Sports
Three games in is too early to trust the Premier League table… or is it?
Nothing heralds the beginning of autumn more than people stating that it is “too early to look at the league table”. Listen to some and you might be convinced there was once a glorious era when those interested in football didn’t even glance at the standings until eight, 10, maybe even 12 games in.
The truth is that, even back in September 1888, when league football as a concept was only a week old, publications were printing the tables (albeit without the number of points won, as that detail had not been invented yet). Similarly, in the 1980s and 1990s, the BBC’s Ceefax news service and ITV equivalent Teletext happily displayed league tables to UK viewers after one round of games, because that was the point of that particular page. Seeing your team top of the pile after a surprise 5-0 opening-day win is a joyful sight, no matter what decade you are operating in.
The first three Matchweeks complete ✅
Here is how the current table compares to this stage last season… pic.twitter.com/6thXQaltHM
— Premier League (@premierleague) September 6, 2024
Where anti-early-table campaigners may have a point is when it comes to extrapolating how a season will go, based on the nascent standings.
Clubs have been crowned champions after starting badly, and Carlisle United won the first three games in 1974-75, their only year in the top flight, and finished last. But equally, in some seasons you can get a grasp of how things are going to turn out after only three games.
As the graph below shows, 2023-24 was one of those, with a 0.8 correlation between the table after three weeks in late August and its final form in the middle of May.
So, with a mere 7.9 per cent of the 2024-25 Premier League season completed, we asked some of our club writers how much they think the table reflects their club’s prospects for the rest of it.
Manchester City: Top of the league with a 100 per cent record and the leading scorers after three games. Is a fifth successive title inevitable?
Sam Lee: Whenever Pep Guardiola has been asked about City’s performance after these opening three games, he has not focused on many, if any, technical details or the actual quality of their displays, but the amount of commitment the players have shown in specific circumstances, such as defending throw-ins and tracking back. Those, he says, are signs that they have not dropped their motivation after winning the title for a fourth year in a row.
GO DEEPER
We examined Man City’s streak of 49 successful throw-ins. For fun.
Stuff like that will probably give the biggest indication of their levels this season, because their quality is not in doubt, but whether they actually win the league again or not is another thing entirely. Arsenal and Liverpool have missed out by the tiniest of margins in recent years, and that can even happen to City when races are so tight. But it seems that, come the end of the season, they “will be there”, as Guardiola likes to say.

Liverpool (second): Maximum points, with the division’s best defence. That’s a mirror of 2018-19. Will the rest of 2024-25 pan out in the same way? And if so, is that a decent first season for head coach Arne Slot?
Gregg Evans: Let’s not get carried away, like last season when everything looked so sweet in the early months of the campaign. Granted, this has been a decent start under Slot and, if there’s one major difference, it’s the amount of control Liverpool are starting to find in games. They appear to be better equipped to go ahead and then hold onto a lead — the issue at times was conceding the first goal so often — so that’s a good sign.

Yet to get anywhere near their 2018-19 points tally of 97, which incredibly wasn’t enough to win the title as City got 98, there needs to be a significant change in the treatment room. Liverpool didn’t fall out of last season’s title race in March and April because the players weren’t good enough, they slipped away when injuries started to bite and levels dropped on the back of rushed returns by first-team faces.
It’s simple: keep the players fit and fresh, and Slot’s side have a great chance of finishing second, or one place higher.
Arsenal (fourth): Two points dropped at home in the third game of the season, just like in 2023-24. That draw with Fulham, technically, cost them the title. Will 2024-25 be different?
Art de Roche: The main difference between last season and this one was supposed to be that Arsenal would be more settled. Mikel Arteta’s starting line-up did not evolve much with this summer’s transfer business, which has allowed some players to pick up where they left off, but the past two weeks have been tough.
