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Oregon vs. Iowa score prediction by expert football model

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Oregon vs. Iowa score prediction by expert football model


A major Big Ten matchup kicks off this weekend as No. 9 Oregon goes across the country in a test against newly-ranked No. 20 Iowa in Week 11 college football action on Saturday.

Iowa broke into the first College Football Playoff rankings on the back of a strong defense and a 4-1 record in Big Ten play, while Oregon is at one loss and with little room for error in this road test.

What do the analytics predict as the Ducks visit the Hawkeyes this weekend?

For that, we turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Oregon and Iowa compare in this Week 11 college football game, and use it to lock in our own projection.

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The model likes the Ducks to stand firm in this road test against the Hawkeyes.

SP+ predicts that Oregon will defeat Iowa by a projected score of 28 to 20 and will win the game by an expected margin of 7.5 points.

The model gives the Ducks a 68 percent chance of outright victory over the Hawkeyes.

SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ college football prediction model is 263-253 against the spread with a 55.8 win percentage. Last week, it was 29-23 (55.8%) in its picks against the spread.

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The betting markets are siding with the Ducks over the Hawkeyes, but not by as much as a touchdown.

Oregon is a 6.5 point favorite against Iowa, according to the game lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel lists the total at 42.5 points for the matchup, and set the moneyline odds for Oregon at -240 and for Iowa at +198 to win outright.

Oregon arrives with elite offensive balance and a defense that’s allowed less than 15 points per game, and they need this one to stay on a playoff trajectory.

Iowa brings a stout defense and home-field edge at Kinnick Stadium, aiming to capitalize on the Ducks’ road trip vulnerability.

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Expect Oregon to edge the Hawkeyes, but Iowa could stay close if they dominate time of possession early.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks

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Federal and state agencies urge caution as fire season begins in parts of Oregon

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Federal and state agencies urge caution as fire season begins in parts of Oregon


The Oregon Department of Forestry is asking Oregonians to be careful when disposing of yard debris this spring.

READ MORE | High pressure brings 48-hour warmup to western Oregon as temps near 90 Tuesday

“There have already been 23 escaped debris burns for a total of 83 acres reported on ODF-protected land in 2026,” the agency said.

The agency said that at this time last year, it had responded to 37 escaped burns.

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“More than 70% of wildfires every year in Oregon are human-caused, with escaped debris burns topping the list,” ODF said. “With record-low snowpack and an abnormally warm winter, forecasters are anticipating a hotter and drier summer than usual.”

The Central Oregon District of ODF has already declared the start of fire season.

On May 14, fire restrictions will go into effect for all Bureau of Land Management lands in Oregon and Washington.

“We are increasingly concerned that 2026 could rival the most extreme years on record for heat and dryness in the Pacific Northwest,” said Jeff Fedrizzi, assistant chief of operations for the Pacific Northwest, U.S. Wildland Fire Service. “Every visitor must understand that even one small spark can lead to a costly and destructive fire in these high-impact conditions.”

Officials say the restrictions will help reduce the risk of human-caused fires. BLM officials say anyone who violates the prohibition could be fined up to $100,000 and/or face up to 12 months in prison.

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More information on fire season is available on the ODF website.

The Bureau of Land Management website has additional information on fire restrictions and closures.



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Oregon Lottery Pick 4 results for May 10

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The Oregon Lottery offers several draw games for those aiming to win big.

Here’s a look at May 10, 2026, results for each game:

Winning Pick 4 numbers from May 10 drawing

1PM: 8-2-8-4

4PM: 5-1-2-6

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7PM: 1-5-9-6

10PM: 8-6-5-1

Check Pick 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

When are the Oregon Lottery drawings held?

  • Powerball: 7:59 p.m. on Monday, Wednesday and Saturday.
  • Mega Millions: 7:59 p.m. on Tuesday and Friday.
  • Pick 4: 1 p.m., 4 p.m., 7 p.m. and 10 p.m. daily.
  • Win for Life: 7:30 p.m. on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.
  • Megabucks: 7:29 p.m. on Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday.

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by an Oregon editor. You can send feedback using this form.



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Oregon DMV warns of fake texts threatening registration suspension unless you pay

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Oregon DMV warns of fake texts threatening registration suspension unless you pay


The Oregon DMV issued a warning for drivers, saying scammers are still sending out fake text messages trying to steal money from people.

State DMV officials say it is part of a nationwide scam that’s been happening for nearly two years.

The fake text messages often come from international phone numbers or non-government email addresses.

In the messages, the scammers threaten to suspend car registration or driving privileges if a person doesn’t pay.

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If you get this message, the DMV asks that you don’t click on any links or respond. Simply report it to the Federal Trade Commission or delete it.



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