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Podcast: Ally Financial, Huntington originations rise in Q1 

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Podcast: Ally Financial, Huntington originations rise in Q1 

First-quarter bank earnings highlighted mixed results as some banks saw an uptick in auto originations and leasing volume, while credit performance largely improved.  

Ally Financial’s auto originations increased 4.1% year over year as lease originations were up 28.6% YoY. The bank’s retail auto delinquencies declined 9 basis points (bps) YoY to 3.79%. 

Across the regional banks, Huntington Bank’s auto originations rose 25% YoY, while U.S. Bank’s indirect loan and lease originations were down 27.3% YoY. 

Fifth Third Bank, PNC Financial and Truist joined several auto lenders in reporting declines in delinquencies and credit losses in Q1. 

Meanwhile, new-vehicle affordability hit the best level in 45 months in March but auto tariffs are expected to lead to price increases and contribute to lower sales in the coming months.  

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Prolonged tariffs are also projected to contribute to a decline in auto asset-backed securitization volume and increased delinquencies across securitized auto loans. 

In this episode of “Weekly Wrap,” Auto Finance News Editor Amanda Harris and associate editor Aidan Bush discuss Q1 bank earnings and top trends across affordability and consumer health for the week ended April 18. 

Subscribe to “The Roadmap Podcast” on  iTunes or Spotify or download the episode.

Auto Finance Summit East 2025 is set for May 12-14 at the JW Marriott Nashville featuring fireside chats with Santander Consumer USA and Chase Auto. Visitautofinance.live for more information.

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Editor’s note: This transcript has been generated by software and is being presented as is. Some transcription errors may remain. 

Aidan Bush 0:22
Hello everyone and welcome to the road map from auto Finance News, the nation’s leading newsletter on automotive lending and leasing since 1996.
Today is Monday, April 21st. I’m Aidan Bush, joined by Amanda Harris. This is your weekly wrap up of key developments in auto finance for the week ending April 18, 2025. More banks reported their first quarter earnings this week, showing mixed results. Overall, some banks rose in origination and leasing volume and credit performance largely improved. One major bank ally, financial, mirrored these results. For more on that, I’ll hand it over to Amanda, who covered Ally’s earnings in depth.Amanda Harris 1:01 Great. Thank you, Aidan. Yes. So Ally Financial did have their originations on their auto book go up to $10.2 billion, which is up just 4%, just over 4%. Excuse me from last year, lease originations grew about 28.6% year over year. Might be seeing a bit of a trend. Chase Auto also saw about a 20% uptick year over year in leasing volume in the first quarter. So we’ll definitely keep an eye, but it seems like leasing is definitely picking up. Ally chief executive Michael Rhodes. Also said on the earnings call that he expects origination mix to shift and they saw retail origination up from last year, but was down from Q4. Ally also saw a record 3.8 million auto accredit applications come in during the quarter. That’s really good showing. There’s lots of demand and then credit performance was strong, delinquencies fell. Auto net charge us also decreased. We’re seeing that a lot mostly across most of the banks that reported as well. And Ally’s chief financial. Attributed those declines and delinquencies to improved payment activity and underwriting strategy, so they’re seeing more customers improve on their payments that they are making.
So they might become delinquent, but they are making those payments and at least staying trying to get back current and not going into those next delinquency buckets or into losses. So we’ll kind of see how that holds up, especially given everything in the market. On the commercial side, Ally’s Floorplan outstandings were down just about 12% from last year. That’s another area we’re going to have to watch, especially as dealers really are mindful of their inventory levels pre tariffs and we’ll kind of have to see how that plays out from an inventory and supply chain perspective down the road and how that plays out on their floor. Books all right. But that is all from me, Aidan. So what else should we be watching? Aidan Bush 2:52
Yeah. So many other kind of regional banks also reported their quarter one earnings including Huntington. So we can start there. Huntington Bank, which is headquartered in Columbus, OH, saw its auto originations climb from last year, right in line with Ally Financial. However, its credit performance was more mixed. So both net charge offs and their payments that were due for more than 30 days actually rose from last year. In contrast, U.S. banks, indirect loan and lease originations which mainly. Include auto. Uh fell about 27.3% from last year. It’s sorry, it’s net charge off ratio also rose slightly and there’s several other regional banks including truist and 5th, 3rd, who also reported their earnings in the past week. Both of these banks saw credit losses dip down from last year. Then kind of stepping away from earnings, April auto tariffs have continued to impact the industry. Tariffs may contribute to a decline. In auto securitization issuance. So Deutsche Bank actually lowered its auto asset back securitization volume forecast in line with a decrease in its new vehicle sales forecast, mainly amid tariff induced price hikes and supply chain disruptions. Data from JP Morgan Securities last week also showed auto asset backed. Sorry, auto asset backed securitization volume was still down year over year in April.
Lenders also worry that price increases may cause higher delinquencies and longer term loans, resulting in higher losses across asset backed securitization transactions. Automaker Ford already announced it would raise prices this summer if the tariff stayed in place. In the short term, though, tariffs and larger market uncertainty have brought this pull ahead effect. So increased demand for vehicles before those prices rise could support used vehicle sales and values, contributing to higher recovery values in the short term that will benefit losses across those ABS transactions on the consumer end, March was met with higher incomes, lower interest rates and lower new vehicle. Prices contributing to the best new vehicle affordability in 45 months. According to Cox, Automotive data used vehicle sales also climbed just over 12% from last year due to seasonal tax refunds and tariff headwinds, and inventory fell as a result. That just about wraps up this week’s episode. Thank you again for joining us on the road map. Follow us on X and LinkedIn and visit Autofinance News net for the latest updates. We’ll see you next time.

