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The Sunday Minefield – October 30, 2022

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The Sunday Minefield – October 30, 2022


It’s laborious to consider however the November normal election is simply 9 days away! Greater than 28,000 Alaskans have already voted. As anticipated, there have been a couple of October surprises this week. One of many strangest being Republican Charlie Pierce’s operating mate, Edie Grunwald, introduced she’s executed with outdated Charlie. A lawsuit was filed that challenges West Anchorage Democratic Home candidate Jennie Armstrong’s residency claims. And the lightsabers from the pro-Kelly Tshibaka PAC lastly arrived!

Don’t neglect to tune into our dwell election protection on November 8! I might be joined by Mark Begich, Charisse Millett, and Ivan Moore. We may have outcomes, evaluation, and candidate interviews. Take a look at this nice promo video made by Cale Inexperienced.

 

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A pleasant message and reminder to all our readers. The Landmine is made doable on my own and a group of superior Alaskans. We’re working laborious to offer in-depth election protection for all the ongoing races. In the event you benefit from the content material we offer, please think about making a one time or recurring month-to-month donation. You possibly can click on right here to donate. We now have a donation system that makes it tremendous straightforward. We might actually admire it. And due to everybody who has been supportive.

Edie is Out

Inevitably there are at all times one or two October surprises earlier than a normal election. One this week gained’t have a lot materials impression on the election however is nonetheless fascinating. Edie Grunwald, the operating mate of Republican gubernatorial candidate Charlie Pierce, introduced she is bailing on Charlie. Nevertheless, it’s simply symbolic because the withdrawal deadline was in early September. Her choice got here after a lawsuit alleging sexual harassment in opposition to Pierce was filed by his former assistant when he was Kenai Peninsula Borough mayor. Grunwald ran for lieutenant governor in 2018, ending second in a six-way Republican major. Her previous with the Nationwide Guard scandal was a marketing campaign challenge. Possibly the third time would be the attraction for Edie.

Pierce has by no means been a critical candidate. He and Grunwald acquired simply over 6% of the vote within the major. But it surely was sufficient to get them within the top-four for the final. With Edie bailing and endorsing Republicans Mike Dunleavy and his operating mate Nancy Dahlstrom, the little help they’d is now even smaller. Pierce and Grunwald have been at all times going to get the fewest votes within the normal. And because the solely different Republican ticket, most of their second place votes have been going to Dunleavy/Dahlstrom. The questions now are:

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  1. What share does Pierce/Grunwald get on the primary spherical? I’m guessing round 5%.
  2. What share does Dunleavy/Dahlstrom get on the primary spherical? I’m guessing round 45%.
  3. What number of Pierce/Grunwald votes recycle to Dunleavy/Dahlstrom? Most of them will however some individuals will bullet vote or rank one of many different two tickers second.

If the second votes of Pierce/Grunwald don’t get Dunleavy/Dahlstrom over the 50% threshold, then it can get fascinating. The query will then be who will get third place, Gara/Prepare dinner or Walker/Drygas? After which how will their votes get reallocated? Sadly, we are going to all have to attend for 2 weeks after the election to search out out.

Jennie Not From the Block 

A lawsuit has been filed in opposition to the Division of Elections that challenges the candidacy of West Anchorage Democratic Home candidate Jennie Armstrong. This lawsuit comes after a Landmine article was revealed that factors out that Armstrong, based on her personal phrases and actions, moved right here in June of 2019. She claimed she moved right here on Might 20, 2019 on her declaration of candidacy, which was filed on June 1.

The Alaska Structure requires that legislative candidates should be Alaska residents for 3 years once they file for workplace. Armstrong got here to Alaska on Might 10, 2019 an a pre-planned journey to go to her now-husband. She stayed in Alaska for round ten days, then left to proceed her trip across the decrease 48. She got here again to Alaska in June 2019. However two non-resident fishing licenses she obtained in June 2019 listed a Louisiana handle as her residence, not the Anchorage handle she now claims she was dwelling at. And there’s one other fascinating truth within the lawsuit. Alaska Statute Sec. 01.10.055 Residency states:

(a) An individual establishes residency within the state by being bodily current within the state with the intent to stay within the state indefinitely and to make a house within the state.

