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Mandel’s Final Thoughts: Alabama got its act together and looks Playoff bound … again

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Mandel’s Final Thoughts: Alabama got its act together and looks Playoff bound … again


And now, 20 Final Thoughts from Week 11, in which Louisiana’s governor imported a rogue tiger from Florida to show off on the field before the Alabama game. (Yes, this really happened.)

1. Nick Saban won so many trophies in his 17 seasons at Alabama, it’s easy to forget all the times we thought no really, this time the dynasty is crumbling. Like when the Tide got trucked by Ohio State’s Ezekiel Elliott in a semifinal. Or lost to Ole Miss in consecutive seasons. Or gave up 52 points to Tennessee in 2022. Or, just last season, when they lost at home to Texas.

That team, like so many before it, got its act together in time to reach another College Football Playoff. And now, Kalen DeBoer’s first Alabama squad — the one that infamously lost at Vanderbilt and then at Tennessee — may be about to do the same.

2. In a de facto CFP elimination game, No. 11 Alabama (7-2, 4-2) went to rainy Death Valley and unleashed Jalen Milroe on No. 15 LSU (6-3, 3-2) in a 42-13 beatdown. Milroe ran 12 times for 185 yards and four touchdowns, including a 39-yard score on his team’s first drive and a 72-yard gut punch to go up 35-6. Alabama racked up 311 yards on the ground, and the Tide’s swarming defense did the rest. Jihaad Campbell’s strip-sack of Garrett Nussmeier allowed Milroe to put Alabama up 21-6 before halftime, and Deontae Lawson’s interception in the end zone on LSU’s first drive of the third quarter opened the floodgates.

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This was the best Alabama looked since the first half of its 41-34 win against Georgia on Sept. 28. The Tide still have no margin for error, but with games against Mercer, 5-5 Oklahoma and 3-6 Auburn, they might not need it.

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3. The story of Brian Kelly’s first three seasons has been tantalizing teases (beating Alabama and reaching the SEC title game in 2022, Jayden Daniels’ Heisman run last year) and frustrating setbacks (season-opening collapses against Florida State and USC, imploding in the fourth quarter at Texas A&M two weeks ago). This debacle fits on its own shelf. Getting blown out at home to your biggest rival is never ideal for any coach, but this one comes in LSU’s first Alabama game since longtime nemesis Saban’s retirement. And now this will be Kelly’s third straight 9-3 regular season (at best).

Kelly left Notre Dame three years ago largely because he felt being at LSU gave him a better chance at winning a national championship. But first, he’s got to make a Playoff. Something his former school has a better shot at this season.

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4. Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin told reporters last December that his disgust following the Rebels’ 52-17 loss at Georgia last season spurred the program’s portal/NIL shopping spree for big, athletic defensive linemen. As of a few weeks ago, it looked like Ole Miss might have spent all that money for naught, having dropped from preseason No. 6 to the bottom of the top 20.

On Saturday, though, Jared Ivey, Princely Umanmielen, Walter Nolen and standout Suntarine Perkins (not a transfer) keyed an Ole Miss D-line that overwhelmed second-ranked Georgia’s offense in a program-defining 28-10 win. It was Kiffin’s first top-five win in five tries there, and the highest-ranked team the Rebels have ever beaten in Oxford.

Ole Miss (8-2, 4-2) is down to just 4-5 Florida and 2-8 Mississippi State on its schedule. Whether it gets back in the top 12 on Tuesday, a 10-win Ole Miss team is likely to get an at-large berth.

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5. Georgia (7-2, 5-2) has now played four current Top 25 teams — three of them on the road — and it shows. The Dawgs look beat up. They committed three second-half turnovers when the game was still close. Quarterback Carson Beck (20-of-31 for 186 yards, two TDs, 0 INTs) was largely ineffective, and banged-up running back Trevor Etienne was limited to six carries. Now they have to turn around and host No. 7 Tennessee, which boasts its own dominant defensive front.

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But if Georgia wins, it probably clinches a CFP bid. It would be the Dawgs’ third Top 25 win, on top of its season-opening rout of current No. 23 Clemson and Oct. 19 smackdown at No. 5 Texas. Several CFP contenders, including Texas itself, don’t even have one.

