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The Briefing: Arsenal’s worrying start to 2025, a fix for the FA Cup and Walker’s legacy

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The Briefing: Arsenal’s worrying start to 2025, a fix for the FA Cup and Walker’s legacy

Welcome to The Briefing, where every Monday during this season The Athletic will discuss three of the biggest questions to arise from the weekend’s football.

This was the FA Cup weekend when Plymouth Argyle celebrated jettisoning Wayne Rooney by beating Brentford, Manchester City made short work of Salford City, Newcastle United were given a scare by Bromley and Tottenham Hotspur needed extra time to beat National League side Tamworth.

Here we will ask if their defeat by Manchester United is the start of something really bad for Arsenal, whether there is a better way to financially reward the giant-killers and where Kyle Walker ranks in the list of Premier League right-backs.


How bad is this going to get for Arsenal?

Things are really not going to plan for Arsenal in 2025.

Sure, it started quite nicely with a 3-1 win at Brentford, but since then they were meek in drawing with Brighton & Hove Albion, embarrassingly impotent in losing the first leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final 2-0 to Newcastle, and then there was the loss on penalties to Manchester United in the FA Cup third round on Sunday.

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They can’t even blame referees for this one, having been on the good side of most contentious decisions. Maybe we should be praising Manchester United for their stout performance in holding out for an hour with 10 men after Diogo Dalot’s red card, but it’s hard to ignore that Arsenal seem to be in quite the funk at the moment.

Bukayo Saka is out for who knows how long, as is his replacement Ethan Nwaneri, Ben White is injured too and Gabriel Jesus — just after it looked like he was coming into some sort of goalscoring form — was taken off on a stretcher having injured his knee.

Maybe even more worrying than that is barely any of their fit players seem in form. Martin Odegaard is out of sorts, Gabriel Martinelli too, Mikel Merino hasn’t really got started and we won’t dwell too much on Kai Havertz’s afternoon against United, for fear of kicking a man while he’s down.

The positive spin is that they have created plenty of chances in the past couple of games: 49 shots over 210 minutes for an xG of around 6.44. The negative spin is that it’s no good creating chances if you can’t take any of them.

After the game, manager Mikel Arteta conceded that, while his team dominated the ball and created plenty of chances, “There is an element that is about putting the ball in the back of the net”. Quite so.

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Maybe the gloom is too much. They haven’t lost in the league since the start of November. If they beat Tottenham on Wednesday, they could be three points off the top of the table — should leaders Liverpool lose to Nottingham Forest the night before. They’re looking good for automatic qualification in the Champions League. Maybe it’s better not to be in the FA Cup, given the fixture issues it could create.

But the signs aren’t great at the moment. It’s happening in probably the worst possible month, too: the inadequacies of their summer transfer window and not recruiting a proper goalscorer are being laid bare, so the clamour to fix that and spend some money in this window will grow and grow. Alternatively, maybe it could be the best possible month because they could actually buy someone to fix the problem. But don’t hold your breath.

At the moment, it’s a relatively brief poor run. The fear is that it could turn into something much worse than that.


Does the structure of the FA Cup need to change?

When the 90 minutes were up, the instinct was to be delighted for Tamworth that they had held Tottenham to a 0-0 draw. An amazing result that would now be rewarded with a lucrative replay at the Premier League side’s stadium.

And then you remember that replays are no longer a thing in the FA Cup, and a Tamworth team that featured builders and clothes shop workers would have to play another 30 minutes against a team of elite professional athletes, bringing their chances of avoiding defeat down to near zero.

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Tamworth had a chance to beat Tottenham with almost the last kick of the match before the game went to extra time (Cameron Smith – Danehouse/Getty Images)

It is worth pointing out we probably shouldn’t weep too much for Tamworth specifically, given that they benefitted from this exact structure in the second round, beating Burton Albion after extra time and penalties. But this is illustrative of a wider point.

go-deeper

GO DEEPER

In search of magic in the FA Cup third round

It feels less than ideal that replays have been eliminated in the name of easing workload, when Spurs went on both post and pre-season tours (to Australia, and Japan and South Korea respectively) in the summer.

