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Democrats are emphasizing abortion to mobilize voters. Will it work in Orange County?

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Democrats are emphasizing abortion to mobilize voters. Will it work in Orange County?

Each day, Summer Bailey saw the congressional campaign signs staked into the succulent greenery near the entrance to Balboa Island in the heart of Newport Beach.

One belonged to Max Ukropina, a Republican businessman. The other was a sign for former GOP Assemblyman Scott Baugh. Both candidates are vying for Rep. Katie Porter’s seat in Congress, hoping to flip the Democratic-leaning district to Republicans as Porter runs for the U.S. Senate.

Last month, Bailey decided to add a third sign into the mix, one that focused on abortion.

The small white poster read: “Both are anti-choice” in blue letters, with red arrows pointing to Ukropina and Baugh’s signs. When hers was removed, she put up another .

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Bailey, 60, a nonpartisan voter, calls the issue of women’s bodily autonomy her “war cry.”

“I know a lot of pro-choice Republicans, both men and women, who might not choose to vote for a candidate based on that issue,” she said. “But I want every single Republican out there to know that this year if you vote your party, you’re voting against women and you’re voting against the bodily autonomy of the majority of Americans.”

Still, Bailey worries abortion may get lost among the host of other issues voters are grappling with this election even as Democrats nationally continue to push the issue ahead of the March 5 primary.

Since the Supreme Court in 2022 overturned the landmark Roe vs. Wade decision, abortion policy and the push for a federal ban on the procedure in the Republican-controlled House have been at the forefront of Democratic campaigns. But how well the issue mobilizes voters in the four Orange County-based districts that are expected to be among the nation’s most competitive in this election remains unclear.

The majority of Orange County voters, mirroring California as a whole, support abortion access . In 2022, about 57.2% of voters in the county backed Proposition 1, which enshrined abortion rights in the California Constitution.

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That showing of support came even as the majority of O.C. voters cast a ballot in favor of Republicans running in statewide elections, including for Sen. Brian Dahle for governor over incumbent Gavin Newsom.

In the 47th and 49th congressional districts support for abortion was even higher, ranking at 61%. Those districts largely run along Orange County’s coast with the 49th district extending into San Diego.

Support for the measure in the 40th and 45th districts were slightly lower than the county as a whole at about 55%, voter data show. The 40th congressional district includes Orange County’s canyon communities and extends into Riverside and San Bernardino counties, while the 45th district includes Little Saigon and extends into a section of Los Angeles County.

Beth Miller, a GOP strategist, is skeptical that the focus on abortion will drive an increase in voter turnout, particularly in swing districts like those in Orange County.

“Democrats want to keep it as an issue and that may be a good strategy in other parts of the country,” Miller said. “I just don’t think this issue is going to have the kind of impact that it may once have had given the protections that are in place in California.”

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But Democrats are confident voters will rally behind the issue despite it not appearing on the ballot in California.

Vice President Kamala Harris emphasized reproductive rights during a visit to San Jose last month, warning that Republicans could enact a federal ban on abortion if they take control of Congress. She told Californians to stay “vigilant” and has called reproductive freedom “one of the biggest issues in this election.”

In the 47th District, where Bailey lives, the top two Democratic candidates — Joanna Weiss and Dave Min — have emphasized their abortion-rights stances in campaign advertisements.

Ukropina has said he favors leaving abortion policy up to the states. Baugh told The Times in an interview that he is “pro-life” with the exceptions of rape, incest and to protect the life of the mother. He added that he would not advocate or vote in favor of a federal abortion ban.

In late January, EMILYs List, a liberal group that backs female candidates who favor abortion rights, announced that its super PAC, Women Vote, funded a $1-million ad buy in support of Weiss.

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In the advertisement, a narrator warns that Republicans in Washington, D.C., are pushing ahead on a national ban.

“It’s why we need Democrat Joanna Weiss in Congress — the only one we can trust to take them on,” the ad continues. “In Congress, she’ll always protect our reproductive rights and freedoms.”

The buy marked the biggest independent expenditure for California House races so far this cycle.

A spokesperson for EMILY’s List emphasized in a statement to The Times the importance of keeping the district blue if Democrats want to take control of the House and influence abortion policy on a federal level.

“Extremist anti-choice politicians won’t stop until they deny every woman in the nation their right to make their own health care decisions,” said Danni Wang.

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Meredith Conroy, a political science professor at Cal State University San Bernardino, believes abortion will be a mobilizing force, particularly among younger, more liberal voters.

“I believe young voters are least enthusiastic about a Trump/Biden rematch, but an issue like abortion could be enough to keep them engaged,” she said.

