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Where Seattle Seahawks’ No. 1 seed odds stand after Week 16

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Where Seattle Seahawks’ No. 1 seed odds stand after Week 16


The NFC West is a crowded mess, with three of the NFL’s best teams vying for both the division crown and the NFC’s No. 1 seed.

And it just got messier.

The 49ers’ win over the Colts on Monday night improves their record to 11-4, tying them with the Rams and putting both teams one game behind the 12-3 Seahawks.

Are Seahawks now the NFC favorite? Sheil Kapadia’s take

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What does it mean for Seattle? I’ll be using The Athletic’s 2025 Playoff Simulator to navigate through the next two weeks…

First, the basics. What’s next for these three teams?

The 49ers have two at home. They host the 11-4 Chicago Bears (the league’s leader in takeaways and coming off back-to-back wins) for Sunday Night Football and then host the Seahawks. The date and time on that one is TBD, usually settled late Week 17, but it’s a favorite to be another primetime matchup.

The current NFL playoff picture

The Seahawks have two on the road. They head to Carolina to take on a hungry 8-7 Panthers team, also coming off a win, that can clinch the NFC South for the first time in a decade with a victory and a Bucs’ loss to the Dolphins. Then the Seahawks head to Santa Clara to face the 49ers.

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The Rams have the easiest slate, facing two teams already eliminated from the postseason. They head to play the 6-9 Falcons and then host the 3-12 Cardinals in the regular-season finale.

What are the Seahawks’ current odds of clinching the No. 1 seed?

The Seahawks entered Monday with 53% odds to clinch the No. 1 seed. There’s not a big hit from the 49ers’ win: Seattle’s odds dip to 48%, but are still the highest of the three (49ers at 27% and the Rams at 11% before games are played this upcoming Sunday).

The only thing eliminated by virtue of the 49ers’ win was the Seahawks’ ability to clinch the top seed this Sunday.

If all three NFC West teams win in Week 17, the Seahawks’ odds are right where they were: 53%. That’s how monumental Week 18’s game against the 49ers is.

Best-case scenario in Week 17: Easy. The Seahawks are the only team of the three to win this Sunday. Their odds would jump to 74%. They get the No. 1 seed one of two ways after that: beat the 49ers, or lose to the 49ers + a Lions win over the Bears.

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Worst-case scenario in Week 17: The Seahawks lose, while the Rams and 49ers win. Seattle’s odds would drop to 7%. But they’re not done; in this scenario, they could still get the top seed with a win over the 49ers + a Cardinals win over the Rams.

How would the Rams clinch? The Rams’ loss to the Seahawks last Thursday night took L.A. out of the driver’s seat. The Rams’ simplest path is to: win out + the Seahawks and 49ers lose one game each + the Lions beat the Bears. The Rams need the Seahawks to lose to make up for the one-game lead, and need the Bears to lose to win a tiebreaker (conference record).

What else should we know?

Oh, that’s right, the Bears.

There’s another team here still fighting for the top seed. Chicago’s Saturday night comeback win over the Packers wasn’t just a thriller; it also added some new playoff implications.

The Bears are currently the No. 2 seed. But they have a better conference record than both the Rams and the Seahawks, so keeping a game ahead is massive.

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Again, all Seattle has to do is win out. It doesn’t matter what any other team does if that happens. But things become tricky if Seattle drops a game.

In that case, if the Seahawks lose to the Panthers, root for the Lions and Cardinals. And always root against your NFC West foes.

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Cal, Randy team up in Seattle Mariners’ 6-run inning – Seattle Sports

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Cal, Randy team up in Seattle Mariners’ 6-run inning – Seattle Sports


Cal Raleigh and Randy Arozarena are officially Seattle Mariners teammates again, and if you need proof, just look at the box score.

Seattle Mariners name Logan Gilbert opening day starter

The two players who were at the center of a controversy last week during the World Baseball Classic both drove in runs as the Mariners put up a six-spot on the Athletics on Thursday night in Cactus League play.

Arozarena came off the bench with runners on second and third with one out in the top of the seventh inning, and he reached on an infield single that gave Seattle its first run of the game, cutting the A’s lead to 3-1.

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And Arozarena, who hit his first homer of the spring on Wednesday, wasn’t done. He then stole second, which allowed him to score the second of two runs on a Ryan Bliss single that tied the game.

AL West Preview: Mariners projected to repeat as division champs

A few batters later, after a Brock Rodden single and Luke Raley hit by pitch loaded the bases, it was Big Dumper’s turn, and he delivered with a bases-clearing double off the tall wall in center field at the Athletics’ spring home, Hohokam Stadium in Mesa.

That capped the inning and the scoring for Seattle in a 6-4 victory.

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Perhaps it’s a sign that the handshake that never happened when Arozarena stepped to the plate for Mexico with Raleigh catching for the USA is behind the two Mariners All-Stars. As they say, winning cures everything.

More on the Seattle Mariners

• All Mariners back from World Baseball Classic
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• Former Mariners UT Dylan Moore triggers opt-out clause
• Salk: Difficult to see Emerson making Mariners’ opening day roster
• Seattle Mariners’ Luke Raley showing he’s worth keeping an eye on






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Cesar Chavez name to be removed from Seattle garden after abuse accusations

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Cesar Chavez name to be removed from Seattle garden after abuse accusations


César Chávez’s name will be removed from a Seattle institution after newly public sexual abuse allegations.

