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Nevada 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Latest Survey Shows A Tie—As Harris Struggles With Latinos

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Nevada 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Latest Survey Shows A Tie—As Harris Struggles With Latinos


Topline

Vice President Kamala Harris has a narrow edge over former President Donald Trump in the crucial swing state of Nevada, where an erosion of support among Latino voters threatens to hurt her chances of winning the state in November.

Key Facts

Harris and Trump are tied at 48% in a Washington Post-Schar School poll of likely voters released Monday (margin of error 4.8).

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Harris has a 0.3-point edge in Nevada, according to Five Thirty Eight’s polling average, while an Emerson poll released last week found her leading by one point, 48% to 47%, after the two were tied at 48% in September, and a Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump with an unusually large five-point advantage.

Nevada—which is the smallest swing state, with just six electoral votes—has voted for Democratic presidential candidates in every election since 2008, and President Joe Biden beat Trump there by 2.4 points in 2020.

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Support for Harris among Latino voters will be crucial to her success in both Arizona and Nevada, where Hispanic and Latino people make up about 30% of the population and polls show she has lost support among the key demographic.

Biden carried Latino voters in Nevada over Trump 61% to 35% in 2020, according to CNN exit polls, while Harris leads Trump 56% to 40% in Nevada, according to an October USA Today/Suffolk University poll of Latino voters.

Harris is particularly struggling with Latino men, according to the survey that found 53% of male Latino voters ages 18-34 in Nevada support Trump and 40% support Harris, while 53% of Latino men ages 35-49 in the state support Trump and 39% support Harris.

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Immigration and inflation top the list of Latino voter concerns in Nevada, according to the USA Today/Suffolk poll, which found 37% said inflation was their top concern and 17% said immigration.

Big Number

56%. That’s the share of Latino voters who identified with the Democratic Party in 2016, compared to 49% who do in 2024, according to a September NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll.

Tangent

Nevada is one of three swing states, in addition to Wisconsin and Michigan, where Harris has an edge over Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight averages. Trump leads by narrow margins in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. Harris has a razor-thin edge in national polling.

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Key Background

The Harris campaign is making a last-minute appeal to Hispanic men in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Nevada with a “Hombres con Harris” tour featuring members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, including Rep. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., who is running against Trump ally Kari Lake for the Senate in Arizona. The tour will include stops at Latino-owned small businesses, sports bars, restaurants, union halls and other community venues frequented by Latino men, her campaign said.

Further Reading

Wisconsin 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Latest Surveys Show Trump With Slight Edge (Forbes)

Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Trump Keeps Lead In Arizona As Harris Holds Narrow Edge In Pennsylvania (Update) (Forbes)

Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Harris And Trump Virtually Tied In Latest Surveys As Race Tightens (Forbes)

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Pennsylvania 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Leads Crucial Swing State In Latest Poll (Forbes)

Michigan 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Leads In Latest Survey (Forbes)

Georgia 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Holds Surprise 1-Point Lead In New Survey (Forbes)

North Carolina 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Trump Overtakes Harris’ Lead (Forbes)



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Nevada

‘Banana Ball’ a family reunion for the Reids

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‘Banana Ball’ a family reunion for the Reids


RENO, Nev. (KOLO) – Game 2 of Banana Ball Friday night brought another sellout crowd to Reno’s Greater Nevada Field.

But for a couple dozen people it meant more than taking in an entertaining baseball exhibition.

Jon Reid, who pitches for the Texas Tailgaters, has the 775 in his blood.

“To me it means the world and having (family) come out,” Jon said.

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The relief pitcher is in town for the 2025 Banana Ball World Tour. Kevin Reid, Jon’s dad, has deep roots in the area with family who lives in Reno, Sparks, Carson City, and Douglas County.

“It’s super fun just to see (Jon) still out there enjoying the game and the game that he loves,” said Kevin Reid.

Jon has been coming to Northern Nevada for years on an annual basis to visit. He’s now based out of Savannah, Georgia.

Jon has spots he has to hit when he’s in Reno.

“For sure In-N-Out, Lake Tahoe, and then Heavenly. In the snow? You can’t beat it,” Jon said.

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Trips to the ski resort will have to wait. In the meantime dozens of family members made the trip to Greater Nevada Field to see Jon play Friday night.