Football finance expert Kieran Maguire estimated that a replay would have been worth £850,000 ($1million) to Tamworth, a club that has only recently been able to make their manager a full-time employee. Money that could be the lifeblood of a grassroots team has been sacrificed so the richest can top up their giant piles of cash with another few spoonfuls.

But it’s not quite that simple. First, the decision has been made and it’s not likely to be changed, so railing against it falls into the ‘old man shouts at cloud’ category. Second, fixture congestion is a genuine problem, and replays have gone in part because of the expansion of European competitions, which you can’t really blame the Football Association for. Third, extra time and penalties are often entertaining, as Arsenal vs Manchester United proved.

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One way of fixing the problem is to change the structure of the FA Cup’s prize money. Tamworth will receive £25,000 for their third-round defeat, while their opponents pocket £115,000 for winning. Those amounts increase as the tournament progresses, so the team that wins the final in May gets £2m.

The winners do not need that amount of money. In the Premier League era, the FA Cup has been won by one of Manchester United, Manchester City, Arsenal, Chelsea or Liverpool on 28 out of 32 occasions. The last time a team from outside the top flight won it was in 1980. The prize money for the FA Cup is loose change for clubs that bring in north of £700m every year.

So why not spread the prize money out a little more evenly throughout the rounds. Even if you halved the amount for the winners, that’s an extra £1m into the pot for the minnows. Sure, it wouldn’t be £850,000, but it would be a more constructive use of the money.

Better yet, why not have some sort of reverse sliding scale, according to the status of the team that wins a game? Say, if you’re a Premier League team and you win a round you get £X, but if a Championship team wins the same game they get £X times two, down to a National League team who would get £X times five?

Sure, it’s not perfect and it would make budgeting tricky, but it would allow the big teams to get what they want — avoiding the indignity of having to play a much inferior team that they couldn’t beat for a second time — and distribute the money in football more usefully.

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Modern football being the capitalist nightmare that it currently is, this will not happen. But it would be better for the game if it did.


Is Walker the Premier League’s greatest right-back?

If Kyle Walker has played his last game for Manchester City, it will represent a slightly odd exit for one of the key players in the most dominant team in Premier League history.

This isn’t the start of the break-up of the team that has won six of the past seven Premier League titles: Riyad Mahrez and Ilkay Gundogan left in 2023 (although a version of the latter has returned since), but Walker has been there since Pep Guardiola’s second season.

go-deeper

GO DEEPER

Kyle Walker, his request to leave Man City and what it means for player and club

His decline has been clear for a while and has been exposed on several occasions this season. Perhaps it would have been too much of an overhaul with Mahrez and Gundogan going that summer too but, in hindsight, it probably would have been better for all concerned if Walker’s mooted transfer to Bayern Munich had happened 18 months ago.

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But that should not obscure what a sensational player he has been for City — and England — over most of the past eight years. He has undoubtedly been among the best right-backs the Premier League has ever seen, and you could make a decent argument that he’s the very best.

None of the other candidates — Gary Neville, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Paulo Ferreira, Cesar Azpilicueta, Pablo Zabaleta, insert your own choice here — had/have quite the same all-round skills, able to defend as effectively as they can attack.

While he has never quite had the tactical nous or technique to be the inverted full-back who moves into midfield, his pace and defensive skills meant he could cover for John Stones, or whoever Guardiola chose to fulfil that role. He could cover so much ground that in most games City could afford to play three at the back without losing a huge amount in defence: N’Golo Kante was frequently cited as effectively being two players in one for Leicester City and Chelsea in midfield, but Walker did a similar thing in defence.

