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4 Reasons Broncos HC Sean Payton Botched Crucial Two-Point Decision

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4 Reasons Broncos HC Sean Payton Botched Crucial Two-Point Decision


Against the Cincinnati Bengals, Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix and wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. made excellent plays near the end of regulation, putting the team in a position to tie or win the game. Down by one point with eight seconds left in regulation, Broncos head coach Sean Payton decided to go for the extra point, bringing the game to a 24-all score.

This led to overtime, where the Broncos eventually lost to the Bengals 30-24. While Payton’s decision to forego the two-point attempt may have seemed like the right one, it wasn’t, and there are a few reasons why. 

First up, you have the defense’s performance. Sure, the Broncos had two fourth-down stops on the Bengals’ first two drives and a fumble recovery. The Broncos also hadn’t forced a single Bengals punt in regulation. The Broncos defense allowed all but two of the Bengals’ drives to go for 50-plus yards, one of which was Patrick Surtain II’s forced fumble. 

Cornerback Riley Moss was exploited all game, and Ja’Quan McMillian was also a problem for the Broncos. Denver’s linebackers were having issues, and one of its two safeties played a good game.

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The only aspect of the Broncos defense that had a strong showing overall was the defensive line and one of their outside linebackers. Nik Bonitto was held to a quiet game, and while Jonathon Cooper had some plays, he also made many mistakes. Dondrea Tillman had the best night of that group. 

With how the Broncos defense had performed until then, Payton was remiss in trusting them in overtime to keep the Bengals out of the end zone. It was great to see the Broncos force a punt on the Bengals’ first overtime drive, only to be let down by an offense that used a questionable play-calling sequence.

The Broncos allowed the Bengals to move down the field into field goal range. Cincy missed, which bailed out the defense, only for Nix and the offense to go three-and-out for the second time in overtime. 

The Broncos defense then crumbled, allowing the Bengals to move the ball downfield and score the game-winning touchdown. The Broncos defense had struggled all night, and, again, it was misguided at best and wrong at worst for Payton to trust them in overtime. While that’s the defense’s vulnerability was the biggest reason he was wrong to pass on the two-point attempt at the end of regulation, there were other factors, too.

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Now, regarding two-point conversions, Payton has attempted 48 of them as a head coach. He’s been successful on 21 two-point attempts in his coaching career, including 4-of-8 as Broncos head coach.

Another reason Payton erred by not attempting the two-point conversion is that this team is aggressive and was a play away from clinching a playoff spot. Even with the Kansas City Chiefs expected to rest starters next week, a win isn’t guaranteed for Denver. Payton built this team to be aggressive, and yet he was conservative at this moment. 

How do we know that? Well, Payton said it himself. The Broncos were ready to go for two until they realized a tie would still get them into the playoffs.

So, the Broncos played for the tie, which brings this back to the first point: Payton’s misguided trust in the defense. Payton’s offense wasn’t doing well for most of the game, but it got the job done against some pretty stiff odds, so keep trusting them to get this win. Going for two also would’ve sent a loud message to the whole team. 

Denver Broncos Quarterback Bo Nix (10) sets up a play vs. the Cincinnati Bengals.

CINCINNATI, OH – DECEMBER 28: Denver Broncos Quarterback Bo Nix (10) sets up a play during the NFL, American Football Herren, USA football game between the Denver Broncos and the Cincinnati Bengals on December 28, 2024, at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. / Michael Allio / IMAGO / Icon Sportswire

Speaking of the offense getting the job done, that final drive wasn’t the prettiest, but they got into the end zone on an extraordinary play and catch. Momentum was with the Broncos, they were running the ball exceptionally well, and the football gods were giving them all the right breaks.

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The Broncos would’ve had a lot of options open for what to call to get them the two yards, especially with Nix’s ability with his legs. Denver had the Bengals’ defense on its heels, especially with that final play, and Payton should’ve looked to exploit that. 

Yes, if the Broncos had failed on a two-point, they would have lost. However, that still would’ve been better than playing for the tie, as Payton admitted was a big part of his logic calculation.

When you play not to lose, you end up losing often. Broncos Country has seen this with multiple coaches over the years and even with Payton over the past two. He has a lot of trust in the quarterback he chose to lead this team, and in that critical moment, the chips were down, and Payton’s decision didn’t show trust in the young quarterback he handpicked.

What does the data say about overtime? Over the past 10 years in the NFL, the away team has won 41.6% of overtime games, with 6.11% ending in a tie, which is what Payton was playing for (more on that later). Playing for an overtime win came with a success probability of less than 50%, and that’s in a vacuum, without considering anything else. 

That’s a 43.75% success rate in his career and a 50% success rate as the Broncos coach. So, there is a combined 47.7% chance of an overtime win or tie for a road team compared to Payton’s 43.75% success rate on two-point conversions. When the other factors above come into play, attempting the two-point conversion would be the logical decision. 