Lose at home, though, and the preseason national title favorite might miss the Playoff entirely. I say “might” because we’ve never done this before, so perhaps wise for now to avoid absolutes.

6. In the first season of the SEC’s 16-team configuration, half the league — Texas A&M (5-1), Tennessee (5-1), Texas (4-1), Georgia (5-2), Ole Miss (4-2), Alabama (4-2), LSU (3-2) and Missouri (3-2) — have either one or two conference losses. There are 28 possible championship game combinations across that group. (A trio of three-loss teams are still mathematically alive, but it breaks my brain to consider that.)

No. 24 Missouri managed to remain in the mix with a miracle finish against Oklahoma (5-5, 1-5). With 30 seconds left in a tie game, Mizzou’s Triston Newson stripped a scrambling Jackson Arnold. Zion Young picked up the fumble and ran it back 17 yards for a touchdown to win it 30-23.

7. Committee chairman Warde Manuel said last week that the “eye test” led it to rank Miami No. 4, a curious comment given the Canes had been playing with fire much of the season. It finally blew up Saturday, when Georgia Tech (6-4, 4-3) ran for 271 yards while throwing for just 99 in a 28-23 upset of the previously unbeaten Canes (9-1, 5-1). Cam Ward (25-of-39, 38 yards, three TDs, 0 INTs) was once again asked to do it all, but Romello Height’s strip-sack of Ward with 1:48 left sealed the outcome.

One loss doesn’t affect Miami’s CFP hopes, though it’s no longer guaranteed a spot in the ACC title game due to some hazy tiebreakers. SMU (8-1, 5-0) is now alone in first, and Clemson (7-2, 6-1) is a half-game up on Miami. It was, however, a costly blow for Ward’s Heisman hopes. He’s lacking a signature win, and he’s not going to get one against Wake Forest or Syracuse.

8. No. 8 Indiana’s (10-0, 7-0) dream season reached another milestone Saturday, in its closest call to date. Michigan, down 17-3 at halftime, got as close as 17-15 in the fourth quarter before the Hoosiers held on 20-15. This marks Indiana’s first-ever 10-win season, no small feat for a school that’s been playing the sport for 126 years. The two programs’ year-over-year reversals have been so dramatic — Michigan from 15-0 to 5-5, IU from 3-9 to 10-0 — that it’s now seen as a disappointment that the Hoosiers failed to cover the two-touchdown spread.

Indiana now has an off week before the defining game of its season: a Nov. 23 trip to No. 2 Ohio State (8-1, 5-1).

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9. The first Big 12 edition of the BYU-Utah Holy War produced one of the rivalry’s wildest endings. On a last-ditch BYU fourth down with 1:35 left, it appeared Utah, up 21-19, sacked Cougars quarterback Jake Retzlaff at his own 1-yard-line to put the game away. But a defensive holding penalty gave BYU new life. Two plays later, Retzlaff threw a 30-yard strike to Chase Roberts to flip the field, eventually setting up a 44-yard Will Ferrin field goal to give the Cougars (9-0, 6-0) their first win at Rice-Eccles Stadium since 2006. It was the second time in No. 9 BYU’s last three games that it came back and won in the last 10 seconds.

Kalani Sitake’s team is enjoying a charmed season, and its luck may run out at some point. But the hated Utes (4-5, 1-5) are having whatever might be deemed the opposite of a charmed season.

10. No. 20 Colorado (7-2, 5-1) took an important step toward the Big 12 title game, winning 41-27 at Texas Tech (6-4, 4-3). While Shedeur Sanders (30-of-43 for 293 yards, three TDs, 0 INTs) and Travis Hunter (nine catches, 99 yards, one TD) were their usual productive selves, defensive tackle Amari McNeill stole the show. In the fourth quarter alone, he had 1.5 sacks (Colorado had six on the night) and stuffed Tech star Tahj Brooks on a fourth-and-goal at the 1.

11. The Buffs now control their path to the conference title game thanks to Kansas (3-6, 2-4) handing No. 17 Iowa State (7-2, 4-2) its second conference loss with an out-of-nowhere 45-36 win. The Jayhawks at one point led 31-13. Lance Leipold’s preseason Top 25 team lost five straight at one point but has since won two of three, with a last-second road loss to Kansas State in between. KU will have a chance to mess up someone else’s season when it hosts Colorado in two weeks.

