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This is the story of Craig Johnston – a footballer like no other

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This is the story of Craig Johnston – a footballer like no other

Many footballers like to market themselves as one-offs; few truly are.

Craig Johnston, however, is the exception. The Australian won five English league titles and a European Cup at Liverpool in the 1980s but his football achievements are perhaps the least remarkable thing about him.

He is an engineer and a businessman; a chart-topping musician; the creator of a television gameshow and the inventor of a hotel mini bar security system. He retired at the peak of his sporting powers, went bankrupt after investing millions in a football skills test for children in schools and is now a passionate photographer.

Yet ask the man himself what he makes of his extraordinary life — one that has spanned 64 years and three continents, and which surely makes him one of the most remarkable footballers who has ever lived — and he is almost blase.

“I’m interested, who knows if you’re interesting?” he tells The Athletic, via a Zoom call from Newcastle, Australia where he now lives. “Some of the most boring people in the world think they’re interesting.”

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The Craig Johnston story is astonishing, and yet it almost never happened — or at least not in the way it has panned out.

The son of Australian parents — Colin, an aspiring footballer himself, and Dorothy, a teacher, who had met on a ship coming over to the UK — Johnston quickly fell in love with football, which his mother deemed a safer bet than rugby union, rugby league or Australian Rules Football.

Johnston, who was born in South Africa before moving to Australia, was a skinny child but enthusiastic and clearly blessed with a natural talent but his hopes of forging a career in the sport were almost snuffed out when he developed a serious leg condition aged six.

Initially, doctors told the family the young Johnston had contracted polio and that they would probably have to amputate his leg. It was only the intervention of a specialist doctor from the United States which prevented it: he, correctly, diagnosed osteomyelitis, a bone infection which can cause permanent damage if left untreated. Johnston had an operation and the leg was saved.

The young boy was still left bedridden as he recovered, but his time in hospital did have one positive legacy.

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“It was 1966 and England were hosting the World Cup, so when I was in the hospital with my leg, that’s when I fell in love with British football,” he recalls. “I told one of the nurses, ‘I’m going to go to England and be a soccer player and I’m going to score at Wembley one day.’ She patted me on the head, laughed and said, ‘Yes, of course you are’.”

Johnston spent weeks on crutches but his dream to become a footballer was undimmed. Eventually, he struck a deal with his parents: if he studied hard at school in science, maths and English, then he could travel to England on his own to try and make it a reality.

Aged 14, Johnston wrote to several clubs, asking if they might consider taking him on trial. The only one to respond were Middlesbrough, who agreed to his request, so long as he covered the cost of his own flight, food and accommodation.

It was a huge undertaking for the family — Johnston says his parents sold their house and moved to a smaller one to help finance it — but, a year later, he had arrived in England’s north east with nothing to his name other than small amount of cash, a bag of clothes and a pair of second-hand football boots.

It has the feel of a fairy tale and yet there was nothing romantic about his first interaction with Middlesbrough manager Jack Charlton, who had been part of that England 1966 World Cup-winning squad and was now establishing himself as a brusque, no-nonsense manager in the Football League.

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Jack Charlton (smoking) was not impressed by Craig Johnston (PA Images via Getty Images)

Johnston had started in a trial game but, after a dismal 45 minutes, found himself hauled off at half-time and publicly humiliated by Charlton.

“He said, ‘You’re the worst f***ing football player I’ve seen in my life, now hop it’,” Johnston remembers. “I said, ‘What, now?’ and he just said, ‘Yeah!’ So I picked my little bag up. I remember it was freezing cold.”

It was a bruising setback, yet Johnston said it was also the making of him. Hiding from Charlton, who Johnston admitted was “100 per cent right” in his assessment of his abilities at the time, he then spent “six or seven hours a day” practising and honing his technique in the Middlesbrough car park, while also “cleaning cars and boots for all the players”.

That ritual went on for the next 18 months, by which time Charlton had been replaced as manager by John Neal.

“He saw me cleaning cars and said, ‘I’m the new manager, where are you from?’ I said, ‘I’m from Australia, I’m Craig Johnston’. He said, ‘Are you an apprentice?’ I said, ‘No I’m a trialist that didn’t quite work out so I clean the cars and the boots and then I practise as much as I can’.

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“One day, there was a virus at the club and they didn’t have enough players to fill the reserve team so he asked, ‘What about the kangaroo in the car park?’ And the lads said, ‘No, he’s s***’. He said, ‘Well, he doesn’t have to play, he just needs to be on the team sheet’.