Latterly, his uncertainty going forward has led to him looking like he has the yips when it comes to crossing, and losing a yard or two of pace has meant he has been burned rather embarrassingly more times than is comfortable. Timo Werner absolutely rinsing him in City’s 4-0 defeat by Tottenham earlier in the season springs to mind, but there are many other examples of how his tactical brain has not quite come to terms with his physical limitations.


Fulham’s Adama Traore sprinting past Walker earlier this season (Oli Scarff/AFP via Getty Images)

It does sometimes feel like people in England have not quite warmed to him: perhaps it is a corollary of playing for a broadly unpopular team; perhaps it is to do with his very public private life; perhaps people genuinely do not rate him. But we should not underestimate how good he has been.

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It will be interesting to see how City adapt if Walker leaves, with AC Milan a possible destination. Prospective new signing Abdukodir Khusanov has been a centre-back to this point, but then again so was Josko Gvardiol. Does this mean Rico Lewis becomes a certain starter? Maybe Stones will be asked to fill in there. Perhaps Guardiola has some other tactical innovation up his sleeve.

But City will be saying goodbye to one of their defining players of this era. He will be missed.


Coming up

  • The lengthy FA Cup third-round weekend continues on Monday in Bermondsey, south London, with a prospective upset: Championship also-rans Millwall host National League also-rans Dagenham and Redbridge. It’s sort of a London derby — unless you’re a London purist and don’t think Dagenham counts.
  • Then there’s a bonus round of Premier League games, the highlight of which comes on Tuesday with what is, implausibly, a top-of-the-table clash between Nottingham Forest and Liverpool. Brentford host Manchester City, it’s Chelsea vs Bournemouth and West Ham United vs Fulham.
  • There’s another lively affair on Wednesday: the north London derby between Arsenal and Tottenham. Elsewhere, David Moyes takes charge of his second first game as Everton manager, as they face Aston Villa, while Leicester play Crystal Palace and it’s Newcastle vs Wolves.
  • And finally, on Thursday, Ipswich vs Brighton and Manchester United vs Southampton round off these midweek fixtures.
  • And throughout the week, the transfer window continues: will Manchester City sign Omar Marmoush and Khusanov? Will Manchester United find someone who’ll take Marcus Rashford? Will Walker get his move? Will Arsenal sign a forward? The Athletic’s transfer live blog will be up and running throughout the week with news and information from all of our club writers and, of course, David Ornstein.

(Top photos: Getty Images)

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Why Baseball Hall of Fame chair was ‘not surprised’ Roger Clemens and Barry Bonds struck out again

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Why Baseball Hall of Fame chair was ‘not surprised’ Roger Clemens and Barry Bonds struck out again

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Roger Clemens and Barry Bonds are likely down to their final at-bat when it comes to getting into the Baseball Hall of Fame.

The two missed out on their latest attempt of getting a spot in Cooperstown through the Contemporary Era Committee on Sunday. The 16-member panel voted for former San Francisco Giants and Houston Astros star Jeff Kent to get his place in the hallowed halls.

Second baseman Jeff Kent #21 of the San Francisco Giants walks on the infield during the MLB game against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sept. 19, 2002 at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. (Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)

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Baseball Hall of Fame Chair Jane Forbes Clark said Monday she believed Clemens and Bonds were turned down again because the committee members evaluate those who thrived in the Steroid Era in the same manner as baseball writers.

“I’m not surprised because I think there’s overlap and obviously discussions among the writers, and we have writers represented on that committee,” Clark said.

Bonds has denied knowingly using performance-enhancing drugs during his career. Clemens maintains he’s never used PEDs either. President Donald Trump also gave Clemens his backing before the committee voted.

ROGER CLEMENS, BARRY BONDS MISS OUT ON LATEST CHANCE TO ENTER BASEBALL HALL OF FAME

In this July 19, 2007, file photo, San Francisco Giants’ Barry Bonds hits a three-run home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Chicago Cubs in Chicago. (AP Photo/M. Spencer Green, File)

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The Baseball Hall of Fame announced last March that candidates who received fewer than five votes from the 16-person panel are not eligible for that committee’s ballot during the next three-year cycle. A candidate who is dropped later reappears on a ballot and again receives fewer than five votes would be barred from future ballot appearances.