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Payton’s job isn’t dependent on a playoff spot, and he has two years (at least) before his seat even gets hot. With nine wins, he has this team overachieving this year, but in back-to-back games, his gaffes with end-of-half or end-of-game situations have hurt the team.

Yes, hindsight is 20/20 and many out there were okay with Payton’s decision to play for overtime. But let’s be clear; it was the wrong decision, and it came back to bite the Broncos.

Hopefully, it doesn’t blow back on Denver even more by losing to the Chiefs and missing the playoffs. The Broncos are still a win away, and they had their chance to clinch. Let’s hope the story ends differently in Denver’s last bite at the apple.

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University of Denver to close Ricks Center for Gifted Children next year

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University of Denver to close Ricks Center for Gifted Children next year


The University of Denver will close the Ricks Center for Gifted Children next year as enrollment has fallen in recent years, the college announced this week.

The Ricks Center, which serves gifted children as young as 3 years old, will operate for the 2026-27 academic year before closing, according to a letter DU sent parents on Wednesday.

“The University of Denver has made the difficult decision to close the Ricks Center for Gifted Children at the conclusion of the 2026–2027 academic year,” spokesman Jon Stone said in a statement. “This decision reflects long-term operational and financial considerations and is not a reflection of the school’s quality, leadership, or community.”

The center, which is located on DU’s campus, was started in 1984 as the University Center for Gifted Young Children. The program offers classes to students in preschool through eighth grade, according to the website.

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The program, along with other public K-12 schools in the state, has experienced declining enrollment in recent years. The center enrolled 142 students for the 2025-26 academic year, which is down from 200 pupils four years ago.



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David Fountaine Black Obituary | The Denver Post

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David Fountaine Black Obituary |  The Denver Post



David Fountaine Black


OBITUARY

Dave and Martha and their three boys moved to Denver in 1974 when Dave started work at the Rocky Mountain Arsenal. He and a business partner later purchased Mid-America Plating Company. Dave operated Mid-America for 36 years and finally retired in 2018.

He was a great golfer and natural athlete. Dave was an avid runner, and for many years, he woke up before the sun to get his miles in before work. He and Martha loved playing bridge with friends, gardening – growing fruit and flowers – and spending time outside relaxing and walking on the High Line Canal Trail and in Bible Park. Dave and Martha enjoyed getting back to Arizona during the winter at their Tucson home. They loved spending time with their family.

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Dave passed away on February 20, 2026. He is loved by family and friends and will be missed. Dave was a hard-working, kind, optimistic, and thoughtful person who leaves the world a better place. He is survived by his wife, Martha, and his three sons, Dave (Robin), Tom (Debbie), Eric (Kendra), as well as six grandchildren and three great grandchildren, Casey (Nicole), Jake (Ashleigh and great granddaughter Faye), Hailey (Robby and great granddaughter Jensen), Keenan (Nicole and great granddaughter Olivia), Griffin, and Addie (Erik).



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10 takeaways from the Celtics looking a step behind in Denver

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10 takeaways from the Celtics looking a step behind in Denver


Sometimes in life, you feel like you’re a step behind. Nothing big, but yet, it creates a difference between where you should be and where you are, and this small difference has consequences. Well, that’s how it felt looking at the Celtics’ off-ball defense last night.

This first bucket from the Nuggets is a great example of the Nuggets being a step ahead. The screen from Cam Johnson causes a bit of chaos as Derrick White and Jaylen Brown don’t switch, leaving a lot of space for Jamal Murray to cut to the rim. A few possessions later, it’s Brown again who is half a second late when Johnson starts moving, and that’s enough for the Nuggets to punish the Celtics.

Denver is a very smart, very well coached team. It isn’t a surprise they involved Jordan Walsh’s matchup in the screen because the young wing has a tendency to overpressure off-ball. Therefore, with all the screens and movement the Nuggets are creating, it is hard for him to keep up.

This game was a great example of what makes a team like Denver so good. They can find a breach in a great defense by targeting players’ tendencies. Like the Celtics, they scout, they learn, and they adapt their approach to the opponent, and it worked out pretty well, even in garbage time.

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#2 – The offense broke under pressure

On offense, the Celtics lost the ball on more than 15% of their possessions. When this happens, the Celtics have a 50% win rate. Taking care of the ball is one of the foundations of that team, and they couldn’t deliver last night. Led by Bruce Brown and Spencer Jones, the Nuggets put a lot of pressure on the Celtics’ ball-handlers.

They also didn’t hesitate to bring a second defender to force a quicker decision and generated some mistakes from Boston. With that appetite for steals and the domination on the offensive glass, the Denver Nuggets were able to generate 10 more field-goal attempts than the Celtics. And when the Celtics lose the possession battle, it becomes a lot harder to compete against the best teams in the league.

It was a different sight than usual on defense for the Denver Nuggets. We are used to seeing Jokic hedging on the pick-and-roll to force a pass and put pressure on the ball-handler, but this wasn’t the case last night. The guards put a lot of pressure while the Serbian was commanding from the back.