(b) An individual demonstrates the intent required below (a) of this part

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(1) by sustaining a principal place of dwelling within the state for a minimum of 30 days or for an extended interval if an extended interval is required by legislation or regulation; and

The final half says you must maintain a principal place within the state for “a minimum of 30 days” to determine residency. Armstrong confirmed up in Alaska on Might 10 by her personal admission. Which, based on the statute, would imply the soonest she may set up residency can be June 10. This implies her candidacy is ineligible. However the Division of Elections licensed her candidacy after she filed as a result of they take individuals at their phrases once they file for workplace. They solely examine if somebody recordsdata a criticism, which nobody did for Armstrong. Her residency challenge solely turned obvious to me after I lately noticed her official candidate assertion. In that assertion, she says she has been a resident since 2019.

A decide ought to be assigned to the case tomorrow. The lawsuit references the continuing case in opposition to Consultant David Eastman (R – Wasilla). In that case, a decide ordered the Division of Elections to not certify his race till after the trial. It might be ironic if the case in opposition to Eastman, a Republican, is used to delay the certification within the case in opposition to Armstrong, a Democrat. The one different candidate on the poll in opposition to Armstrong is Republican Liz Vazquez. Armstrong will simply win the election. However what if the court docket finds her ineligible after she wins? Issues may get very free in West Anchorage and the State Home.

Different Happenings 

After a number of delays, the Kelly Tshibaka lightsabers lastly arrived! The PAC who ordered the 20,000 lightsabers put out this video after they handed them out. It’s undoubtedly one of many weirder moments of this entire marketing campaign cycle. The funniest half is the lightsabers have been made in China.

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The Debate for the State for the U.S. Home and U.S. Senate races have been this week. Just like the gubernatorial debate, candidates have been restricted to brief solutions so there was not a lot substance. There have been a couple of noteworthy moments. Congresswoman Mary Peltola (D – Alaska) wore the late Don Younger’s iconic bolo tie. Libertarian Chris Bye gave some traditional libertarian solutions. And Senator Lisa Murkowski (R – Alaska) went after Kelly Tshibaka’s Alaska bona fides for under transferring again to Alaska in 2019.

This Week’s Unfastened Unit 

This week’s designee is a primary timer and somebody I by no means thought would attain Unfastened Unit standing. However as everyone knows, everybody in Alaska politics has the capability to get free, particularly throughout marketing campaign season. This week’s Unfastened Unit is Republican State Home candidate Stanley Wright. On Tuesday, Wright’s marketing campaign had a legislation agency ship a stop and desist letter to Ted Eischeid, Wright’s Democratic opponent. The letter references a lit piece from Eischeid that criticizes Wright’s function in Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson’s to date failed try and cope with homelessness.

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Sending a stop and desist letter to a political opponent by itself is free. However this one is one other degree of free. The letter says Wright “has no engagement with homelessness in his function as an worker on the Municipality of Anchorage.” Anticipate it.

A Might 10 press launch from the Municipality of Anchorage particularly about Stanley Wright talks about his function in serving to remedy homelessness. The press launch quotes Joe Gerace, so there’s that. Wright can also be listed as attending a minimum of two Municipality of Anchorage Housing, Homelessness, and Neighborhood Improvement conferences. You actually can’t make this shit up. Traditional Unfastened Unit conduct by Stanley Wright.

You probably have a nomination for this week’s Unfastened Unit, or when you’ve got any political information, tales or gossip (or any outdated pics of politicians or public officers) please electronic mail me at jeff@alaskalandmine.com.





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Alaska

As Alaska sees a spike in Flu cases — another virus is on the rise in the U.S.

