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Baylor vs. Colorado prediction, odds, best bets for NCAAF Week 4

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Baylor vs. Colorado prediction, odds, best bets for NCAAF Week 4


Baylor University will take on Deion Sanders’ Colorado Buffaloes at Folsom Field on Saturday, scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET. Ahead of this Big 12 Conference opener between two programs that have recently bounced back from early-season losses, the data analysts at Dimers.com have simulated the Baylor-Colorado matchup 10,000 times, then compared the results to current NCAAF betting odds to inform the data-driven betting preview below.

This preview includes Dimers’ best bets and predicted scoreline for the Colorado Buffaloes vs. Baylor Bears. To unlock Dimers’ full suite of data-driven betting insights, which includes daily props, trends, and parlays, sign up for Dimers Pro with promo code SYRACUSE10, which will save you 10% off your first subscription payment.

NCAAF Week 4 tip for CO residents: If you’re a college football fan in Colorado, you can claim huge betting bonuses with the exclusive Bet365 bonus code “DIMERS”, our new FanDuel promo code for NFL Sunday Ticket that expires 9/22, and this brand new DraftKings promo.

Baylor vs. Colorado betting preview

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Explore the interactive widget below to see the current spread, over/under, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Baylor-Colorado matchup at Folsom Field.

This prediction and best bet for Saturday’s college football matchup between Baylor and Colorado is from Dimers.com, a trusted source for sports betting predictions.

Check out all the important details on tonight’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.

Game details

The key information you need before the Baylor vs. Colorado college football game.

  • Teams: Baylor vs. Colorado
  • Date: Saturday, September 21, 2024
  • Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Folsom Field
  • NCAAM rankings: Updated AP Top 25
  • College basketball news: Check the latest updates from the official NCAA basketball news site

Odds

Odds for the key markets in the Baylor-Colorado college football contest.

  • Spread: Baylor +1.5 (-105), Colorado -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Baylor +105, Colorado -125
  • Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-108/-110)

The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting site at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Expert prediction: Baylor vs. Colorado

Utilizing trusted data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Baylor vs. Colorado matchup.

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According to Dimers’ popular predictive analytics model, Colorado is more likely to defeat Baylor at Folsom Field. This prediction is based on the model giving Colorado a 56% chance of winning the game.

Furthermore, Dimers predicts that Colorado (-1.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

These predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Baylor vs. Colorado best bet

Our top pick for the Baylor vs. Colorado game on Saturday is to bet on Under 51.5 points (-110).

This betting advice is based on comprehensive modeling and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to bring you the best possible plays.

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Score prediction for Baylor vs. Colorado

Dimers’ predicted final score for the Baylor vs. Colorado game on Saturday has Colorado winning 26-24.

This expert prediction is based on each team’s average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.

College football Week 4: Baylor vs. Colorado

Get ready for Saturday’s college football action between Baylor and Colorado at Folsom Field, which is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET. We emphasize that all of the college football best bets and college football predictions in this preview are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Baylor vs. Colorado matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publication. They are intended to help you make more informed choices when placing bets at online sportsbooks.

Please note that when engaging in online betting, it is important to exercise responsible gambling practices and consult trustworthy sources for the latest and most accurate information.



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Thursday Rockpile: The Rockies’ mixed ABS Challenge results

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Thursday Rockpile: The Rockies’ mixed ABS Challenge results


After having spent years experimenting in limited capacities and controlled environments, MLB officially rolled out the Automated Ball-Strike Challenge System for the 2026 season.

The allure of analyzing the entirely new type of data that ABS challenges present has been hard to resist. To be able to draw any useful conclusions, though, we all collectively needed to wait for the sample size to get to a somewhat meaningful size. On Tuesday, official ABS challenges in regular season MLB games crossed the one thousand mark. That big round number would seem to be a reasonable minimum mark to start looking at the data.

At start of play Wednesday, here’s where the league wide basics stood:

  • Overall success rate on challenges has been 54% so far, with a notable difference between those initiated by hitters (47%) vs. those from fielders (60%).
  • Almost all fielder reviews have been initiated by catchers, with only 21 of the 554 having come from pitchers.
  • Teams so far have very different tendencies for when to challenge: The range of challenge attempts extends from the Minnesota Twins at 58 all the way down to the Boston Red Sox at only 20.
  • Teams are spreading their challenges around: No individual batter has initiated more challenges than José Caballero of the Yankees with a mere seven.

How have the Rockies specifically fared with this new system given their pre-season preparations?

The answer to that is vastly different between their batters and their fielders.

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Before Wednesday’s game, the Rockies batters had challenged 21 pitches and only succeeded on eight of those for an obviously poor 38% success rate.

Baseball Savant has put together a new metric called Runs vs. Expected which attempts to create a digestible overall run value for a team based on the challenges they attempted, their success rate, and the challenges they did not attempt but could have been expected to based on average trends. Essentially, the idea is to spit out an estimate of how many runs have been gained via ABS challenges compared to what an average team would be expected to have in the same circumstances.

