Just hours after staving off what was to be President Donald Trump’s latest immigration enforcement surge in a major blue city, San Francisco Mayor Daniel Lurie took to the national stage and announced that he would, in fact, “welcome” some federal assistance — but of a different kind.
San Francisco, CA
Super Bowl 58 early odds and predictions: Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers
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The Super Bowl is in its red era.
The big game will be played between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers in a rematch of Super Bowl 54.
Patrick Mahomes is seeking his third title in five years to continue a dynasty that started by beating the 49ers in the 2020 championship. This campaign, he made history with tight end Travis Kelce. They passed Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski for most touchdowns by a duo in the postseason.
Christian McCaffrey is appearing in his first Super Bowl after a historic season where he broke the record for most games with a touchdown. Brock Purdy, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk round out the 49ers offense to keep opponents on their toes.
Both defenses have been stalwart throughout the season. The Chiefs will be without defensive lineman Charles Omenihu after the former 49er reportedly tore his ACL in the AFC championship game. Nick Bosa had two sacks in San Francisco’s comeback win in the NFC championship.
The battle begins at 6:30 p.m. on Feb. 11 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.
Here are the early odds for Super Bowl 58:
Chiefs vs. 49ers odds, moneyline, over/under
The 49ers are favorites to defeat the Chiefs, according to BetMGM NFL odds. Looking to wager? Check out the best mobile sports betting apps offering NFL betting promos in 2023, including the new ESPN BET app and the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
- Spread: 49ers (-2)
- Moneyline: 49ers (-130); Chiefs (+110)
- Over/under: 47.5
Not interested in this game? Our guide to NFL betting odds, picks and spreads has you covered with the full slate of playoff action. You can also look ahead to the big game with the best Super Bowl betting promos.
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Super Bowl 58 early odds, predictions and picks
Here are our NFL expert picks based on the early odds for Super Bowl 58:
Tyler Dragon: Chiefs 23, 49ers 20
The 49ers were a top-two team all season long. The combination of Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle, Trent Williams and Brock Purdy is tough to beat when they are all on the field healthy. Plus, the 49ers defense is led by all-world linebacker Fred Warner. But the Chiefs have shown us they flip the switch come postseason time. Kansas City’s defense has only allowed more than 20 points once in three postseason games. The Chiefs defense enters the Super Bowl with a playoff-high four takeaways. But above all else, the Chiefs have the best player in the NFL in Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes has picked teams apart with his arm and occasionally hurt defenses with his legs; furthermore, he’s played turnover-free football. All the hype and attention around the Super Bowl won’t faze the Chiefs. The Chiefs have earned Super Bowl berths four times in five seasons. Mahomes is seeking his third Lombardi Trophy. If Mahomes leads the Chiefs to victory, a legitimate case can be made that he’s the greatest quarterback of all time.
Safid Deen: Chiefs 30, 49ers 26
Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid and the Chiefs entered the postseason with the worst offense they’ve had during their time together in Kansas City. Yet, here they are, in the Super Bowl once again. Sure, Christian McCaffrey and Brock Purdy make the 49ers much more formidable than their last Super Bowl matchup in Miami, but the Chiefs will have enough offense while Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will have his fingerprints all over this one. Mahomes wins his third ring and takes another step in his chase of Tom Brady’s seven Super Bowls.
Victoria Hernandez: Chiefs 28, 49ers 24
The 49ers showed they can perform through adversity by coming back to win the NFC championship. But Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce have never been the underdog until this season and are playing with a new sense of hunger. The quarterback quieted criticism that he hadn’t proven himself on the road in the playoffs. And the tight end has broken records while stepping up for the Chiefs’ struggling receiving corps. The 49ers technically have the more well-rounded offense and Nick Bosa, Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw have done a great job bolstering the defense. But Kansas City’s defense has been a strong suit of theirs this year too. Ultimately, the championship experience and desire to quiet the naysayers will lead to another brick being laid in the Chiefs’ dynasty.
