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China’s NPC raises questions about the economy, defence, new technologies

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China’s NPC raises questions about the economy, defence, new technologies

China’s week-long meeting of the National People’s Congress (NPC), which gathered some 3,000 delegates from the political, business and cultural elite in Beijing, has closed without the customary press conference by the country’s premier.

The annual meeting of the country’s parliament began on March 4 at the Great Hall of the People in Tiananmen Square, with delegates tasked with approving new laws and political appointments as well as assessing a litany of reports from departments across the government.

Since 1993, proceedings have wrapped with a press conference by the country’s premier but it was announced last week that Li Qiang would not be speaking to journalists.

If he had, he might have been able to give some insight into the legislation NPC delegates approved, including a shift towards “future industries” and a focus on national security.

Here are five key takeaways from this year’s formalities.

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Open to AI

Facial recognition scanners at the entrance to the NPC offered delegates an idea of what a “future industries”-focused economy might look like.

Military delegates arrive at the closing session of the 14th National People’s Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People [Wang Zhao/AFP]

Inside, Premier Li Qiang’s Government Work Report detailed how new technologies – from electric vehicles to commercial space flights – could help China’s economy escape the weight of a faltering property market.

“The two sessions clearly conveyed China’s intention to focus on the development of new technology in order to achieve self-sufficiency,” Angela Zhang, an associate professor of law at the University of Hong Kong, told Al Jazeera.

“China is driven by a sense of urgency to catch up with the United States,” said Zhang, who is also the author of High Wire: How China Regulates Big Tech and Governs Its Economy.

To meet potential economic growth through new technologies, Zhang told Al Jazeera she believes “the Chinese government will adopt a relatively lenient approach towards regulating new technologies like AI”.

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Future Industries

While facial recognition cameras indicate that China could join Israel and the US in the lucrative market of surveillance technology, Bert Hofman, a professor at the East Asian Institute of the National University of Singapore, sees a range of ways in which new technologies could help China escape recent economic woes.

a soldier in the foreground is blurry while surveillance cameras can be seen behind him
Security cameras near the Great Hall of the People at Tiananmen Square [Bloomberg/Getty Images]

While China is “on track” to meet its climate targets by 2060, Hofman says it could potentially see economic benefits from “front-loading” its green transition sooner as has also been argued by Martin Wolf, the chief economics commentator at the Financial Times.

For example, Hofman told Al Jazeera that the government could give “subsidies to households to buy more of the outputs of China’s surging EV [electric vehicle] manufacturing”.

Defence and security

The government did not announce a specific target for spending on its green transition at the NPC.

By contrast, it did announce that defence spending would rise by 7.2 percent in 2024, the same level of increase as in 2023.

A spokesperson explaining the increase said: “China has maintained a comparatively low military expenditure and the nation always sticks to a peaceful development road”.

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But references to peace were notably absent from sections of the premier’s work report in its references to Taiwan. Last year’s report called for “advanc[ing] the process of China’s peaceful reunification”, while this year, Li said China would “be firm in advancing the cause of China’s reunification”.

According to Hofman, the increase in China’s military spending announced at the NPC may not result in an increase in real terms.

He told Al Jazeera he is more concerned about the focus on “future industries and the industrial policy that will go into developing them in China” after the focus on this area at this year’s NPC.

Still, China’s military spending has attracted much attention given that other countries are already spending more on defence.

According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI),  other countries, including the US, Japan, Australia and South Korea, have increased military spending “driven by a perception of a growing threat from China”.

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Beijing’s defence budget has more than doubled since 2015 but, according to William D Hartung of the Quincy Institute, the US continues to outspend China on its military by a substantial margin.

Hartung cites data from SIPRI which he says go beyond China’s official military expenditures to include the “full range of China’s military-related activities”. Even taking this into account, according to the latest SIPRI estimate, US military spending at $877bn was about three times higher than Chinese military spending at $292bn in 2022.

Difficult economic questions

Speaking to delegates, some ministers were relatively frank about the challenges China is facing, especially in the area of economic growth.

Housing Minister Ni Hong was quoted as describing the task of fixing China’s property market as “very difficult”.

The collapse of property developer Evergrande was potentially a touchy subject at the meeting with one journalist reportedly having been questioned about her ties to the company after going through a facial recognition scanner.

