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How Missile Defense Works (and Why It Fails)

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How Missile Defense Works (and Why It Fails)

Once a ballistic missile is fired into the air, a defender has only minutes to identify its precise trajectory and try to shoot it down.

The target, an enemy warhead, is inside an object about the size of a car that typically flies through the edge of space at many times the speed of sound.

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In April and October, Iran launched two of the largest ballistic missile attacks in history at Israel. The world’s most advanced missile defense systems, deployed by Israel and the United States, stopped some of the missiles — but not all of them.


Neither attack caused major damage, but some Israeli and American officials said it may have been a matter of luck that it was not worse. After Israel struck back at Iran last week, Iranian officials threatened another round of retaliation, although their plans remain unclear.


Here’s why stopping a ballistic missile attack is hard.

Ballistic missiles like the ones Iran fired last month escape the atmosphere and accelerate to great speeds as they fall back down to Earth. It took only about 12 minutes for Iran’s missiles to reach Israel, analysts estimate. But there was far less time to make critical decisions about how to stop them.

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Within seconds, satellites must detect the heat signature given off by a missile launch. Radars must find the missile and try to calculate its exact course.

A defensive missile called an interceptor must be fired soon after that to reach the incoming missile in time.

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That’s all hard enough with one missile. But Iran fired a large volley of them last month — nearly 200 ballistic missiles in less than an hour. The goal appeared to be to overwhelm Israeli defenses.


Radars can only track so many targets at once, and launchers, once emptied, may need a half hour or more to reload.

Beyond that, if they are concerned about future attacks, targeted countries may also need to make a critical split-second decision to reserve valuable interceptors only for the incoming missiles that appear likely to do the most damage.

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After Iran’s second barrage, in October, Israel said its defense systems had shot down many of the missiles, and those that struck appear to have caused limited damage.

But satellite imagery does show that the barrage, which analysts said used more advanced missiles, left dozens of craters at one air base, Nevatim. Had those missiles landed in a populated area, the death and destruction could have been extensive.

Israel’s best-known defense system, the Iron Dome, was built to stop short-range rockets, and is too slow and limited when it comes to ballistic missiles. For that, Israel relies on several more advanced layers of defense designed to counter ballistic missiles at different stages of flight.

The most advanced systems, long-range interceptors like the Arrow 3, operate in space, where ballistic missiles like those Iran fired spend most of their time. They are the first chance to stop a missile, but high above the atmosphere, there is no room for error.

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Both an interceptor and an enemy missile shed the boosters that power them into space. Just two smaller vehicles remain, hurtling toward each other.

The interceptor seeks a direct hit to destroy the warhead. To home in, the interceptor carries sensors to track the enemy missile and thrusters to move toward it. But by the time an interceptor senses its target a mile away, it has only a split second to adjust.

That’s because missiles like Iran’s latest are only about three feet wide at the base by the time they are in space, and they are traveling about two miles every second.

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If that weren’t hard enough, some ballistic missiles carry decoys to trick the interceptor. Debris leftover from the boosters can also confuse it.

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It’s unclear how often interceptions above the atmosphere actually work. Governments tend to avoid disclosing specific interception rates, and they have every reason to present a positive picture, even when interceptions fail. So do the companies that manufacture the pricey systems.

When combined with U.S. antimissile systems in the region, Israel currently has the most layers of missile defense in the world. If outer-layer defenses fail to stop a missile, shorter-range systems that intercept missiles closer to the ground may have another chance.

But time runs out quickly. The closer a ballistic missile gets, the more dangerous it becomes. And even if a lower-altitude intercept is successful, the resulting debris can still be deadly.

If a missile succeeds in re-entering the atmosphere, often less than a minute remains before it strikes.

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Defenses that work in the upper atmosphere — like Israel’s Arrow 2 or the THAAD system that the United States recently sent to Israel — must fire their interceptors within seconds.

As the missile nears the ground, close-range defenses like the Patriot system from the U.S. provide a final chance to stop it. But these systems have a range of about 12 miles and can only protect limited areas.

An attacker can draw on a variety of tactics. To distract the enemy, it can fire a volley of cheaper weapons timed to arrive at the same time as the ballistic missiles. This is what Iran tried in its April attack, but Israel and its allies appear to have been able to triage between the faster and slower weapons, using other defenses like fighter jets to counter them.

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Israel’s retaliatory strike at Iran last week targeted missile production sites and degraded Iran’s ability to produce the kind of missiles it fired in October. The attack damaged at least one rocket production facility, as well as fuel mixers that make propellant for Iran’s missile fleet.

It is unclear how Iran will respond or whether it will fire another round of ballistic missiles, but if it does, the fundamental imbalance of missile warfare will remain: Firing a ballistic missile is a lot easier than stopping one. And making a ballistic missile is cheaper and faster than making an interceptor to shoot one down.

Over the course of a protracted conflict, it could become a question of which side runs out of missiles first.