The Rockies overall challenge win rate is not the lowest; however, their poor win rate combined with having initiated the fourth highest number of challenges means that Baseball Savant ranks the Rockies batters dead last in terms of Runs vs. Expected.

Baseball Savant

Like most teams, the Rockies are spreading their challenges around — the only hitter on the team who has challenged more than three times is Hunter Goodman. As a batter, Goodman has a won one challenge and lost four for a success rate of 20% in a very small sample size.

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The fielding side is a very different picture. The Rockies have initiated 27 challenges and won 19 of them for a sparkling 70% success rate.

Using the same Runs vs. Expected abstracted stat from Baseball Savant as examined above for their batters, the Rockies rank fourth in the league for fielder initiated challenges. They are tied with the Kansas City Royals and rank behind only the Miami Marlins, Seattle Mariners, and Minnesota Twins.

A table featuring data on fielder initiated ABS challenges from all 30 MLB teams as of April 15th. It is sorted by the highest Runs vs. Expected (Minnesota Twins at 2.2) down to the lowest (Los Angeles Angels at -1.4).

Baseball Savant

Both of the Rockies catchers have a success rate of over 70% and rank within the top ten in the league in total challenges won. The teams overall average is brought down slightly by José Quintana’s single failed attempt, but the tandem of Hunter Goodman and Brett Sullivan both been very good at utilizing this system.

Most players and teams strategies for how best to use this system in practice vs. in theory are still evolving. It will probably be a few seasons before these numbers start to really stabilize and we learn what the norms are. But, at first glance, the Rockies are in an interesting spot.

Their batters are doing far worse than average but their catchers (when not batting) are doing far better than average. They can go one of three ways given this:

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  • Put coaching resources into trying to improve their hitters success rate.
  • Limit the circumstances in which they want to let their hitters challenge, thus saving more challenges for their fielders.
  • Wait for more data before jumping to conclusions.

Any path forward is fine, so long as it’s not one that limits Brett Sullivan and Hunter Goodman while behind the plate as they both seem to be pretty darn good at this so far.

Triple-A: Albuquerque Isotopes 4, Oklahoma City Comets 3

A home run from Nicky Lopez and a big four hit day for Vimael Machín was pretty much all the offense the Isotopes needed to best the Comets. Keegan Thompson threw a solid 4.2 innings of two run ball before handing it off to the bullpen which shut down the Comets until a shaky 1.1 innings from Seth Halvorsen who allowed their final run in the ninth.

Double-A: Hartford Yard Goats 11, Richmond Flying Squirrels 13

On a warm night in Hartford the bats were scorching. Bryant Betancourt was four for six including a homer, Skyler Messinger was two for three with a double and two walks, and Zach Kokoska (who came in for Benny Montgomery after he hurt his leg on a play against the right field wall) was two for four with a walk and a home run. On the mound it was a tough night for both the starter Jake Brooks and closer Cade Denton as each of them allowed five runs.

High-A: Spokane Indians 6, Vancouver Canadians 14

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The Spokane lineup managed to score six runs despite no individual batter having more than two hits and Max Belyeu’s triple being their only extra base hit. A true team effort! On the mound it was, sadly, a similarly collective effort in terms of every pitcher contributing to the mountain of runs allowed. Yujanyer Herrera (five runs in 2.1 innings) and Justin Loer (four runs in 0.2 relief innings) bore the brunt of the damage from the Canadians’ bats.

Low-A: Fresno Grizzlies 9, Ontario Tower Buzzers 16

Wednesday was a night that Jhon Medina likely wishes to forget after having allowed eight earned runs in 0.2 relief innings after Marcos Herrera was pulled for the fourth after 77 pitches. On the hitting side, things went better, as Fresno hitters earned nine walks en route to those nine runs. In terms of standout performers, Jack O’Dowd hit the lone home run for the Grizzlies but Tanner Thach reached base three times including once on a double.

How to Judge the 2026 Colorado Rockies fairly | Mile High Sports

Drew Creasman digs into how best to evaluate a Rockies team that is expected to lose a lot. It’s a similar premise to an article I wrote before the season looking for a metric to judge the team by, but Creasman lays out the case for a measure that allows checking in more regularly and directly corresponds to how fun the team is to watch.

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Broncos owners made Russell Wilson go away. It’s time they make Kris Bryant go away, too. | The Denver Post ($)

Sean Keeler makes a case for something that is probably familiar with Rockies fans: Now is the time to work out a restructured contract with Kris Bryant that officially sees him removed from the team. Keeler draws parallels between what could become of the current situation with Bryant and how the Bronco’s saw almost immediate success after parting ways with Russel Wilson.

Colorado School Breaks College Softball Winning Streak Record | Westworld

Benito L. Kelty puts the spotlight on the Colorado Christian University softball team who are currently amidst a 38-game winning streak. This is the record within the Rocky Mountain Athletic Conference that they play in and it is possible that they could soon be challenging for the overall NCAA record of 55 consecutive wins. This is a local sports story absolutely worth keeping an eye on even if not directly tied to baseball.