New signing Mikel Merino suffered a shoulder injury in his first training session, Declan Rice was sent off against Brighton & Hove Albion and Martin Odegaard was forced off with injury playing for Norway on Monday night. While Rice will return from suspension after Sunday’s north London derby, it means Arsenal will miss the entirety of what was meant to be their first-choice midfield for at least one game. And that just increases the importance of negotiating an extremely tricky opening to the season, with a visit to Manchester City to come next Sunday.
Will Odegaard’s ankle injury undermine Arsenal’s title bid? (Mateusz Slodkowski/Getty Images)
Despite being two points off Guardiola’s side at this point last year, Arsenal still took the title race to the season’s final day. How they fare away to Tottenham Hotspur and then City in the next 10 days may determine their ceiling for 2024-25, so going into those matches with belief in each other and the system will be essential.
Newcastle United: They are fifth. Finishing there would be progress (and possibly bring Champions League qualification). Job done?
Chris Waugh: If you offered that as a final position to most Newcastle fans now, surely a decent proportion of them would take it following a turbulent summer in which the first XI simply was not strengthened and the Marc Guehi saga came to define their window. Performance-wise in these early games, Newcastle have yet to resemble an Eddie Howe outfit; there has been a lack of intensity and energy in their game. On the ball, they have been frustratingly wasteful, with a passing accuracy rate of just 73.96 per cent — the lowest in the Premier League.
But there are two ways of evaluating Newcastle’s start.
The pessimistic one is that they have been extremely lucky. There is an argument they have deserved to lose all three of their opening fixtures given the balance of play and, if they continue to labour in this way, results will turn against them.
Howe has guided Newcastle to their best start since 2011-12 (Serena Taylor/Newcastle United via Getty Images)
However, the more optimistic one, which this correspondent tends to subscribe to, is that Newcastle are unbeaten, are off to their best start in a league season under Howe and have accumulated their highest number of points after three games of a top-flight campaign since 2011-12. They are yet to really get going and, once fitness levels are boosted and now that everyone inside the club can refocus with the transfer window having closed, they will improve and have a strong platform from which to build.
The club’s stated target is securing European football for 2025-26, but fifth place would still represent quite the achievement, given the lack of fresh faces.
Aston Villa: Seventh right now — that’s where Newcastle finished after being in the Champions League disrupted their 2023-24 season. Will Villa do better than that, or not?
Jacob Tanswell: Villa had injuries last season, too. And still finished fourth. They were not a team that used excuses, nor did they let an intense schedule balancing domestic and European football allow minds to become tired. In the end, they ground out Champions League qualification and that type of staying power will be needed.
Unai Emery’s side have started pretty well with two wins and one defeat — the latter coming against Arsenal in a game that could have gone either way. Villa will be aiming for a top-six finish provided injuries do not derail their hopes. Emery’s background in balancing European competitions with consistency in the league will be relied upon but a relative rejuvenation of the squad over the summer should keep it fresh.
Villa’s only defeat came to Arsenal – a game decided by fine margins (Clive Mason/Getty Images)
Tottenham (10th): Good going forward, susceptible at the back, sat in mid-table. Which of those elements will change between now and the end of the season?
Jay Harris: Spurs were the protagonists in the biggest transfer of the summer, committing £65million ($84.9m) to sign striker Dominic Solanke — but he picked up an ankle injury on his debut in the opener against Leicester City and has missed the two games since. When Solanke is up and running, head coach Ange Postecoglou will be confident his side can show a ruthlessness in front of goal that was missing in their 2-1 away defeat against Newcastle. Centre-back Micky van de Ven was unavailable at St James’ Park too, so when Spurs have their full-strength XI available they should quickly start climbing the table.
Injuries have given Postecoglou a slower start to the season than in 2023-24 (Robbie Jay Barratt – AMA/Getty Images)
The only problem is things might get worse before Postecoglou’s side see any improvement, as they face Arsenal, Brentford and Manchester United in the next three league games.
Last season, Tottenham roared out of the blocks with eight wins and two draws from the first 10 matches before fading. This one could end up being the opposite.