The conversation around abortion has also been heating up in Orange County’s 45th District, where Republican Rep. Michelle Steel is facing with four Democratic challengers, all of whom have emphasized their commitment to reproductive rights.

Candidate Kim Nguyen-Penaloza, a Democrat and Garden Grove councilwoman, has criticized Steel for “flip-flopping” on her position on abortion.

Steel’s camp fired back, saying that Steel has not changed her position, which is allowing for abortions only in cases of rape, incest or the health of the mother.

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In 2021— a year before the Supreme Court overturned Roe vs. Wade — Steel cosponsored the Life at Conception Act, a bill that aimed to recognize a fertilized egg as a person with equal protections under the 14th Amendment to the Constitution.

Last January, House Republicans introduced identical legislation, which Steel signed onto roughly a year later. Days after she pledged her support, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee sent out an email blast criticizing her for “choosing to stand with extreme MAGA efforts to ban abortion nationwide no matter how unpopular or dangerous these relentless attacks are.”

Steel’s campaign spokesperson Lance Trover dismissed the attack, saying: “Washington Democrats have spent four years lying about Michelle’s record, mocking her accent and making sexist attacks.”

He added that Southern California voters trust Steel on issues that are critical in her district, including lowering the cost of living and taking on the Chinese Communist Party.

Miller said though some moderate O.C. Republicans and swing voters might support abortion rights, the procedure may not be their top issue when it comes to selecting someone to send to Congress.

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Ultimately, voters this cycle have a lot to think about given the state of the economy and inflation, worries about crime and education, she said.

“The question is are they willing to side with the candidate who speaks to them on those issues but may have a different opinion on abortion?”

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Video: Fed Chair Responds to Inquiry on Building Renovations

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Video: Fed Chair Responds to Inquiry on Building Renovations

new video loaded: Fed Chair Responds to Inquiry on Building Renovations

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Fed Chair Responds to Inquiry on Building Renovations

Federal prosecutors opened an investigation into whether Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, lied to Congress about the scope of renovations of the central bank’s buildings. He called the probe “unprecedented” in a rare video message.

“Good evening. This new threat is not about my testimony last June or about the renovation of the Federal Reserve buildings. This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions, or whether instead, monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation.” “Well, thank you very much. We’re looking at the construction. Thank you.”

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Federal prosecutors opened an investigation into whether Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, lied to Congress about the scope of renovations of the central bank’s buildings. He called the probe “unprecedented” in a rare video message.

By Nailah Morgan

January 12, 2026

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San Antonio ends its abortion travel fund after new state law, legal action

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San Antonio ends its abortion travel fund after new state law, legal action

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San Antonio has shut down its out-of-state abortion travel fund after a new Texas law that prohibits the use of public funds to cover abortions and a lawsuit from the state challenging the city’s fund.

City Council members last year approved $100,000 for its Reproductive Justice Fund to support abortion-related travel, prompting Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton to sue over allegations that the city was “transparently attempting to undermine and subvert Texas law and public policy.”

Paxton claimed victory in the lawsuit on Friday after the case was dismissed without a finding for either side.

WYOMING SUPREME COURT RULES LAWS RESTRICTING ABORTION VIOLATE STATE CONSTITUTION

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Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton claimed victory in the lawsuit after the case was dismissed without a finding for either side. (Hannah Beier/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

“Texas respects the sanctity of unborn life, and I will always do everything in my power to prevent radicals from manipulating the system to murder innocent babies,” Paxton said in a statement. “It is illegal for cities to fund abortion tourism with taxpayer funds. San Antonio’s unlawful attempt to cover the travel and other expenses for out-of-state abortions has now officially been defeated.”

But San Antonio’s city attorney argued that the city did nothing wrong and pushed back on Paxton’s claim that the state won the lawsuit.

“This litigation was both initiated and abandoned by the State of Texas,” the San Antonio city attorney’s office said in a statement to The Texas Tribune. “In other words, the City did not drop any claims; the State of Texas, through the Texas Office of the Attorney General, dropped its claims.”

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton said he will continue opposing the use of public funds for abortion-related travel. (Justin Lane/Reuters)

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Paxton’s lawsuit argued that the travel fund violates the gift clause of the Texas Constitution. The state’s 15th Court of Appeals sided with Paxton and granted a temporary injunction in June to block the city from disbursing the fund while the case moved forward.

Gov. Greg Abbott in August signed into law Senate Bill 33, which bans the use of public money to fund “logistical support” for abortion. The law also allows Texas residents to file a civil suit if they believe a city violated the law.

