned historically. But the limited fishing season is not the respite that the industry had counted on.
“We’re happy to get some fishing this year,” Staplin, of the Golden State Salmon Association, said, “but if we want to preserve the businesses and families that define California’s coastal and inland salmon economies, we need a little compromise and balance in prioritizing water during droughts.”
A plan or a patch?
Two years ago, Gov. Gavin Newsom released a plan aimed at protecting salmon from climate change.
The plan received mixed reactions.
Some scientists and members of the fishing community credited state agencies and the Newsom administration with concrete efforts like hatchery upgrades and cutting-edge genetic fish tagging. One$58 million state and federal effort — the Big Notch Project — connected salmon and other fish to prime floodplain habitat in the Yolo Bypass through seasonal gates.
“Anything that can be done is a help right now,” Atkinson said.
But others say that the strategy papers over policies that rob salmon of the cold water they need. California is built around nature-defying engineering that funnels vast amounts of water away from rivers to supply cities and the state’s $60 billion agricultural economy.
“As soon as it stops raining or snowing, we’re going to be back in the same situation with the salmon season closing,” said Jon Rosenfield, science director at The San Francisco Baykeeper. “If we don’t protect river flows and cold water storage, then we’re not protecting salmon.”
Some of the fiercest fights are over the contentious Delta tunnel and Newsom’s controversial deal with major water users, backed by $1.5 billion in state funding, to overhaul how farms and cities take water from the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta and the rivers that feed it.
Carson Jeffres, a senior researcher at the UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences, takes a more moderate view — the effect on salmon will depend on how California agencies manage these projects, but the status quo isn’t an option.
“I just don’t see a world where the salmon are prioritized over human water needs — and I think we should plan for it,” he said. “Then that might be a more sustainable place.”
On top of state policies is a Trump administration that called for “Putting People over Fish” and adopted a plan in December to send more Northern California water to Central Valley farms.
State wildlife officials said at the time that President Donald Trump’s actions “run counter” to California’s efforts to improve salmon populations, “harming the California communities that rely on salmon for their livelihood.”
California Secretary of Natural Resources Wade Crowfoot acknowledged the state’s finite water supply can’t satisfy everyone’s priorities.
“There’s no shortage of finger pointing by some groups who argue that not enough water is remaining in our rivers for salmon and aquatic habitat, and other groups that suggest that not enough water is being diverted for California communities and agriculture,” Crowfoot said.
“Water management in California,” he said, “involves balancing water across these needs.”
Last year, the Newsom administration announced that nearly 70% of the salmon strategy’s action items were underway, and more than a quarter were already complete.
That’s “crazy math … What is your outcome measure?” said Bates. “For us, our outcome measure is enough fish to go fishing.”
Adapting to survive
In the absence of enough fish, the industry has been piloting new strategies to survive.
Back at Fisherman’s Wharf, a few rows over from Bates, Captain Virginia Salvador was getting ready to take a group out to troll for halibut and striped bass. Her French bulldog, Anchovy, wandered the deck between the ropes.
Salvador started her charter boat business, Unforgettable Fishing Adventures, during the salmon shutdown — and had to quickly expand her offerings.
Now, she runs barbecue and barhopping cruises around San Francisco Bay and takes passengers to McCovey Cove during Giants games. She teams up with food influencer Rosalie Bradford Pareja to offer a chef experience. And she still holds down a second job working in a hospital pathology laboratory.
“When you rely on a natural entity for your income, you have to learn how to deviate, pivot, expand,” Salvador said.
Captain Virginia Salvador on her boat, Unforgettable, at Fisherman’s Wharf in San Francisco on March 20, 2026. Photo by Jungho Kim for CalMatters Where the front row of charter boats line the street like storefronts, Bates’ row at Fisherman’s Wharf has the feeling of a neighborhood. One fisherman clambered down the ladder to Bates’ boat, where they swapped great white shark stories. Bates hollered to another neighbor every time a tourist wandered down the dock, bucket in hand, looking to buy fresh crab.
This neighbor, a tattooed and lanky and exhausted fisherman named Shawn Chen Flading, had been out all night. His 12 hour mission to retrieve crab pots turned into a 26 hour ordeal when his throttle cable broke.
At the time Flading bought his boat, before the shutdowns, it looked like a pretty good living.
“A lot of people — the older generation — put their kids through college, bought their homes. And it just disappeared,” Flading said. “I lost basically half my revenue for the past three years straight.”
He tries to fill the gap by advertising on social media and selling Dungeness crab directly off his boat. But the crab season, too, he said, has been disappointing.
Now, salmon fishing is once again on the horizon.
“Whatever limited opportunity we have for salmon, at least we’re getting the ball rolling,” Flading said to Bates across the water between their boats, over the San Francisco mix of cars, construction and seagulls. “Without that, we’re just stuck.”
