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Democrats favored in California’s competitive races, new poll finds

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Democrats favored in California’s competitive races, new poll finds


Plus, how California adults and likely voters are feeling about the direction of the country leading up to the November election.

SAN DIEGO (FOX 5/KUSI) — A majority of California voters, including those in competitive districts currently held by a Republican, said they plan to vote for Democratic candidates in a number of federal races this November, according to a new Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) poll.

Five months out from the general election, the poll sought to offer a snapshot of how voters are feeling about candidates, a handful of propositions set to be on the ballot, and the direction the Golden State and country is heading towards.

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According to PPIC, over 1,600 Californians were surveyed between May 23 to June 2 for the poll.

How respondents felt about candidates

Democratic candidates for congressional seats maintained a healthy lead in the poll, notably in 10 U.S. House of Representatives districts considered to be competitive this year and in the race to succeed the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein.

When asked how they would vote if the election for the U.S. House was held today, 62% of likely voters in California indicated they would cast their ballot for a Democrat while 36% said they would support a Republican, according to the poll.

In the state’s most competitive districts, which include several currently held by Republicans, 59% of overall likely voters favored the Democratic candidate and 39% leaned towards the Republican. About 2% of likely voters said they were undecided.

These in-play seats include the 3rd, 9th, 13th, 22nd, 27th, 40th, 41st, 45th, 47th and 49th U.S. House districts in California, according to the Cook Political Report.

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“Democratic candidates lead Republican candidates in local House district races by a 26-point margin and by a 20-point margin across the competitive districts,” said Mark Baldassare, PPIC Statewide Survey director and Miller Chair in Public Policy.

A similar margin exists for top-ticket races, according to the poll. Joe Biden leads Donald Trump as Californians’ presidential pick by a 24-point margin. However, 13% of voters said they would be opting for a third-party candidate.

In the race for U.S. Senate, Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff leads former baseball player and Republican Steve Garvey by 25 points (62% to 37%) — an advantage that remains “virtually unchanged” from the April poll, according to PPIC researchers.

Bond, tax-related ballot measures both draw disapproval

Likely voters in this latest PPIC poll seemed inclined to shoot down a couple key statewide ballot measures tied to bonds and taxes.

According to the poll, about 64% of likely voters in the state generally expressed skepticism about whether now is a good time to issue bonds for state programs and infrastructure projects. However, no specific bond proposals have made it onto the ballot yet.

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Meanwhile, majorities of likely voters said they would vote “no” on competing proposals to reform how local taxes and bonds can be passed.

About 63% of likely voters told pollsters they would oppose a citizens initiative to raise the threshold for voters to approve local tax increases to a two-thirds majority, as well as require statewide tax increases to get a two-thirds vote in each legislative chamber and get approval from a simple majority of voters.

As for a clashing proposal to replace the two-thirds vote requirement to a 55% majority approval for local tax and bond measures on public infrastructure and affordable housing, the poll said a simple majority (53%) are planning to vote “no.”

However, a majority of voters seemed inclined to approve another quasi-tax-related ballot measure that would require constitutional amendments to pass by a supermajority if they are seeking to increase the number of votes needed to approve a measure to the same threshold.

According to the poll, 58% of likely voters said they would support the proposal to make a supermajority, or two-thirds vote, required for a constitutional amendment proposing a two-thirds vote change for local and state measures.

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How voters feel about the state of California and U.S.

The poll found that a majority of adults and likely voters — 62% and 59%, respectively — said they believed things in California are generally going in the wrong direction, with Republicans and Independent respondents more likely to agree.

Meanwhile, an overwhelming majority of both groups expressed pessimism about the country at large, with 75% of adults and 74% of likely voters saying they think it’s headed in the wrong direction. The statement also garnered substantial majorities across political affiliation, the poll found.

Respondents also exhibited a negative outlook on the economy, with a solid majority of both groups saying they believed the state (68% all adults, 64% of likely voters) and country (68% all adults, 64% of likely voters) will endure “bad economic times” in the next year.

One of the major focal points of the economic health of the state touched on by the poll is California Gov. Gavin Newsom’s May revision to the state’s budget. After being read a brief description of what it entailed, the poll found varied views on it, but overall respondents appeared to have been supportive.