Jordan Mendoza: Chiefs 20, 49ers 17
San Francisco has been one of the most impressive teams all season, and on paper, they should be able to win this game for its first Super Bowl win in nearly 30 years. But the Kansas City defense has certainly been a ruthless force in this Super Bowl run. The Chiefs offense isn’t pretty, but if Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are in sync, they’ll be able to put some points on the board. The Chiefs’ defense can limit Brock Purdy and company and become the first back-to-back champions since the Patriots in 2003-04.
You can view the full list of USA TODAY’s NFL expert predictions here.
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San Francisco, CA
San Francisco Launches Tenderloin Pilot to Prevent Youth Violence, Expand Safe Spaces | KQED
Tenderloin Community Benefit District Executive Director Kate Robinson said children are exposed daily to an “open 24/7 drug market on the streets.”
“We have failed to protect all of the children in this neighborhood from seeing the opportunity there, because we haven’t provided them with other opportunities in its place,” Robinson said.
Since August 2023, at least 57 teens have been arrested in San Francisco for drug dealing — many from the Tenderloin — Mahmood said at the press conference. He added that two men were charged earlier this year with using a minor to distribute narcotics in the neighborhood.
“That tells us young people are being targeted, young people being recruited into the drug trade,” he said.
Private donations totaling $200,000 will fund the pilot for up to a year, according to Mahmood, who hopes it becomes a “permanent component of the city budget.”
In a neighborhood without places like an ice cream shop, the pilot program also aims to create more spaces for young people to hang out safely.
“We have to fundamentally change the environment,” Mahmood said. “But we also have to fundamentally provide the opportunities for these kids to see that there is a path to better lives.”
The Tenderloin Community Benefit District and United Playaz, which Mahmood described as “natural” partners in the pilot, will support the initiative by conducting youth outreach and helping with the violence prevention programming.
United Playaz’s Executive Director, Rudy Corpuz, said there are Tenderloin residents who have worked toward this effort for years, calling them “our frontline soldiers that’s willing to put their life on the line for the kids and the people here.”
They are the most equipped to help their neighborhood, Corpuz said.
“The Tenderloin people — who’s been going through all this, walking through this madness — they are the fix to the violence that’s going on here,” he added.
San Francisco, CA
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San Francisco, CA
S.F. federal drug cases plummeted under Trump administration, data shows

Narcotics police officers arrest a drug dealer on Eddy Street during a drug bust in San Francisco on Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023. Federal prosecutions of suspected drug dealers in San Francisco dropped under the Trump administration, data shows, an puzzling juxtaposition with the administration’s tough talk about crime in the city.
The planned militarized raids would harm the city and stifle its recovery, Lurie said in an Oct. 23 press conference, relaying what he told Trump the previous evening. But Lurie also explicitly encouraged the continuation of city partnerships with agencies including FBI, DEA, ATF and U.S. Attorney’s Office, he said, “to get drugs and drug dealers off the streets.”
Trump, who described San Francisco as a “mess” days earlier, said in a Truth Social post that Lurie had helped convince him to call off the troops, but believed the mayor was making a mistake.
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“I told him … we can do it much faster, and remove the criminals that the law does not permit him to remove,” the post said.
A Chronicle analysis of federal prosecution data, however, shows that since Trump took office, federal officials have significantly dialed back an initiative that targeted some of San Francisco’s most high-priority criminal offenders and fast-tracked the deportations of those convicted.
Federal drug cases filed in San Francisco dropped by an average of more than 50% per month in 2025 compared to recent years; the result of a slowdown of the federal-local partnership Lurie described in his remarks without mentioning by name.
That initiative was an operation forged under the Biden administration dubbed “All Hands on Deck.” The program directed the power of U.S. government against low-level dealers in San Francisco, where penalties for drug crimes are much stiffer in federal court compared to state court.
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All Hands on Deck was among a wave of 2023 crackdowns that took aim at drug hotbeds in the Tenderloin and SoMa neighborhoods, where users and dealers often congregated by the dozens.
Crucial to the initiative was lowering the bar for the types of drug crimes that would be handled by San Francisco’s federal prosecutors, who had traditionally pursued cases against major players within the drug supply chain.
Federal prosecutors in San Francisco filed an average of seven drug-dealing cases a month so far in 2025; plummeting from the average 15 monthly cases filed between August 2023 — when All Hands on Deck was launched — and December 2024.
