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Super Bowl 58 early odds and predictions: Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers

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Super Bowl 58 early odds and predictions: Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers


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The Super Bowl is in its red era.

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The big game will be played between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers in a rematch of Super Bowl 54.

Patrick Mahomes is seeking his third title in five years to continue a dynasty that started by beating the 49ers in the 2020 championship. This campaign, he made history with tight end Travis Kelce. They passed Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski for most touchdowns by a duo in the postseason.

Christian McCaffrey is appearing in his first Super Bowl after a historic season where he broke the record for most games with a touchdown. Brock Purdy, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk round out the 49ers offense to keep opponents on their toes.

Both defenses have been stalwart throughout the season. The Chiefs will be without defensive lineman Charles Omenihu after the former 49er reportedly tore his ACL in the AFC championship game. Nick Bosa had two sacks in San Francisco’s comeback win in the NFC championship.

The battle begins at 6:30 p.m. on Feb. 11 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

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Here are the early odds for Super Bowl 58:

Chiefs vs. 49ers odds, moneyline, over/under

The 49ers are favorites to defeat the Chiefs, according to BetMGM NFL odds. Looking to wager? Check out the best mobile sports betting apps offering NFL betting promos in 2023, including the new ESPN BET app and the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

  • Spread: 49ers (-2)
  • Moneyline: 49ers (-130); Chiefs (+110)
  • Over/under: 47.5

Not interested in this game? Our guide to NFL betting odds, picks and spreads has you covered with the full slate of playoff action. You can also look ahead to the big game with the best Super Bowl betting promos.

If you’re new to sports betting, don’t worry. We have tips for beginners on how to place a bet online. And USA TODAY readers can claim exclusive promos and bonus codes with these online sportsbooks and sports betting sites.

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Super Bowl 58 early odds, predictions and picks

Here are our NFL expert picks based on the early odds for Super Bowl 58:

Tyler Dragon: Chiefs 23, 49ers 20

The 49ers were a top-two team all season long. The combination of Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle, Trent Williams and Brock Purdy is tough to beat when they are all on the field healthy. Plus, the 49ers defense is led by all-world linebacker Fred Warner. But the Chiefs have shown us they flip the switch come postseason time. Kansas City’s defense has only allowed more than 20 points once in three postseason games. The Chiefs defense enters the Super Bowl with a playoff-high four takeaways. But above all else, the Chiefs have the best player in the NFL in Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes has picked teams apart with his arm and occasionally hurt defenses with his legs; furthermore, he’s played turnover-free football. All the hype and attention around the Super Bowl won’t faze the Chiefs. The Chiefs have earned Super Bowl berths four times in five seasons. Mahomes is seeking his third Lombardi Trophy. If Mahomes leads the Chiefs to victory, a legitimate case can be made that he’s the greatest quarterback of all time.

Safid Deen: Chiefs 30, 49ers 26

Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid and the Chiefs entered the postseason with the worst offense they’ve had during their time together in Kansas City. Yet, here they are, in the Super Bowl once again. Sure, Christian McCaffrey and Brock Purdy make the 49ers much more formidable than their last Super Bowl matchup in Miami, but the Chiefs will have enough offense while Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will have his fingerprints all over this one. Mahomes wins his third ring and takes another step in his chase of Tom Brady’s seven Super Bowls. 

Victoria Hernandez: Chiefs 28, 49ers 24

The 49ers showed they can perform through adversity by coming back to win the NFC championship. But Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce have never been the underdog until this season and are playing with a new sense of hunger. The quarterback quieted criticism that he hadn’t proven himself on the road in the playoffs. And the tight end has broken records while stepping up for the Chiefs’ struggling receiving corps. The 49ers technically have the more well-rounded offense and Nick Bosa, Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw have done a great job bolstering the defense. But Kansas City’s defense has been a strong suit of theirs this year too. Ultimately, the championship experience and desire to quiet the naysayers will lead to another brick being laid in the Chiefs’ dynasty.

Jordan Mendoza: Chiefs 20, 49ers 17

San Francisco has been one of the most impressive teams all season, and on paper, they should be able to win this game for its first Super Bowl win in nearly 30 years. But the Kansas City defense has certainly been a ruthless force in this Super Bowl run. The Chiefs offense isn’t pretty, but if Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are in sync, they’ll be able to put some points on the board. The Chiefs’ defense can limit Brock Purdy and company and become the first back-to-back champions since the Patriots in 2003-04.

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You can view the full list of USA TODAY’s NFL expert predictions here.

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San Francisco, CA

Reds spoil Verlander’s San Francisco debut, beat Giants 3-2

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Reds spoil Verlander’s San Francisco debut, beat Giants 3-2


Christian Encarnacion-Strand hit a go-ahead solo homer, Matt McLain had two extra-base hits and an RBI and the Cincinnati Reds spoiled the San Francisco debut of three-time Cy Young Award winner Justin Verlander on Saturday, beating the Giants 3-2.