Chelsea (11th): A win, a draw and a defeat. Which will the club have more of by the end of the season?
Liam Twomey: The lesson of their first three Premier League games of 2024-25 is that Chelsea under new coach Enzo Maresca are, unsurprisingly, a work in progress. Losing at home to Manchester City on the opening weekend was expected, though the comfortable manner in which the champions held Maresca’s team at arm’s length that day even when without several of their key starters was dispiriting.
One clinical four-goal half against Wolverhampton Wanderers masked the kind of chaotic game more associated with Mauricio Pochettino’s 2023-24 tenure. Chelsea were at their most convincing in the opening 45 minutes of their third match, against Crystal Palace, but lost control after the break and with it, two points.
Maresca’s squad has the talent to finish in the top four, but they are young, learning a new style of play and arguably remain a little unbalanced. Chelsea will win more than they lose, but there are going to be more mistakes along the way.
Chelsea have shown flashes of cohesion in their opening three games (Jacques Feeney/Offside/Offside via Getty Images)
The main priority for Maresca is to ensure the gap to whoever is in fourth place does not become insurmountable during these early weeks, as it soon did under Pochettino.
Manchester United (14th): Last season’s eighth-place finish was the club’s lowest since they came 13th in 1990. Could this squad feasibly finish in the bottom half?
Mark Critchley: Ask Erik ten Hag and he would tell you that his team finishing eighth was the freak result of an unrelenting injury crisis. But you could coherently argue United were lucky to end up that high — sort the final 2023-24 Premier League table by expected goal difference and United’s -12.5 puts them 15th. So yes, this squad are capable of a bottom-half finish, according to the underlying numbers at least.
Plenty has changed since last season, though. Five new signings filled every priority position targeted at the start of the summer window, Ten Hag’s backroom staff has been reshuffled and new co-owner INEOS’ key appointments to a reformed internal structure are in place.
GO DEEPER
After Arne Slot debunked Erik ten Hag’s tactical setup on live TV, how worried should United fans be?
But on the evidence of United’s opening three games, plenty of familiar issues remain. So does Ten Hag. And with no sign of the injuries letting up either, an improvement on last season is hardly guaranteed.
United’s defence has some familiar-looking gaps in it (Nick Taylor/Liverpool FC/Liverpool FC via Getty Images)
Everton: Bottom after three games, again. Is another relegation battle inevitable or is this just what happens to Sean Dyche in August?
Patrick Boyland: Certainly part of this is just Dyche’s record in August. His teams are notoriously slow starters and he has the second-lowest win percentage (12 per cent) of anyone to manage more than 10 Premier League games in the first month of the season.
GO DEEPER
Dyche will be backed – and will back himself – to turn Everton’s start around
Everton have looked undercooked heading into the new campaign, a raft of pre-season injuries and the injury absence of key defender Jarrad Branthwaite leaving them vulnerable to a sloppy start. Dyche’s apparent unwillingness to make changes to an underpowered first team and blood some of the new signings has not helped either.

But a fourth successive relegation battle is not inevitable. There is over 92 per cent — 35 of the 38 games — of the season still to go, and there was enough in the first 87 minutes against Bournemouth last time out to suggest they can improve.
With tricky trips to Aston Villa and Leicester City coming in the first two matches after this international break, though, things could well get worse before they get better.
(Top photos: Getty Images)
Sports
Florida AG launches civil rights investigation into MLB’s warning to Christian pitchers over Pride Night caps
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The attorneys general from Missouri and Florida have reacted strongly to the controversy stirred when Major League Baseball warned three San Francisco Giants players about inscribing a Bible verse on their Pride Night caps, and that reaction includes MLB being served with a subpoena that signals the launch of an official investigation.
Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier launched his investigation on Friday by serving MLB with a subpoena to investigate whether it is violating the civil rights of players based on their religious beliefs.
The general purpose and scope of Florida’s investigation “extend(s) to possible civil rights and deceptive and unfair trade practices violations in matters of employment concerning the business practices, policies, and procedures of Major League Baseball,” per the subpoena obtained by Fox News Digital.