12. Congrats to No. 1 Oregon (10-0, 7-0), which likely became the first-ever team to clinch a berth in the 12-team Playoff. (Again, I’m avoiding absolutes.) The Ducks got to the all-important 10-win mark with a 39-18 rout of Maryland (4-5, 1-5), and unlike 10-0 Indiana, they already have their signature win against Ohio State. Defensive end Jordan Burch was everywhere, with two pass breakups, a strip-sack that teammate Brandon Johnson returned for a touchdown and, most notably, a 36-yard run on a fake punt.

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Also: Quarterback Dillon Gabriel made history, becoming the all-time FBS career leader in total touchdowns on a 3-yard pass to offensive lineman Gernorris Wilson. The sixth-year senior now has 180 across three schools, surpassing Case Keenum’s 178.

13. I’m mostly numb at this point to Florida State’s ineptitude — but please stop and consider just how extraordinarily the Noles have deteriorated in a year. No. 10 Notre Dame (8-1) blasted them 52-3 in a prime-time NBC event, dropping Mike Norvell’s team — which, reminder, finished 13-1 last season — to 1-9. I can’t think of anything like it in my career, save for when Southern Miss plummeted from 12-2 in 2011 to 0-12 in 2012 after coach Larry Fedora left for North Carolina. His replacement, Ellis Johnson, did not make it to Year 2.

But in this case, the coach who got FSU to 13 wins is the same one overseeing this otherworldly debacle. The eventual “30 for 30” on this team should be fascinating.

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14. In 1984, future NFL Hall of Famer Cris Carter set Ohio State freshman receiving records with 41 catches for 648 yards and eight TDs. None of the 11 first-round receivers to come through Columbus since then did better. His records stood for 40 years until a phenom named Jeremiah Smith arrived from South Florida.

With six catches for 87 yards and a score in No. 2 Ohio State’s 45-0 shutout of Purdue (1-8, 0-6), Smith now holds all of those records, with 45 catches for 765 yards and nine TDs. And he’s got at least another four games to go.

15. Fresh off an idle week, Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers regained his early-season form, throwing for 333 yards and five touchdowns in the fifth-ranked Horns (8-1, 4-1) 49-17 rout of undermanned Florida (4-5, 2-4). Texas had allowed 11 sacks in its previous two games against Georgia and Vanderbilt but only gave up one this week on its first series.

Florida, down to a third-string walk-on quarterback, has more pain ahead with games against Ole Miss and LSU. AD Scott Stricklin’s announcement this week that third-year coach Billy Napier will retain his job means Gators fans will have to grin and bear it.

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16. Virginia coach Tony Elliott got the biggest victory of his three-year tenure when the Cavaliers (5-4, 3-3) went to No. 23 Pittsburgh (7-2, 3-2) and won 24-19. Virginia, which won just six games combined in Elliott’s first two seasons, came in on a three-game losing streak and looking less and less likely to end its five-year bowl drought. It still faces a daunting final stretch, visiting Notre Dame, hosting No. 13 SMU (8-1, 5-0) and closing at rival Virginia Tech (5-5, 3-3), but beating a ranked foe may help build confidence.

17. The last time Army was 9-0, Doc Blanchard and Glenn Davis — Mr. Inside and Mr. Outside — led the Cadets to the 1945 AP national championship. Army got back there Saturday with a 14-3 win over North Texas (5-4, 2-3), its second straight week holding an opponent without a touchdown. Mean Green quarterback Chandler Morris came in as the national leader in passing yards at 359.1 per game but was 24-of-37 for 214 yards with two picks against the Black Knights.

After a week off, Army will play its most significant non-Navy game in decades when it faces No. 10 Notre Dame at Yankee Stadium. Worth noting, that 1945 team faced the Irish at the old Yankee Stadium and won 48-0.

18. UCLA to its credit has not only salvaged its season after a 1-5 start but can realistically eye a bowl berth in head coach DeShaun Foster’s debut season. The Bruins (4-5, 3-4) notched their third straight conference win Friday, 20-17 over visiting Iowa (6-4, 4-3). The Big Ten’s 18th-ranked rushing offense rose up to gain 211 yards (125 from junior T.J. Harden). Meanwhile, UCLA’s defense held Iowa star Kaleb Johnson to a season-low 49 yards.

