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Impunity for War Crimes in Syria Casts a Grim Shadow Over Ukraine

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BEIRUT, Lebanon — The Syrian police stormed her home and dragged her husband away. Her eldest son died in a rain of Syrian authorities shells on her hometown. So like tens of millions of different Syrians, Hanadi Hafisi fled the nation with plans to return when the conflict ended.

A decade later, she’s nonetheless a refugee in Turkey, the place her work at a middle that treats conflict accidents exposes her to a continuing show of the human destruction wrought by President Bashar al-Assad of Syria and his Russian backers: paralysis, lacking palms and legs, and deep trauma that leaves her sufferers asking why such disasters consumed their lives.

“I don’t know what to inform them after they ask me whether or not they’ll attain justice,” stated Ms. Hafisi, 46. “Critically, what to inform them? That Bashar will likely be held accountable? That he’ll face trial? After all not.”

Because the world takes within the grim realities of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — the once-vibrant neighborhoods bombed out, the civilians killed by shells whereas making an attempt to flee, the hypothesis about whether or not Russia will use chemical weapons — many Syrians have watched with a horrifying sense of déjà vu and a deep foreboding about what lies forward.

The Syrian conflict started 11 years in the past this month with an anti-Assad rebellion that spiraled right into a multisided battle among the many authorities, armed rebels, jihadists and others. A whole bunch of hundreds of individuals have been killed, tens of millions have fled their houses, and Mr. al-Assad has remained in energy, largely due to the intensive help he acquired from the person now driving the invasion of Ukraine, President Vladimir V. Putin Russia.

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The legacy of Syria’s conflict, and Russia’s position in it, looms giant over Ukraine, providing potential classes to Mr. Putin, analysts stated: that “pink strains” laid down by the West might be crossed with out main penalties; that diplomacy purportedly aimed toward stopping violence can be utilized to distract from it; and that autocrats can do horrible issues and face worldwide sanctions — and nonetheless keep in energy.

A lot of the brutality Mr. al-Assad deployed to quash his foes was documented in actual time and spurred outrage that left many considering he might by no means get away with it.

He dispatched troopers and armed thugs to cease protests by locking up activists and firing dwell ammunition into crowds. Because the opposition took up arms, his troops shelled, bombed and imposed hunger sieges on cities and neighborhoods that supported the rebels.

These actions killed giant numbers of civilians and despatched many extra fleeing for his or her lives. Greater than half of Syria’s prewar inhabitants was displaced through the conflict, and 5.7 million refugees stay exterior the nation.

In August 2013, Mr. al-Assad’s forces shocked the world by deploying chemical weapons on rebel-held cities close to the capital, Damascus, killing greater than 1,400 folks, U.S. officers stated.

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Many Syrian anticipated that such a blatant violation of worldwide legislation would immediate Western navy intervention, particularly since President Barack Obama had referred to as the usage of chemical weapons a “pink line.”

“I used to be positive we had witnessed one thing only a few folks had skilled earlier than, like those that witnessed Chernobyl or Hiroshima,” recalled Ibrahim Alfawal, 29, who survived the chemical assault and stated it had felt like “judgment day.”

However he was shocked when the US didn’t intervene. Mr. al-Assad’s forces ultimately took management of the cities that had been gassed, seeming to pay no worth for his use of forbidden arms.

That appeared to point out that Mr. al-Assad might depend on impunity, Mr. Alfawal stated, and assaults by Syrian forces on civilian infrastructure — together with faculties, hospitals, neighborhoods and bakeries the place households had lined as much as purchase bread — solely escalated.

In 2015, Mr. Putin despatched Russian forces to assist Mr. al-Assad’s beleaguered military, and shortly Russian officers had been advising Syrian forces and Russian jets had been dropping bombs on Syrian cities — having fun with the identical impunity that Mr. al-Assad appeared to have.

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In Ukraine, Russia has used disinformation campaigns much like these it pioneered in Syria, the place it falsely branded opposition activists as members of Al Qaeda and accused the rebels of launching the chemical assaults as “false flag” operations guilty the Syrian authorities.

