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Analysis | In election 2022, the party of Trump pays for being the party of Trump

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Analysis | In election 2022, the party of Trump pays for being the party of Trump


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Election Day has come and gone, and the counting continues with out a definitive reply to the query of what the steadiness of energy will appear to be within the coming two years. However a transparent message has come via from the voters: a want for stability at a time of unrest, a name for seriousness at a time it’s wanted.

Regardless of the remaining numbers present, 2022 can be remembered as an election that produced an incremental earthquake, an election of small shifts that added as much as massive surprises, an election during which the celebration that hopes to recapture the Home emerges upset and extra divided. Election 2022 was a twin referendum: on President Biden and the Democrats but additionally on former president Donald Trump and the Republicans.

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Trump has modified politics in some ways, and Republicans paid a worth for it Tuesday. His presence has created an energized citizens. Since he was elected, enormous voter turnouts have turn into the norm: a midterm report in 2018, a presidential-year report in 2020 and a close to report once more this 12 months. Midterm elections normally imply complacency amongst voters whose celebration simply received the White Home. Within the age of Trump, each election is consequential, and either side come extremely motivated.

For all of the shouting and anger that has marked politics in recent times, voters weren’t in a “throw the bums out” temper. To this point, solely a handful of Home members have misplaced their elections. The shifts have come extra in open seats than in incumbent-held seats. No sitting senators have but to be defeated — however the race in Nevada has not been known as and Georgia is headed for a runoff. Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak (D), who conceded to Republican Joe Lombardo on Friday, is an exception to this sample.

Republicans campaigned towards what they described as a radical left-wing agenda by Biden and congressional Democrats. They counted on excessive inflation, issues about dysfunction and Biden’s weak approval scores to provide them a sweeping victory and the prospect to dramatically change the course of coverage. The message from voters was hardly a mandate for a significant course change. Fears of a Trumpian celebration in cost in Washington induced many citizens to face in the best way and say go sluggish.

For years, Republicans harassed the significance of the Supreme Court docket as a strategy to mobilize their base. On Tuesday, the Supreme Court docket grew to become a legal responsibility for Republican candidates, an establishment seen by many Democratic voters as in a position to remove rights for ladies and an emblem of Republican-controlled authorities. Abortion rights supporters — ladies and younger voters particularly — turned out in droves.

In August, red-state Kansas delivered the primary warning to Republicans of the backlash towards the Dobbs resolution, with voters by overwhelming numbers saying they needed to guard abortion rights within the state structure. This month, Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly, seen because the celebration’s most weak governor, received reelection by about 17,000 votes.

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Republicans didn’t make important features partly as a result of they failed to draw the voters who typically make the largest distinction in midterm elections. Each time there was a celebration shift within the Home in latest midterm elections, impartial voters performed a decisive position in serving to the successful facet. This 12 months impartial voters break up their voters nearly evenly, 49 % for Democratic Home candidates and 47 % for Republicans, in response to exit polls from Edison Analysis.

The Republicans’ failure to transform extra of these impartial voters to their facet is a flashing yellow gentle that the voters who could make the distinction between successful and shedding aren’t calling for main change. Maybe they frightened about selecting a celebration during which a majority say they don’t assume Biden was legitimately elected.

Trump saddled the celebration with weak candidates. With higher candidates in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona, Republicans may have already got received management of the Senate. As an alternative, Democrats gained a seat in Pennsylvania and held one in Arizona. In the event that they win in Nevada, they may have the 50 seats wanted to keep up management (with Vice President Harris’s tiebreaking vote); a victory within the Georgia runoff subsequent month would give them 51 seats.

The dearth of an anti-incumbent temper introduced break up leads to some states. One instance is Wisconsin, which has weathered a few of the sharpest partisan warfare within the nation for the previous decade. On Tuesday, voters reelected Democratic Gov. Tony Evers, one of many least charismatic politicians within the nation, and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, some of the controversial. In New Hampshire, voters reelected Republican Gov. Chris Sununu by 15 factors and Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan by nearly 10.

Nationwide political reporter Isaac Arnsdorf explains what the midterm election outcomes imply for Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis and 2024. (Video: Casey Silvestri/The Washington Submit)

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Everybody has remarked on the large reelection victory by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R): a 19-point margin over former governor Charlie Crist. That eye-popping quantity put him within the highlight because the strongest potential challenger to Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination — if each find yourself operating. However Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), who misplaced to Trump within the 2016 nomination battle, was additionally reelected by greater than 16 factors. The Florida Republican who had a nasty night time was Trump.