UCLA plays another Friday night game next week at Washington, before hosting USC and Fresno State. It’d be something if the Bruins got bowl-eligible before the Trojans.

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19. Your weekly Ashton Jeanty update: The Boise State star notched his fourth 200-yard game of the season, rushing 34 times for 209 yards and three TDs in the 12th-ranked Broncos’ (8-1, 5-0) 28-21 win over Nevada (3-8, 0-5). Jeanty is now at 1,734 yards for the season and averages 179.8 yards in conference play. At that pace, he’ll finish the regular season (including the conference championship game) with 2,453 yards. That would be No. 2 all-time, behind only the great Barry Sanders (in 11 games) in 1988.

20. In the craziest game of the day, Jacksonville State quarterback Tyler Huff threw a 49-yard Hail Mary to Cam Vaughn with no time left that should have beaten Louisiana Tech 38-37 — except that Garrison Rippa missed the extra point. Fortunately for Rippa, the Gamecocks (6-3, 5-0) pulled it out in overtime, 44-37, to remain in first place.

Meanwhile, in an epic battle at the other end of the standings, UTEP (2-8, 2-5) went to double overtime to beat FBS newcomer Kennesaw State (1-8, 1-4), 43-35. Which itself bailed out kicker Buzz Flabiano for missing a 40-yarder at the end of overtime.

Forget the CFP race. Clearly, we need to start watching more Conference USA football.

(Photo of Jalen Milroe: Aric Becker / ISI Photos / Getty Images)

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Report: Alabama QB Ty Simpson officially declares for the NFL draft

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Report: Alabama QB Ty Simpson officially declares for the NFL draft


Ty Simpson said he was entering the NFL Draft on Jan. 7, but then, the Alabama quarterback received NIL offers from multiple teams. The University of Miami reportedly offered him $6.5 million to stay in college another season.

Simpson, though, officially is headed to the pros.

Colin Gay of The Tuscaloosa News reports Tuesday that Simpson has submitted paperwork to the NFL, making him eligible for the 2026 draft.

Gay reports that Simpson’s base salary at Alabama was $400,000 and doubled to $800,000 with incentives.

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Simpson is expected to participate in the 2026 Senior Bowl in Mobile, per Gay.

He completed 305 of 473 passes for 3,567 yards with 30 total touchdowns and five interceptions in 2025.





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Nate Oats Calling for Elite Defense from Alabama to Limit Josh Hubbard

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Nate Oats Calling for Elite Defense from Alabama to Limit Josh Hubbard


TUSCALOOSA, Ala.— To say that the Alabama basketball team is familiar with the repertoire of junior Mississippi State point guard Josh Hubbard would be understating the level of impact Hubbard has had against the Crimson Tide in the recent past. On Tuesday night, No. 18 Alabama (11-5, 1-2 SEC) gets to deal with him again in its trip to Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville (8 p.m. CT).

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Hubbard led all Bulldogs scorers both times Mississippi State played Alabama last season, putting up 38 points during the matchup in Humphrey Coliseum last January and 21 in a lopsided loss in Tuscaloosa the following month. This season, he averages 29.3 points per game against SEC opponents. He’s one of the best guards in the league, and plays like it opposite the Crimson Tide.

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Alabama head coach Nate Oats hasn’t forgotten what Hubbard has done against his squad. Alabama may have escaped Hubbard’s season-high scoring game with a win last season in Starkville. That doesn’t mean the team is comfortable giving him a chance to repeat a performance where he made 14 shot attempts from the field and six three-pointers.

Oats said the coaching staff advised last season’s team of Hubbard’s talent before facing him in his home arena, but felt like there were too many plays the 2024-25 Crimson Tide let up against him on the road, especially early on.

“We better have a better plan than we did last year when he had 38. They’re a good team, and he can score it. We gotta have some guards be ready to play him. They can’t fall asleep off the ball,” Oats said on Monday afternoon. “As soon as you fall asleep, he’s sprinting off an off-ball screen or sprinting back to get it back from the big after he threw it to him.”

