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Rising Temperatures Are Intensifying California’s Atmospheric Rivers

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Rising Temperatures Are Intensifying California’s Atmospheric Rivers


This story was initially revealed by Grist. You’ll be able to subscribe to its weekly publication right here.

California is not any stranger to huge swings between moist and dry climate. The “atmospheric river” storms which have battered the state this winter are a part of a system that has lengthy interrupted intervals of drought with enormous bursts of rain — certainly, they supply someplace between 30 and 50 p.c of all precipitation on the West Coast.

The parade of storms that has struck California in current months has dropped greater than 30 trillion gallons of water on the state, refilling reservoirs that had sat empty for years and burying mountain cities in snow.

However local weather change is making these storms a lot wetter and extra intense, ratcheting up the danger of potential flooding in California and different states alongside the West Coast. That’s not solely as a result of the air over the Pacific will maintain extra moisture as sea temperatures rise, main to massive rain and snow volumes, but in addition as a result of warming temperatures on land will trigger extra precipitation to fall as rain sooner or later, which can result in extra harmful floods.

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The household of storms that descended on the state this week solely underscored this hazard, shattering snow data and overtopping levees throughout the state.

“There’s a cascading chain of impacts,” mentioned Tom Corringham, a researcher on the Scripps Establishment of Oceanography on the College of California, San Diego. “As you push the rivers more durable, as you push the flood safety system more durable and more durable, you get kind of exponentially growing impacts. You flood the entire floodplain, or a levee breaks, and that’s the place you get the actually catastrophic occasions.”

An “atmospheric river” is a protracted, slim ribbon of moisture that carries water vapor from the tropics to land at greater latitudes. One of the crucial well-known examples is the “Pineapple Categorical,” which streams eastward from Hawaii throughout the Pacific Ocean and makes landfall on the West Coast. The time period atmospheric river originated again within the Nineties, and caught on due to the excessive quantity of water that these ribbons can comprise: A single one can transfer greater than twice as a lot water by way of the sky as flows out of the mouth of the Amazon, the world’s largest river by quantity.

As sea and air temperatures within the Pacific Ocean rise, the storms hitting the West Coast now retain extra moisture, resulting in longer and extra intense bouts of rain. On the identical time, precipitation from low- and medium-intensity storms has began to taper off, leaving California to swing on a pendulum between excessive drought and excessive rain. Analysis means that with additional warming, atmospheric river occasions will account for an ever-larger share of California’s complete water finances, dumping water sooner than the state can take up it.

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“Throughout the globe, some locations are gonna get wetter, and a few locations are gonna get drier, and for California, it seems to be like we’re gonna get each,” mentioned Corringham. “There’ll be longer intervals of drought, after which when the rains come, these occasions are going to be extra intense. For water administration, that’s not what you need.”

When an atmospheric river touches down in North America, it releases all its moisture. Relying on the place you’re alongside the West Coast, you encounter that moisture as both rain or snow: lower-altitude areas just like the Central Valley expertise heavy rains, whereas mountainous areas just like the Sierra Nevada see large mounds of snow. With regards to controlling water and avoiding floods, this steadiness is essential: Snow piles up, creating a gentle supply of freshwater because it melts throughout hotter, drier months; excessive rain, in the meantime, rushes downstream unexpectedly.

Local weather change is upsetting this steadiness. The hotter it will get in California, the extra precipitation arrives as rain relatively than snow, which can put way more stress on the state’s rivers and reservoirs. The state’s reservoir methods are designed to soak up gradual snowmelt, however they will’t deal with a sudden inflow of speeding water.

Corringham’s analysis exhibits that as a result of a slight enhance in flooding may cause rivers to overtop levees and spill out into floodplains, the danger of flooding will increase exponentially even with a reasonable enhance within the wetness of an atmospheric river. Because of this, it received’t take a lot planetary warming to result in widespread flood devastation — the outcomes could also be seen over the following few many years, and even earlier.

We’ve already seen what huge bursts of rain can do to the state’s fragile water management system. In early 2017, when an atmospheric river storm eased the state’s final huge drought, water ranges on the state-managed Lake Oroville reservoir reached unprecedented heights. As rain saved falling, the reservoir’s spillway started to break down, forcing the state to evacuate greater than 180,000 individuals from the river basin downstream. A subsequent investigation discovered that federal regulators had deferred main upgrades on the spillway construction.

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Simply final week, throughout a torrential atmospheric river storm, a decades-old levee burst alongside the Pajaro River close to Santa Cruz, inundating your complete group. Officers within the city mentioned it might be months earlier than houses within the space are liveable.