In a letter from Uthmeier to MLB Commissioner Robert Manfred, the AG warns that “a pattern or practice of selectively enforcing its rules to benefit favored secular beliefs over disfavored religious beliefs would not only potentially violate Florida civil rights law, but it would also violate the League’s own policies.
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL FACES BACKLASH FOR ITS STANCE ON CHRISTIANS WRITING BIBLE VERSES ON PRIDE CAPS
“And a practice of claiming not to discriminate based on religion while discriminating based on religion could further amount to an unfair or deceptive trade practice in violation of the Florida Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act.”
Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier speaks at a news conference in Orlando on July 15, 2025, where he said U.S. Masters Swimming should not allow transgender athletes to compete against women swimmers or face legal action. Advocates Cassidy Carlisle and Lainey Armistead also attended. (Rich Pope/Orlando Sentinel/Tribune News Service)
Uthmeier is particularly troubled by the fact MLB said its warning had nothing to do with the players’ religious beliefs but rather was strictly because of a violation of the league’s uniform code.
It should be noted MLB said in a follow-up statement to its initial warning to the players that it was merely enforcing its uniform codes and the warning had nothing to do with Giants pitchers Landen Roupp, JT Brubaker and Ryan Walker writing a Bible verse on the team’s Pride Night Cap most of the other players wore.
MLB ACCUSED OF ‘DOUBLE STANDARD’ AFTER CALLING OUT PLAYERS’ BIBLE MESSAGES DESPITE BACKING BLM IN 2020
Uthmeier noted that doesn’t ring true and presented in his letter a handful of examples where MLB has been absolutely fine with players adding to their uniform.
“In 2019, for example, a Cincinnati Reds player wrote on his cap in tribute to a nearby mass shooting,” Uthmeier wrote to Manfred. “And in 2020, MLB evidently added new, sweeping exceptions to its uniform rules by allowing players to ‘support social justice and diversity and inclusion.’ These policy changes included permitting players to add Black Lives Matter patches to their sleeves.
“MLB therefore appears to applaud — even change its rules for — the ideological beliefs it prefers, but targets players who express religious views the League doesn’t like.”
Commissioner of Major League Baseball Robert D. Manfred Jr. speaks at the 2024 MLB Draft presented by Nike at Cowtown Coliseum in Fort Worth, Texas, on July 14, 2024. (Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images)
The Florida subpoena, issued under the Florida Civil Rights Act, demands action from MLB on July 23, 2026, at 9 a.m.. At that time, MLB must deliver to the AG’s office documents including:
- All documents concerning how MLB characterized or classified the June 2026 cap writing, including, for example, whether MLB treated it as religious expression, political messaging, protest, or a violation unrelated to its content.
- All documents concerning what prompted MLB’s review of and warning regarding the June 2026 cap writing, including any complaint, media inquiry, internal escalation, or third-party communication received before the warning issued, and the timing of each relative to the warning.
- All documents concerning the actual June 2026 warnings issued by the MLB to any club.
- All documents, including drafts and internal deliberations, concerning MLB’s decision to issue and publicly announce the June 2026 warnings, and any analysis of whether doing so adhered to the Code or with MLB’s treatment of comparable non-religious expression.
San Francisco Giants pitcher Landen Roupp wrote “Genesis 9:12-16” on his Pride-Night themed hat. (Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
Uthmeier is thus joining Missouri Attorney General Catherine Hanaway, who recently wrote a letter to Manfred asking the commissioner to confirm that no player who has chosen to refrain from “wearing Pride Month paraphernalia or included Bible verses on Pride Month hats” will not be disciplined in any way.
Hanaway’s letter states that if Manfred fails to answer by June 25 or does not confirm that no discipline will be levied, she too will open an investigation of MLB.
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The two attorneys general have authority over their individual states. But it affects four MLB teams.
