Seattle, WA
Pumas UNAM vs. Seattle Sounders best bets, odds, lines, picks, and expert predictions for Champions League final
MLS will get one more crack at successful the CONCACAF Champions League for the primary time in league historical past because the Seattle Sounders bear the flag for the primary leg of the ultimate in Mexico Metropolis towards Pumas UNAM.
Liga MX has owned the competitors from its relaunch in 2008, successful each single version of the competitors. MLS golf equipment have reached the ultimate 5 occasions since then, and all 5 groups have fallen quick.
This yr could also be MLS’s greatest likelihood to win although, with a powerful however inconsistent Sounders crew taking over a equally sputtering Pumas. Seattle sits eleventh within the Western Convention, however the spotty early outcomes usually are not precisely a mirrored image of the crew’s high quality. Pumas, alternatively, sits twelfth within the Liga MX desk and has been an over-performer within the continental competitors, upsetting sixth-placed Cruz Azul within the semifinals.
Each groups come into this match on the heels of two straight league defeats, with Pumas falling Chivas Guadalajara and San Luis back-to-back, whereas Seattle dropped matches towards Inter Miami and San Jose Earthquakes.
MORE: Full bracket, outcomes, & highlights from 2022 CONCACAF Champions League
Pumas vs. Seattle Sounders betting odds
Odds by way of DraftKings (USA) and Sports activities Interplay (Canada)
Curiously, the Liga MX facet is a heavy favourite at dwelling, regardless of Seattle’s unbeaten report within the CONCACAF Champions League. Seattle is even a slight underdog with the unfold, because the oddsmakers do not belief an MLS facet within the CONCACAF Champions League ultimate.
The two.5 over/underneath is a stable illustration of the match, based on bookmakers, with the chances about even in both course, though the bookmakers appear to disagree on which facet of the whole will get the juice.
| DraftKings | Sports activities Interplay |
|
|---|---|---|
| Pumas Win | -130 | -137 |
| Draw | +255 | +230 |
| Seattle Win | +370 | +320 |
| Each groups to attain Y / N |
-125 / -105 | -123 / -127 |
| Over / Below 2.5 targets |
-125 / +105 | -106 / -130 |
| Pumas -0.5 | -130 | -132 |
| Seattle +0.5 | +110 | -101 |
MORE: Liga MX vs. MLS in CONCACAF Champions League historical past
Pumas vs. Seattle Sounders prediction
With the Seattle Sounders this yr, it has been unattainable to determine whether or not their video games will prove as defensive struggles or wild shootouts. One factor is for sure, nonetheless — they’re going to virtually definitely be shut.
Each single certainly one of Seattle’s first seven matches of the MLS season have been determined by one aim, plus one draw. Add in 1-1 street attracts with Membership Leon and NYCFC in CONCACAF Champions League play, and this crew is in each recreation.
The Sounders have already secured a end in Mexico on this competitors, touring to Membership Leon and enjoying to a 1-1 draw within the second leg of their quarterfinal matchup. The MLS facet is examined on the street in robust environments, and has an opportunity to safe a optimistic consequence forward of a return dwelling.
Moneyline lean: Draw
In opposition to the Unfold lean: Seattle Sounders +0.5 (on DraftKings)
Scoreline prediction: UNAM Pumas 1-1 Seattle Sounders
Pumas vs. Seattle Sounders greatest bets & professional evaluation
Pumas vs. Seattle Sounders greatest wager
It is comprehensible to not belief an MLS crew touring to Mexico in a contest that no MLS crew has ever received, however this time feels completely different.
Pumas is not any joke of a crew, however the Liga MX facet has produced upset after upset to succeed in this stage, and in some unspecified time in the future the magic will run out. The facet ought to have been eradicated within the quarterfinals if not for Bruce Area’s tactical catastrophe that noticed New England cough up an enormous lead. That’s to say, they seem to be a susceptible squad.
Seattle is not precisely a juggernaut, and the outcomes have been spotty at greatest early on in league play, however it’s an skilled, veteran squad with good tempo and technical means. Jordan Morris is again to his best possible, and Nicolas Lodeiro and Raul Ruidiaz are top-level attacking expertise even with each over the age of 30.
The Sounders’ inconsistency makes the over/underneath a stay-away choose, however a street battle with a defensive-minded Pumas is certain to complete a detailed match. A draw is nice worth within the 5/2 vary, however hedging in direction of a prolific Seattle crew that performs nicely on the street is an efficient play.
Choose: Draw or Seattle Sounders (+105 on DraftKings)
Pumas vs. Seattle Sounders kicker: Whole nook kicks
A defensive dwelling facet lacking its high striker towards a visiting MLS crew certain to play it protected on the street goes to make for a cagey match.
Whereas the groups — particularly Seattle — might discover the again of the web with a profitable counterattack or two, these aren’t groups that prefer to play within the half-court, and there will not be the standard quantity of great attacking possession to go round.
With that, nook kicks must be down as nicely. Pumas averages 5.3 corners per match in CONCACAF Champions League play, however in Liga MX play that drops to 4.8, and even within the continental semifinals towards Cruz Azul, Pumas solely mustered three corners in every leg. Seattle, in the meantime, averages simply 3.3 corners per match in continental play this season. And on the street in Mexico, the Sounders will choose their spots within the assault.
Prop kicker: Below 9.5 complete corners (-105)