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New Mexico

Middle Tennessee State vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 11-4-2023

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On Saturday, the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders will visit the New Mexico State Aggies for a clash between Conference USA foes. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. MT.

MTSU (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS, 4-3-1 O/U) lost 42-35 to Liberty last week. It is 1-3 in conference play this season.

NMSU (6-3 SU, 6-2-1 ATS, 3-6 O/U) defeated Louisiana Tech 27-24 last Saturday. It is 4-1 in CUSA competition.

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The Aggies are three-point spread favorites and the game total is 56.5 points.

Injury Report

Blue Raiders: RB Frank Peasant (undisclosed) and WR Kellen Stewart (concussion) are questionable.

Aggies: No injuries to report.

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Middle Tennessee sports an explosive passing attack

Middle Tennessee State lost a close game to Liberty last week. The Blue Raiders’ offense stalled in the fourth quarter, failing to score any points. They were outgained 541-428 despite passing for 322 yards, as Liberty dominated on the ground (61 carries for 401 yards).

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Sophomore QB Nicholas Vattiato paces the Middle Tennessee offense with 2,156 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. His top receiving threats are Elijah Metcalf (40 receptions for 483 yards and five TDs), Holden Willis (31 receptions for 473 yards and two TDs), and Justin Olson (35 receptions for 395 yards and one TD). MTSU’s ground game is led by sophomore RB Jaiden Credle (71 carries for 366 yards and two TDs).

The Blue Raiders score 23.8 points per game (95th) and average 393.9 total yards (66th), including 275.4 passing yards (34th) and 118.5 rushing yards (107th). They convert 42.4 percent of their third downs (43rd) and score on 80.9 percent of their red zone trips (84th).

The MTSU defense surrenders 33.1 points (118th) and 416.4 total yards (111th), including 247.6 passing yards (103rd) and 168.8 rushing yards (100th). They have 14 sacks and five interceptions this season. Middle Tennessee State’s opponents have converted 47.0 percent of their third-down attempts (120th) and scored on 93.1 percent of their visits to the red zone (116th).

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Can anyone slow down the Aggies’ ground game?

New Mexico State edged Louisiana Tech in its last game, as the Aggies’ ground game led the way with 232 rushing yards. NMSU was outgained 371-327 but held the Bulldogs to 3-for-11 on third down and forced two turnovers.

The Aggies are paced by junior QB Diego Pavia, who leads the team in passing (1,896 yards, 17 TDs, and five INTs) and rushing (592 yards and five TDs). New Mexico State also relies on contributions from sophomore RB Monte Watkins (41 carries for 459 rushing yards and two TDs), junior RB Star Thomas (77 carries for 409 yards and four TDs), sophomore WR Jonathan Brady (23 receptions for 388 yards and three TDs), and junior WR Trent Hudson (16 receptions for 319 yards and six TDs).

The NMSU offense scores 29.4 points per game (60th) and averages 427.3 total yards (43rd), including 221.7 passing yards (75th) and 205.7 rushing yards (15th). It converts 36.9 percent of its third downs (84th) and scores on 84.6 percent of its red zone trips (62nd).

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The Aggies surrender 21.4 points (43rd) and 375.7 total yards (69th) per game, including 246.7 passing yards (100th) and 129.0 rushing yards (48th). They have 23 sacks and two interceptions this season. New Mexico State’s opponents have converted 35.6 percent of their third downs (41st) and scored on 78.7 percent of their red zone visits (43rd). The Aggies rank 48th in stop rate (65.5%).

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:


In a battle between contrasting offensive styles, I’m backing New Mexico State.

The Aggies’ rushing attack has demoralized their opponents, rushing for over 200 yards per game. Slowing down NMSU’s ground game is crucial to keeping it off the scoreboard, as its passing attack is just 75th nationally in yards per game. That said, I doubt the Blue Raiders (100th in rushing yards allowed per game) will be the team to slow them down.