His mom, Stacey, and brother, Zachary, got to see a different side of Jon.

“To see him dancing has been an enjoyment,” Stacey said. “Yesterday was fun to see him out there shaking a little bit because we never see it at home.”

Zachary likes seeing his brother continuing to live his dream.

“He’s a professional baseball player who gets paid to dance and do TikToks on the side. It’s nuts. I grew up going to all his games and all of our summer vacations were worked around baseball,” Zachary said.

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In the 8th inning of Friday’s game Jon worked around some traffic on the base paths which kept the Tailgaters in the game. He finished his outing with a point to his family in Section 111.

“For me to put a smile on a kid’s face I think that’s all my mom ever wanted so that’s what I’m trying to do,” Jon said.



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Nevada County Recognizes Mental Health Awareness Month

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Nevada County Recognizes Mental Health Awareness Month


In recognition of May as Mental Health Awareness Month, the Nevada County Board of Supervisors passed a proclamation this month making May Mental Health Awareness Month in Nevada County and highlighting the importance of promoting mental health through prevention, education and support for key services.

“Each year during Mental Health Awareness Month we want to remind our friends and neighbors how important it is to take care of our mental health!” said Nevada County Behavioral Health Director Phebe Bell. “Support your resilience through healthy eating, exercise, enough sleep and connections with friends and loved ones. But also know that we all have rough patches in life, and it is OK to reach out for help when you are struggling. Resources and supports are here for you!”

During the month of May, Nevada County Behavioral Health and Public Health held a number of outreach events and trainings, including health fairs at local schools and Know the Signs suicide prevention trainings. On Monday, May 5, Public Health partnered with the Grass Valley Library on a suicide prevention and mental health training for library patrons in partnership with the library’s Adulting series. Outreach events and trainings will continue into June with mental health resources and information available at the Nevada County Health & Safety Fair on June 7 and the Pride Family Picnic on June 8.

“In rural areas like Nevada County, mental health care and support are not always as easy to access, but they are just as essential as anywhere else,” said Nevada County Health Officer Dr. Sherilynn Cooke. “That’s why we’re committed to ensuring every resident—whether in town or out in the far reaches of the county—has the resources they need. Mental Health Awareness Month is an opportunity to raise awareness about these resources, making sure people know where to turn when they or someone they care about needs support.”

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As Mental Health Awareness Month comes to a close, Nevada County Behavioral Health and Public Health remind residents that mental health resources are available all year.

In May of last year, Nevada County Behavioral Health and Public Health launched the Mental Health Matters Nevada County campaign to increase the public’s awareness, understanding, and access to mental health and suicide prevention resources. The central feature of the campaign is a website, www.MentalHealthMattersNC.com, where residents can go to learn about important mental health and suicide prevention resources.

Since launching on May 1 of last year, the site has had 70,193 unique site visitors and 162,300 total site visits.

“We are excited about the response to the Mental Health Matters Nevada County campaign and website,” said Corinne Amezcua, Suicide Prevention Coordinator at Nevada County Public Health. “We want to make it as easy as possible for people to get the mental health support they need—whether it is for themselves, a loved one or just to be more aware of how they can support mental health for their neighbors.”

Residents can learn more about mental health resources in Nevada County by visiting www.MentalHealthMattersNC.com, including information, outreach materials, and resources about mental health and suicide prevention.

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400 students, 170 staff at Sierra Nevada Job Corps in limbo after Trump cuts announced

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400 students, 170 staff at Sierra Nevada Job Corps in limbo after Trump cuts announced


Sierra Nevada Job Corps in Reno announced to its staff and students Thursday afternoon that it’s shutting down after President Donald Trump ordered its funding be cut to zero.

It’s part of a 60-year-old nationwide program funded by the federal government to train low-income youth ages 16 to 24 for jobs in construction, auto mechanics, nursing, welding, culinary arts, security and more.

“Usually we have about 400 kids on campus at a time,” said Leslie Mix, who handles business relations at Sierra Nevada Job Corps. “It’s a constant flow of young people. We’ve got over 300 kids in the queue waiting to come here.”

Located in Stead with a staff of about 170, the campus includes five dorms, a certified high school, cafeteria and medical services.

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According to a news release, the Labor Department will arrange transportation and cover costs to transfer students back to their homes of record by June 30.