Florida is home to two MLB teams — the Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins — while Missouri is home to the St. Louis Cardinals and Kansas City Royals.
FOLLOW ARMANDO SALGUERO ON X: @ARMANDOSALGUERO
Sports
Commentary: Why MLB’s Pride Night cap condemnation isn’t the anti-Christian crackdown conservatives claim
Amid the first days of grief after Alex Vesia and his wife lost their newborn daughter last fall, Vesia noticed something as he watched the World Series on television. He paused the broadcast, then checked the video, then texted another player to make sure.
51.
Dodgers teammates wore his number on their caps. So did players from the Toronto Blue Jays.
“It was awesome,” Vesia said. “It was a very heartwarming moment.”
Moving.
Touching.
And, under baseball’s rules, illegal.
Who knew, really, until this week? Three pitchers from the San Francisco Giants wrote the name of a Bible verse on their Pride Night caps and, amid an uproar, Major League Baseball said it had warned the players that “writing of any kind, with any message” on any playing apparel is not permitted. The issue, the league said in a statement, was not what they wrote on their caps but simply that they wrote on them at all.
Said MLB in the statement: “We have given the same warning numerous times in the past to players for messages such as ‘Dad’, ‘Happy Mother’s Day, I Love Mom’ and names of family members.”
To its credit, the league did not enforce the rule when Vesia’s number started appearing on caps in the World Series. But, if you’re going to draw a line on enforcement, where should you draw it?
In San Francisco, the actions of the Giants’ pitchers were widely condemned.
“They were in for a rude awakening with the response, and it wasn’t just from the gay community,” Giants broadcaster and former pitcher Mike Krukow told KNBR, the team’s flagship radio station. “It was from the Northern California community that supports the gay community.”
In response to media inquiries, and as first reported by Outsports, MLB confirmed it had warned the three players. I asked the league whether warnings had been issued in two other instances in which players had written on their caps, including Clayton Kershaw last year writing the same Bible verse on his Pride Night cap that the Giants’ pitchers wrote this year. MLB declined to comment.
“I got chastised by the league when I put Charlie [Kirk]’s name on my hat last year, because a man was murdered in cold blood,” Dodgers pitcher Blake Treinen told me, “and now these gentlemen who are relievers in San Francisco are getting chastised by the league for putting a Bible verse on their hat. It’s crazy to me.”
Treinen said league officials had told him the rule is strictly enforced.
“I straight up asked Clayton last year, ‘Did they call you when you put that on your hat?’” Treinen said. “He said, ‘No.’”
The Pride caps feature team logos decorated in the colors of the rainbow, a symbol long associated with the gay community. In the Bible verse cited by the pitchers (Genesis 9:12-16), the rainbow represents “the everlasting covenant between God and all living creatures.”
That the league would warn players against writing a Bible verse on their caps ignited a wave of conservative outrage, from Vice President JD Vance to Texas Gov. Greg Abbott.
Missouri Sen. Josh Hawley fired off a letter to MLB commissioner Rob Manfred, alleging apparent discrimination “against baseball players who profess their Christian faith” and threatening the league’s antitrust exemption. Assistant U.S. Atty. Gen. Harmeet Dhillon said on national television that players might be able to file a claim for employment discrimination.
That is complete nonsense. This is what you want: When employees raise an issue to their employer, the employer listens and addresses their concerns.
In 2023, the year after five Tampa Bay Rays players declined to wear rainbow logos for Pride Night, Manfred said the league would no longer compel players to do so.
“We have told teams, in terms of actual uniforms, hats, bases that we don’t think putting logos on them is a good idea just because of the desire to protect players: not putting them in a position of doing something that may make them uncomfortable because of their personal views,” Manfred said then.
Teammates congratulate Freddie Freeman after his walk-off home run gave the Dodgers a 1-0 win on June 5, when the Dodgers held their annual Pride Night. Blake Treinen, the winning pitcher that night, elected to wear his regular Dodgers cap instead of the Pride version.