“They’re taking the identical idea they utilized in Syria, to lie and to stay to it,” Mr. Alfawal stated of Russia’s strategy to Ukraine.

The chemical assaults in Syria continued. Along with two that killed giant numbers of individuals — within the village of Khan Sheikhoun in 2017 and east of Damascus in 2018 — there have been at the very least 350 different assaults with chemical substances, based on Tobias Schneider, a researcher on the International Public Coverage Institute in Berlin.

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Most of these used chlorine, which isn’t labeled as a chemical weapon however can be utilized as such to terrify civilians and encourage them to flee.

Whereas no proof has surfaced that Russian forces used chemical weapons in Syria, researchers imagine that Mr. Putin enabled Mr. al-Assad to take action.

“It’s completely sure that the Russian authorities at the very least is aware of and certain facilitated the usage of chemical weapons by the Syrians, principally chlorine assaults,” Mr. Schneider stated.

There are not any indications that chemical weapons have been utilized in Ukraine, however watching the conflict there, many Syrians see indicators that Mr. Putin is using components of the Syria playbook.

The Russians “are prepared to devour the inexperienced and the dry,” stated Radwan Alhomsy, a Syrian activist in southern Turkey, utilizing an Arabic idiom which means to destroy all the pieces. “They don’t care in regards to the worldwide group or the rest. We noticed that in Syria. Burning faculties will not be new to us. It’s land they need to take, and they’ll take it.”

European analysts level out the variations between the wars in Syria and Ukraine that might result in completely different Western responses. In contrast to Mr. Putin, Mr. al-Assad fought to regain management of his personal nation, not take over certainly one of his neighbors. In contrast to Syria, Russia is a nuclear-armed energy, complicating the problem of navy intervention.

And whereas the US and its European allies largely let Mr. al-Assad get away with utilizing chemical weapons within the Center East, Mr. Putin’s doing so on the European continent would most definitely trigger better alarm and elicit a stiffer response.

“If Putin thinks that he’ll be handled like al-Assad, he’s improper as a result of he isn’t al-Assad and this isn’t Syria” stated Patricia Lewis, director of the worldwide safety program at Chatham Home.

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Nonetheless, Mr. Putin might take some solace from Mr. al-Assad’s survival: how the West went on mistakenly believing that Mr. al-Assad’s fall was unavoidable, and the way he has clung to energy regardless of sanctions which have strangled his economic system and impoverished his folks.

Emile Hokayem, a Center East analyst on the Worldwide Institute for Strategic Research, warned of two methods utilized in Syria that the Russians might make use of in Ukraine.

One was Russia’s engagement in worldwide diplomacy aimed toward ending the violence as a means of distracting the West from the conflict on the bottom. One other was the deliberate creation of a refugee disaster to lavatory down Europe and sap its assets.

“Making a humanitarian disaster is a part of the conflict technique, not a secondary impact, as a result of that is the way you shift the burden on to the opposite aspect,” he stated.

Many Syrian refugees are watching the Ukraine conflict from impoverished camps throughout the Center East or from European cities the place they’re struggling to start out new lives.

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Whereas some really feel bitter in regards to the heat proven to fleeing Ukrainians, the Syrians additionally recall their very own conflict, and hope the Ukrainians will fare higher than they did.

“We had been left alone to face our future,” stated Mansour Abu al-Kheir, who survived two chemical assaults east of Damascus earlier than fleeing as a refugee to southern Turkey. “I hope this received’t occur to the Ukrainians.”

Cora Engelbrecht contributed reporting from London, and Hwaida Saad and Asmaa al-Omar from Beirut, Lebanon.

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World

How is Azerbaijan involved with France and New Caledonia?

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How is Azerbaijan involved with France and New Caledonia?

France has accused Azerbaijan of meddling in its Pacific territory, New Caledonia, by supporting independence movements and spreading disinformation, amid broader geopolitical tensions.

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France has accused Azerbaijan of meddling in its Pacific archipelago territory of New Caledonia.

Despite the vast geographical and cultural distance between the Caspian state and the French Pacific territory, this claim is rooted in a complex web of historical, political, and diplomatic tensions.

