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CORVALLIS — Oh boy, it is certainly tempting to lay into the Oregon Ducks today. To say they bought into their own hype. Label them paper tigers. Call for everyone to lay off the talk of a playoff.
They were supposed to manhandle the team from the panhandle. Instead, it was nearly a Vandal scandal.
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OUR MISSION
Oregon State Athletics strives to Build Excellent Authentic Visionary Student-Athletes (Go BEAVS).
A major Big Ten matchup kicks off this weekend as No. 9 Oregon goes across the country in a test against newly-ranked No. 20 Iowa in Week 11 college football action on Saturday.
Iowa broke into the first College Football Playoff rankings on the back of a strong defense and a 4-1 record in Big Ten play, while Oregon is at one loss and with little room for error in this road test.
What do the analytics predict as the Ducks visit the Hawkeyes this weekend?
For that, we turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Oregon and Iowa compare in this Week 11 college football game, and use it to lock in our own projection.
The model likes the Ducks to stand firm in this road test against the Hawkeyes.
SP+ predicts that Oregon will defeat Iowa by a projected score of 28 to 20 and will win the game by an expected margin of 7.5 points.
The model gives the Ducks a 68 percent chance of outright victory over the Hawkeyes.
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
How good is it this season? So far, the SP+ college football prediction model is 263-253 against the spread with a 55.8 win percentage. Last week, it was 29-23 (55.8%) in its picks against the spread.
The betting markets are siding with the Ducks over the Hawkeyes, but not by as much as a touchdown.
Oregon is a 6.5 point favorite against Iowa, according to the game lines at FanDuel Sportsbook.
FanDuel lists the total at 42.5 points for the matchup, and set the moneyline odds for Oregon at -240 and for Iowa at +198 to win outright.
Oregon arrives with elite offensive balance and a defense that’s allowed less than 15 points per game, and they need this one to stay on a playoff trajectory.
Iowa brings a stout defense and home-field edge at Kinnick Stadium, aiming to capitalize on the Ducks’ road trip vulnerability.
Expect Oregon to edge the Hawkeyes, but Iowa could stay close if they dominate time of possession early.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams
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White House says partial SNAP benefits will go forward
The White House is cooperating with a court order and says partial SNAP benefits will go forward despite the government shutdown.
(This story has been updated to include new information.)
Oregon’s nine federally recognized tribes will receive a combined $1 million to combat food instability from delays to Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program disbursements, Gov. Tina Kotek said Nov. 6.
The funding will come from the Oregon Department of Human Service’s Office of Resilience and Emergency Management.
Grant agreements were to be shared with the tribes by Nov. 7.
It was not immediately clear how much of the $1 million each tribe would receive.
“The refusal of the Trump Administration to maintain SNAP benefits during the federal shutdown is creating instability for families and communities that rely on this critical help to buy food,” Kotek said in a statement. “We are moving quickly to ensure that Tribal governments and local partners have the resources they need to meet immediate food security needs.”
Kotek put $5 million toward Oregon’s food banks on Oct. 29 from prior years’ excess Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) funds.
The distributions come as more than 750,000 Oregonians, about 90,000 of whom are residents of Marion and Polk counties, did not receive SNAP benefits beginning Nov. 1.
Food stamps were not distributed due to the federal government shutdown, now the longest in history.
The Trump administration must fund November SNAP benefits by Nov. 7, a judge ordered on Nov. 6. Recipients had been expected to get some of the funds for November this month, potentially up to 65%, after earlier court orders called for benefits be disbursed. When and how those funds would be sent out was unclear.
USA Today reporter Sarah D. Wire contributed to this story.
Anastasia Mason covers state government for the Statesman Journal. Reach her at acmason@statesmanjournal.com or 971-208-5615.
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