Crypto
Ark Invest secures SEC nod for Bitcoin ETF, eyes $1.5M target by 2030 By Investing.com
© Reuters
NEW YORK – Ark Invest, the investment firm spearheaded by CEO Cathie Wood, has obtained approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). In a bold projection, the firm anticipates that Bitcoin could achieve a valuation ranging from $600,000 to $1.5 million by the year 2030. This forecast was detailed in ARK Invest’s “Big Ideas” report, which presented a spectrum of market scenarios for Bitcoin’s future value.
The report outlines three potential market conditions for Bitcoin over the next decade: a bearish scenario with a price point of $257,500, an average scenario where the price could hit $682,000, and an optimistic bullish scenario that could see the cryptocurrency soar to nearly $1.48 million per unit. The wide range of these projections reflects the inherent volatility and uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, yet underscores ARK Invest’s confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term growth potential.
Wood’s optimism comes on the heels of the SEC’s green light for spot Bitcoin ETFs, a significant development for the cryptocurrency industry. The approval is a milestone for Ark Invest, which has been known for its focus on innovative and disruptive investment strategies. Despite the setbacks and volatility that characterized the crypto sector in 2022, Ark Invest has maintained a forward-looking approach, concentrating on the transformative potential of digital assets.
The factors that are anticipated to drive Bitcoin’s valuation include corporate investments and various global economic challenges. These elements are expected to play a crucial role in shaping the trajectory of Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market.
Ark Invest’s ETFs, notably ARKK, have previously included substantial holdings in Coinbase (NASDAQ:) Global, indicating the firm’s commitment to the cryptocurrency sector. The latest SEC approval and the ambitious price targets set by ARK Invest signal a steadfast belief in the future of Bitcoin and its integration into the broader financial landscape.
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Crypto
Crypto Sector Suffers Exodus of Reliable Retail Investors | PYMNTS.com
Retail investors are reportedly leaving the cryptocurrency sector, robbing the industry of a dependable driver.
Crypto
The Last Frontier For Cryptocurrency Adoption
While studies reveal institutional investors and wealth managers believe tokenized ETFs will drive mainstream market adoption for cryptocurrency, there looms the theft of bad actors that most often go untraceable.
Currency throughout history that became mainstream
ShutterStock
Barriers to the expansion of tokenization are starting to fall as major investment firms consider launching tokenized ETFs, according to new global research by London-based Nickel Digital Asset Management (Nickel), Europe’s leading digital assets hedge fund manager founded by alumni of Bankers Trust, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan.
Its study with institutional investors (pension funds, insurance asset managers and family offices) and wealth managers at organisations which collectively manage over $14 trillion in assets found almost all (97%) believe the potential launch of tokenized ETFs such as BlackRock’s will be important to the expansion of the sector with nearly one in three (32%) rating the development as very important.
The study also reflected the belief that tokenization will continue to grow, with nearly 70% of respondents believing that fund managers looking to tokenize investment funds and asset classes will increase over the next three years.
Nickel’s research with firms in the US, UK, Germany, Switzerland, Singapore, Brazil and the United Arab Emirates found growing awareness of the benefits of tokenization. Private markets are seen as offering the greatest potential for tokenization, with almost 70% seeing private equity funds as the asset class with the most opportunity, followed by fixed income (55%) and public equities (42%).
Anatoly Crachilov, CEO and Founding Partner at Nickel Digital, said: “Tokenization is quickly moving from theory to real-world adoption as institutional investors grow more comfortable with its benefits and see major players enter the space. When firms like BlackRock step in, it fundamentally shifts the conversation. This development is timely for our multi-manager vehicle as expanding liquidity depth will allow some of our pods to start trading tokenized assets in the coming months.”
To address potential criminal threat, an advanced detection system to identify and trace blockchain funds connected with criminal activity was presented earlier this week at the Annual CyberASAP Demo Day in London.
The system, called SynapTrack, enables faster and more accurate detection of fraudulent activity using blockchains and cryptocurrencies, where traditional anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing systems struggle to keep pace.