It was an interesting way to take away the paint from the Celtics while showing bodies beyond the three-point line. While Jokic was in the paint behind the pick-and-roll, the Nuggets’ closest defender next to the screen would come to disrupt the action.

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Thanks to that, Jokic had less effort to expend on defense and could compensate on offense. In some possessions, Jokic would come up to surprise the ball-handler and create some chaos, like here:

But overall, the 3-time MVP remained in a drop position, and this explains why the Celtics had so much trouble getting to the paint last night.

#4 – Denver daring Ron Harper Junior to shoot

The young wing is discovering the NBA and what it is like to be scouted by the best teams in the world. After a standout performance against the Suns, he was back on the bench to start the game. Yet, like every other player on the roster, the Nuggets scouted him and had a plan in mind for when he would come onto the court.

As the defensive plan was to protect the paint at all costs, they decided to leave him alone beyond the line to make sure the Celtics touched the paint as little as possible.

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The Celtics tried to get him involved in the screening action, hoping he would draw some attention from the defense, but the Nuggets couldn’t care less about his shooting threat.

In the end, that approach worked out pretty well for Denver as Harper shot one for seven from deep in 10 minutes. This also took away part of his offensive impact, and the Celtics had to adapt their rotation.

Because the Nuggets were willing to leave non-shooters open, the Celtics tried their double-big lineup again. If the opponent isn’t going to respect your shooters, you might as well play big. And the idea makes sense.

Because the Celtics played with two bigs and the non-shooter of the two is Neemias Queta, Vucevic was matched up with a smaller player. Therefore, it was easier for him to get a mismatch in the post. However, it was also easier for Jokic to come help from behind because of Queta’s presence in the paint.

To make this work on offense, I think the Celtics need to work on high-low offense with more movement from the off-ball players around the two centers. Defensively, it brought more rebounding stability and rim protection. The Celtics could target non-shooting threats like Christian Braun so the paint remained stacked.

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If the Celtics can build some offensive synergy between Queta and Vucevic, things could be really fun and bring a great balance against big teams like Denver.

Because Denver was so aggressive when it came to protecting the paint, the Celtics decided to start their actions from the half-court line to stretch the Denver defense.

Here, a zoom action for Derrick White starts from half court, with Sam Hauser screening at the logo and Queta handing off at the three-point line. Because of that space and the distance of the screen, Jones has more difficulty containing White. This created a little bit of chaos in the defense and worked pretty well.

Yet, starting from deep isn’t enough, and using screens correctly remains one of the most important parts of off-ball actions. Here, look how easy it is for the Denver Nuggets defenders to stay connected to their matchup despite the various screens.

The idea was great, the execution not so much. Yet, it gives some perspective on how the Celtics offense can adapt when the spacing is missing.

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#7 – More volume for White?

Looking at the stats from cleaningtheglass.com, I’m left with a couple of questions.

First, why didn’t White have more opportunities with the shot? He was really efficient with 1.25 points per shot attempt, created chaos with his speed and passing, and yet his usage was pretty average.

In the meantime, Jaylen Brown’s usage was once again close to 40% despite really low efficiency. When the defense shrinks the space like last night, I would like to see more possessions for White to unlock Jaylen Brown off-ball.

Against such a smart defense, isolation and drives in a crowded paint won’t work as much as usual, and the Celtics need to readjust how JB plays against elite teams to make sure to maximize him next to a great connector like Derrick White. The former Colorado guard scored 18 points in the second quarter but couldn’t get anything going after that.

#8 – More minutes for Hauser?

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A second question I would have asked is why Sam Hauser didn’t get more minutes. As we saw earlier, the Nuggets were willing to leave a shooter open to protect the paint – even if that shooter was Sam Hauser.

So, when Sam was the guy next to the ball on the pick-and-roll, it created great things for the Celtics because the help defender couldn’t fully commit. And if he did, the Celtics could swing the ball to the wing.

Even if he didn’t make all the shots, the added value in spacing was so crucial that it was vital for the Celtics to keep him on the court to have the best chance on offense.

#9 – Be patient with Vucevic

It took seven games for someone to raise the question – let’s be patient. And also let’s take a step back and remember that Vucevic isn’t the Celtics’ savior. He never has been an efficient scorer, never been a great interior defender. But he is a smart player with great passing for a 7-footer.

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If you are expecting Nikola Vucevic to reach Kristaps Porzingis’ numbers in rim protection and scoring efficiency, well, be prepared to wait for a while because it never was the case. However, Vucevic can bring a push in the possession battle while providing spacing and great secondary passing once he gets more comfortable in the Celtics offense.

Let’s be nice, let’s be patient, this roster isn’t changing anytime soon.

#10 – Out of gas, out of air

Three games in four days, the last one 5280 feet above sea level, and the Celtics were out of gas and out of air.

This month, they played six games on the road, a lot of time away from home. March should be far more comfortable with nine games at TD Garden.

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Might be the perfect timing for Jayson Tatum to come back (and for me to book a ticket from France to cover some games from the ground).”



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