Bates, leaning on the railing of her own boat, agreed. “I really understand why people are upset,” she said. “But also, I’m so excited to catch some fish. Even though it’s not enough. It’s not even close to enough.”
This article was originally published on CalMatters and was republished under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives license.
California
Sheriff’s lieutenant with million-pound fireworks stash led to deadly blast, prosecutors say
A former Yolo County Sheriff’s Office lieutenant is one of five people charged with murder following a fireworks warehouse explosion that killed seven workers in the rural Northern California community of Esparto last summer, authorities said.
Samuel Machado is accused of illegally having 1 million pounds of fireworks on his property at the time of the blast and using his law enforcement position to shield the illicit operation from scrutiny for years, according to the Yolo County district attorney’s office.
Machado was placed on administrative leave following the violent July 1 explosion, which was felt by residents up to 20 miles away, destroyed a family farm and sparked a 78-acre grass fire.
Devastating Pyrotechnics LLC and Blackstar Fireworks, Inc., are accused of manufacturing and storing explosives — including some too powerful to even be legally considered fireworks — on Machado’s property. On Friday, Yolo County Dist. Atty. Jeff Reisig announced a 30-count felony indictment had been filed against seven people connected to the blast, following the largest investigation he’s seen in two decades at the office. A separate five-count felony indictment was filed against an eighth defendant, Machado’s wife.
The most serious counts are seven second-degree murder charges — one for each of the warehouse workers who died.
An investigative report filed by a Yolo County civil grand jury last month stated that various top county authorities were aware of the sprawling illegal operation for at least three years prior to the lethal explosion, yet failed to take action.
A county Building Services Department official received a tip that the property was being used by two pyrotechnics businesses in June 2022, according to the report. Department officials wrote in emails that they would inspect the site, but noted they would “tread lightly” as the property was owned by “deputies that we work with.”
“Inexplicably, no code enforcement occurred, even though all dangerous fireworks had been banned by ordinance throughout rural Yolo County since 2001,” the report states. “In the absence of official oversight and enforcement, unmitigated expansion of the fireworks businesses operating at the site in Esparto led directly to death and destruction.”
In addition to Machado, the owner of Devastating Pyrotechnics, Kenneth Chee, operations manager Jack Lee and business partner Gary Chan Jr. all were charged with murder, as was Douglas Tollefsen of Blackstar Fireworks, Inc.
Machado’s wife, Tammy, was working at the Sheriff’s Office in an administrative position at the time of the blast. She also has been placed on leave and was charged in a separate indictment with child and animal endangerment for allegedly storing illegal fireworks at their property, as well as tax fraud and mortgage fraud.
The 30-count indictment alleges a decadelong conspiracy that “turned the property of a former Sheriff’s Lieutenant Sam Machado into the Northern California hub for an illegal enterprise that imports illegal explosives on the black market,” Yolo County Deputy Dist. Atty. Clara Nabity said at a Friday news conference.
Devastating Pyrotechnics is accused of expanding its footprint from 13 storage containers on Machado’s property in 2015 to more than 50 containers and a 5,000-square-foot warehouse in 2025.
During that period, the enterprise allegedly imported more than 11 million pounds of explosives and related materials onto a site located near residents and a family pool, Nabity said. None of the storage containers were licensed by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, and there are no licenses that permit the storage of explosives near homes and public roadways, Nabity said.
Other counts filed in the indictments include charges for having a dangerous workplace, unlawfully causing a fire, insurance fraud, child endangerment, animal cruelty, tax fraud and possession of illegal assault weapons.
Seven people charged in connection with the explosion were arrested in a sweeping operation early Thursday morning, Reisig said, including Blackstar Fireworks owner Craig Cutright. Ronald Botelho III, who worked for Blackstar, has been in custody since December on separate charges, the Associated Press reported, and on Thursday was charged for his alleged role in the explosion.
Chee, the owner of Devastating Pyrotechnics, was arrested in Orlando, Fla. Jail records obtained by Monterey Bay area news station KSBW indicate that he was apprehended at Disney World.
The defendants are scheduled to be arraigned Monday, Reisig said. Chee and another defendant who was arrested outside the county will be arraigned once they have been transferred to local custody, he added.
“This investigation has thus far involved dozens, maybe hundreds of law enforcement agencies around the state and the country,” Reisig said. “It has taken us across California, it’s taken us across the nation and it’s even taken us across our national borders.”
The seven workers killed in the explosion were identified as Christopher Goltiao Bocog, 45, and Neil Justin Li, 41, of San Francisco; Joel Jeremias Melendez, 28, of Sacramento; Carlos Javier Rodriguez-Mora, 43, of San Andreas; brothers Jesus Manaces Ramos, 18, and Jhony Ernesto Ramos, 22, of San Pablo; and Angel Mathew Voller, 18, of Stockton, according to the Yolo County coroner’s office.
The families of the victims filed a $35-million claim against the county and state fireworks regulators alleging widespread negligence for allowing the illegal operation to continue.
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