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New Mexico Football Win Total Odds: Over/Under Prediction For 2023

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New Mexico Football Win Total Odds: Over/Under Prediction For 2023


Danny Gonzales returns as the head coach as New Mexico football looks to improve on their 2-10 record from last year. It is now time to continue our college football odds series with a New Mexico football win total prediction and pick.

The Lobos started 2022 strong with a win over Maine and New Mexico in the first three games. Then it was nine straight losses to end the season. It is just 15 wins for the Lobos in the last six seasons with only nine against FBS competition. The schedule sets up well for New Mexico to win more than two games this year, with multiple winnable games on the schedule.

While New Mexico brings back a lot on offense, ranking 18th in returning production, they are 103rd on defense. The offense was dead last in the nation last year though, and one of the worst-scoring offenses in the nation. Last year they scored over 20 points just two times. Once against Maine, and once against UTEP. Both resulted in victories. Bryant Vincent comes in from UAB to take over the offense, that should be run-heavy this year.  Vincent was a big grab for New Mexico. He did a great job as an interim head ocach last year at UAB and showed he can use any back to gain yards.

The defense lost a lot this year though. The secondary lost both their safeties and a corner to the transfer portal, but they bring back Donte Martin and a transfer from TCU to help out. The transfer portal will need to come up huge for the defense to be back to the level they were last year.

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Here are the College Football Odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

in Over 3.5 wins: -105

Under 3.5 wins: -115

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Why New Mexico Can Win 3.5 Games 

New Mexico has one of the easiest schedules in the Mountain West according to the strength of the schedule. Still, they will be opening up 0-1 with a loss to Texas A&M week one. They get the bounce back the next week against Tennessee Tech. This was a four-win team out of the Ohio Valley conference last year, but this game will be closer than expected. they took Kennesaw State to overtime last year and could scare a team or two at the FCS level, but New Mexico will win.

They follow that up with a home date with New Mexico State, which could be the game to determine if they hit the over. New Mexico is going to be favored against the Aggies this year. New Mexico lost this game last year and while they lost parts, they bring in some quality new ones. Dylan Hopkins follows Bryant Vincent from UAB to give them a quality quarterback. Vincent is also amazing at putting together a running game regardless of who they have at running back. Chrisitan Washington will expose the lack of defensive back depth for the Aggies as he makes big plays with great speed.

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The Lobos put together a winning streak beating UMASS next. UMASS is 131st in SP+ with one of the worst offenses in America. This may be a close game but New Mexico wins. Wyoming is next up before a bye and San Jose State. Both of these games require the same thing. They need to have some passing production. If Hopkins can do that, they can win both of them. If not, they will lose both of them. The best case is most likely a 1-1 here, bringing them to four wins already. Even if not, they have three more games left that can be won.

First is Hawaii. The Lobos can beat Hawaii. Hawaii does not have a productive quarterback, and Derdick Parson is gone at running back. The defense is average at best and will lose a lot on the road. Next is Nevada, who comes in with a very bad defense. The pass defense was one of the worst in the nation and Dylan Hopkins will feast on that. Finally,  UNLV is breaking in a lot of new players, and they may not all gel together. They lost their top offensive lineman, wideout, and running back this year. It’s a place the Lobos can get a win. They need only one of those three games before they finish the season on a three-game losing skid, but they will get it.

Why New Mexico Can Not Win 3.5 Games

New Mexico has eight games that should be within reach of a win. They will not get all of them, and it is possible they only get two or three. While Tennessee Tech should be a win, it is also a spot prime for an upset. The defense is solid and can pick apart a poor offense. If the Golden Eagles keep the score low, they could pick off the Lobos and get the win.

Next are New Mexico State and UMASS. New Mexico is one of the worst teams in SP+ according to Bill Connelly. They rank behind both New Mexico State and UMASS. The main reason is the offense ranks second to last in all of FBS is SP+. These two games will fall squarely on Bryant Vincent and Dylan Hopkins. If the two of them have things figured out with this offense, it is two wins. If now, these are two losses, both teams will attack a porous New Mexico defense.

Wyoming and San Jose State will both require big upsets for New Mexico to win. New Mexico has not shown in recent years it can pull those upsets. They do not have the playmakers on either side of the ball to make the big play to cause the upset. UNLV will probably be an upset as well. If UNLV can develop a pass rush and their defensive backs can make some plays, it could be a quality team this year. A quality team will be in New Mexico most time, and they could suffer a loss here as well.

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Final New Mexico Over/Under Win Total Prediction & Pick

New Mexico will fall to Texas A&M, but rebound with a win over Tennessee Tech. They get to 2-2 after a loss to New Mexico State and a win over UMASS. That is their last win of the season though. The offense does not figure things out, and when they do, the defense will let them down. Take the under on this one.

Final New Mexico Over/Under Win Total Prediction & Pick: Under 3.5 (-115) 



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New Mexico

Kira Miner: Slightly drier but still relatively muggy Friday

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Kira Miner: Slightly drier but still relatively muggy Friday


Drier air will move in but it will still be relatively muggy and warm. See the latest conditions at KOB.com/Weather.

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — Drier air will move in Friday but it will still be hot and relatively muggy with some spotty storms and partly cloudy conditions.

Temperatures will reach the triple digits in southern New Mexico, except for Ruidoso and Silver City. The Four Corners will see 80s and 90s. Red River will get to around 75° in the northern mountains.