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Why this sleepy Swiss town has become a ‘bolt-hole’ for the Gulf elite

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Why this sleepy Swiss town has become a ‘bolt-hole’ for the Gulf elite

As conflict continues to destabilise the Middle East, the Gulf States elite are seeking solace in European alternatives that offer comparable financial benefits with a far lower risk of war on the doorstep. One such destination is the small Swiss town of Zug, which is becoming a “bolt-hole” for Gulf-based wealth, said the Financial Times.

‘Swiss Monaco’

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How much will Social Security go up next year? See latest forecast

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How much will Social Security go up next year? See latest forecast
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Before Social Security payments are posted this week, many retirees are looking ahead at the potential Cost of Living Adjustment for 2027 with an advocacy group predicting a similar increase to 2026.

On April 10, The Senior Citizens League — a nongovernmental advocacy group for seniors — released its monthly COLA forecast for 2027, saying data showed a 2.8% increase is likely.

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“Over the last seven weeks, crude oil prices have soared, and fuel prices have followed suit. Consumers are getting pinched at the pump as gas prices soar, while businesses are paying more for transportation and/or production costs. This energy price shock is beginning to show up in the monthly U.S. inflation report, and it’s having a tangible impact on 2027 COLA forecasts,” The Motley Fool, a financial and investing advice company, and USA TODAY content partner, reported on April 18.

The official announcement will come in October, as it’s based on third-quarter inflation data.

According to Consumer Price Index data published last week, the annual inflation rate reached a two-year high of 3.3%, up 0.9% over the last month. This is largely due to soaring oil prices caused by the war in Iran.

Social Security payments are always scheduled on Wednesdays, with the final wave of this month scheduled for April 22, according to the Social Security Administration. The schedule is based on the birth dates of the recipients — retired, disabled workers or survivors.

Here’s who will get a Social Security check this week and more on the 2027 COLA forecast:

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When is the final Social Security in April 2026?

Social Security benefits are sent out based on the recipients’ birth dates. Wednesday, April 22, is the final wave of payments for those with birth dates between the 21st and the 31st of April.

What is the 2027 COLA forecast?

The 2027 COLA increase is forecast to be 2.8% due to continuing inflation prices, according to The Senior Citizens League’s April 10 press release. If the SSA approves that rate of increase, average payment for retired workers would go up by $56 per month in January 2027.

