Liza Akhvledziani Carew and her husband David Carew visited Kenya’s Masai Mara National Reserve on their honeymoon. The couple strategically use credit card points to help pay for their travel.Supplied
Driving through rolling savannah plains in Kenya’s Maasai Mara National Reserve on her honeymoon, Liza Akhvledziani Carew saw elephants, lions and giraffes. She was reminded of the sheer vastness of the world and felt her “own little life” put into context.
For Ms. Akhvledziani Carew, the chief executive officer of a startup that helps Canadians earn more credit card points, travel is a non-negotiable budget item.
“It’s a big part of our lifestyle. That’s probably what I would spend most of my money on,” she said, adding that the couple pays for part of their travel with a “sophisticated [credit card reward] points strategy.”
The cost of travelling has soared in recent years, driven by the postpandemic travel boom, inflation and new taxes imposed by destinations affected by overtourism.
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But for many Canadians, travel remains a high-priority spending area, regardless of rising costs. And it’s clashing with other financial goals.
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Kathleen Daunt, a financial adviser with the New School of Finance in Toronto, works with clients who are saving for a major financial milestone, most commonly to buy a home.
When she sits down with her clients and calculates the amount they’d need to save each month to reach that goal – which usuallymeans not spending on travel – they balk at the trade-off.
“People expect to have all the items on their list of priorities. If anything, it means you have to understand your priorities and have flexibility,” she said.
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She also said roughly two in five new clients will cite annual travel as one of their top financial goals.
Ms. Daunt said she sees the desire for travel as a mix of social media-induced fear of missing out, widespread burnout and a societal view of vacations as a right – all of which can make it easier to justify overspending.
“You have that same old expectation [of being able to take vacations] but everything just feels more pricey,” she said. “It’s so much money for a family of four or more to do an on-a-plane vacation.”
Canadians’ overseas trips were up 32 per cent in the July-to-September period last year from the same period a year earlier, and up 6.5 per cent from 2019, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent national travel survey. The amount they spent abroad also jumped, rising 20 per cent in 2024 from a year earlier and nearly 40 per cent from 2019.
Tourism operators anticipate a strong summer as more Canadians avoid U.S. travel
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Even the trade war with the United States and growing possibility of a recession have not dimmed Canadians’ vacation ambitions. While travel south of the border by plane and car is down, Transat A.T. Inc. chief executive officer Annick Guerard said on a conference call with analysts in March that Canadians’ spending on transatlantic flights has not been affected.
According to estimates by Barry Choi, a personal finance and travel expert at moneywehave.com and regular Globe and Mail contributor, a two-week European vacation costs about US$5,050 ($7,000), though he noted the estimate was for a solo traveller, so couples or families should expect to pay notably more. Timing can significantly affect costs, with June to August the most expensive months.
In contrast, according to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., Canadians’ average monthly mortgage payment at the end of 2024 was $2,042 (and much higher in Toronto, at $3,006, and Vancouver, at $3,053).
Rachel Dodds, a professor at Toronto Metropolitan University’s Ted Rogers School of Hospitality and Tourism Management who studies overtourism and consumer motivations for travel, said social media plays a huge role in stoking travel interest. According to data from TikTok,as of mid-2024 the app had seen a 410-per-cent increase in travel content views since 2021.
“Everyone has a phone, everyone consumes [travel content] – if you see a reel on Instagram you’re like, ‘Oh, I wanna go there,’” Prof. Dodds said. That goes both ways: While on vacation, people are much more likely to post photos for the “instant gratification” of likes and comments. “There’s an emotional and sharing aspect of it that didn’t exist before 15 years ago.”
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Relative to previous decades, travelling is now more affordable and is seen as a right rather than a privilege in Western countries, Prof. Dodds said. And that increasein affordability has come at a time when many people, particularly millennials and Gen Zers, have more disposable income but feel other large financial goals are out of reach.
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“Travel has become a substitute for those kinds of things,” she said.
Prof. Dodds said we are an increasingly lonely society, and many people are travelling to connect with others to have meaningful, authentic experiences of other cultures. That’s given rise to sustainable travel, and nature-based trips and community experiences, rather than the traditional resort-based vacations.
While Ms. Daunt said none of her clients have ultimately chosen travelling over other financial goals, some have opted to delay major purchases. She said she usually sees people negotiating within their new budgets to downgrade from a trip every year to once every two or three years, or from pricier international trips to smaller ones close to home.
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“It’s hard, because we have the push from feeling burnt out and I would argue expecting vacations. We live in a country where we feel like, ‘I deserve to be able to have vacations,’ and there’s this other push on the home-buying side where there’s so much FOMO when it comes to home purchasing despite a bonkers overpriced market,” she said. “We’re still putting those expectations on ourselves.”
A strategy of making small regular contributions to a dedicated travel savings account can be aneffective way to save for vacations without compromising other travel goals, she said.
For Ms. Akhvledziani Carew’s part, when she and her husband bought their home a few years ago after years of rigorous monthly savings goals that mimicked what they expected to spend on mortgage payments.
They also tapped their investments, and her husband sold a condo he previously owned. She said they did slightly less-elaborate trips, but their points strategy meant they didn’t have to cut back much.
“It was a different position we were starting from,” she acknowledged, but added later “you build your lifestyle around the thing that’s most important to you.”
Consumer confidence has plunged among traditionally optimistic younger adults amid fears for their personal finances and the wider economy, figures show.
GfK’s long-running Consumer Confidence Index remained unchanged at an overall score of minus 23 in June.
However, the analyst said this was was “misleading as, beneath the surface, there are new signs that confidence is weakening”.