(Katelyn Mulcahy / Getty Images)
Manfred said the Pride Night celebrations could go on, however a team wished to stage them — or not, in the case of the Texas Rangers, the only one of the 30 MLB teams that declines to hold a Pride Night. And the league still sells Pride gear on its website for all teams, including the Rangers.
In the cases of the Giants and Dodgers, MLB grandfathered each team’s long-running use of a rainbow logo on the cap, with this accommodation to players: If you don’t feel comfortable wearing the Pride cap, just wear your regular cap.
That is what Treinen and outfielder Alex Call did when the Dodgers celebrated Pride Night. That is also what a fourth Giants pitcher did.
“My job is to abide by the rules,” Treinen said. “Ultimately, the only rule we have is to wear our team-issued uniform. So that’s what I chose to do.”
To Treinen, the decision over whether to wear a Pride cap is not about passing judgment on anyone else but about what he sees as the push “to force something on people that you know that is controversial to their faith — and, in fact, straight up against their faith.”
He expressed his support for the Giants pitchers.
“Kudos to those men over there who are standing strong in their faith,” he said. “It’s a sad thing to corner someone and try to make them feel bad about their convictions.”
I respect Treinen for explaining his viewpoint. To me, wearing a Pride cap for one night does not diminish your faith at all. It might sharpen your convictions. More important, it signals a welcome to everyone in the community that buys the tickets and broadcast subscriptions that help pay your salary.
“I think a few people made it about themselves and not about the community,” San Francisco Mayor Daniel Lurie told the Bay Area Reporter.
We always proclaim the life lessons of sports. One of them: Sometimes you have to put the team’s interests ahead of your own.
Sports
2026 World Cup Odds: How Far Can Mexico Go After Winning Group A?
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After its massive 1-0 win over South Korea on Thursday night, Mexico has won Group A and officially clinched a spot in the knockout round.
El Tri will play its Round of 32 game in Mexico City, and will face the third-place finisher in either Group C/E/F/H/I.
This is the fourth time that Mexico has topped the group stage of a World Cup, with the other three coming in 1986, 1994 and 2002.
With the win, Mexico remains unbeaten in World Cup group games at home, going a combined 6-2-0 (W-D-L), with two wins and a draw in 1970 and 1986, and now two wins in 2026.
Before the tournament began, Mexico was listed at +6500 to win the World Cup. Now, after winning its first two games of the tournament, Mexico has surged up the oddsboard to +5000.
Can Mexico build off its first two matches and make a deep run in this tournament? Let’s check out the updated odds for El Tri as of June 19.
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Team Mexico — Stage of Elimination
Last 32: +125 (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)
Last 16: +135 (bet $10 to win $23.50 total)
Quarterfinals: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)
Semifinals: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)
Runner-up: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Outright winner: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)
Mexico is currently +5000 to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup after winning Group A (Getty Images).
Mexico’s Past World Cup Results:
1930: Group stage
1934: Did not qualify
1938: Withdrew
1950: Group stage
1954: Group stage
1958: Group stage
1962: Group stage
1966: Group stage
1970: Quarterfinals
1974: Did not qualify
1978: Group stage
1982: Did not qualify
1986: Quarterfinals
1990: Banned
1994: Round of 16
1998: Round of 16
2002: Round of 16
2006: Round of 16
2010: Round of 16
2014: Round of 16
2018: Round of 16
2022: Group stage
2026: TBD
What to know: Mexico has made a habit of being in the running, but never really being in the running. Make sense? Consider this: El Tri made it out of the group stage in seven consecutive World Cups (1994-2018), but never made it past the Round of 16 in any of those years. In 2022, Mexico failed to make it out of the group stage, and it will look to get back to its winning ways in 2026 after a great start to the tournament. With its win Thursday night, Mexico has now advanced to the knockout stage in eight of the last nine World Cups. It is important to note, however, that Mexico has never made it past the quarterfinals at a FIFA men’s World Cup.
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