The Crisis in New Caledonia

New Caledonia, located between Australia and Fiji, is a French territory with a history of striving for independence.

The recent unrest in New Caledonia was ignited by a new electoral law perceived by the indigenous Kanak population as discriminatory.

This law allows people who have lived in New Caledonia for at least ten years the right to vote in local elections, which pro-independence supporters argue will dilute the Kanak vote.

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France’s Accusations

France’s Interior Minister, Gérald Darmanin, has publicly stated that Azerbaijan, along with China and Russia, is interfering in New Caledonia’s internal matters. “This isn’t a fantasy. It’s a reality,” Darmanin told the France 2 TV channel, emphasizing the seriousness of the allegations.

The French government points to the sudden appearance of Azerbaijani flags at Kanak independence protests and the backing of separatists by groups linked to Baku.

Azerbaijan has vehemently denied any involvement, calling the accusations baseless. “We completely reject the baseless accusations,” said Ayhan Hajizadeh, a spokesperson for Azerbaijan’s Foreign Ministry. “We refute any connection between the leaders of the struggle for freedom in Caledonia and Azerbaijan.”

A significant element in this story is the Baku Initiative Group, established during a conference in July 2023 in Azerbaijan. This group, which includes participants from various French territories seeking independence, aims to support anti-colonial movements against France.

The group has expressed solidarity with the Kanak people and condemned the recent electoral reforms in New Caledonia. “We stand in solidarity with our Kanak friends and support their fair struggle,” the Baku Initiative Group stated.

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Why are France and Azerbaijan clashing diplomatically?

The tensions between France and Azerbaijan extend beyond New Caledonia. France is a traditional ally of Armenia, Azerbaijan’s historical rival, particularly regarding the contentious Nagorno-Karabakh region.

Following the 2020 war and a subsequent 2023 offensive by Azerbaijan to reclaim control of Nagorno-Karabakh, France has openly supported Armenia.

This support includes defence agreements and military equipment supplies, fuelling further animosity from Azerbaijan. Darmanin referred to Azerbaijan as a “dictatorship,” highlighting the deep-seated distrust.

France has also accused Azerbaijan of engaging in disinformation campaigns to destabilise its territories. Pro-Azerbaijani social media accounts have been linked to the spread of misleading content about the French police’s actions in New Caledonia.

A French government source mentioned a “pretty massive campaign, with around 4,000 posts generated by (these) accounts,” aimed at inciting violence and mistrust.

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This follows France recalling its ambassador to Azerbaijan in April, with President Macron expressing regret for Azerbaijan’s actions, along with his hope that the Azerbaijanis would clarify their intentions.

Why New Caledonia?

While Azerbaijan’s direct interest in New Caledonia might seem far-fetched, it fits into a broader strategy of challenging the French colonial legacy and supporting separatist movements.

By aligning with anti-colonial sentiments, Azerbaijan aims to position itself as a champion of liberation movements, simultaneously discrediting France on the international stage.

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This effort is seen as part of a broader geopolitical manoeuvering, including Azerbaijan’s efforts to tarnish France’s image, as noted by its alleged disinformation campaign against France’s capability to host the Olympic Games.

The heightened tensions have had further repercussions. The French Sports Minister cancelled the Olympic flame’s journey through New Caledonia, for security reasons, but also an action that reflects the severity of the unrest and the accusations of foreign interference.

The involvement of Azerbaijan in New Caledonia’s unrest is a multifaceted issue rooted in broader geopolitical rivalries and historical grievances.

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For Azerbaijan, supporting independence movements in French territories is a way to strike back at France for its support of Armenia and to bolster its own international standing.

For France, these actions represent a direct challenge to its sovereignty and stability in its overseas territories, prompting strong accusations and heightened tensions between Paris and Baku. 

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Ukraine and Russia exchange drone attacks while Russia continues its push in the east

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Ukraine and Russia exchange drone attacks while Russia continues its push in the east

KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — Russia said it shot down some 60 drones and several missiles over its territory while Ukraine in turn said it destroyed over 30 Russian drones. At least four people were reported killed in an attack on the outskirts of Kharkiv on Sunday as Russia pushed ahead with its renewed offensive in Ukraine’s war-ravaged northeast.