If Clemens and Bonds reappear on the committee’s ballot in 2031 and fail to get five votes, they would be barred from future appearances unless the rules are changed again.

New York Yankees pitcher (22) Roger Clemens delivers against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. (Geoff Burke/USA TODAY Sports )

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“What’s lovely about it is it’s going to open up spots on the ballot so that more people can be reviewed,” Clark said. “They certainly can come back in six years, in ‘31, but between now and then some other people will have a chance because I think that’s really important.”

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The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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State championship football games set to produce lots of tears

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State championship football games set to produce lots of tears

Prepare for lots of tears this weekend at the CIF state championship football games in Orange County.

“No doubt,” Ventura High quarterback Derek Garcia said.

Seniors are playing in their final high school football games. Others will never play again unless it’s intramural football. And others are heading off to college in a matter of days as scholarship athletes, so win or lose, change is coming, which will challenge emotions when reality sets in.

“It’s been a great feeling all week knowing this will be my final high school game because most of the time you go in it’s up in the air,” Garcia said. “Win and you keep going or lose and you go home. It’s a great feeling we made it this far and we’re in the last possible game to play. We’re ready to go.”

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Garcia has been playing for his father, Tim, Ventura’s head coach, for years. Now it will end on Friday in a Division 3-AA final against San Francisco St. Ignatius at 8 p.m. at Fullerton High before heading off to Nevada Las Vegas.

“It’s hard sometimes, but it’s been able to bring us so many memories and so many great times together,” Garcia said. “It’s been an awesome journey and wouldn’t want it any other way.”

Some of the teams in state championship games are playing in their 16th game in a long, memorable season.

“It’s been cool to still be playing,” Garcia said.

On Jan. 18, he moves into his UNLV dorm, driving his truck and relying on his parents to help him move. But will his mom let him leave the family nest?

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“We’ll see when the day comes,” he said.

Yes, it’s that time for tears from football players and their parents.

There’s a tripleheader on Saturday at Saddleback College that should produce memorable games.

Open Division

De La Salle (12-0) vs. Santa Margarita (10-3), 8 p.m.

A Northern California team has not won in the state’s highest division since 2015. De La Salle’s speed could produce some big plays against the state’s best defense, particularly if 100-meter record holder Jaden Jefferson gets room to run. But Santa Margarita has its own big-play weapon in Trent Mosley, who had 10 catches for 292 yards two weeks ago against Corona Centennial. The pick: Santa Margarita.

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Division 1-A

Oxnard Pacifica (15-0) vs. Fresno Central East (13-1), 3:30 p.m.

This is a battle of junior quarterbacks. Pacifica’s Taylor Lee has has passed for 3,742 yards and 51 touchdowns. East has passed for 4,298 yards and 56 touchdowns. If you like offense, this could be the most entertaining game. The pick: Pacifica.

Division 2-A

Rio Hondo Prep (15-0) vs. Sonora (14-0), 11:30 a.m.

This is the game where small schools finally get the spotlight. Both love to run the ball, so the game might get completed in less than two hours. Sonora rushed for 340 yards in its regional final. Rio Hondo Prep had 263 yards rushing and attempted one pass. The pick: Sonora.

Division: 3-AA

Ventura (13-2) vs. San Francisco St. Ignatius (8-6), 8 p.m., Friday, at Fullerton High

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Garcia has passed for 3,360 yards and 36 touchdowns and has rushed for 750 yards and 12 touchdowns. The Cougars also have Oregon-bound linebacker Tristan Phillips. St. Ignatius is on a six-game winning streak after getting more consistent play at quarterback. The pick: Ventura.