“Anyway, we were getting beat so I came on and scored a couple of goals and that was my reserve-team debut. From there, things happened very fast. At 17 years old, I made my debut for Boro.”


Johnston was a hit with Middlesbrough once he broke into the first team (Mark Leech / Getty Images)

By 1981, Johnston’s progress had drawn the attention of some of England’s biggest clubs. Nottingham Forest, European champions in the two previous campaigns under the management of the irascible but brilliant Brian Clough, wanted to sign him — as did Liverpool.

“I didn’t know what to do, I was still only 20, so I phoned my dad back in Australia,” Johnston explains. “He said, ‘Forest is about a man, Clough, and he’s a very powerful man, but Liverpool is an institution’. So I signed for Liverpool, so I had to say no to Brian Clough and he went ballistic. He said, ‘Don’t you dare sign for Liverpool, you’re signing for me’. He did this amazing sell but once I’d spoken to my dad, I’d made my decision.”

It was at Liverpool — who paid a then club-record £650,000 for his services — that Johnston’s career took off. This was Anfield’s halcyon era, which saw them win 11 league titles between 1973 and 1990, together with four European Cups and a stack of domestic silverware.

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Johnston was at the heart of it, scoring 40 goals in 271 games across seven seasons on Merseyside. With his shoulder-length curly hair and chunky jewellery, he cut a distinctive figure in midfield and became a cult hero for supporters, as well as a popular figure in the dressing room.

“It had the lovely feel of a family club when I got there but it was the Scots, and the heavy influence of Bill Shankly, that were responsible for the discipline, the behaviour, the start of professionalism,” he says. “Their insistence that training had to be so rigid and correct, it was quite amazing, and it made me grow up very quickly. I loved the craic, but it was also brutal. If you tried to be a smart arse, you were slaughtered, it was very intimidating.”


Johnston (right) with player-manager Kenny Dalglish (left) and Steve Nicol on the parade for Liverpool’s league-cup double in 1986 (Simon Miles / Allsport / Getty Images / Hulton Archive)

His favourite memories included the 1986 league and FA Cup double under player-manager Kenny Dalglish, who made him an ever-present in the starting line up after Joe Fagan’s departure.

“I scored against Everton (in the 1986 FA Cup final) and we’d beaten Chelsea the week before to win the league,” he says. “I could have died on the spot a happy man, because that was my dream as the kid in the hospital bed. It was so incredible.”


Two years later, Liverpool were back at Wembley for the 1988 FA Cup final against Wimbledon.

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In the lead up to that match, Johnston co-wrote Liverpool’s official song for the game — the Anfield Rap, along with rapper Derek B and Gaye Bykers on Acid. It was designed to be a light-hearted celebration of the diversity of the Liverpool squad but proved an unlikely mainstream hit, reaching No 3 in the UK singles’ charts.

“It was a take on the dressing room and the culture of the dressing room,” Johnston explained. “Basically you’ve got two Scousers walking down the street, Steve McMahon and John Aldridge, and McMahon says, ‘Alright Aldo, sound as a pound’ and Aldo says, ‘I’m cushty, la, but there’s nothing down, the rest of the lads ain’t got it sussed, we’ll have to learn ’em to talk like us’.

“So that then goes into the Scottish accent, Zimbabwean accent, the Aussie accent, the Danish accent, the Cockney (London) accent. So the whole thing was how it was a mix of people from all over the world, all getting on with each other in what was the most successful team in the world.”

It wasn’t Johnston’s first dabbling in the music industry. A year earlier he also mixed his two favourite Liverpool chants — ‘The Pride of Merseyside’ and ‘A Liverbird Upon My Chest’ — to create a record, that was performed by singer-songwriter Joe Fagin. That only reached 81 in the charts, although the Liverbird chant has had a renaissance this season, becoming the unofficial anthem to Liverpool’s pursuit of the Premier League title.

After the success of the Anfield Rap, Johnston said he was asked by John Barnes, his Liverpool team-mate, to help with England’s 1990 World Cup song World in Motion, with the electronic band New Order. Johnston told how he came up with the idea to have a rap section in the song, which Barnes ended up performing. The song was a No 1 hit and is still regularly cited as one of the greatest football songs ever written.