Even when the state makes it by way of the current spherical of storms with out a catastrophic flood, it received’t be out of the woods but. That’s due to the monumental snowpack within the Sierra Nevada vary. As temperatures shoot up over the approaching months, a lot of that snow will thaw out and movement downstream, creating what one skilled has referred to as a “stress check” for the Central Valley’s flood administration system.

“If temperatures are hotter, and heat at a sooner fee, that may trigger the snowpack to soften sooner than regular, and it may be more durable to anticipate and more durable to manage,” mentioned Allison Michaelis, an affiliate professor at Northern Illinois College.

This text initially appeared in Grist at https://grist.org/extreme-weather/climate-change-atmospheric-river-pineapple-express-california-snowpack/. Grist is a nonprofit, unbiased media group devoted to telling tales of local weather options and a simply future. Be taught extra at Grist.org



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California declares state of emergency as US suffers first severe human case of bird flu

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California declares state of emergency as US suffers first severe human case of bird flu


The U.S. reported its first severe human case of bird flu on Wednesday in a Louisiana resident who is hospitalized in critical condition after suspected contact with an infected backyard flock.

California, the most populous state, declared an emergency over the H5N1 virus as it spread more widely in dairy herds and after it has infected dozens of farm workers this year.

Federal and state officials have failed to control the nation’s outbreak, which infected dairy cattle for the first time in 2024, as some farmers resist testing and containment measures.

After the U.S. reported its first severe human case of bird flu on Wednesday in Louisiana, the state of California has declared an emergency over the H5N1 virus. Getty Images

Severe respiratory illness in the Louisiana patient shows increased health risks for people from the virus that previously caused eye redness, or conjunctivitis, in infected dairy workers.

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Bird flu still represents a low risk to the general public, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said.

CDC has confirmed 61 human cases nationally since April, mostly in workers on dairy farms where the virus infected cattle.

Workers culling infected poultry also have tested positive.

The patient in Louisiana is suffering severe respiratory illness, the Louisiana Department of Health said in a statement.

The person is reported to have underlying medical conditions and is over the age of 65, the department said, putting the patient at higher risk.

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The case is the first to be linked to backyard, non-commercial poultry, said Demetre Daskalakis, director of CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, on a call with reporters.

The virus first infected dairy cattle in 2024 with some farmers resisting testing and containment measures. Getty Images

The CDC said a sporadic case of severe illness in a person with H5N1 bird flu is not unexpected as such cases have occurred in other countries in 2024 and prior years, including cases that led to death.

“The mild cases that we’ve seen in the United States largely reflect that many of the individuals are getting infected by dairy cows and that’s very different than getting infected with infected birds,” said Amesh Adalja, a senior scholar at Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security.

“If you look at the genotype of this patient in Louisiana, it wasn’t the cattle strain. It was a wild bird strain.”

CDC said partial viral genome data from the infected patient shows that the virus belongs to the D1.1 genotype, recently detected in wild birds and poultry in the United States and in recent human cases in British Columbia, Canada, and Washington state.

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This genotype of the virus is different from the B3.13 genotype detected in dairy cows, human cases in multiple states, and some poultry outbreaks in the country, CDC said.

The patient in Louisiana who contracted bird flu is suffering from severe respiratory illness. AP

Bird flu has infected more than 860 dairy herds in 16 states since March and killed 123 million poultry since the outbreak began in 2022.

In California, the top U.S. milk-producing state, 649 herds have tested positive since late August, roughly 60% of its herds, according to U.S. data.

Four southern California dairies tested positive on Dec. 12, “necessitating a shift from regional containment to statewide monitoring and response,” California Governor Gavin Newsom said in his emergency declaration.

Earlier cases had been centered in the Central Valley in the middle of the state.

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The declaration aims to streamline and expedite California’s response by allowing more flexibility for staffing, contracting and other rules, Newsom said.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture said it has enrolled 13 states in a newly launched national bulk milk bird flu testing plan, representing nearly half of the nation’s milk supply.



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Why Trump's looming battle with California over EVs will affect the entire auto industry

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Why Trump's looming battle with California over EVs will affect the entire auto industry


  • The Biden administration on Wednesday approved California’s ban on gas cars by 2035.
  • Trump has promised to revoke California’s authority to set strict limits on tailpipe pollution.
  • It’s a high-stakes fight over the future of electric vehicles and tackling the climate crisis.

The stage is set for another battle between President-elect Donald Trump and California over the state’s aggressive push for electric vehicles that could affect the rest of the country.