Middle Tennessee can move the football through the air, but can it keep pace with New Mexico State? The Aggies will run the football with ease on Saturday, controlling the game clock and limiting MTSU’s possessions. That should shrink the Blue Raiders’ opportunities, putting additional pressure on them to succeed on third down and in the red zone — two areas the Aggies defense excels.

Bet on the home team to win and cover on Saturday!

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Prediction: Aggies -3

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This total is too high, as the slow-paced Aggies (101st in plays per game) will limit the fast-paced Blue Raiders’ (29th in plays per game) offensive opportunities and make enough stops on key plays to keep MTSU from hitting its expected points total. NMSU’s rushing attack will break the Blue Raiders’ defense down, helping the Aggies win the time of possession battle. Middle Tennessee State’s only chance at keeping it close will be through the air, but I’m doubtful it will have enough big chunk plays to get the job done.

At 56.5 total points, I am comfortable betting five units on the under.

Prediction: Under 56.5

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Written By
Michael Briggs , “Michael Briggs”

Mike Briggs is a passionate sports fan and writer, earning his B.A. in Journalism. In 2020, he moved across the country from New Jersey to San Diego to satisfy his lifelong obsession of living near an MLB stadium. As a proud MSU basketball supporter, Mike believes he’s learned a lot watching coach Tom Izzo lead the Spartans to Big Ten titles and Final Fours regularly. He’s also well-read on the NBA, having a subscription to SLAM magazine, the famed “basketball bible,” since he was a teenager. Mike spends his free time strategizing futures bets and researching opportunities to make a few bucks on tonight’s game. You can follow Mike on Twitter @BriggsWrites for sports betting, DFS, and stock trading tips.

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New Mexico

Early voting kicks off in Indiana, New Mexico, Ohio, Wyoming

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Early voting kicks off in Indiana, New Mexico, Ohio, Wyoming


Four more states began their early voting processes on Tuesday: Indiana, New Mexico, Wyoming and the major swing state of Ohio.

Here is everything you need to know about casting a ballot in each of the states.

All eyes on the Senate race in Ohio

Ohio is home to one of the most competitive Senate races on the map.

Democrat Sen. Sherrod Brown has won the Midwestern state three times, but with Trump pushing White working-class voters toward the GOP and record spending from both parties, this is set to be a tight race. Brown faces Republican businessman Bernie Moreno.

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Republicans have made inroads in the northeastern and heavily industrial areas bordering Pennsylvania. Trumbull County flipped to the GOP in 2016, and Trump increased his margin to 10 points in 2020; Mahoning County flipped in 2020 by almost two points. These counties played a key role in Trump’s statewide wins.

Democrats are performing better than ever in the “three C’s”: Cleveland, Columbus and Cincinnati. These areas have the highest percentages of college-educated voters. President Biden won the counties home to these cities by double-digit margins in 2020, with roughly 30-point wins in Franklin (Columbus) and Cuyahoga (Cleveland).

Unlike in other competitive states, Republicans still hold up in Ohio’s suburban and exurban areas, particularly those surrounding Cincinnati.

Ohio’s Senate race is a toss-up and the presidential race is ranked Likely R on the Fox News Power Rankings.

Vice President Harris and former President Trump are neck and neck in the polls. (Getty Images)

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Meanwhile, New Mexico is also in the “likely” column, both at the presidential and senate level. The state delivered Biden an 11-point win in 2020, but Latino or Hispanic voters made up 35% of the state’s electorate in the 2020 election, and those voters’ support for the Democrat ticket has wavered in recent polls.

Republicans would need to run up their margins with these voters all across the state and keep Harris at bay in places like Doña Ana County, home to Albuquerque and which last voted for Biden by 18 points, to pull off a victory.

Key downballot races in today’s early voting states

Voting also begins today in four House districts ranked Lean or Toss Up on the Fox News Power Rankings. For a full list of competitive races, see the latest Senate and House rankings.