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That 1988 FA Cup final should have been one of the high points of Johnston’s career, with Liverpool dominant in domestic football and the player himself entering the peak years of his career. Instead, that game against Wimbledon at Wembley — which ended in a shock 1-0 defeat for Dalglish’s team — proved his final game as a professional player.


Johnston’s playing career ended abruptly in 1988 (Mike King / Allsport / Getty Images)

For a year, Johnston had been dealing with a family tragedy: his younger sister, Faye, had suffered major brain damage in Morocco caused by inhaling gas from a faulty heater in her hotel room.

“No one at the club knew about Faye, other than the club secretary, Peter Robinson, and Kenny Dalglish,” Johnston says. “She was having operations. I had to go to Morocco and hire a plane to bring her back to a hospital in London, and then get my Mum and Dad over (from Australia).

“So I sometimes had to miss training to go to the hospital. Faye was very similar to me, she could have been my twin, we had the same mannerisms, the same attitude in life. We all thought she’d come out of the coma and unconsciousness, that was my dream.”

Eventually the Johnston family had to get Faye back home to Australia, with Craig’s parents also needing to return to work. He went with them, which meant leaving Liverpool and quitting the sport, although it still did not ensure a happy ending.

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“Unfortunately, Faye never recovered, she’s still in the same semi-conscious state,” Johnston says. “I see her a couple of times a week.”


The abrupt end of a stellar playing career would have crushed many footballers, but for Johnston it was simply the prelude to the most prolific period of his career.

As he says, “I was an inventor that became a soccer player” — specifically, of football boots, a passion project ever since those days cleaning the boots of his senior colleagues in that freezing car park in Middlesbrough.

“For those hours and hours in the car park, I was thinking, ‘What part of the boot, on what part of the ball, to what effect?’,” he says. “A lot of players do it instinctively and naturally because they’ve got a gift from God. I never had that, but I had the gift of problem-solving and inquisition and enthusiasm, so I figured out how to pass a ball, dribble, shoot, all that stuff.”

It was while Johnston was coaching children back in Australia that he had the idea for what became the Predator boot, one of the most iconic in the sport’s modern history.

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Johnston recalls telling the kids to use their foot like a table tennis bat to get spin on the ball. They responded by saying the ball was spinning off their boots, as it was starting to rain and they were made of leather, not rubber.

“I went home and I took the cover off a table tennis bat,” he recalls. “I stuck it on my boot, wrapped it with elastic band, went in the rain and the ball squealed like a pig when the rubber engaged with the polyurethane of the ball. You could see the ball gripping and it was squealing.”


Paul Gascoigne with his Predators in 1995, complete with their rubberised grip (Gary M. Prior / Allsport)

For the next four years, Johnston spent around £250,000 of his own money developing patents and trying out different designs, before taking his prototypes to boot manufacturers Nike, Puma, Reebok and Adidas.

“They all knocked them back and said, ‘That will never work’,” he recalled. “But I knew it worked.”

Hell-bent on proving them wrong, he travelled to Munich and got German footballers Franz Beckenbauer, Karl-Heinz Rummenigge and Hans Muller to put the boots on and kick it to each other, in the snow.

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He videotaped the session and took it back to Adidas, who were in financial difficulties at the time.

“I showed them the film and they went, ‘Don’t leave the room, we have to do a deal’.”

The boot wasn’t an instant hit and made little money when it launched in 1994. It only took off years later, when it was endorsed by superstars such as David Beckham and Zinedine Zidane.


David Beckham unveils his new Predator Adidas boots in 2005 (Evan Agostini / Getty Images)

By that time, though, Johnston had been bought out by Adidas. In previous interviews, including with the Daily Telegraph, he admitted this proved a costly decision as he had originally been guaranteed a two per cent share of all sales. Now, he says he would be fortunate to have even broken even from the Predator.


Johnston’s creative juices did not run dry at the Predator. He designed a second boot, The Pig, designed to give greater grip and control because of the rubber spikes running over it (‘Pig’ stood for ‘patented interactive grip’).

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Its design was a hit, earning Johnston a nomination for the UK Designer of the Year award in 2004, but The Pig never made it to market.

“It was much more effective than the Predator in terms of getting a ball from A to B,” Johnston says. “In terms of a velocity, a sweet spot area and a swerve, it probably had twice as much control over the ball as the Predator. But it never got out into the shops. It was quite an aggressive design and Reebok (who Johnston says had agreed to take it on) didn’t fully commit to it.”