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Pro Football Hall of Famer Troy Aikman critiques NIL landscape, transfer rules and Lane Kiffin’s LSU move

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Pro Football Hall of Famer Troy Aikman critiques NIL landscape, transfer rules and Lane Kiffin’s LSU move

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For the past couple of decades, former NFL star quarterback and Pro Football Hall of Famer Troy Aikman has shared his thoughts on what he’s seen during whichever game he and his longtime broadcast partner are calling.

The three-time Super Bowl winner is currently part of the “Monday Night Football” broadcast crew. Aikman has routinely given his take on a variety of football-related topics, from the state of NFL officiating to college football.

Some of Aikman’s latest thoughts about the college game centered on the growing number of players who have taken advantage of the transfer portal in today’s polarizing NIL landscape.

The former Dallas Cowboys quarterback and many others have referred to the state of today’s sport at the collegiate level as the “Wild West.”

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Hall of Fame quarterback Troy Aikman stands with his Monday Night Football Broadcast announcer Joe Buck before a game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Giants at Acrisure Stadium.  (Barry Reeger/Imagn Images)

“College football has become the Wild West, as everybody knows. Forget about Lane Kiffin for a minute, but starting with NIL, there just has been no guardrails. I’m on the National Football Foundation Board, so I hear firsthand from a lot of the commissioners and athletic directors and the people involved in all of that. It’s gotta get cleaned up, first and foremost,” Aikman told The Athletic.

When asked about student-athletes’ mobility in today’s world, Aikman reflected on his personal choices during his time competing at the NCAA level.

NFL GREAT TROY AIKMAN FIRES BACK AT JERRY JONES’ TRADE PLAN AMID LOSING EFFORT: ‘HE MAY WANT TO CANCEL’

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“I was a transfer. I went from Oklahoma to UCLA, and I’ve always felt that if a coach is able to pick up and leave, that a player should have the same opportunity if a coach leaves,” he continued.

UCLA quarterback Troy Aikman (8) runs the ball during a college football game against Arizona on Oct. 2, 1988, at Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Ariz. (Mike Powell/Allsport/Getty Images)

“What’s happened obviously over the years since I got out of college football is that in recent years with NIL, there’s been no accountability on the players,” Aikman continued. “So the players pick up and now they’re leaving all the time whereas before it was typically the coach. The player used to have to sit out a year. Now, the players can up and go regardless of whether or not they’ve been paid. It’s every man for himself.”

Aikman then dived into another college football hot topic – Lane Kiffin’s decision to leave Ole Miss in favor of LSU. The NFL analyst gave his best guess on what fueled Kiffin to make the leap.

“Lane Kiffin’s motivation? Is it his thoughts that it’s a better opportunity for him at LSU? Possibly. Is it money? Possibly. Is it lifestyle? Possibly. I can’t answer any of those questions.” 

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Then-Ole Miss Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin throws a football before the game against the Oklahoma Sooners at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium on Oct. 25, 2025. (Kevin Jairaj/Imagn Images)

“But whatever his motivation is, he feels like LSU is the right place for him. So I don’t fault him for that at all. I know there’s always hard feelings. Ole Miss did not want to lose Lane Kiffin,” he said. “Once he made the decision to leave, now he’s a pariah. Let’s get this guy just as far away from us as we can. I understand that as well. Everybody gets a little bit jaded.”

Aikman concluded that those in positions of power should ultimately take charge and focus on getting things in order. “Where I’m at is I think there’s gotta be some leadership at the very top that kind of cleans all of this up. Starting with players that accept money, there’s gotta be some accountability and responsibility on their behalf to have to stick with a program. I gave money to a kid. I won’t mention who. I’ve done it one time at UCLA. Never met the young man. He was there a year, he left after the year. I wrote a sizable check, and he went to another school. I didn’t even get so much as a thank you note.”

Aikman is scheduled to be on the call for a Week 15 matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Miami Dolphins on Dec. 15.

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