  • Indiana’s 1st District: Democrat Rep. Frank Mrvan has held this northwest Indiana district since the last presidential election; he won it by 5.6 points in the midterms. This year, he faces Republican Lake County Councilman Randy Niemeyer. It’s Lean D in the Power Rankings.
  • New Mexico’s 2nd District: New Mexico’s 2nd District occupies most of the southwest land area of the state. It includes Las Cruces and parts of Albuquerque, but it also has a chunk of the rural vote. Democrat Rep. Gabe Vasquez won the district by just 1,350 votes in the midterms; this year, he faces the seat’s former Republican occupant, Yvette Herrell. This is a Power Rankings Toss Up.
  • Ohio’s 9th District: This northwestern Ohio seat has been held by populist Democrat Rep. Marcy Kaptur since 1983, but her margins have shrunk as Ohio has drifted right. She faces conservative Republican state Rep. Derek Merrin on the ballot this year; it’s another Power Rankings Toss Up.
  • Ohio’s 13th District: Finally, the northeastern 13th District includes Youngstown and parts of Akron; it has been represented by Democrat Rep. Emilia Sykes since 2023. Sykes faces Republican former state Sen. Kevin Coughlin this year. It’s also a Toss Up.

How to vote in Indiana

This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for Indiana.

Voting by mail

Indiana began absentee voting on Tuesday. Residents do not need to provide an excuse in order to receive a ballot. State officials must receive a ballot request by Oct. 24, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.

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Early in-person voting

Indiana offers early in-person voting beginning Oct. 8 and running through Nov. 4.

Voter registration

Indiana residents must have registered to vote by Oct. 7.

Polling place in 2009

A voter arrives at a polling location. Indiana began absentee voting on Tuesday.  (REUTERS/Joel Page)

How to vote in New Mexico

This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for New Mexico.

Voting by mail

New Mexico began absentee voting on Tuesday. Residents do not need to provide an excuse in order to receive a ballot. State officials must receive a ballot request by Oct. 22, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.

IN BID FOR DISGRUNTLED REPUBLICANS, HARRIS TEAMS UP WITH CHENEY IN GOP BIRTHPLACE

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Early in-person voting

New Mexico offers early in-person voting beginning Oct. 8 and running through Nov. 2.

Voter registration

New Mexico residents must register to vote by the end of Tuesday.

How to vote in Ohio

This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for Ohio.

Voting by mail

Ohio began absentee voting on Tuesday. Residents do not need to provide an excuse in order to receive a ballot. State officials must receive a ballot request by Oct. 29, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.

Early in-person voting

Ohio offers early in-person voting beginning Oct. 8 and running through Nov. 3.

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Voter registration

Ohio residents must have registered to vote by Oct. 7.

Election 2024 Trump

Republican presidential nominee former President Trump returns to speak at a campaign rally at the site of his July 21 attempted assassination in Butler, Pa. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

How to vote in Wyoming

This is a guide to registration and early voting. For comprehensive and up-to-date information on voter eligibility, processes and deadlines, please go to Vote.gov and the election website for Wyoming.

Voting by mail

Wyoming began absentee voting on Tuesday. Residents do not need to provide an excuse in order to receive a ballot. State officials must receive a ballot request by Nov. 4, and that ballot must be delivered to state officials by Nov. 5.

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Early in-person voting

Wyoming offers early in-person voting beginning Oct. 8 and running through Nov. 4.

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Voter registration

Wyoming residents must register to vote by mail by Oct. 21. They can register to vote in person at any time during early voting or on election day.



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New Mexico

New Mexico man who shot Native American protesting statue takes plea deal

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New Mexico man who shot Native American protesting statue takes plea deal


A New Mexico man has accepted a plea deal in the 2023 shooting of a Native American activist protesting a conquistador statue, lawyers said on Monday, in a case that highlighted rising political violence in the United States.

Ryan Martinez pleaded no contest to aggravated battery with a deadly weapon and aggravated assault for shooting activist Jacob Johns and pointing his handgun at Malaya Peixinho, another demonstrator, according to his lawyer Nicole Moss. He will serve four years in state prison.