Overall, a simple majority of both adults and likely voters said they favored the governor’s approach to close a $45 billion-dollar deficit, although registered Democrats were significantly more likely to say they approved than Republicans.

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Responses are also more mixed when it comes to specific provisions of the May revision, the poll found. For instance, 51% of adults and 49% of likely voters said use of $4.2 billion from the state’s reserves to help address the budget shortfall was a “bad idea.”

“Majorities favor the governor’s revised state budget plan, while specific proposals for spending cuts and the use of rainy day funds receive more mixed reviews,” Baldassare said.



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Rep. Kevin Kiley announces run in California’s redrawn 6th Congressional District

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Rep. Kevin Kiley announces run in California’s redrawn 6th Congressional District



Congressman Kevin Kiley has announced his plan to run in California’s newly redrawn 6th district.

In a statement on Monday, Rep. Kiley revealed he had considered running in the 5th District – which could have set up a possible showdown between two current Republican officeholders.

“It’s true that I was fully prepared to run in the new 5th, having tested the waters and with polls showing a favorable outlook in a “safe” district. But doing what’s easy and what’s right are often not the same,” Kiley stated.

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Kiley currently represents California’s 3rd district, which originally comprised counties making up much of the back spine of the state.

As of the Prop. 50 redistricting push, the 3rd district was redrawn for the 2026 midterm election to lean toward the Democratic Party – with those eastern spine of California counties lopped off and more of Sacramento County, including Rancho Cordova, added.

California’s new 6th district is now comprised of Rocklin, Roseville, Citrus Heights, much of North and East Sacramento, and the city of West Sacramento. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera currently represents the district, but will be running for the new 3rd district in 2026.

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Other declared candidates for the 6th district include Democrats Lauren Babb Thomlinson, Thien Ho, Richard Pan, Kindra Pring, Tyler Vandenberg, and Republicans Christine Bish, Craig DeLuz, and Raymond Riehle. 

Kiley was first elected to the House in 2022 and was reelected in 2024. 





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Preliminary magnitude 3.3 earthquake strikes near San Ramon, USGS says

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Preliminary magnitude 3.3 earthquake strikes near San Ramon, USGS says


SAN RAMON, Calif. (KGO) — An earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 3.4 struck near San Ramon at 11:21 p.m. Sunday, the U.S. Geological Survey said.

USGS said the tremor was about 8.4 km in depth.

According to the Geological Survey, people typically report feeling earthquakes larger than about magnitude 2.5.

The closer to the surface an earthquake occurs, the more ground shaking and potential damage it will cause.

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No injuries have been reported.

This is the latest quake in San Ramon, which has seen multiple strings of tremors in the past several months.

Bay City News contributed to this report.

MAP: Significant San Francisco Bay Area fault lines and strong earthquakes
Zoom in on the map below and compare where you live to the significant faults and where strong earthquakes have struck in the Bay Area.

Stay with ABC7 News for the latest details on this developing story.

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More SoCal rallies for and against military action in Iran expected on Sunday and Monday

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More SoCal rallies for and against military action in Iran expected on Sunday and Monday


LOS ANGELES (KABC) — Worshippers across Los Angeles were met with an increased law enforcement presence on Sunday as police and sheriff’s deputies stepped up patrols outside mosques, synagogues and cultural landmarks following the strikes on Iran.

Local officials said there are no credible threats to Southern California, but the Los Angeles Police Department and the Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department heightened visibility as a precaution to ensure communities stay safe.

More demonstrations tied to the attack on Iran are expected Sunday and Monday. Several protests were held across Southern California on Saturday.

READ MORE | Rallies for and against military action in Iran draw demonstrators across Southern California

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While Iranian-Americans celebrated in Westwood, protesters gathered in downtown Los Angeles to oppose the Trump administration’s attacks against Iran.

While some groups gathered in downtown Los Angeles to protest the strikes, others assembled in Westwood to celebrate “the fall of the Ayotollah,” according to organizers.

Authorities said they will continue monitoring events as the region prepares for additional gatherings in the days ahead.

This is a developing story. This article will continue to be updated as more information becomes available.

Copyright © 2026 KABC Television, LLC. All rights reserved.

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