The San Francisco figures are a stark example of a broader trend. A recent Reuters investigation found that the rate of federal drug charges filed this year was lower than it had been in decades; a downturn that comes after the Trump administration diverted thousands of federal agents who investigate crimes to instead focus on civil immigration roundups.
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In San Francisco, this included agents with the DEA, FBI, ATF who had been working with local police on drug busts, according to federal law-enforcement sources familiar with the operations.
The Chronicle reached out to the local branches of FBI, ATF and DEA for comment on this story. Spokespeople for the FBI and DEA did not respond to questions about their agents’ reported shift to immigration enforcement, both citing the government shutdown. An automatic response from ATF stated that the agency’s spokesperson had been furloughed, also due to the shutdown.
With their attention directed at immigration enforcement, federal agents have privately feared that hard-won gains in cleaning up San Francisco streets will begin to backslide.
“There were huge discussions going, ‘hey, we need to focus on the threat, and not going out there chasing people for immigration enforcement operations,” said one federal law-enforcement official.
The Chronicle spoke to multiple current and federal officials on the condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly,in accordance with the Chronicle’s policies.
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Michelle Lo, a spokesperson for the U.S. District Attorney’s Office of Northern California, said the office wasn’t able to comment on the charging data reviewed by the Chronicle due to staffing shortages related to the federal government shutdown.
Lo said the office remained committed to the All Hands on Deck operation, which was introduced by San Francisco’s former top federal prosecutor, Ismail Ramsey. Trump fired Ramsey in February, and in May appointed Craig Missakian as his successor.
“Our work through this initiative has driven visible, positive changes,” Lo said in an emailed statement. “The partnership between federal and local law enforcement remains strong and a priority for this Office.”
When asked for comment from Lurie, a spokesperson for the mayor’s office directed the Chronicle to the mayor’s Oct. 23 remarks.
San Francisco District Attorney Brooke Jenkins, who has made drug cases one of her office’s top priorities, said the assistance by federal prosecutors provides a “critical deterrent” to drug dealing.
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“If a person goes to trial in federal court, they risk incarceration because the Federal bench takes this crime seriously,” a spokesperson for Jenkins’ office wrote in an emailed statement. “In contrast, in San Francisco state court … many judges do not treat drug dealing as a serious crime and the drug dealers therefore do not fear any significant consequence.”
Jenkins has met with Missakian once, on July 7, where they discussed the All Hands on Deck Partnership, the spokesperson said. No changes to the partnership were discussed.
San Francisco has long posted low rates of violent crimes, and in recent years all categories of crime have been falling to historically low numbers. But the scourge of fentanyl and the pandemic-era boom in the city’s open-air drug markets elevated what were traditionally treated as low-level street dealing offenses to one of the city’s most urgent priorities.
The operation established a partnership between local law enforcement and federal agencies including the FBI, DEA, ATF, aimed at maximizing the arrests of drug dealers and swiftly prosecuting them.
Previously, street-dealing suspects were mostly prosecuted in San Francisco courts, where the risk of lengthy prison sentences and deportation for undocumented immigrants is much lower than in federal court.
In a late 2023 interview, Ramsey said the operation was designed to address the devastation of fentanyl, and the unique challenges of San Francisco’s drug trafficking enterprise, which had evolved away from a traditional hierarchy.
“We have basically a decentralized system of individual dealers who are acting as independent contractors,” Ramsey said at the time. (They’re) “being supplied their drugs on a regular basis, and then they’re commuting to San Francisco to deal drugs and return to their suppliers and do it all over again.”
In San Francisco, where a large portion of those arrested in recent years for drug sales have been undocumented immigrants from Honduras, a federal conviction for drug dealing means near-certain removal from the U.S.
Deportation is a much rarer outcome of a conviction in San Francisco courts, where sanctuary policies prevent city officials from working with federal agents on immigration actions.
All Hands on Deck also fast-tracked prosecutions by offering low-level offenders plea deals that included no additional jail time, but three years of probation and stay-away orders from the Tenderloin. Undocumented immigrants who took this deal were immediately turned over to ICE for deportation proceedings.
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