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Adani's Bribery Scandal Raises Concern on Market, Public Disclosure Lapses

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Adani's Bribery Scandal Raises Concern on Market, Public Disclosure Lapses
By Aditya Kalra and Aditi Shah NEW DELHI (Reuters) – In March, Adani Group’s head of corporate finance wrote an email to one of its lenders, calling as “baseless” a media report on the group’s alleged bribery investigation in the United States. That email was also marked to top finance executive …
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A look inside the most expensive house in the world — the home of the UK’s monarch

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A look inside the most expensive house in the world — the home of the UK’s monarch

The world’s most expensive house is located in London, England.

Buckingham Palace, the official London residence of the king, is widely considered the most expensive house in the world, valued at around $4.9 billion. 

Buckingham Palace is far from a traditional house with 775 rooms and 50,000 people visiting each year for receptions, dinners, state banquets and other events, according to the royal family website. 

Buckingham Palace is considered the most expensive house in the world.  (Vuk Valcic/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images I Fox Photos/Getty Images)

ROYAL FAMILY SPOUSES: KATE MIDDLETON, MEGHAN MARKLE, OTHER CURRENT SPOUSES OF ROYAL FAMILY MEMBERS

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This, of course, is outside the half million tourists who visit the destination each year. In 2023-2024, about 530,000 tourists visited Buckingham Palace, according to Statista. 

In addition to viewing the breathtaking palace, visitors often watch the famous Changing of the Guard ceremony.

For those who want a look inside Buckingham Palace, guests can view the state rooms in the summer as well as on select dates in the winter and spring when small guided tours are available, according to the Royal Collection Trust website. 

Changing of the Guard Ceremony

The Changing of the Guard ceremony is one many tourists observe while visiting Buckingham Palace.  (Aaron Chown/PA Images via Getty Images)

OWNER OF WORLD’S LARGEST CAR COLLECTION HAS OVER 7,000 VEHICLES IN HIS POSSESSION

Since 1837, Buckingham Palace has been the official London residence of the United Kingdom’s sovereigns, according to the royal family website. 

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Among the 775 rooms located in Buckingham Palace are 19 state rooms, 52 royal and guest bedrooms, 188 bedrooms for staff, 92 offices and 78 bathrooms, according to the royal family website. 

The royal palace is full of breathtaking places, including the White Drawing Room, the Throne Room, the Ballroom and the 47-meter Picture Gallery filled with historical art. 

Royal family waving from balcony

The royal family waves to the public from the balcony of Buckingham Palace during events.  (Chris Jackson/Getty Images)

SET SAIL ON WORLD’S LARGEST CRUISE SHIP, WHICH CAN ACCOMMODATE OVER 7,000 GUESTS PER VOYAGE

The Grand Staircase and 39-acre Palace Garden are other highlights.

The balcony of the royal palace is where generations of royals have stepped out for public appearances. 

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Another home ranked as one of the most expensive is Antilia in Mumbai, India. 

Antilia holds the Guinness World Record for the “most expensive private house in the world.” 

The mansion is estimated to be worth between $1 billion and $2 billion, according to Architectural Digest India. 

It is owned by business magnate Mukesh Ambani, chairman and managing director of Reliance Industries. 

Antilia in Mumbai

The most expensive private residence is Antilia in Mubai, India, which is owned by Mukesh Ambani.  (Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

 

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The 400,000-square-foot residence is 570 feet tall.

The 27 stories of Antilia include numerous swimming pools, a spa and a theater, according to Guinness World Records. 

The property also includes 168 parking spaces and three helipads. 

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WHO says mpox remains public health emergency of international concern

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WHO says mpox remains public health emergency of international concern

UN health agency says its decision is ‘based on the rising number and continuing geographic spread of cases’.

The World Health Organization (WHO) says it will keep its alert for mpox at the highest level amid a surge in cases.

A WHO committee made up of about a dozen independent experts made the decision at a meeting in Geneva on Friday, three months after the WHO first declared a public health emergency of global concern in August.

The WHO said its decision was “based on the rising number and continuing geographic spread of cases, operational challenges in the field, and the need to mount and sustain a cohesive response across countries and partners”.

There has been a surge in mpox cases this year, predominantly focused in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and neighbouring countries.

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A first batch of vaccines was rolled out last month and appears to have had an impact on containing cases of the highly contagious disease, but the United Nations agency has been waiting for substantial proof to discuss the impact of vaccinations.

The African Union’s health watchdog warned at the end of October that the mpox outbreak was still not under control and called for more resources to avoid a pandemic that it said could potentially be worse than COVID-19.

The virus is usually mild, but it can be fatal in rare cases.

Mpox is believed to have killed hundreds of people in the DRC and elsewhere last year as it also spread to Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Nigeria and Uganda, causing a continent-wide emergency.

The disease can be spread through close contact with an infected person, sexual activity or breathing in infectious particles. The virus then replicates and spreads to the lymph nodes, leading them to swell before further spreading and causing rashes or lesions.

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