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As Alaska sees a spike in Flu cases — another virus is on the rise in the U.S.


FAIRBANKS, Alaska (KTUU) – Alaska has recently seen a rise in both influenza and respiratory syncytial virus, better known as RSV. Amidst the spike in both illnesses, norovirus has also been on the rise in the United States. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) says it’s highly contagious and hand sanitizers don’t work well against it.

Current data for Alaska shows 449 influenza cases and 262 RSV cases for the week of Jan. 4. Influenza predominantly impacts the Kenai area, the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, and the Northwest regions of the state. RSV is also seeing significant activity in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta and Anchorage.

Both are respiratory viruses that are treatable, but norovirus — which behaves like the stomach flu according to the CDC — is seeing a surge at the national level. It “causes acute gastroenteritis, an inflammation of the stomach or intestines,” as stated on the CDC webpage.

This virus is spread through close contact with infected people and surfaces, particularly food.

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“Basically any place that people aggregate in close quarters, they’re going to be especially at risk,” said Dr. Sanjay Gupta, CNN’s Chief Medical Correspondent.

Preventing infection is possible but does require diligence. Just using hand sanitizer “does not work well against norovirus,” according to the CDC. Instead, the CDC advises washing your hands with soap and hot water for at least 20 seconds. When preparing food or cleaning fabrics — the virus “can survive temperatures as high as 145°F,” as stated by the CDC.

According to Dr. Gupta, its proteins make it difficult to kill, leaving many cleaning methods ineffective. To ensure a given product can kill the virus, he advises checking the label to see if it claims it can kill norovirus. Gupta said you can also make your own “by mixing bleach with water, 3/4 of a cup of bleach per gallon of water.”

For fabrics, it’s best to clean with water temperatures set to hot or steam cleaning at 175°F for five minutes.

As for foods, it’s best to throw out any items that might have norovirus. As a protective measure, it’s best to cook oysters and shellfish to a temperature greater than 145°F.

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Based on Alaska Department of Health data, reported COVID-19 cases are significantly lower than this time last year.

See a spelling or grammatical error? Report it to web@ktuu.com



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Sky Watch Alaska: planets align plus the aurora forecast

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Sky Watch Alaska: planets align plus the aurora forecast


ANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) – This is a great time of year to do some star gazing. If you have clear skies in your part of Alaska, take the time to check out the night — and morning — sky.

After sunset, look toward the southwest. Saturn and Venus are snuggled up together (of course, they are more than 800 million miles apart) in the evening sky. They set at about 9:40 p.m. in Southcentral.

Before 9:40 p.m., you can see four planets with the naked eye — Saturn, Venus, Jupiter and Mars. Jupiter and Mars stick around through the morning. Mars is very close to the moon right now.

The Aurora forecast is fairly weak for the next few weeks. That’s not to say there won’t be the occasional burst but overall, solar activity is expected to be fairly low until the beginning of February.

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If you get great pictures of the planets, the sky, or the aurora, don’t forget to send them to Alaska’s News Source.

See a spelling or grammar error? Report it to web@ktuu.com



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Short-lived cold snap, with another warming trend this weekend

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Short-lived cold snap, with another warming trend this weekend


ANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) – Temperatures across the state are cooling off, as our strong low from the weekend moves into the Chukchi Sea. This will set up for colder air to spread across the state this week, as another short-lived cold snap is expected. While some light snow is possible for the Interior, areas of the Slope and Western Alaska, Southcentral will stay on the drier side until the night. Meanwhile, Southeast will continue to hold onto moderate rain with gusty conditions.

SOUTHCENTRAL:

Temperatures this morning are 10 to 20 degrees colder than yesterday, as colder air has settled back into Southcentral. Clear skies and calm winds are evident this morning for parts of the region, with light snow falling through the Copper River Basin. We’ll see fairly quiet conditions today, outside of Kodiak which will see increasing snow and rain into the afternoon and evening hours. This comes as our next area of low pressure moves up the Alaska Peninsula.