The Environmental Protection Agency on Wednesday said California can go ahead with its ban on the sale of new gas-powered cars by 2035. The approval is an attempt to safeguard the state’s strict limits on tailpipe pollution from Trump’s promise to revoke them and roll back other federal incentives for electric vehicles.

The stakes are high for automakers because what happens in California can dictate companies’ broader EV strategies and the pace of the country’s shift away from fossil fuels. The state accounts for some 11% of the US auto market and is also the top EV market in the country. In the first half of 2024, EVs and hybrids accounted for nearly 40% of sales in California.

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On top of that, 11 other states and Washington D.C. have adopted rules similar to California’s as they seek to reduce the country’s largest source of greenhouse gas emissions. The rules require automakers to sell a growing number of zero-emissions vehicles over time. In 2026, at least 35% of new cars, pickup trucks, and SUVs must be electric in California and five other states, while other states’ targets kick in in 2027.

Automakers largely support easing emissions regulations

While Trump will face legal challenges in trying to roll back California’s rules, he could find some automakers on his side.

The Alliance for Automotive Innovation, a lobbying group representing most new vehicle manufacturers in the US, has already asked Trump to ease emissions regulations but keep federal tax incentives that keep EVs affordable.

John Bozzella, president of the alliance, said Wednesday that the waiver was an expected development and the Trump administration will likely revoke it next year.

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“We’ve said the country should have a single, national standard to reduce carbon in transportation,” Bozzella said in a statement. “But the question about the general authority of California to establish a vehicle emissions program – and for other states to follow that program – is ultimately something for policymakers and the courts to sort out.”

Trump, some Republican lawmakers, and groups linked to fossil fuel interests have repeatedly attacked EVs on the campaign trail, falsely claiming that Americans would be forced to abandon their gas-powered vehicles.

Those attacks come as the EV market deals with a marked slowdown in demand, forcing many companies to reasses their long-term plans for battery-powered cars and, in some cases, add more hybrids to the mix. A pullback in production has made it harder for many companies to meet long-term emissions requirements. Automakers including General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis have laid off thousands of workers.

Auto market analysts, environmental lawyers, and policy experts told Business Insider that they expect the shift to zero-emissions vehicles to continue regardless of who’s in the White House — albeit at a slower pace if Trump and Congress overturn tax incentives to buy EVs and investments in charging infrastructure.

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“Whatever the Trump administration does this time, automakers’ concerns about stability will come up again because all of these manufacturers have said zero-emissions vehicles are the future,” Sean Donahue, an attorney who’s represented the Environmental Defense Fund in litigation over California’s emissions waiver, said.

He added that there’s pressure from regulators in other countries to address the climate crisis. US automakers also don’t want to fall far behind competitors in countries like China, where affordable EVs have taken off.

California looks to ‘Trump-proof’ its regulations

Even if Trump does revoke California’s emissions waiver, Gov. Gavin Newsom is already trying to “Trump-proof” the state, including its EV and climate policies.

Newsom said he would restore rebates for consumers who buy EVs if Trump ends the federal $7,500 tax credits enacted in the Inflation Reduction Act. This month, the state’s energy commission approved a $1.4 billion investment in EV charging and hydrogen fuel stations over the next four years. The commission said the funding could help build nearly 17,000 new public chargers for passenger vehicles — on top of the 152,000 available now.

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Newsom also convened a special legislative session to bolster California’s defenses against Trump’s attacks. Lawmakers could pass $25 million in new funding for the California Department of Justice so the state can file litigation against the Trump administration. That will likely happen if Trump revokes the state’s tailpipe pollution waiver.

Karoline Leavitt, a spokeswoman for the Trump transition team, said that Trump plans to stop what he says are attacks on gas-powered cars.

“When he takes office, President Trump will support the auto industry, allowing space for both gas-powered cars AND electric vehicles,” she said in an email.

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Ann Carlson, a professor of environmental law at the University of California at Los Angeles, told Business Insider that she expects the Trump administration to face an uphill legal battle.

She said the EPA has approved California’s authority to set strict rules for tailpipe pollution for decades because the state’s air quality is so bad. Otherwise, areas including Los Angeles and the Central Valley wouldn’t comply with federal air pollution laws and could be penalized.

“The sanction is the withholding of federal highway funds,” Carlson — who recently served as chief counsel to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration — said. “It’s quite draconian. So California has a pretty good argument that it needs these waivers to meet federal law.”