A greater chance of storms is coming this weekend.

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Meteorologist Kira Miner shares all the details in her full forecast in the video above.

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New Mexico joins nation-wide challenge to protect and restore water resources – NM Political Report

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New Mexico joins nation-wide challenge to protect and restore water resources – NM Political Report


New Mexico has joined the America the Beautiful Freshwater Challenge, a national partnership effort to conserve and restore freshwater resources.  President Joe Biden announced the challenge in April as part of the Earth Week celebrations. The goal is to “protect, restore, and reconnect 8 million acres of wetlands and 100,000 miles of our nation’s rivers […]

New Mexico has joined the America the Beautiful Freshwater Challenge, a national partnership effort to conserve and restore freshwater resources. 

President Joe Biden announced the challenge in April as part of the Earth Week celebrations. The goal is to “protect, restore, and reconnect 8 million acres of wetlands and 100,000 miles of our nation’s rivers and streams by 2030,” according to a press release from April.

White House Council on Environmental Quality Chair Brenda Mallory explained, during a visit to Albuquerque on Thursday, that New Mexico’s waterways will receive more focus.. A map behind her showed areas of the state where waterways are no longer protected under the Clean Water Act due to the U.S. Supreme Court’s Sackett decision. This includes ephemeral waterways as well as places like the Jemez River that run dry before connecting with larger waterways.

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The Sackett decision led American Rivers to list New Mexico’s waterways as the “most endangered river” this year. In addition to the impacts of the Sackett decision, New Mexico is one of the states without its own surface water permitting system.

Mallory said that coordinated efforts are key in areas like New Mexico where the impacts of the Sackett decision are so great.

“New Mexico is doing a lot all by itself. But having the ability to get additional focus or sending in additional resources as they’re available, is really going to be a really important part to the success,” she said.

Joining the America the Beautiful Freshwater Challenge does not necessarily mean more funding will be available to New Mexico. However, Mallory said it might make New Mexico more competitive in the future as it pursues federal resources. She said that the federal government, knowing that there’s already groundwork being done in New Mexico to restore and protect waters, may see funding projects in the state as having a greater potential impact compared to some other parts of the country.

“We are all working together to make sure we can continue to protect water,” Tanya Trujillo, the deputy state engineer, said.

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She said that New Mexico is facing many challenges with water, including both drought and flooding.

“We have to be able to take care and manage our waters during all of the conditions that we may see,” Trujillo said.

The states, local governments, Tribal entities, businesses and nonprofits that have joined the challenge all agree to a set of commitments to restore and connect wetlands and waters.

One of the original members of the partnership was the Navajo Nation.

“To Navajos and all Indigenous people, water is a sacred element,” President Buu Nygren said in a statement in April. “We in the Southwest, and especially Navajos, are aware daily how precious water is to our life, our livestock, our crops, wildlife and the natural world all around us. We are pleased to join the Biden-Harris Administration in this initiative.”

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Some of the other partners include Colorado, Amigos Bravos, the Environmental Defense Fund, the National Audubon Society, New Mexico Wild, Patagonia, the Rio Grande International Study Center and Trout Unlimited.

“But New Mexico waters are in peril. We are in the eye of a perfect storm. We are in an arid state to begin with. And climate change is hitting us hard. Today 66 percent of our state is in drought conditions,” Tannis Fox with the Western Environmental Law Center said during the event in Albuquerque.

She said that while the majority of waterways in New Mexico do not run year round, they play important roles.

Speakers highlighted how contamination released into ephemeral waterways can jeopardize the water quality in acequias and even in waters that remain protected under the Clean Water Act.

New Mexico’s participation in the challenge complements actions that are outlined in the 50-year water plan unveiled in January.

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“We’re going to be able to continue to implement our water quality protection programs, both surface water and groundwater, develop the necessary regulations that it’s going to take to make sure we can do those right and to do things like take care of our watersheds,” Trujillo told NM Political Report.



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Fires drive more wildlife into Ruidoso

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Fires drive more wildlife into Ruidoso


While these wildfires keep burning, the people in the community can expect to see wildlife in more common areas.

While the South Fork and Salt wildfires keep burning, it’s not just structures and houses that were lost in the Village of Ruidoso, but the homes of wildlife in the area.

It’s not uncommon to see elk, wild horses, or even a bear in Ruidoso. As wildfires ripped through the area, some were concerned about these animals. But experts say they should be adapted to wildfires.

“Animals in New Mexico have been adapted to deal with wildfires as part of their natural dynamic. Our plant-animal communities are pretty resilient to fire,” said Melissa Garnett, a spokesperson with the New Mexico Department of Game and Fish.

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Garnett says residents should expect to see more animals.

“In times of fire like this, those ranges can be temporarily, changed. so we’re seeing more animals in town.”

Residents in the area told me they had seen an increase in wildlife.

Garnett says as wildlife moves to new areas, they’re using the roadways and warns people to be extra careful. “There’s also been some reports, wildlife-vehicle collisions that have come in. People need to use extra caution when they are driving”

She says there is no telling how many animals are displaced, but says it’s going to take some time.

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“It’s still very early. there’s, it’s going to take some time to get the full environmental impact of this fire. and our conservation experts will assess the impact of this fire and any post-fire recovery that is needed. But not until after the fire has been fully extinguished,” said Garnett.

If you see an injured animal, contact the New Mexico Game and Fish Information Center.



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