At El Centro de la Raza in Seattle, Executive Director Estella Ortega said a garden named for Chávez would be renamed and that other tributes at the building would also change.

“The farm worker movement is bigger than just one person,” Ortega said. “We’ve got a garden named after him, those things will change.”

A photo of the garden on March. 19, 2026. (KOMO){ }

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The renewed debate in Seattle follows a New York Times report published this week that detailed allegations Chávez sexually abused women and girls, including fellow labor leader Dolores Huerta. The revelations have prompted officials and institutions around the country to reconsider Chávez commemorations, with California leaders backing a proposal to rename César Chávez Day as Farmworkers Day and other communities moving to review streets, schools and monuments that bear his name.

In Washington, Gov. Bob Ferguson already said he will not issue a proclamation for César Chávez Day this year and instead plans to celebrate Dolores Huerta Day on April 10.

Asked Thursday whether he would press local agencies to remove Chávez’s name from places such as the garden outside El Centro, Ferguson said the state had already decided to stop honoring Chávez in the ways he directly controls, while broader changes would require more discussion.

“My view is the movement’s bigger than any one individual,” Ferguson said. “The farm worker movement did so much for farm workers, for labor rights, for human dignity. It’s bigger than any one person.”

Ferguson said he had met with Ortega and lawmakers before speaking publicly and described the allegations as so serious that many people were still “reeling” and trying to decide what would be appropriate next.

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Seattle’s César Chávez Park, in the South Park neighborhood, is managed by Seattle Parks and Recreation. Seattle Mayor Katie Wilson, when asked about the park, did not indicate a change would be immediate.

State Sen. Rebecca Saldaña said Latino leaders in Washington were urging that this year’s March 31 observance move away from celebration and instead focus on community service, survivors and the broader farmworker cause.

“At this moment, I think the Latino Democratic caucus will be saying, we need to pause,” Saldaña said. “This March 31 this year should be about community service. It should be about making sure that the farm worker movement and the farm worker cause is what’s centered.”

Saldaña stopped short of immediately endorsing a permanent name change for the holiday, saying it was still too soon and that leaders should follow survivors’ lead. But she said she expected more conversations about accountability, healing, and how public spaces should be named going forward.

Across the country, those conversations are already underway. The Associated Press reported Thursday that communities and institutions nationwide are distancing themselves from Chávez, identifying more than 130 sites that bear his name, including parks, schools, and other public landmarks.

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For Ortega, the question in Seattle was more immediate.

“We cannot just let the lie continue to live in our way,” she said.



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Salk: Tough to see Colt Emerson make Seattle Mariners roster

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Salk: Tough to see Colt Emerson make Seattle Mariners roster


As we’re just about a week now from Seattle Mariners opening day, one of the big storylines we were following and tracking throughout all of spring training was the development and the potential for Colt Emerson to be on the opening day roster.

Seattle Mariners Updates: Latest on J.P. Crawford’s shoulder; Julio, Naylor back

As we sit here today, we still don’t know. He is the only young player who hasn’t been returned to minor league camp, so there’s still a possibility that he could end up on the major league team. And obviously that would grow if J.P. Crawford were truly hurt. It doesn’t look like that’s the case. J.P. is either gonna be ready on opening day or soon afterwards, so my guess is they would go with the Leo Rivas for a short time if they needed to before J.P. was ready to return.

If he’s not going to be your everyday shortstop, it’s really difficult for me to see how you are going to squeeze Colt Emerson onto the roster. If he had been unbelievable, if he had the same spring training that Julio Rodríguez did in 2022 where you just say you can’t keep this guy off the roster, he’s just clearly a major league player, then I guess you would find a way. You would move some people around and you might take some of at-bats away even from Cole Young and just say this kid’s too good.

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Heating Up: Colt Emerson hits second HR of spring

But there are some major differences from when that happened with Julio. One of them, this team is expected to contend in a way that Julio team was not necessarily at the beginning of the year. And secondly, they just don’t have as much open space on the everyday roster.

If you wanted to throw Julio in center field that year, you could. It’s not like he was taking the job from somebody who was so good that you couldn’t move him out of there. Brendan Donovan should be playing every day. Cole Young, you want to see if he can play every single day. They have guys in their infield that they want to play every day, and I know J.P. can cause some polarization among fans, but the guy was a 3.8 bWAR player last year. He’s a pretty good player and is exactly what you want on a contending team as opposed to a young kid who has only played 40 games above the Single-A level.

I like Colt Emerson. He’s gonna play this year. I can’t wait to see him at the big league level. I don’t think it’s going to be on opening day.

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This post is a transcript of the video at the top of the post. It is edited for clarity. Catch Mike Salk weekdays from 6-10 a.m. on Seattle Sports’ Brock and Salk.

More on the Seattle Mariners

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• How Mariners pitcher Bryce Miller’s latest bullpen went
• A former Mariners blogfather now helps shape their roster






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