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China’s target of 5 percent growth for 2024 was seen by some as “ambitious”, although Hofman sees it as relatively realistic if China is able to escape a potential “deflationary spiral”.

He says Beijing has been wary of stimulus tied to the flailing housing market but that there are other ways it could help get more money into people’s hands to help stimulate the economy, such as a recent “very minimal” increase in rural pensions of about 20 Chinese yuan ($2.78) per month.

Delegates at the NPC go through previously agreed documents “almost line by line” meaning there are few, if any, new announcements during official proceedings, said Hofman.

Wang Yi at a press conference in Beijing. He is sitting at a desk.
China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi held a rare press conference on the sidelines of the NPC [Pedro Pardo/AFP]

The Financial Times reported that officials from some of China’s indebted state provinces met state bankers on the sidelines of the Congress.

Looking outwards

Without the customary press conference, China removed one of the few avenues open to foreign media trying to understand where China sees itself in the world.

However, while Li did not address the media, Foreign Minister Wang Yi held a press conference last week on the sidelines of the NPC.

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The room was full and Wang fielded questions from reporters from publications in countries including Egypt, Russia and the US.

Wang said there had been “some improvement in China-US relations” since Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden met in San Francisco last year, after a deterioration of ties as a result of differences over issues from trade to Taiwan and an alleged Chinese spy balloon.

Asked about China’s relationship with Russia in light of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, he described Beijing and Moscow’s closer relationship as a “strategic choice”, noting that bilateral trade had reached a record $240bn in 2023.

“New opportunities” lay ahead, he added, portraying the two countries’ ties as a “new paradigm” in the relations between big powers.

“Major countries should not seek conflict and the Cold War should not be allowed to come back,” Wang said.

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Wang Yi also took questions on Israel’s war on Gaza, calling for an immediate ceasefire and telling journalists that China would support Palestine’s “full” membership of the United Nations.

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Trump allies intensify Harris attacks as Biden replacement talk builds

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Trump allies intensify Harris attacks as Biden replacement talk builds
Donald Trump’s campaign and some of his allies have launched a pre-emptive political strike on Vice President Kamala Harris, moving swiftly to try to discredit her amid talk among some of her fellow Democrats that she might replace President Joe Biden atop the party’s 2024 presidential ticket.
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Nigel Farage's return to politics causes wrinkle in British election: Why has he proven so successful?

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Nigel Farage's return to politics causes wrinkle in British election: Why has he proven so successful?

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As Britain votes for its next prime minister on Thursday, one expert believes Nigel Farage and his Reform UK Party will help shape British conservative politics in this and future elections.

“He’s going to make noise,” Matthew Tyrmand, a conservative political activist and adviser to political parties across Europe, told Fox News Digital. “He’s obviously a walking billboard on ideas. People follow him, he’s visible, so he will be able to punch well above the weight of the party’s representation in Parliament.”

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Tyrmand met Farage 10 years ago at CPAC and since then has regularly spoken with the political maverick throughout his various political endeavors, including Brexit and his latest run for political office.

The Reform UK party, founded in 2018, appointed Farage as leader shortly after British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced a snap election to take place on July 4. In the past six weeks, Reform has led to an erosion of support for the Conservative Party and will most likely expand its representation in Parliament beyond its current one member: Lee Anderson, who defected from the Conservatives earlier this year.

UK CONSERVATIVES IN ‘SERIOUS TROUBLE’ FROM NIGEL FARAGE’S UPSTART PARTY, LEFT-WING ON TRACK FOR HISTORIC WIN

Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform UK party, and local candidate Mark Butcher watch the Denmark-England UEFA Euro match at the Armfield Club on June 20, 2024, in Blackpool, England. (Christopher Furlong/Getty Images)

Despite those significant gains, Tyrmand suggested that Farage’s influence will largely remain outside of Parliament, for now. 

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“The contention that he will, you know, be the leader of the opposition, that is an aggressive talking point,” Tyrmand said. “Formally, that will certainly not be the case, but ideologically and in visibility, there will be a case to be made for it.”

“This will set him and Reform up should a Labour government stumble, which I’d be willing to bet that they will do more of the same, whether it’s unfettered immigration or not protecting the working-class people, and wages will still be stagnant,” he added. 

Reform has nearly matched the Conservatives in polling, with around 17% support compared to the Conservatives’ roughly 20%, according to The Telegraph’s polling data from Savanta.