DeSantis wasn’t the one incumbent governor who ran up the rating. Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine (R) received by nearly 26 factors and doubtless helped to tug J.D. Vance, the celebration’s nominee for Senate, throughout the end line in his race towards Tim Ryan. In Michigan, Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, as soon as seen by some Republicans as weak, demolished her challenger by 11 factors. Now she is a nationwide determine. In Colorado, Democratic Gov. Jared Polis received reelection by 17 factors.

Democrats additionally did effectively in state legislative races the place it mattered most, holding all their legislative majorities whereas successful management of Republican chambers in a variety of states. This too ran counter to midterm patterns. Democrats misplaced a whole bunch of legislative seats in the course of the midterm elections of 2010 and 2014. This 12 months, in Michigan, which carried out its legislative elections underneath fairer maps than the maps produced after the 2010 redistricting, Democrats captured each chambers. The identical occurred in Minnesota. In each states, Democrats now have full management of the federal government.

In 2020, as voters have been sending Biden to the White Home and Trump to exile in Florida, Republicans made features within the U.S. Home of Representatives — an uncommon sample in a presidential election 12 months. That left Democrats underneath the management of Home Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) with a slender majority. If Republicans find yourself answerable for the Home, they may have a margin as slim because the Democrats have had the previous two years. Good luck to present Minority Chief Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) — if he manages to win the speakership — in controlling his convention as skillfully as Pelosi has managed hers.

The Home outcomes stay the largest shock of the election, they usually have induced a lot anguish contained in the Republican Social gathering. Even after Trump misplaced the White Home in 2020, most GOP leaders concluded that they couldn’t win elections with out his voters. That gave Trump energy to meddle in elections, whereas drawing consideration to himself as he falsely claimed the 2020 election was stolen. The Democrats branded Republicans because the MAGA (Make America Nice Once more) celebration. Republicans went together with Trump for the sheer sake of successful energy. Now they might conclude they can’t win decisively so long as he’s a dominant affect. The calls to maneuver on are rising louder.

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In as we speak’s divided nation, all presidents are polarizing, however Biden will not be all that horrifying to voters. He actually doesn’t engender the reactions that Trump did. At a time when practically 3 in 4 voters stated they have been offended or dissatisfied with the best way issues are going, Biden’s celebration managed to disclaim Republicans overwhelming features within the Home and stand able to retain its Senate majority.

One quantity in exit polls that has drawn appreciable consideration is that the ten % of voters who stated they “considerably disapprove” of Biden’s job efficiency nonetheless narrowly backed Democratic Home candidates. In 2018, the cohort of voters who stated they considerably disapproved of Trump backed Democratic candidates by 29 factors, a a lot stronger rebuke of the president’s celebration.

The ultimate chapters from the 2022 election are but to be written. A Republican-controlled Home, if that’s the manner it finally ends up, will imply considerably completely different priorities, investigations of the Biden administration and a modified governing local weather within the capital. Legislatively, there might be gridlock together with some bipartisan agreements. Nonetheless, the massive story of this election is the injury Trump has carried out and the value Republicans have paid for not standing as much as him sooner.



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Legislative Staff in Washington State Approve Contract in First Collective Bargaining

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Legislative Staff in Washington State Approve Contract in First Collective Bargaining


It took Democratic staff in Washington’s Legislature a little longer but they have joined their Republican colleagues in approving two-year contracts, concluding the first-ever round of collective bargaining for legislative employees.

Legislative assistants, policy analysts and communications staff in the House Democratic Caucus and legislative assistants in the Senate Democratic Caucus unanimously ratified agreements in separate votes in late December. The decisions came nearly three months after workers overwhelmingly rejected proposed contracts with their employers, which are the chief clerk of the House and secretary of the Senate.

“We’re pretty excited. It’s not everything we wanted. But it’s a reasonable first contract,” Josie Ellison, a communications specialist and member of the House Democratic Caucus bargaining team, said Thursday night. “For now, everybody seems pretty enthusiastic about it.”


The Washington Public Employees Association represented both Democratic staff bargaining units.

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“This historic agreement marks a new chapter for our members, providing the protections and support they deserve,” Amanda Hacker, association president said in a statement.