“The City believed the law, prior to the passage of SB 33, allowed the uses of the fund for out-of-state abortion travel that were discussed publicly,” the city attorney’s office said in its statement. “After SB 33 became law and no longer allowed those uses, the City did not proceed with the procurement of those specific uses—consistent with its intent all along that it would follow the law.”

TRUMP URGES GOP TO BE ‘FLEXIBLE’ ON HYDE AMENDMENT, IGNITING BACKLASH FROM PRO-LIFE ALLIES

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott signed a law in August that blocks cities from using public money to help cover travel or other costs related to abortion. (Antranik Tavitian/Reuters)

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The broader Reproductive Justice Fund remains, but it is restricted to non-abortion services such as home pregnancy tests, emergency contraception and STI testing.

The city of Austin also shut down its abortion travel fund after the law was signed. Austin had allocated $400,000 to its Reproductive Healthcare Logistics Fund in 2024 to help women traveling to other states for an abortion with funding for travel, food and lodging.

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California Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta opts against running for governor. Again.

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California Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta opts against running for governor. Again.

California Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta announced Sunday that he would not run for California governor, a decision grounded in his belief that his legal efforts combating the Trump administration as the state’s top prosecutor are paramount at this moment in history.

“Watching this dystopian horror come to life has reaffirmed something I feel in every fiber of my being: in this moment, my place is here — shielding Californians from the most brazen attacks on our rights and our families,” Bonta said in a statement. “My vision for the California Department of Justice is that we remain the nation’s largest and most powerful check on power.”

Bonta said that President Trump’s blocking of welfare funds to California and the fatal shooting of a Minnesota mother of three last week by a federal immigration agent cemented his decision to seek reelection to his current post, according to Politico, which first reported that Bonta would not run for governor.

Bonta, 53, a former state lawmaker and a close political ally to Gov. Gavin Newsom, has served as the state’s top law enforcement official since Newsom appointed him to the position in 2021. In the last year, his office has sued the Trump administration more than 50 times — a track record that would probably have served him well had he decided to run in a state where Trump has lost three times and has sky-high disapproval ratings.

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Bonta in 2024 said that he was considering running. Then in February he announced he had ruled it out and was focused instead on doing the job of attorney general, which he considers especially important under the Trump administration. Then, both former Vice President Kamala Harris and Sen. Alex Padilla (D-Calif.) announced they would not run for governor, and Bonta began reconsidering, he said.

“I had two horses in the governor’s race already,” Bonta told The Times in November. “They decided not to get involved in the end. … The race is fundamentally different today, right?”

The race for California governor remains wide open. Newsom is serving the final year of his second term and is barred from running again because of term limits. Newsom has said he is considering a run for president in 2028.

Former Rep. Katie Porter — an early leader in polls — late last year faltered after videos emerged of her screaming at an aide and berating a reporter. The videos contributed to her dropping behind Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, a Republican, in a November poll released by the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies and co-sponsored by The Times.

Porter rebounded a bit toward the end of the year, a poll by the Public Policy Institute of California showed, however none of the candidates has secured a majority of support and many voters remain undecided.

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California hasn’t elected a Republican governor since 2006, Democrats heavily outnumber Republicans in the state, and many are seething with anger over Trump and looking for Democratic candidates willing to fight back against the current administration.

Bonta has faced questions in recent months about spending about $468,000 in campaign funds on legal advice last year as he spoke to federal investigators about alleged corruption involving former Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao, who was charged in an alleged bribery scheme involving local businessmen David Trung Duong and Andy Hung Duong. All three have pleaded not guilty.

According to his political consultant Dan Newman, Bonta — who had received campaign donations from the Duong family — was approached by investigators because he was initially viewed as a “possible victim” in the alleged scheme, though that was later ruled out. Bonta has since returned $155,000 in campaign contributions from the Duong family, according to news reports.

Bonta is the son of civil rights activists Warren Bonta, a white native Californian, and Cynthia Bonta, a native of the Philippines who immigrated to the U.S. on a scholarship in 1965. Bonta, a U.S. citizen, was born in Quezon City, Philippines, in 1972, when his parents were working there as missionaries, and immigrated with his family to California as an infant.

In 2012, Bonta was elected to represent Oakland, Alameda and San Leandro as the first Filipino American to serve in California’s Legislature. In Sacramento, he pursued a string of criminal justice reforms and developed a record as one of the body’s most liberal members.

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Bonta is married to Assemblywoman Mia Bonta (D-Alameda), who succeeded him in the state Assembly, and the couple have three children.

Times staff writer Dakota Smith contributed to this report.

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