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Summit Tigers girls hockey wins Colorado state championship with historic season

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Summit Tigers girls hockey wins Colorado state championship with historic season


Best record in the league’s regular season? Check. League playoff win? Check. State championship? Check. A spot in the record books? Check. 

The Summit Tigers 15U girls hockey team finished the year with a monumental season that’s never been seen in the club’s history, assistant coach Matthew Peacock said. The girls’ state championship is the first for the Summit Youth Hockey program, and it was thanks to a close-knit team that was never daunted. 

“One of the identities of our team is that these girls never gave up — like all season long,” Peacock said. “No matter what game we played, our girls never quit.”



The tenacity was on full display in a state playoff game against Arvada, where the team trailed 2-1 for the first two periods before a pivotal moment in the third and final period of play. Peacock recalls using a timeout to explain how he wasn’t worried because the girls were playing solid hockey, securing a majority of shots on net. 

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“I told the girls, again, I’m not worried about this game,” Peacock said. “Ladies, you’re playing incredible hockey. It’s going to pay off here in the third period. Sure enough, it did.”



The team ended up scoring a power play goal that was quickly followed by another goal, allowing the Tigers to win 3-2 and advance to the semifinals. That confidence stuck around, and the team faced Arvada again in the semifinals only to beat them 5-0. 

It led to a championship game against a Steamboat team playing some of its best hockey of the entire season, Peacock said. 

“Neither team wanted to lose,” Peacock said, noting the game was chippier than usual and quite physical. 

The Tigers were up against a “phenomenal” Steamboat goaltender, but they won 2-0, securing the championship on March 8, 2026. 

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Summit Tigers U15 girls hockey team captains Adeline Michalski, from left, Killoren Caldwell, Kaitlyn Valenti and Lily Collier pose for a photo with the state championship banner on March 8, 2026.
Courtesy photo

While Peacock commended the whole team for its success, he said the team’s captains played a monumental role in the historic season. The coaches decided to name captains quickly, giving them a chance to be leaders and mentors, and it paid off. 

The team had four captains, with Kaitlyn Valenti as the main captain. 

“Her leadership — she led by example, and everyone really looked up to her,” Peacock said. “She was a huge reason that we did so well. … She definitely had some clutch plays, goals and assists.”

The three other assistant captains — Lily Collier, Killoren Caldwell, and Adeline Michalski — also played key roles in the program’s success. Michalski spent countless hours outside of practice honing her skills and setting an example for the rest of the team, and Collier and Caldwell found their fifth gear in games, helping the team find momentum to overcome many challenges. 

“They were a huge, huge asset to us in the playoffs and throughout the whole season,” Peacock said. “We wouldn’t be the team that we were if it wasn’t for them.”

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Other girls that played key roles included Emma Sutherland and Lily Ford, who both play defense. Though they kept the other team from scoring goals, they also were shot-makers themselves. 

“Emma really was a backbone for the whole team. … Lily Ford has incredible stamina and energy. She never wears down,” Peacock said. “(She) can just keep going and going, just like Emma. … Those two were super important to all of our W’s in our whole season.”

The Tigers’ goalie — Kayla Stewart — also played a standout season. 

“She had more shutouts, I think, than anyone had up here,” Peacock said. “Defense wins championships, and if it wasn’t for our defense in goaltending, we wouldn’t have achieved what we did.”

Teresa Cerny scored the most points all season.    

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“There were games where (Cerny) would just put the team on her back and end up winning games for us,” Peacock said. “(She’s) probably one of the best forwards we’ve seen up here.”

Other teammates included Sadie Valenti, Olivia Sheill, Sienna Rudolf, Katie Radgowski, Cameron Olthoff, Aria Oliver, Rowan Lutke, Gemma Lovell, Veronica Hammer and Alice Grabham. 

The team’s coaching staff included head coach Brian Gard and assistant coaches Matthew Peacock, Calvin Taylor and Elle Dice. Margaret Caldwell was team manager, and Summit Youth Hockey’s administrators included director of operations Cody Aidala and director Chris Miller.





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Boulder bar owner agrees to give up Colorado liquor license amid allegations of drugging, sex assaults

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Boulder bar owner agrees to give up Colorado liquor license amid allegations of drugging, sex assaults



A Boulder bar owner has agreed to give up his Colorado liquor license and not apply for one for a decade after allegations of drugging and sexual assault. The bar owner also admitted to violating alcohol regulations during a special meeting on Monday. 

Scrooge Sul on Boulder’s University Hill

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CBS


The bar, Scrooge Sul, is located at 1149 13th Street on The Hill near the University of Colorado Boulder campus. The business has recently been at the center of a Boulder Police Department sex assault investigation in which drunk young women believe they were drugged and assaulted.  

According to investigators, the reported incidents involve intoxicated underage females. Investigators say there have been no arrests, and no suspect has been publicly identified, but detectives are actively pursuing leads.  

Anyone who thinks they might be able to help police with their investigation is asked to contact Detective Andrea Tuck at 720-854-8823 or TuckA@bouldercolorado.gov. The case number is 26-01803.  

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