McLain, who missed the entire 2024 season with a shoulder injury, got the Reds on the board with a solo homer in the third inning and scored from second base on an RBI single by Elly De La Cruz in the fifth, tying the game at 2.

Reds left-hander Nick Lodolo (1-0) allowed two runs on five hits in six innings. He finished with one strikeout and settled in, forcing a number of groundouts.

Two days after losing the season opener due to shaky relief pitching, Tony Santillan, Graham Ashcraft and Emilio Pagán worked three scoreless innings to seal the win.

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The 42-year-old Verlander, who signed a $15 million, one-year contract with the Giants in January, struck out five, walked one, allowed two runs and six hits in five innings. Aside from McLain’s solo homer, Verlander kept the Reds in check until the fifth inning, when McLain and De La Cruz had back-to-back hits and tied the score.

San Francisco’s Spencer Bivens (0-1) took the loss.

Like McLain, Encarnacion-Strand’s 2024 season was defined by injuries. Encarnacion-Strand missed nearly all of last season with a wrist injury, but the first base slugger has four hits in eight at-bats in 2025.

Key moment

A diving play by McLain forced a ground out for the first out in the sixth, and a slick double play by McLain and De La Cruz got Lodolo out of the inning.

Key stat

In 90 MLB games, McLain has 17 homers.

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Up next

The Reds will start Nick Martinez, who posted a 3.10 ERA last season, against 2021 AL Cy Young Award winner Robbie Ray in Sunday’s series finale.



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San Francisco, CA

Summit County’s median home price eclipses San Francisco, Honolulu

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Summit County’s median home price eclipses San Francisco, Honolulu


A report from the Salt Lake Board of Realtors on Utah housing says the median home price in Summit County was $1.7 million in January 2025, the highest in the state.

Wasatch County was next at $1.5 million, double the median price in Rich County, the third highest.

Summit County

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Salt Lake Realtors

Summit County shared this graphic in a March 2025 newsletter.

Staff say Summit County is now more expensive than San Francisco, Honolulu and San Diego, areas known not just for high housing costs but for high costs of living.

According to the California Association of Realtors, San Francisco’s median home price was $1.4 million in January 2025 and $1.6 million in February.

Areas in and around Park City have long seen median values above that. The Park City Board of Realtors’ most recent median prices are $4 million in city limits and $2.3 million in the Snyderville Basin.

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Kamas was approaching a $1 million median home price last year, and Salt Lake Realtors’ statistics signal housing prices are continuing to rise across Summit County.

Summit County is a financial supporter of KPCW. For a full list, click here.





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San Francisco, CA

Drug market sweeps yield a lot of arrests, but few prosecutions in San Francisco

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Drug market sweeps yield a lot of arrests, but few prosecutions in San Francisco


Big sweeps, but few prosecutions in San Francisco. 

At this point, law enforcement officials are standing by the strategy of enforcing and tracking down where drug markets move even if they aren’t leading to many prosecutions at this point. 

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San Francisco’s Police Department has highlighted several high-visibility enforcement efforts, including just over a week ago at the intersection of Market and Van Ness to show the renewed effort to crack down on open-air drug markets and use. 

So far no charges

While that sweep resulted in 40 or so arrests, so far no one has been charged. 

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Law Professor David Levine from UC School of Law San Francisco said police can arrest someone based on probable cause, but prosecutors need to meet the higher bar of beyond a reasonable doubt to win a case. 

“There’s a big difference between the standards police use to make an arrest versus what the prosecutors use to initiate a prosecution and ultimately what they need to win a case in front of a jury,” said Levine.

What they’re saying:

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San Francisco police issued a statement reading in part, “17 of the arrests at Market and Van Ness were for outstanding warrants that were sent to the appropriate jurisdictions. These efforts have led to better outcomes. Our streets are cleaner and safer where we enforce the law.” 

Calling it successful 

San Francisco District Attorney Brooke Jenkins’ office also weighed in, calling the enforcement a success and saying most of those arrested were cited for misdemeanors and will appear in court within the next month or so.

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The DA released a statement reading in part, “Successful prosecution and law enforcement requires a robust, collaborative partnership among agencies, and we are committed to working with our partners to offer guidance on what we need to meet our burden of proof.”

Supervisor Matt Dorsey, whose district includes the South of Market, agrees that simply having police disrupt drug markets and use is an important step, and can even be a tool to get drug users into treatment, and impact the demand side of the drug trade. 

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“The party is over”

“This isn’t about going back to the war on drugs,” said Supervisor Dorsey, “It is about telling people that the party is over. We have to restore public order in San Francisco.”

Legal experts say even without prosecutions, law enforcement may be sending a message. 

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“Because you’re going to make these criminals at least a little more careful about what they’re doing,” said Levine. “They’re going to be a little bit more discreet about what they’re doing.”

What’s next:

The DA said her office will be meeting with SFPD next week to discuss the recent enforcement, and offer guidance on what her attorneys need to successfully prosecute cases. 

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San FranciscoSan Francisco Police DepartmentNewsBrooke Jenkins



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