“Most of the kids live here so all their stuff is here,” Mix said. “It’ll have to be packed up and transportation arranged. Some can go by air; some will have to go by bus. It’s a cluster.”

Job Corps employees will likely be unemployed, at least in the short term. Staff are not federal employees but paid by independent contractors.

“The Department will provide staff with targeted information and eligibility determination for employment services, access to apprenticeship programs, job fairs, unemployment compensation, armed service recruiters, and alternative education and employment training programs,” the Labor Department said.

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Reason for Job Corps elimination

President Trump has called Job Corps a “failed experiment,” saying that the per-student cost each year — estimated at $80,000 — is not a good use of money.

“Job Corps was created to help young adults build a pathway to a better life through education, training and community,” said Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer in a statement. “However, a startling number of serious incident reports and our in-depth fiscal analysis reveal the program is no longer achieving the intended outcomes that students deserve.”

Released in April, the Labor Department analysis found:

  • Job Corps nationally has a graduation rate of 39%.
  • Students earn $17,000 a year on average after leaving the program.
  • And that in 2023, there were almost 15,000 “serious incident reports” on Job Corps campuses including 1,764 acts of violence.

“The Job Corps program has faced significant financial challenges under its current operating structure,” the Labor Department said, adding that its deficit is projected to reach $213 million in 2025.  

Response to Labor Department claims

Mix took issue with the Labor Department claims.

Violence and drugs are automatic expulsions at Job Corps, she said.

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Also, she found the federal analysis faulty because it’s based on data from the year after the pandemic.

“Job Corps shut down for the pandemic and was only allowed to keep the homeless kids,” she said. “We needed to ramp up (in 2023). So it was not an accurate depiction of what happens with the Job Corps program.”

She said the claim of $80,000 a year per student doesn’t take into account the cost that the young people would have on society if not learning a trade nor the benefits they bring in the years after graduation.

“We draw our kids from at or below poverty level,” Mix said. “They are often homeless. They have very dysfunctional families. They’re living off of the system. They’re in foster care. Half the students who come here haven’t finished high school. Many can’t read. They are already costing the government money.”

Most students were headed toward low-paying jobs or even prison. By contrast, upon graduating from Job Corps, they’ve got a high school diploma and training certifications in various trades.

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The least they’re going to make coming out of the Job Corps program is $17.50 and that can increase to $31, Mix said.

“You’ve now got a young person with a lot of self-confidence,” she said. “Now they’re making a good wage and they’re paying taxes that will continue for the rest of their lives. They are able to buy houses, they’re able to buy cars, they’re able to raise families.”

She said Sierra Nevada Job Corps works with employers all over the state: casinos, security jobs, restaurants and medical clinics.

“With Job Corps closing, essentially, there’s going to be a very large amount of young people across the country that have nowhere to go,” Mix said.

Reactions from Nevada’s congressional delegation

President Trump tried to get rid of the Job Corps program in his first term but failed, in part, because of strong bipartisan support.

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One Republican who’s a big fan is Rep. Mark Amodei. His congressional district covers Nevada’s northern half.

“I’m just one of those guys who think it has value since I basically grew up with Job Corps in western Nevada my whole life,” he told the RGJ.

He said his office got a call from the White House on May 28 saying it was “zeroing out” Job Corps in Nevada.

Amodei said he wants to research the numbers to understand what the true costs of the program are and what the costs would be if those young people did not have access to Job Corps.

“If you come to a conclusion that (zeroing out funding for Job Corps) is not a good policy, then I’ll vote against it,” he said.

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Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto said this is just another example of the Trump administration making life more difficult for Nevadans.

“Job Corps provides important skills training that plays a vital role in helping Nevadans of all backgrounds find and keep a job,” she said in a statement to the RGJ. “In typical Trump fashion, rather than finding ways to improve the program, he’s just gutting it and making everyday Americans suffer.”

Sen. Jacky Rosen called on Trump to reverse course.

“A stop work order would have immediate and severe impacts in Nevada, cutting off our youth population from critical job training needed to build the skills necessary to secure and maintain good-paying jobs,” she said.

Mark Robison is the state politics reporter for the Reno Gazette Journal, with occasional forays into other topics. Email comments to mrobison@rgj.com or comment on Mark’s Greater Reno Facebook page.

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