Legislative assistants in the House and Senate Republican caucuses approved their respective two-year agreements in September.

Each contract contains pay hikes of 3 percent on July 1, 2025 and 2 percent a year later, the same amount offered to other state employee unions. State lawmakers and the next governor, Bob Ferguson, will now decide whether to fund them in the next two-year budget.

Under the collective bargaining law, state employee unions — including legislative staff units — needed to submit a ratified contract by Oct. 1 to be considered for funding. Because Democratic staff did not meet the deadline, they will need to make a separate case to Ferguson and lawmakers to fund their deals.

Jeremy Knapp, an executive legislative assistant with the Senate Democratic Caucus and member of the bargaining team, said Thursday that administration of the Senate and House are supportive.

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“It’s in the Legislature’s hands now,” he said.

A 2022 law cleared the way for partisan legislative staff to unionize and negotiate terms and conditions for the workplace.

Employees of the Democratic and Republican caucuses in each chamber had to be in separate units unless a majority of each caucus voted to be in the same unit. All four units negotiated collectively on economic issues, like wages and benefits, and separately on workplace-related issues.

“The collective bargaining agreements represent several months of hard work by the negotiating teams and we are pleased that we have been able to reach an agreement with both the Legislative Professionals Association and the [Washington Public Employees Association],” Chief Clerk of the House Bernard Dean wrote in an email.

The contracts with Democratic staff call for a third-party arbiter in the grievance process. That means if a dispute arises on a contract provision, the two sides will have access to arbitration through the American Arbitration Association, to resolve it. This had been a sticking point as employers resisted involvement of an outside party, employees said.

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“It gave us what we think is a very fair grievance process,” Knapp said.

Secretary of the Senate Sarah Bannister called the agreement “a significant milestone” that “brings a sense of relief and allows us to focus fully on the work ahead.”

She said the decision to add a panel with an arbitrator “was made collaboratively, reflecting a commitment from everyone to ensure fairness, transparency, and efficiency in resolving disputes.”

The contracts also outline new ways to resolve conflicts between elected officials and legislative staff. And there are provisions to create a “transition” pool for union members facing the loss of a job because the lawmaker they work for retires, loses re-election or leaves office for another reason.

Knapp said the Senate contract lays out how a person facing the loss of work could get a job as a session aide to avoid unemployment. There’s also language ensuring the employer provides workers, who are at-will employees, with two weeks notice before being let go or two weeks pay if fired.

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This story was first published in the Washington State Standard. Read the original here.





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Washington Street closure extended in Quincy

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Washington Street closure extended in Quincy


QUINCY (WGEM) – The road closure for Washington Street between 7th and 8th streets has been extended for fire hydrant repair.

Officials stated that the closure has been extended to Jan. 15.

Officials also warn motorists to use alternative routes and drive with caution.

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A brief history of presidential inaugural speeches, from George Washington to today

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A brief history of presidential inaugural speeches, from George Washington to today


The only constitutionally mandated event on Inauguration Day is for the president-elect to take the oath of office. But on the first Inauguration Day, in 1789, George Washington did something else.

He gave a speech.

Every president since has followed his example and delivered an inaugural address as part of the national celebration.

This button from George Washington’s first inauguration visually unified the states of the Union.
National Museum of American History

These addresses are more than just a series of individual speeches. Rhetoric scholars Karlyn Kohrs Campbell and Kathleen Hall Jamieson argue that each inaugural address is not simply marking one stage in the ritual of political transition. Each is also part of a genre that has characteristics which, at some level, are expected and understood by speakers and audiences. There have been 59 inaugural addresses, starting with Washington, and while they may have differed in style and even specific subjects, virtually all feature these characteristics, which range from calls to unify the country to setting forth political principles.

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The political history collections at the National Museum of American History, where I am a curator specializing in the history of presidential campaigns and campaign rhetoric, include several objects that illustrate these characteristics.

Exploring the genre of inaugural addresses through quotations and objects from the past can help listeners better understand the opening speech of a new administration, the first act in a job that began with the taking of the oath.

'We are all Republicans....all Federalists' reads a quote on an ivory pitcher with Thomas Jefferson's image on it.
This commemorative pitcher features a quote: ‘We are all Republicans….all Federalists,’ from Thomas Jefferson’s first inaugural address.
National Museum of American History

(Re)Unification of the audience

Inaugurations serve as the transition point between the competition of a campaign and the needs of an administration beginning to govern. For the audience to properly fulfill their role as witnesses to this investiture of power, they must be unified and reconstituted as “we the people.”