Source: GfK
Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, said: “The biggest fall this month is among those aged 16 to 29, traditionally one of the most optimistic groups.
“Here confidence has dropped 11 points over the past month to minus two, the lowest level seen for two years, driven by large falls in views on both their own personal finances and the wider economy.
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“More broadly, there are now no demographic groups with a positive confidence score, including higher-income households earning £50,000 or more, who have slipped back into negative territory as of June.
“Confidence remains subdued and vulnerable to further economic or political uncertainty.”
Sourve: GfK
Overall, confidence in personal finances over the coming year remained flat at minus two, four points lower than this time last year.
The measures of both personal finances and the economy over the previous 12 months were both slightly down, by two points and three points respectively, “reflecting the sense that things have been extremely tough over the last year for so many”, GfK said.
The only measure to increase was expectations for the wider economy over the next 12 months, up two points to minus 36 but still eight points below this time last year.
The major purchase index, an indicator of confidence in buying big ticket items, remained at minus 20, four points lower than June last year.
“Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!” said Donald Trump on social media after he announced the signing of an interim peace deal with Iran on Sunday. Under the agreement – which Iran acknowledged included a 60-day negotiating period for a final deal – the president said that following retrieval of mines, there would be a “toll free opening” of the Strait of Hormuz.
But many of the finer details remain “unclear”, said The Guardian. There are questions over the “exact timing of the reopening of the maritime route, who will oversee safe passage and whether any conditions will be applied”.
Financial markets have welcomed the announcement, but further volatility could yet hit people’s pockets.
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Have oil prices changed?
The price of oil fell to about $83 (£62) per barrel following Sunday’s announcement, its “lowest since the early days of the war”. Then on Tuesday it dipped below $80. In February, before the first missiles struck Iran, each barrel cost around $73. The price peaked at around $120 at the height of the conflict.
Prices are expected to fall in the wake of a prolonged ceasefire, and there are “real grounds for optimism”, said Politico. Damage to oil-specific infrastructure has been “limited”, meaning it could take “as little as six weeks to resume outflows”.
“So that’s the energy crisis sorted, right?” Not so fast.” A combination of damage to wider infrastructure and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz has meant roughly 12 million fewer barrels of oil have been produced each day. And they “won’t magically reappear on the market even if the pact holds”.
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Will this continue?
The “first big test” of the deal will be whether shipping companies will have enough “confidence” to return the use of the strait to pre-war levels, said The New York Times. If successful, this will free the 250 tankers and 330 cargo ships trapped in the Gulf, according to the BBC, and transport oil around the world. Oil and gas producers in the Gulf nations would then need to re-establish “wells, refineries and other infrastructure”.
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Even if all of that were to materialise, European and Asian countries who have historically depended on oil from the region “will face a long wait”. Processing oil takes considerable time. “It is unlikely that the prices of gasoline, diesel and other fuels will return to pre-war levels anytime soon.”
What about inflation?
Despite air fares “surging” and fuel costs “tipping higher”, UK inflation remained at 2.8% in May, said The Independent. This was a “surprise” to economists, who had widely predicted a rise to 3% and “perhaps even beyond” due in part to the war in Iran.
Remaining at this level could imply that the “cost-of-living squeeze will not play out as badly as had been anticipated” earlier this year, even if the “Iran war sent energy costs spiralling”. However, prices are set to rise again later in 2026, leaving savers to make sure their investments are earning an interest rate “well above the rate of inflation”.
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What does this mean for consumers?
Food prices in the UK look to be rising more slowly. Should the Strait of Hormuz open freely, fertiliser, which has “soared in costs” and put pressure on farmers, could fall substantially, said the BBC. Jet fuel has already seen a “small fall in price”, with Northwest Europe jet fuel trading at $1,033 (£780) per tonne, compared with $831 pre-conflict and around $1,840 at its peak.
How will businesses be affected?
Beneath the “encouraging headlines” about inflation control, there is a “hidden crisis for businesses”, said The Telegraph. The Iran war triggered one of the largest energy shocks in history, meaning businesses were “swallowing soaring costs to spare shoppers”.
“Input rises” for producers climbed by “8.7% year on year in May”, larger than the 7.9% in April and the highest in more than three years. On the bright side, this means the economy may avoid a dreaded “wage-price spiral”, but conversely lower margins could lead to increased pressure on the employment market.
Hong Kong graduates believe the city’s finance industry is its most attractive and stable sector, making them more optimistic about career opportunities than their global peers, according to a study by the CFA Institute, which trains investment managers.
The US-based institute’s “2026 Graduate Outlook Survey”, released on Wednesday, found that 71 per cent of Hong Kong graduates rated their career prospects between eight and 10 out of 10. The global average for that level of optimism was 59 per cent.
The graduates’ view of careers in finance reflected “both the sector’s resilience and Hong Kong’s continued strength as an international financial centre, which ranks third worldwide and first in Asia-Pacific”, the institute said in a statement.
The findings also indicated that young people were confident about Hong Kong’s role as an international financial centre, resilient amid global uncertainties, and strategically focused on improving skills, it said.
That confidence was “deeply grounded”, it said, with nearly 90 per cent believing they had the skills to succeed and clearly understood what employers were looking for, notwithstanding the wider adoption of artificial intelligence in the city.
“Rather than viewing AI as a threat, 38 per cent of Hong Kong graduates believe it has no negative impact on their job hunting, and 37 per cent believe it makes securing a job easier,” the institute said. “Three quarters are already actively using AI tools in their job applications, demonstrating a proactive, tool-first mindset.”