Although current fraud detection methods pick up unusual activity, they deliver an extremely high rate (40%) of false positive reports. These require manual checking by compliance professionals, resulting in backlogs in identifying and acting on suspicious activity.
The SynapTrack system is designed to deliver a substantially lower rate of false positives. It has already been tested using real-life data from the notorious 2025 Bybit hack, where criminals stole $1.5bn of digital tokens from a cryptocurrency exchange. SynapTrack traced the hacker with 98% accuracy.
The team behind SynapTrack is keen to hear from exchanges, financial regulators or law enforcement agencies who want to test the prototype in real-world conditions.
SynapTrack uses a validated methodology to score the likelihood of transactions being part of a money laundering scheme. It has a self-improving algorithm that continuously adapts to new tactics – dynamically identifying suspicious patterns in blockchain transactions. It has a universal cross-chain capability, and is designed around how compliance teams work, presenting results in a dashboard. No infrastructure changes are needed for installation.
It is relatively easy to obscure fraudulent or criminal activity by moving funds between blockchains, or dispersing them across many blockchains, in what are known as ‘cross-chain’ transactions. It is these transactions that pose the greatest difficulty for existing anti-money laundering systems.
SynapTrack was developed by University of Birmingham computer scientists Dr Pascal Berrang and PhD student Endong Liu, in collaboration with blockchain developer Nimiq. Dr Berrang’s research is in IT security and privacy on blockchain, artificial intelligence and machine learning. The subject of Endong Liu’s PhD is transaction tracing. Nimiq is supporting with blockchain-specific insights, knowledge of real-world constraints, and implementation.
The team is currently fundraising to ensure regulatory readiness and complete the team with a CEO and software developers.
Dr Berrang said: “The last few years have seen a near-exponential growth in blockchain transactions. While many of these are legitimate, blockchains are attractive to criminals as funds can be moved very quickly to other jurisdictions. Our work with Nimiq and the creation of SynapTrack is addressing this black spot, and will enable more effective regulation, making the whole ecosystem of blockchain safer and more trustworthy.”
With the financial market and cybersecurity industry converging, cryptocurrency is here to stay.
Crypto
Bitcoin drops to $63,000 as U.S. and Israel launch strikes on Iran
Bitcoin briefly reclaimed $65,000 before pulling back to $64,700 as the Iran conflict continued to escalate through Saturday.
Iranian state media reported at least 70 killed in its Hormozgan province, per Aljazeera, including a strike on an elementary school. Israel activated air raid alerts after detecting fresh missile launches from Iran.
Trump told the Washington Post that “all I want is freedom for the people.” NATO said it was “closely following” developments, China urged an immediate ceasefire, and Turkey offered to mediate.
Bitcoin’s inability to hold $65,000 on the bounce suggests sellers remain in control, but the relative stability given the severity of the headlines points to thin weekend order books rather than active selling pressure.
Headline risks persist for BTC traders as the U.S. day progresses.
What happened earlier
Earlier in the day, BTC neared $63,000 in Saturday trading after the U.S. and Israel launched military strikes on Iran, pushing the largest cryptocurrency down roughly 3% in a matter of hours and extending what had already been a difficult weekend for risk assets.
The move brought bitcoin to its lowest level since the Feb. 5 crash, when the token briefly dipped below $60,000.
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz declared an immediate state of emergency across all areas of Israel. A U.S. official confirmed American participation in the strikes, The Wall Street Journal reported.
The sell-off follows a well-established pattern. Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, while equity and bond markets are closed on weekends.
That makes it one of the only large, liquid assets available for traders to sell when geopolitical risk spikes outside of traditional market hours.
The result is that bitcoin often acts as a pressure valve for broader risk-off sentiment during weekend events, absorbing selling that would otherwise spread across equities, commodities, and currencies if those markets were open.
The attack risks a wider regional conflict in one of the most economically sensitive parts of the world, following a month-long U.S. military buildup and failed negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program.
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