The Bulldogs’ (10-6, 2-1 SEC) star player is currently averaging 22.8 points, 2.3 boards and 3.8 assists per contest while shooting 42.8 percent from the field. Unsurprisingly, Hubbard is Mississippi State’s leading scorer; he also leads the Bulldogs in assists. Oats (as many would) interprets the challenge of stopping Hubbard as an approach requiring the Crimson Tide to spare no expense defensively.

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“You gotta be alert that he’s probably coming back towards the ball at any point. When he’s got the ball in his hands, he’s been elite in ball screens. If you don’t have your big up to level the ball screen, he comes off. He’s pretty good shooting pull-ups,” he said. “It’s a lot of pressure to put your guards on, but if you bring your big up, [and] he gets too aggressive, he’s also been splitting and turning around.”

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Oats has been vocal about wanting Alabama’s guards to defend better. On Monday, he chalked up sophomore Jalil Bethea’s recent decline in minutes to his defensive form. If the Crimson Tide coach wanted a trial-by-fire test in that department for his backcourt players, Hubbard is more than capable of obliging. That goes for the frontcourt as well.

“Our bigs gotta be ready to do their job correctly, and we probably gotta have a little bit [of] change-up in our ball-screen coverages with him,” Oats said. “Our guards can’t fall asleep. They gotta be elite, and he’s also pretty good at drawing fouls… He kinda kicks his legs out on his jumper. Seems like it’s kinda part of his jumper, but he seems to draw a lot of fouls, so we gotta be able to guard him without fouling too.”

Defending without the foul was not an area in which the Crimson Tide excelled during Saturday’s loss to Texas at Coleman Coliseum. Four players finished the game with four fouls, one of whom was junior shooting guard Aden Holloway. Freshmen Amari Allen and London Jemison, along with forward Keitenn Bristow, also picked up four fouls. Guard Houston Mallette had three.

Alabama has won eight games in a row against Mississippi State. Its last loss in the series came at Humphrey Coliseum on Jan. 15, 2022. Four of the Crimson Tide’s past five losses against the Bulldogs have been on the road. Keeping Hubbard, who has reached 30 points or more in three of his past six games, in check is a critical component to Alabama avoiding that fate in 2026.

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Pair of Former Alabama Football Defensive Starters Commits to Ohio State

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Pair of Former Alabama Football Defensive Starters Commits to Ohio State


James Smith and Qua Russaw will be college teammates once more after transferring from Alabama last week. Per On3’s Hayes Fawcett on Monday evening, Smith and Russaw have committed to continue their careers at Ohio State.

Both former Crimson Tide starters and high school teammates at Carver High School in Montgomery, Ala., the two players came to Tuscaloosa as part of the 2023 recruiting class. Smith saw the field at Alabama first, playing in nine games during Nick Saban’s final season, while Russaw took a redshirt for that season.

During the 2025-26 campaign, Smith played in every game and started 12 contests, logging 28 tackles with 2.5 sacks along the defensive line. Russaw began the season as a starter at Wolf linebacker, then was injured during the first half of a game against Georgia on Sept. 27.

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Russaw made it back to the field in time for the regular season home finale, playing against Eastern Illinois on Nov. 22, but finished his third season with the Alabama program playing in only nine games. Yhonzae Pierre broke out at the Wolf spot in Russaw’s absence, and Russaw’s entry to the transfer portal became known one day before Smith’s intentions to join him there. Russaw recorded 14 tackles and one sack this past season.

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Both players put themselves in a position to be among the key players on the Crimson Tide’s defense in year two of the Kalen DeBoer era. Russaw and Smith each played in every game over the course of the 2024-25 season. Smith earned praise for his explosiveness during fall camp last year.

“James is such an explosive player,” defensive coordinator Kane Wommack said on Aug. 25. “[He] is in a really good position going into [Florida State] game week. Excited about him.” Also during fall camp, Wommack described Russaw as the freakiest athlete on the defense.

“He’s a special talent,” Wommack said Aug. 6. “What I like about Qua is [him] knowing when to and when not to, from a physical standpoint, be too aggressive. I think he’s learned a lot last year with the experience that he has.”

When Russaw got hurt, DeBoer said it wasn’t expected that the injury (a broken foot) would end his season. As it turned out, the Rose Bowl loss on Jan. 1 against Indiana was the last game in a Crimson Tide uniform for Russaw and Smith. The two combined for one tackle, an assisted stop credited to Russaw.

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