There were other ventures which had varying degrees of success. He devised a TV family game show called The Main Event, which ran for two years in Australia between 1991 and 1992, and came up with the idea for a hotel mini bar (‘The Butler’) which automatically logged what had been removed from it.

He also created a skills assessment test for children called SupaSkills, endorsed by FIFA, that he took to inner-city schools. The premise was for kids to be able to rate their abilities in various criteria — including shooting, dribbling and heading — with established players, in an attempt to keep them focused on the sport and not fall victim to crime.

Johnston ploughed millions into the project, with investors including Blur’s Damon Albarn, but despite gaining support from FIFA, it failed to secure the necessary financial funding. The setback led to him being declared bankrupt at the UK’s High Court in 2004, as well as leaving him temporarily homeless. It also led to the break-up of his marriage.

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It was his nadir, but Johnston says any money he had ever earned had always been spent on his next project. His life, he admits, had been lived “on the brink”, with his passion for ideas always trumping his financial acumen.

Things are more settled now. Johnston, a father to four girls, devotes much of his time to photography, another lifelong hobby, although he hasn’t left his inventing days behind him entirely: he tells The Athletic he is working on another new football boot design.


Johnston is a keen photographer (Photo courtesy of Craig Johnston)

He is not a regular visitor back to the UK but, just before Christmas, he did make an emotional return to Liverpool for the first time in 20 years, taking in the 2-2 draw with Fulham.

“It really was powerful, because when you live 12,000 miles away, you forget where you were and what you were doing,” he says. “Because where I am now and what I am doing now is so very different.

“I’m 64 years old, I’m tough, I come from a tough school. I’ll never, ever be a victim because there’s always a solution. I’ve far from given up — I’m just beginning.”

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(Top photo: Courtesy of Craig Johnston)

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2026 World Cup Odds: Teams Favored to Advance to Knockout Stage

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2026 World Cup Odds: Teams Favored to Advance to Knockout Stage

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With the largest World Cup field in the history of the tournament, 32 of the 48 teams will be fighting for a spot in the knockout stage. 

66.6% of nations will advance out of the group stage this summer, which is a massive upgrade from 50% in past World Cups. Because of this, sportsbooks have adjusted with less favorable odds.

Prior to the start of the tournament, Spain, Argentina, Brazil, England, and Germany entered with the strongest odds to advance from the group stage, supported by recent major-tournament success and talent-rich rosters.

All five nations are heavily favored at -10000 to advance to the knockout round.

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The Spaniards are the defending European Champions while the Argentinians are looking to win back-to-back titles. Germany has not made it out of the group stage in the last two World Cups, but has always been a perennial contender— having won four titles in its history. And then of course there’s Brazil, which has more titles than any country with five. 

Now, after the conclusion of the first day of the World Cup, Mexico has joined the group at the top. El Tri has surged to -10000 to advance to the knockout stage after initially being just -1400. Mexico’s huge leap up the oddsboard is a direct result of its dominating 2-0 win over South Africa. 

With that in mind, let’s dive into the odds for each team to advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup as of June 12.

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Odds to Advance to Knockout Stage

Spain: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Argentina: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Brazil: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
England: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Mexico: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Germany: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Portugal: -5000 (bet $10 to win $10.20 total)
France: -5000 (bet $10 to win $10.20 total)
Belgium:-3500 (bet $10 to win $10.29 total)
South Korea: -2500 (bet $10 to win $10.40 total)
Switzerland: -1800 (bet $10 to win $10.56 total)
Netherlands: -1400 (bet $10 to win $10.71 total)
Morocco: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Colombia: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Uruguay: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Canada: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Ecuador: -900 (bet $10 to win $11.11 total)
Norway: -900 (bet $10 to win $11.11 total)
United States: -750 (bet $10 to win $11.33 total)

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The U.S. men’s national team is currently -750 to advance from Group D (Photo by Omar Vega/USSF/Getty Images).

Croatia: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Austria: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Türkiye: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Ivory Coast: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Japan: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Egypt: -340 (bet $10 to win $12.94 total)
Algeria: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
Scotland: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
Senegal: -230 (bet $10 to win $14.35 total)
Sweden: -230 (bet $10 to win $1435 total)
Bosnia and Herzegovina: -220 (bet $10 to win $14.55 total)
Paraguay: -205 (bet $10 to win $14.88 total)
Iran: -200 (bet $10 to win $15 total)
Czechia: -165 (bet $10 to win $16.06 total)
Ghana: -140 (bet $10 to win $17.14 total)
Australia: -110 (bet $10 to win $19.09 total)
DR Congo: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
 

Raúl Jiménez helped propel Mexico to a 2-0 win over South Africa in the opening match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (Photo by Yair Gonzalez/Jam Media/Getty Images).