“He is still maintaining that he acted in self-defense,” Moss said, adding that Martinez would likely serve under three years in prison by accruing good time, followed by five years probation.

Mariel Nanasi, a lawyer representing Johns and Peixinho, called the shooting “a racially motivated hate crime by a MAGA-proud gun-toting crazed man who came to a peaceful prayer ceremony with a fully loaded live gun.”

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Martinez was at the protest wearing a red cap with the Donald Trump slogan “Make America Great Again.” He was originally charged with attempted murder, which carries up to 15 years in prison.

“This is a continuation of colonial violence. Unfortunately, this criminal process is reflective of the systemic white supremacy that indigenous people face,” Johns said in a statement, adding that as a Native American he would have been sentenced to life imprisonment for shooting someone at a MAGA rally or a Christian prayer service.

New Mexico First Judicial District Attorney Mary Carmack Altwies offered the plea deal to Martinez.

“The resolution is in the best interests of justice and the community,” she said in a statement.

Johns, a global climate activist and artist, was shot as he tried to prevent Martinez from pushing his way into the vigil in Espanola, New Mexico, opposing reinstallation of the statue of a 16th century Spanish colonial ruler.

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The Juan de Onate bronze was removed in 2020 from a site just north of Espanola during nationwide anti-racism protests and was to be reinstated at a county complex in the town.

Peixinho called the plea deal inappropriately light.

“However it shows our desire for conflict resolution,” Peixinho said in a statement.

The shooting marked the latest violence around Onate statues put up in the 1990s to commemorate the 400th anniversary of the arrival of Spaniards to New Mexico.

The monuments have long outraged Native Americans and others who decry his brutal 1598 colonization. Onate is known for the 1599 massacre of a Pueblo tribe, leading a group of Spanish settlers into what is now New Mexico.

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Some descendants of Spanish colonial settlers, known as Hispanos, say Onate should be celebrated as part of New Mexico’s Hispanic heritage.



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New Mexico

Poll: Vasquez leads Herrell in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District race

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Poll: Vasquez leads Herrell in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District race


ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — A new KOB 4/SurveyUSA poll shows that incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Gabe Vasquez has a solid lead over Republican challenger Yvette Herrell.

We asked voters in New Mexico’s Second Congressional District, “If the election was held today, who would you vote for?” Here were the results:

  • Gabe Vasquez: 51%
  • Yvette Herrell: 42%
  • Undecided: 8%

582 likely voters surveyed. Credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percentage points

This race is a rematch of two years ago when Vasquez beat Herrell when she was the incumbent. Vasquez has served CD-2 since winning in 2022, representing much of southern New Mexico, including communities like Alamogordo, Carlsbad, Silver City and Las Cruces, and parts of the Albuquerque metro like the West Side and the South Valley.

We asked voters, “What is your opinion on Gabe Vasquez?”

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  • 45% have a favorable opinion of him
  • 31% have an unfavorable opinion
  • 18% are neutral
  • 5% have no opinion

582 likely voters surveyed. Credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percentage points

We also asked voters about their opinion on Yvette Herrell:

  • 34% have a favorable opinion
  • 41% have an unfavorable opinion
  • 20% are neutral
  • 6% have no opinion

582 likely voters surveyed. Credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percentage points

There are many issues that are playing into elections across the board so we asked CD-2 voters, “Which of these issues will have the most influence on your vote for the U.S. House of Representatives?”

  • Immigration and border: 28%
  • Abortion: 17%
  • Inflation: 16%
  • Crime: 12%

582 likely voters surveyed. Credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percentage points

Jumping off of that question, we also asked about how much of a deciding issue immigration and the border is:

  • Conservatives: 48%
  • Moderates: 22%
  • Liberals: 5%

And about how much of a deciding issue abortion is:

  • Conservatives: 5%
  • Moderates: 15%
  • Liberals: 42%



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