Russian air defenses shot down 57 Ukrainian drones over the southern Krasnodar region overnight, the Russian Defense Ministry said.

Local military officials said drone debris hit an oil refinery in the town of Slavyansk-on-Kuban, but there was no fire or damage. News outlet Astra published videos appearing to show an explosion at the refinery as it was hit by a drone. The videos could not be independently verified.

Nine long-range ballistic missiles and a drone were destroyed over the Russia-occupied Crimean Peninsula, following Friday morning’s massive Ukrainian drone attack that cut off power in the city of Sevastopol.

A further three drones were shot down over the Belgorod region, which borders Ukraine. According to regional Gov. Vyacheslav Gladkov, a church roof was set on fire by falling drone debris, but there were no casualties.

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The Russian-installed governor of Ukraine’s partially occupied Kherson region, Vladimir Saldo, said that one person died and 16 were wounded when a Ukrainian drone hit a minibus on Sunday morning.

In Ukraine, air force officials said air defenses shot down all 37 Russian drones launched against the country overnight.

In the northeastern Kharkiv region, where Moscow recently launched a new offensive, regional Gov. Oleh Syniehubov said Sunday morning that one person died and 11 were wounded as a result of shelling over the previous day.

Later on Sunday, Syniehubov said four people were killed and eight wounded in a Russian strike on the outskirts of the regional capital, also called Kharkiv.

Ukrainian troops are fighting to halt Russian advances in the Kharkiv region that began late last week.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday during a visit to China that Moscow’s offensive in the Kharkiv region aims to create a buffer zone but that there are no plans to capture the city.

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Morton reported from London.

——

Follow AP’s coverage at https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine

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Argentina's Milei shuts up critics with miracle turnaround of economy, strong security policies

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Argentina's Milei shuts up critics with miracle turnaround of economy, strong security policies

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President Javier Milei of Argentina continues to stun his critics with an economy that has outperformed expectations and continues along an ambitious path for national security, including pursuit of a NATO global partnership. 

“The fact that you have a president, head of state, who is defending the free market, who is defending the role of entrepreneurs and businessmen as creators of value and just defending deregulation when the tendency in Latin America and much of the West has been to regulate the economy . . . I think that’s very positive, not only for Argentina, but for the region as a whole and maybe beyond,” Daniel Raisbeck, a policy analyst at the CATO Institute, told Fox News Digital. 

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Milei won the presidency in November last year and prompted concern from some in the West that he would lead his country down a road to ruin with libertarian policies that would make an already troubled economy even weaker. Voters wanted economic relief from a market hit with some of the highest inflation in the world. 

Those attitudes have shifted just months later as Milei has enacted a raft of policy changes: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) agreed to release a tranche of loans due to Argentina under a bailout program thanks to Milei’s government managing to create a fiscal surplus in the previous fiscal quarter and bring inflation down. 

ARGENTINA REPORTS ITS FIRST SINGLE-DIGIT INFLATION IN SIX MONTHS AS MARKETS SWOON AND COSTS HIT HOME

President of Argentina Javier Milei gives a speech after his Inauguration Ceremony at National Congress on December 10, 2023, in Buenos Aires, Argentina.  (Marcelo Endelli/Getty Images)

Argentina’s inflation in March alone hit 287%, causing poverty to deepen, and citizens to take to the streets with strikes and protests against his policies. The monthly inflation rate was 25% in December when Milei first took office. 

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Milei then went on to significantly reduce spending with major cuts to public-sector wages as he suspended public works projects and cut subsidies. He also devalued the country’s currency by over 50%, which helped it stabilize in value even as the price of basic goods jumped. 

The monthly inflation dropped to 8.8% by April, marking the first single-digit inflation rate in over six months. 

Argentina recorded a $589 million budget surplus in January and continued to post a surplus for each of the first four months of 2024, even as the surplus shrank to $299 million in April, Reuters reported. This marks the country’s first quarterly surplus since 2008. 