Saudi Arabia: +105 (bet $10 to win $20.50 total)
Tunisia: +140 (bet $10 to win $24 total)
New Zealand: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Uzbekistan: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
Cape Verde: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Panama: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Qatar: +275 (bet $10 to win $37.50 total)
South Africa: +320 (bet $10 to win $42 total)
Jordan +350 (bet $10 to win $45 total)
Iraq: +450 (bet $10 to win $55 total)
Haiti: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)
Curaçao: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)

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Commentary: Cameron Brink is trying to navigate a fouled-up situation

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Commentary: Cameron Brink is trying to navigate a fouled-up situation

Cameron Brink said she’d appreciate some grace. She really would.

Sparks fans should give her some, because where else is she going to get it?

Certainly not from WNBA refs. Not from opponents with more to play for than ever. Certainly not from the game itself; basketball moves fast, and a bummer can become a bust in a blink.

But Brink, 24, is not on the brink of bust territory, no. Block that thought. Technically, it’s Year 3, but after a torn ACL derailed her as a rookie two summers ago, it’s practically like Year 2 for the former Stanford star. And by design, the WNBA is testing her confidence, her decision-making and her patience as she tries to reestablish herself as one of the WNBA’s best young players.

So, grace.

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The recognizable 6-foot-4 forward — she’s the long-blond-haired hooper in the New Balance ads — was the No. 2 overall pick in 2024.

Now she’s her team’s No. 3 option in the post. She’s coming off the bench behind Nneka Ogwumike and Dearica Hamby for the Sparks, who are a modest 6-6 after wins this week over the expansion Portland Fire and the struggling Seattle Storm.

Against the Fire, Brink scored two points and picked up four fouls in nine minutes. Then she went to Seattle and had 15 points in 18 minutes but was pulled with more than five minutes left in the fourth quarter after getting her third, fourth and fifth fouls in 86 seconds. (WNBA players get six fouls before being disqualified.)

For the season, Brink has been called for 49 fouls in 208 minutes. A foul about every four minutes!

They’re silly fouls and they’re phantom calls. Egregious and ticky-tack. Costly and common. A real fouled-up buffet. She sets screens that get scrutinized as if by the most vigilant TSA agent. And sometimes, yes, she’s doing the accidental tripping. Other times, the officials are.

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Her reputation precedes her, so everyone gets a superstar’s whistle when being defended by Brink. Opponents bake it into their game plans.

That can’t continue.

All that fouling is hindering Brink’s development because it’s robbing her of important in-game reps — which she needs, foremost, to figure out how to stop fouling.

Sparks forward Cameron Brink, left, blocks the shot of the Tempo’s Laura Juskaite during a game last month.

(Jeff Lewis / Associated Press)

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“At the pro level,” said Tara VanDerveer, Brink’s coach at Stanford, “every young player always has a lot of work to do. And I saw her make a three. I see her block shots. She rebounds, she can handle the ball, she’s unselfish, she’s a terrific talent. But there’s always things players need to work on.”

We know what Brink’s thing is.

“She has to be disciplined,” VanDerveer said. “And if you want something so badly, if you want to be an All-Star someday or make the Olympic team, you’ve got to be dependable … and I think anyone can change, if it’s behavior they recognize is not in their best interests or not in their team’s best interests. It’s hard, but it’s something I think people can do.

“That’s what Cam is working on.”

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And, VanDerveer added, “I’m really so excited that Nneka is there, because she will give her such great guidance and mentorship.”

And grace. Brink is getting that from Ogwumike — also a former Stanford star, the Sparks legend returned to L.A. this season after two seasons in Seattle — and her other teammates.

“I just do my best to lead by example,” Ogwumike, 35, said. “But then also let [Brink] know that she’s very capable, that she’s more than capable, which is exactly why she’s here with us and it’s exactly why we need her on this team.”

Sparks forward Cameron Brink, wearing a facemask, controls the ball while defended by Sun forward Raegan Beers.

Sparks forward Cameron Brink, wearing a facemask, controls the ball while defended by Sun forward Raegan Beers.