The Supreme Court last week agreed to consider a lawsuit that oil and gas producers filed against the EPA over its waivers allowing California to set stricter limits on tailpipe pollution than the federal government. However, SCOTUS will only decide whether fossil fuel makers have standing to sue over what they say is bureaucratic overreach and won’t consider whether California’s waiver is legal.

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James Di Filippo, a principal policy analyst at the research firm Atlas Public Policy, said automakers will likely continue to walk back their EV investments while the legal battles play out. Companies could seek another compromise with California to restore more certainty as they plan new vehicle models for years to come.

“If they’re uncertain about a regulatory outcome, they’ll default to a less intense push,” he said.





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Carnivorous squirrels documented in California

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Carnivorous squirrels documented in California


A California ground squirrel in Conta Costa County runs with a vole it hunted in its mouth. A study from UC Davis and University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire is the first to document widespread carnivorous feeding of voles by squirrels. Credit: Sonja Wild/UC Davis

A ground squirrel with cheeks stuffed with nuts, seeds or grains is a common sight. But a new study provides the first evidence that California ground squirrels also hunt, kill and eat voles. The study, led by the University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire and University of California, Davis, is the first to chronicle widespread carnivorous behavior among squirrels.

Published in the Journal of Ethology, the study fundamentally changes our understanding of ground squirrels. It suggests that what was considered a granivorous species actually is an opportunistic omnivore and more flexible in its diet than was assumed.

The observations occurred in 2024—the 12th year of the Long-term Behavioral Ecology of California Ground Squirrels Project conducted at Briones Regional Park in Contra Costa County. Out of 74 observed interactions with voles between June and July, 42% involved active hunting of these small rodents by ground squirrels.

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“This was shocking,” said lead author Jennifer E. Smith, an associate professor of biology at UW-Eau Claire who leads the long-term ground squirrels project with Sonja Wild of UC Davis.

“We had never seen this behavior before. Squirrels are one of the most familiar animals to people. We see them right outside our windows; we interact with them regularly. Yet here’s this never-before-encountered-in-science behavior that sheds light on the fact that there’s so much more to learn about the natural history of the world around us.”

Carnivorous squirrels documented in California
A California ground squirrel eats a vole it hunted in Briones Regional Park in Contra Costa County. Credit: Sonja Wild, UC Davis

Wild has observed hundreds of squirrels in nature and yet, even for her, when the undergraduate students came in from field work and told her what they had witnessed, she said, “No, I’m not sure what you’re referring to.” Then she watched the video.

“I could barely believe my eyes,” said Wild, a postdoctoral research fellow in the UC Davis Environmental Science and Policy department. “From then, we saw that behavior almost every day. Once we started looking, we saw it everywhere.”

Opportunists amid rapid change

Through videos, photos and direct observations at the regional park, the authors documented California ground squirrels of all ages and genders hunting, eating and competing over vole prey between June 10 and July 30.

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The squirrels’ carnivorous summer behavior peaked during the first two weeks of July, coinciding with an explosion of vole numbers at the park reported by citizen scientists on iNaturalist. This suggests the squirrels’ hunting behavior emerged alongside a temporary increase in the availability of prey, the study said. The scientists didn’t observe the squirrels hunting other mammals.

Carnivorous squirrels documented in California
A California ground squirrel dines on a vole it hunted in a Bay Area regional park. Credit: Sonja Wild, UC Davis

“The fact that California ground squirrels are behaviorally flexible and can respond to changes in food availability might help them persist in environments rapidly changing due to the presence of humans,” Wild said.

Smith added that many species, including the California ground squirrel, are “incredible opportunists.” From raccoons and coyotes to spotted hyenas and humans, the flexibility these mammals apply to their hunting strategies helps them change and adapt with the human landscape.

“Through this collaboration and the data coming in, we’re able to document this widespread behavior that we had no idea was going on,” Smith said. “Digital technology can inform the science, but there’s no replacement for going out there and witnessing the behavior because what animals are doing always surprises us.”

The researchers said many questions remain unanswered, including how widespread hunting behavior is among squirrels, whether and how it is passed down from parent to pup, and how it affects ecological processes.

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The authors are also excited to return to the field next summer to see what impact, if any, this year’s vole hunting may have on squirrel reproduction compared to the past decade.

More information:
Vole hunting: Novel predatory and carnivorous behavior by California ground squirrels, Journal of Ethology (2024). DOI: 10.1007/s10164-024-00832-6

Citation:
Carnivorous squirrels documented in California (2024, December 18)
retrieved 18 December 2024
from https://phys.org/news/2024-12-carnivorous-squirrels-documented-california.html

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