In the words of political scientist Lee Sigelman, these speeches are “literally brimming with verbal tokens of unity.”

There are references to our founders, our nation and the future we face. In 1957, Dwight Eisenhower spoke of the purposes “to which we, as a people, are pledged,” and Benjamin Harrison called his 1889 inaugural moment a “mutual covenant” between himself and the people. George W. Bush in 2001 united his listeners, saying, “Americans are generous and strong and decent, not because we believe in ourselves but because we hold beliefs beyond ourselves.”

Thomas Jefferson’s first inaugural in 1801 may have been the most explicit: “We have called by different names brethren of the same principle. We are all Republicans, we are all Federalists.”

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Reaffirmation of national values

New presidents must also establish their qualifications for the office by demonstrating they understand and will preserve the shared values that are key to what Bill Clinton in 1993 called “the very idea of America.”

A button with images of Abraham Lincoln and Barack Obama on it, with 'A Birth of New Freedom' printed above those images.
A button commemorating the 2009 inauguration of Barack Obama.
National Museum of American History

These traditional values are expressed in words such as freedom, liberty, democracy and courage. In 1981, Ronald Reagan reminded the audience, “Freedom and the dignity of the individual have been more available and assured here than in any other place on Earth. Jimmy Carter in 1977 summarized these values into “our belief in an undiminished, ever-expanding American dream.”

Setting forth political principles

A large ivory piece of silk with black printing on it.
A silk copy of William Henry Harrison’s 1841 inaugural address, the longest in history at more than 8,400 words.
National Museum of American History

Unlike many other presidential addresses, most notably the State of the Union, the inaugural does not advocate specific legislation but rather articulates more general philosophies that will guide a new administration. When policies are offered, they are less a call for action than a demonstration of a president’s commitment to the democratic system.

In 1845, James Polk promoted his “plain and frugal” economic plans because he said a national debt “is incompatible with the ends for which our republican Government was instituted.” Herbert Hoover said that the policies he listed in his 1929 address would be tested against the “ideals and aspirations of America.”

Even William Howard Taft, whose 1909 inaugural was among the most policy specific, framed his ideas with respect to the “proper” role of the federal government “in what it can and ought to accomplish for its people.”

Enacting the presidential role

A miniature ladder with a ribbon that features the likenesses of President William McKinley and his new vice president, Theodore Roosevelt.
This novelty item celebrating William McKinley’s second inauguration in 1901 highlighted the political principles he had promoted in his first inaugural address and term.
National Museum of American History

Candidates give speeches that are, for obvious reasons, partisan and self-promoting. But when the campaign ends and governing begins, presidents must demonstrate an understanding of their role within the broader system.

In his first inaugural in 1933, Franklin Roosevelt moved out of campaign mode and acknowledged the constraints on his “leadership of frankness and vigor.” He pledged to rely on his “constitutional duty” to work with Congress.

Rhetoric scholars Campbell and Jamieson add that these speeches must also enact the “public, symbolic role of president of all the people” by revealing traits such as humility and reliance on a higher power. A typical example is found in the conclusion of Warren Harding’s 1921 address: “I accept my part with single-mindedness of purpose and humility of spirit, and implore the favor and guidance of God in His Heaven. With these I am unafraid, and confidently face the future.”

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A booklet with images of an eagle, a three-masted schooner and two men, with 'OFFICIAL INAUGURAL PROGRAM' printed on the tope.
The official program for Franklin Roosevelt’s 1933 inauguration.
National Museum of American History

Fulfilling ceremonial expectations

Because of the celebration that surrounds them, inaugural addresses are expected to reflect stylized, ceremonial speaking. Such speeches strive to reach beyond the immediate situation to evoke timeless themes using memorable phrases.

In 1961, John Kennedy challenged Americans across the decades to “Ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” The phrases “mystic chords of memory” and “better angels of our nature,” among the most memorable words in presidential rhetoric, have been applied to countless situations since Abraham Lincoln first uttered them in 1861.

Not all inaugural addresses achieve greatness. Some have been quite forgettable. But each of them has tried to fulfill these expectations, helping to sustain what Franklin Roosevelt in his second inaugural called “our covenant with ourselves.”



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