Raisbeck stressed that Milei’s primary measure of cutting spending has proven highly effective, while arguing that the significant deregulation in other parts of the economy has helped it revive over those first months of the new administration. 

Argentina South America

Javier Milei of La Libertad Avanza lifts a chainsaw next to Buenos Aires province governor candidate Carolina Piparo of La Libertad Avanza during a rally on September 25, 2023, in San Martin, Buenos Aires, Argentina. (Tomas Cuesta/Getty Images)

“Argentina was one of the most regulated economies in the world,” Raisbeck said. “So when you have a very well-thought-out package like the one that they introduced . . . and you get rid of as many of those regulations as you can, then it’s very positive.”

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AT LEAST 90 INJURED AFTER PASSENGER TRAIN HITS BOXCAR, DERAILS IN ARGTENTINE CAPITAL

He noted that Milei has not adhered to some of his more aggressive campaign promises, which included a promise to dollarize the economy and shut down the Central Bank, saying that it was a “non-negotiable matter.”

Even days after he won the election, Milei appeared to favor more moderate Cabinet members than many would have expected of a man who jolted the international community with his outsider attitude and plans. 

APTOPIX-Argentina-Protest

Students protest for more public university funding and against austerity measures proposed by President Javier Milei, featured on the sign, in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Tuesday, April 23, 2024. The posters read in Spanish, “With fascism, there are no rights,” center, and “Why so much fear to educate the people?” and “Defending the university is defending the country.” (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)

The Wall Street Journal, in December 2023, argued that Milei’s tenure “may turn out to be pretty conventional,” with pro-market Economy Minister Luis Caputo leading away from Milei’s more radical plans. 

The promised dollarization has been delayed, and Raisbeck explained that Milei’s approach has relied heavily on using the Central Bank to help regulate the economy, though he argued that Milei’s policies remain libertarian due to the deregulation he has pursued in other areas. 

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Argentina-Economy

A vendor waits for customers at the central market for fruit and vegetables in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Friday, May 10, 2024.  (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)

“Everything related to deregulation is very libertarian, and we’ve seen great success already in the housing market, for instance,” Raisbeck said. “So that obviously brought a huge amount of supply that was suppressed because of price controls.”

Milei also brought Argentina back to the international foreground, with a stronger focus on national security and changing up the country’s goals from the previous administration – most notably, he rejected the invitation to join the China and Russia-led economic bloc BRICS. 

PERUVIAN LAWMAKERS BEGIN YET ANOTHER EFFORT TO REMOVE PRESIDENT DINA BULARTE FROM OFFICE

A man holds up a giant US dollar sign with President Argentina's President Javier Milei

A supporter holds a giant dollar bill with the face President elect Javier Milei as people start gathering outside National Congress ahead of his inauguration ceremony on December 10, 2023, in Buenos Aires, Argentina. (Marcelo Endelli/Getty Images)

Milei argued that it was not “opportune” for Argentina to join the bloc as a full member, according to German outlet DW. However, he will continue to develop ties with its members in the meantime. 

“They have a good security minister, Patricia Bullrich, who has experience because she was a security minister in the previous government,” Joseph M. Humire, the executive director of the Center for a Secure Free Society, told Fox News Digital. “She has been able to get the ball rolling very quickly, and I think that was the benefit of having her in that position.” 

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Milei supporters in Buenos Aires

Supporters of presidential candidate Javier Milei gather outside his headquarters during the presidential runoff election in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Sunday, November 19, 2023.  (AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd)

Humire explained that Milei’s government has largely focused on clearing out external agitators, particularly those connected to Russian disinformation networks, which remain a paramount concern in most parts of the world as Moscow seeks to expand its influence. 

“The external forces are usually the key,” Humire said. “Usually, it’s the Russians. The Russians have probably the biggest disinformation networks to be able to amplify local grievances and turn them into this macro instability, and they did that in Colombia, in Chile.” 

“A lot of the specifics of the nation’s security has been in mitigating these agitation networks that create chaos throughout the country, and they have been neutralizing some of these threats while they’re studying others,” he added. 

The Associated Press contributed to this report. 

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