The SCL releases a COLA prediction each month based on the Consumer Price Index, Federal Reserve interest rate and the National Unemployment rate from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Beneficiaries who want to stay updated with the monthly predictions may visit the SCL’s “COLA Watch” webpage that includes the forecast, calculations, historical trends and more.

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The official COLA increase for 2027 will be announced in October 2026.

What were the big Social Security changes in 2026?

At the beginning of 2026 recipients received a 2.8% COLA for Social Security and Supplemental Security Income (SSI) payments, according to the SSA’s COLA Fact Sheet and American Association of Retired Persons, increasing payments about $56 per month.

Here are more details on the 2026 COLA increase, per the SSA:

  • The maximum amount of earnings subject to the Social Security tax increased to $184,500.
  • The earnings limit for workers who are younger than full retirement age (67 years old) increased to $24,480. (There will be a $1 deduction for each $2 earned over $24,480.)
  • The earnings limit for people reaching their full retirement age in 2026 increased to $65,160. (There will be a $1 deduction for each $3 earned over $65,160, until the month the worker turns full retirement age.)
  • There is no limit on earnings for workers who are at full retirement age or older for the entire year.

What should I do if I don’t get my Social Security payment?

According to the SSA, if you don’t receive your payment on the scheduled date, wait three days additional days, then call their office.

Where are the Social Security offices in Michigan?

There are 48 offices in Michigan, and to find an office near you, recipients may use the office locator via the Social Security’s website by entering your zip code for office hours, numbers, available services and more.

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How can I replace my Social Security card?

The personal account, “my Social Security” allows recipients to manage their personal records, including a request for a replacement Social Security card and benefit statements for taxes and more. New accounts are created using ID.me or Login.gov as a multifactor authentication.

When will I get my checks in May? Full 2026 schedule

USA TODAY Contributed

Contact Sarah Moore @ smoore@lsj.com

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Hong Kong reasserts role as safe haven in global finance amid Iran conflict

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Hong Kong reasserts role as safe haven in global finance amid Iran conflict
The US-Israeli war on Iran has unleashed sharp swings across global energy and financial markets, fuelling demand for safe-haven assets, with Hong Kong emerging as a potential beneficiary across gold, property and capital markets. In the third of a three-part series, we look at Hong Kong’s position as a stable base where demand for property has held firm despite the global turmoil.

The seven-week military conflict in the Middle East will redefine Hong Kong’s role as a global financial centre, positioning the city as a safe harbour for capital and investments.

Anecdotal evidence suggested that more banks had turned to Hong Kong to protect their businesses and committed themselves to expanding their presence in the city. At the same time, inquiries about adding allocations of mainland Chinese assets among global investors had recently increased, potentially enlarging the customer base for the city’s asset-management industry and family offices and driving demand for offshore yuan-linked financial products.

For years, Hong Kong’s status as a financial centre in the Asia-Pacific region has been challenged by Dubai, which has risen to prominence as a gateway linking Asia and Europe in capital flows, transport and logistics. With the war destabilising the Middle East – at one point forcing the closure of the Dubai International Airport and sending stocks in the Gulf region plunging – Hong Kong has re-emerged due to its geographical location, a pegged exchange rate, free capital flows and support from China’s economic strength.

“In that context, China and Hong Kong are attracting renewed attention,” said Gary Dugan, CEO of The Global CIO Office in Dubai, which advises family offices and ultra-high-net-worth individuals globally. “There is growing interest among some clients in increasing exposure to China and Hong Kong. It is less a simple flight to safety and more a reassessment of where investors see relative value, policy consistency and long-term strategic opportunity.”

Dubai now relies on trade, tourism and finance as the pillars of its economy, reflecting the success of its four-decade diversification away from oil for sustained growth. The United Arab Emirates city is home to Jebel Ali Free Zone, the biggest free-trade zone in the Middle East, and the second-largest stock market in the region, with combined market values of US$1.01 trillion. The city, also a global hub for gold trading, has a population of 4 million, about 80 per cent of which are foreign expatriates. Dubai’s economy grew by 4.7 per cent in the January-to-September period last year.

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