We’ll see light snow spreading north across the Kenai overnight into Wednesday, with light snow expected through Prince William Sound. Several inches are likely through the Kenai and Chugach Mountains, with the pass expected to see a couple of inches of accumulation. Western parts of the Kenai will see the potential for a few inches, while inland areas of Southcentral largely stay dry. If Anchorage and surrounding locations see any accumulation, it’ll amount to less than half an inch.

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As snow tapers off Wednesday, we’ll see the return to colder and drier conditions into Thursday. Thursday may be the coldest day this week across the region, before another warming trend carries us into next week. Right now holding with snow through early next week, but areas of wintry mix are possible as highs warm above freezing.

SOUTHEAST:

The winter storm warning for Skagway and higher elevations expired at 6am this morning. While some light snow showers are still possible, little accumulation will occur the rest of the day. Scattered to periodic showers are occurring elsewhere across Southeast today, with less than half an inch of rainfall through the day. Any moisture available into the evening will see a transition to some wintry mix or snow into Wednesday morning. However, the better chance will come from another low lifting north into the panhandle. Any snow and wintry mix we see for Wednesday will primarily stay confined to the central and southern panhandle. We’ll see much cooler weather taking hold this week for Southeast.

INTERIOR:

Some areas of light snow are possible this morning, with less than half an inch to be expected. While temperatures are still warm for much of the Interior, highs will steadily fall throughout the day. Many areas will see lows bottom out near or below zero by tomorrow morning. We’ll see high pressure keep things dry and sunny through the next couple of days, with the coldest stretch of weather from Wednesday morning into Thursday morning. Much like the rest of the state will experience, a warming trend arrives this weekend. We’ll see the return to highs in the 20s, with some snow in the forecast. Be prepared for some gusty conditions through the Alaska Range by the close of this week.

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SLOPE/WESTERN ALASKA:

Areas of light snow and blowing winds will continue to impact the Slope, with a winter weather advisory remaining in place for the Central Brooks Range and the Beaufort Sea Coast. Both locations will see up to 1 inch of snow and gusty winds up to 35 mph. While the winter weather advisory will expire for the Central Brooks Range this afternoon, the Beaufort Sea Coast will see the alert continue into Tuesday evening. Snow and blowing snow will be the primary impact today, with a return to colder weather through the rest of this week, this comes as high pressure settles into the area.

The storm responsible for the damaging winds for Southcentral over the weekend, has pushed north into the Chukchi Sea. We’ll still see some light snow accumulations for Western Alaska, with 1 to 3 inches expected. Some fo the heaviest snow will fall across the Seward Peninsula and the Western Brooks Range.

An area of low pressure in the Bering Sea will keep gusty winds and snow in the forecast for Gambell/St. Lawrence. Be prepared for heavy snow at times and areas of reduced visibility. Overall, colder weather will settle into Western Alaska, with the possibility of morning fog in the valleys over the next few mornings.

ALEUTIANS:

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Some light areas of snow will occur for the Pribilof Islands and into parts of the Alaska Peninsula today, as a weak low moves up the Peninsula. This will be the main focus for snow into Wednesday for Southcentral. This low will bring heavy precipitation and gusty winds for the Eastern Aleutians and the Alaska Peninsula. Looking ahead through the rest of the week, we can expect to see more a ridge beginning to build into the region. This ridge will slowly shift east, keeping several upper level disturbances traversing the Aleutians. Temperatures will remain fairly warm in the 30s and 40s.

OUTLOOK AHEAD:

Model consensus continues to agree on another warming trend heading our way into next week. This stretch of warmth will likely lead to many spots cementing themselves within the top warmest January’s on record. While we’ll spend the rest of this week on the colder side, highs steadily climb this weekend into next week. We’ll see highs in Southcentral climbing back above freezing, with areas of the Interior climbing back into the 20s.

Have a safe and wonderful Tuesday!

See a spelling or grammar error? Report it to web@ktuu.com

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