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Penn State vs. West Virginia score prediction by college football expert model

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Penn State vs. West Virginia score prediction by college football expert model


West Virginia is looking to make a statement at home and to avenge last season’s loss as it welcomes Penn State in this Big Ten vs. Big 12 matchup to open the 2024 college football season on Saturday.

Expect both teams to run the ball with authority, an area of expertise for these offenses.

Penn State returns its two-headed backfield of Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen to help out as quarterback Drew Allar finds his deep ball.

West Virginia gets quarterback Garrett Greene and rushers Jaheim White and CJ Donaldson back, a combination that ranked third nationally with 229 yards per game a year ago.

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What do the analytics say about the matchup? For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to forecast the game as Penn State and West Virginia renew their rivalry.

The simulations favor Penn State to come away with a sizable victory in the Week 1 matchup.

SP+ predicts the Nittany Lions will defeat the Mountaineers by a projected score of 34 to 20 and to win the game by an expected 13.9 points.

The model expects Penn State to win outright with 81 percent likelihood.

SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”

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Penn State is an 8.5 point favorite against West Virginia, according to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook, which set the total at 51.5 points for the game.

FanDuel set the moneyline odds for Penn State at -310 and for West Virginia at +245.

If you’re using this projection to bet on the game, you should take…

Other analytic tools also favor Penn State to come away from West Virginia with the win.

That includes College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times and pick winners.

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The index favors Penn State to win the game in 77.7 percent of its simulations, while West Virginia came out the projected winner in the remaining 22.3 percent of sims.

The model projects Penn State to be 13.8 points better than West Virginia on the same field, also good enough to cover the 8.5 point spread.

When: Sat., Aug. 31
Time: 12 p.m. Eastern
TV: Fox network

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More college football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | Teams

Follow College Football HQ: Bookmark | Rankings | Picks



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West Virginia commit announces decision by blasting ‘Country Roads,’ lighting a couch on fire

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West Virginia commit announces decision by blasting ‘Country Roads,’ lighting a couch on fire


A big moment in any student-athlete’s career is announcing what school they’re committing to, and I don’t think you’re going to find an announcement better than one we’ve got coming from one of the newest West Virginia Mountaineers.

What’s that smell? It… it smells like a couch burning to the sounds of the Mountaineers’ beloved John Denver “Take Me Home, Country Roads.”

You bet your sweet a– that’s what it is.

There’s a growing chance that any recruit who lights a couch on fire is going to end up wearing one of these. (Photo by Kevin Abele/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

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Ethan Lawson is a 6’6″, 300-lb offensive lineman and part of the 2027 recruiting class.

THE 2007 MOUNTAINEERS REMAIN COLLEGE FOOTBALL’S GREATEST ‘WHAT-IF’ STORY NEARLY TWO DECADES LATER

According to Sport Illustrated he has fielded offers from a bunch of programs including Appalachian State, Liberty, Air Force, Army, Navy, Duke, Wake Forest, UConn and more.

But, they all missed out because Lawson posted his decision on X, and well… I think he was always West Virginia material.

Bobcat Goldthwait was burning couches on camera before it was cool.

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But, alright, there’s no doubt about it: someone is about to sell some jerseys.

ZERO BS. JUST DAKICH. TAKE THE DON’T @ ME PODCAST ON THE ROAD. DOWNLOAD NOW!

And if there’s not a furniture store in Morgantown that brings in Lawson and fellow offensive line recruit Kevin Brown (who also lit a couch on fire because that’s becoming a thing) for an ad, then… then, well, I don’t know what, but it would be quite the missed opportunity.

It’s early, but Rich Rodriguez’s West Virginia Mountaineers lead college football in recruits burning couches. (Ben Queen-Imagn Images)

Hey, like it or not, sometimes in the age of NIL it can be a popularity contest. If fans like you, it could mean greater visibility and more lucrative deals. Perhaps that was the mission here, and we all know it worked.

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I refuse to believe any Mountaineers fans saw that video, heard the song and then didn’t reflexively raise a beer (even if they didn’t realize they were drinking one and say, “Hell yeah, brother.”)

We’ll see if the sort of thing translates onto the field, but even if it doesn’t, I feel like there’s money to be made making appearances and lighting furniture on fire at frat parties.



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Crews put out house fire in Bristol, Virginia

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Crews put out house fire in Bristol, Virginia


Crews put out a house fire in Bristol, Virginia, on Wednesday morning, according to officials.

The Bristol, Virginia Fire Department was dispatched at 3:09 a.m. for the fire in the 900 block of Vermont Avenue. The house was unoccupied at the time fire crews arrived on the scene.

Firefighters encountered heavy smoke and flames in the front of the house. They were able to quickly extinguish the fire under challenging conditions. The fire scene remains active and an investigation is underway. No injuries have been reported.



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Virginia Lottery Mega Millions, Pick 3 Night results for June 2, 2026

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Virginia Lottery Mega Millions, Pick 3 Night results for June 2, 2026


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The Virginia Lottery offers multiple draw games for those aiming to win big.

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Here’s a look at June 2, 2026, results for each game:

Mega Millions

Mega Millions drawings take place every week on Tuesday and Friday at 11 p.m.

15-26-43-48-60, Mega Ball: 12

Check Mega Millions payouts and previous drawings here.

Pick 3

DAY drawing at 1:59 p.m. NIGHT drawing at 11 p.m. each day.

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Night: 4-5-7, FB: 9

Day: 8-7-6, FB: 5

Check Pick 3 payouts and previous drawings here.

Pick 4

DAY drawing at 1:59 p.m. NIGHT drawing at 11 p.m. each day.

Night: 7-0-6-5, FB: 8

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Day: 1-1-9-0, FB: 1

Check Pick 4 payouts and previous drawings here.

Pick 5

DAY drawing at 1:59 p.m. NIGHT drawing at 11 p.m. each day.

Night: 2-9-1-0-4, FB: 0

Day: 5-9-4-1-7, FB: 0

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Check Pick 5 payouts and previous drawings here.

Cash Pop

Drawing times: Coffee Break 9 a.m.; Lunch Break 12 p.m.; Rush Hour 5 p.m.; Prime Time 9 p.m.; After Hours 11:59 p.m.

Coffee Break: 10

After Hours: 14

Prime Time: 04

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Rush Hour: 13

Lunch Break: 06

Check Cash Pop payouts and previous drawings here.

Millionaire for Life

Drawing everyday at 11:15 p.m.

16-33-41-50-52, Bonus: 01

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Check Millionaire for Life payouts and previous drawings here.

Feeling lucky? Explore the latest lottery news & results

This results page was generated automatically using information from TinBu and a template written and reviewed by a Center for Community Journalism (CCJ) editor. You can send feedback using this form.



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