THESE ARE THE KEY CONTENDERS IN UK’S FAST-APPROACHING NATIONAL ELECTION

Tyrmand said that in the British system, because of how votes are spread over constituencies, even if Reform ends up taking 10% to 20% of the vote, it could end up having very few seats overall.

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Brexit UKIP Reform

Nigel Farage enjoys a pint during the then-Brexit Party general election campaign tour on Nov. 24, 2019, in Seaham, England. (Ian Forsyth/Getty Images)

“That alone is going to shine a light on the system and how indirectly, unproportionately representative it is, and people [will] be pissed off about that, as they should be,” he said.

Tyrmand argued that Farage’s recent stint on the popular reality show “I’m a Celebrity … Get Me Out of Here” helped shed a lot of mysticism around his public persona: Farage finished third in a competition in which contestants subject themselves to a series of trials, according to The Guardian.

Reform UK election

Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK, addresses voters during a general election campaign event in Clacton-on-Sea, England, on July 3, 2024. (Jose Sarmento Matos/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

“People realize he’s not the boogieman that The Sun, The Mirror and The Telegraph and everyone else makes him out to be. The way he campaigns and … watched the football match in the Euro Cup, this is a guy people want to have a beer with,” Tyrmand said.

JK ROWLING SETS CONDITIONS FOR MEETING WITH LABOUR PARTY OVER PROTECTIONS FOR WOMEN’S SPACES

“That’s a big part of his appeal and support, but that was really put on steroids after this reality show in December,” Tyrmand added.

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The Sun, a newspaper in the U.K. that Pamco Research Group estimated reaches around 8.7 million people per day, endorsed Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer over Farage, but it included him in a final plea to the British public. 

Nigel Farage boxing

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, left, gets in the ring with boxer Derek Chisora during a visit to Clacton-on-Sea, England, on July 3, 2024. (Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)

Normally, only the Labour and Conservative parties would make such bids, and even with a greater presence than Reform, the Liberal-Democrats did not get a chance to make their own pitch.

Farage, in his final plea, said swapping support from the Conservatives to Labour would only “change middle management” and “Britain’s elites are happy to see Keir Starmer replace Rishi Sunak.”

“I am serious about breaking up their rotten two-party system,” Farage wrote. “After Thursday, Reform UK can be the real opposition in Parliament. We will hold Starmer to account over his plans to open Britain’s borders to even more immigration and betray Brexit by taking the knee to the EU.”

Nigel Farage

Then-Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage and other members of the European Parliament wave flags ahead of a vote on the withdrawal agreement in Brussels on Jan. 29, 2020. (Reuters/Yves Herman)

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“And this is just the start,” he added. “Over the next five years, I am serious about building a mass movement for real change. A vote for Reform UK is not a protest vote, it’s not a fantasy vote, it’s not a wasted vote. It’s a vote to change Britain for good.”

Farage has run seven times for a seat in the British Parliament and failed to win, but he found success in the European Parliament as the European MP for South East England in the United Kingdom Independence Party.

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UK general election: Voting under way in high-stakes poll

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UK general election: Voting under way in high-stakes poll

UK voters began registering ballots at polling stations at 7 am local time on Thursday morning, in the first UK general election since the country’s formal exit from the European Union. Stay up to date with the process with our live blog, bringing you the latest news until the final results tomorrow

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The 650 seats in the House of Commons are up for grabs in an election that has already been forecast – even by some governing Conservatives – as likely to result in a Labour victory.

Conservative incumbent Prime Minister Rishi Sunak looks likely to be replaced by Labour leader Keir Starmer on the basis of polling leading up to the election.

We’ll track the day as it progresses and leaders of the key party factions vote, explaining how the voting system works and bringing up to the minute news as it trickles in.

Might the Tories suffer a historic defeat? Might the Liberal Democrats be able to seize a significant tranche of seats and claim as many seats the Conservatives in the new parliament? What will the result mean in Scotland, where Labour is looking to snatch influence from a scandal-stricken Scottish National Party? In Northern Ireland, will a changing political picture affect the future of the province and its delicate position straddling UK and EU politics.

Stay with us through to the first exit poll, which will be unveiled by British broadcasters at 11pm in Europe, and beyond as key results trickle through overnight and as leaders and commentators react to the unfolding drama.

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