(Joe Buglewicz / Getty Images)

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But how long will Brink get grace from the Sparks in the what-have-you-done-for-me-lately business of basketball?

The foul trouble tells us why a win-now team wouldn’t trust her, why the Sparks would give meaningful minutes to two veteran post players ahead of her. Why they wouldn’t prioritize Brink’s development alongside winning as they strive to snap a previously unthinkable five-year playoff drought.

And what about fans? How patient will you all be with a player who was drafted immediately after Caitlin Clark and five spots in front of Angel Reese?

These days, that might depend on what the parlay calls for.

Or, preferably, whether you remember Brink’s first 15 WNBA games. All starts, all signs pointing to stardom. She showed up in 2024 throwing lavish block parties. Her 2.3 blocks per game were message-sending spikes, like what Lisa Leslie used to enthrall Sparks crowds with.

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From the jump, she had guys coming to games at Crypto.com Arena wearing her No. 22 jersey and little girls arriving in groups with No. 22 painted on their cheeks and “I love Cam Brink” signs in hand.

And then the torn ACL cost her 25 games of her rookie season and another 25 last season, plus her spot on the United States’ Olympic 3×3 women’s basketball team in Paris in 2024.

She had to start over. Lost a lot of ground. But you see that masked woman stuck on the Sparks’ bench for all but 17 minutes per game?

You can’t miss her. She’s looking uncomfortable in protective facial gear that either hinders her breathing or her peripheral vision, her only options to protect the torn septum she suffered in a victory over the Las Vegas Aces last month.

She’s the one with the 6-8 wingspan who’s averaging 9.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.5 blocks while shooting 52.1% from the field in her limited minutes.

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She’s still Cameron Brink. Between fouls, she’s fluid and fast and covers more of the court than almost anyone in the WNBA, able to leap from defending guards to centers in a single bound.

“It’s just looking at every day as a new opportunity to learn and grow and not getting too bogged down when things don’t go exactly as you planned,” Brink told me. “Because more times than not, things are not going to go how you want them to. And that’s life. So I just want to be able to put my best effort out there every single night.

She knows what the Sparks need from her: “To perform, just come on the floor and compete.”

To prove she can stay on the floor to compete.

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2026 World Cup Odds: How Far Will Team USA Go?

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2026 World Cup Odds: How Far Will Team USA Go?

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When will Team USA lose in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Or, will it not lose at all? 

Let’s check out the odds for the Americans’ stage of elimination at FanDuel Sportsbook, as of June 11.

Team USA — Stage of elimination odds

Last 32: +170 (bet $10 to win $27 total)
Last 16: +220 (bet $10 to win $32 total)
Group stage: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Quarterfinals: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Semifinals: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Runner-up: +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)
Outright winner: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)

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This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

The outlook appears to be … ho-hum?

If the odds ring true, the Americans are expected to make it out of the group stage but fall in the first knockout stage game. 

How would that result stack up against previous results? Well, at the 2022 World Cup, Team USA made it to the Round of 16, which was viewed as a stellar accomplishment. 

The U.S. men’s national team currently has 60-1 odds to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy this summer (Photo by Omar Vega/USSF/Getty Images).

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In 2018, the USA did not qualify for the World Cup, and in 2014 and 2010, the Americans also made it to the Round of 16. Their best result this century occurred in 2002, when the Americans made it all the way to the quarterfinals before being eliminated. 

In 1998, Team USA lost in the group stage, in 1994, it fell in the Round of 16, and in 1990, it also fell in the group stage.

With the expanded World Cup format, 32 teams will advance to the knockout stage (out of 48), giving teams a much better chance of getting out of the group stage than in previous tournaments. In past years, only 50% of the field advanced to the knockout round, but now 66.6% of teams will move on.

With that being said, anything less than a knockout round appearance on home soil would be viewed as a major failure this summer for Team USA.

The second result on the oddsboard is the “Last 16,” meaning the USA would make it out of the group stage and win one knockout stage game, before falling in the second knockout stage game. The third result is that the Americans failed to make it out of the group stage, and the fourth is that they made it to the quarterfinals, meaning they won two knockout stage games. 

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Making the semis, losing in the championship game and winning the championship are the three results with the longest odds. 

The U.S. begins its World Cup journey on Friday as the Stars and Stripes face Paraguay at Los Angeles Stadium. Getting off to a fast start in the group is crucial for the team’s World Cup dreams of making a deep run this summer. 

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